Stephen Senn
@stephensenn.bsky.social
📤 1743
📥 237
📝 1110
Swiss & British statistician.
Today’s hike was a stroll around the island of Suomanlinna, a short ferry ride from Helsinki. This was an excellent recommendation from
@pmgbarnham.bsky.social
#hiking
#Finland
1 day ago
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TBF, he is swamping the drain.
4 days ago
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Placebo beer?
7 days ago
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Having got back from my walk in the Ardennes I have decided to stroll around the lovely city of Luxembourg.
10 days ago
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Today I hiked from Wilwerwiltz to Kautenbach via Pintsch, Lellingen and the Shuuterberg Castle. A three churches one castle walk.
##hiking
#Luxembourg
10 days ago
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theconversation.com/how-a-remark...
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How a remarkable trial on bedrest during the Korean war helped lead to evidence-based medicine
How a bedbound patient and a 73-page study changed the way doctors make decisions.
https://theconversation.com/how-a-remarkable-trial-on-bedrest-during-the-korean-war-helped-lead-to-evidence-based-medicine-283035?utm_medium=article_native_share
10 days ago
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My current top 5 statistical hates Responder dichotomies Estimands Doubly robust methods Real world data hype Flexible design hype
10 days ago
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This afternoon I went up Wester and Easter Craiglockhart and back along the canal.
#hiking
#Edinburgh
13 days ago
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Today’s hike was from Dolphinton to West Linton via White Hill.
#hiking
#Pentlands
.
15 days ago
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“You will find that most lectures given by statisticians are subject to the law of large numbness.” Sayings of Confuseus
15 days ago
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Unpopular opinion. The best Eurovision song was sung in French as the Luxembourg entry by a Greek woman living in Germany but didn’t win.
21 days ago
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Can an approach that gets designed experiments wrong be essential for analysing “real world data”? Some think this but IMO they are indulging a propensity for nonsense.
23 days ago
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Today we did a circular hike from Ullapool taking in Glastullich.
#hiking
#Coigach
#RossandCromarty
#Scotland
25 days ago
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Today we walked from Kylesku House to the very fine waterfall on the Allt Chrànaidh and back.
#hiking
#Assynt
#Sutherland
#Scotland
26 days ago
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Old excuse brought up to date. “It wasn’t me. A big AI LLM did it and ran away.”
26 days ago
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Today the weather was windy with drizzle so we just walked down to the Kylesku bridge and back.
#hiking
#Scotland
#Assynt
#Sutherland
26 days ago
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reposted by
Stephen Senn
Richard Bown is 📝 writing
27 days ago
I'm running a promotion on Leanpub right now. Get Human Software for just $1 or for free with a Leanpub membership
leanpub.com/humansoftware
#booksky
#writingcommunity
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Human Software
Beth is an overworked engineer keeping the lights on. Chrissie is the executive sent to turn them off. Can two women on opposite sides of the system come together before it’s too late?
https://leanpub.com/humansoftware
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More pictures from our traverse of Quinag
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quinag
yesterday
#hiking
#Sutherland
#Scotland
27 days ago
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Today we did the traverse of Quinag, which involved climbing six or seven summits including Spidean Choinich (mossy peak), Sail Ghorm (blue heel) and the highest point Sail Gharbh (rough heel).
#hiking
#Assynt
#Scotland
27 days ago
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We have arrived in Kylesku.
#Assynt
#Scotland
28 days ago
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My daughter Helen Senn is a conservation biologist but as Helen Watson she is a travel writer. This podcast
www.seektravelride.com/podcast-ep-1...
hosted by Bella of Seek Travel Ride discusses her bicycle journey along The Silk Road and the book she wrote about it
www.helenwatsonwriting.com
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Episode 174: Helen Watson – Seek Travel Ride Pty Ltd
https://www.seektravelride.com/podcast-ep-174/
about 1 month ago
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Well done the Jambos! I am not a Hearts supporter but anybody but The Old Firm. Long may it continue. If
#Hearts
can win the Scottish Premiership I might even learn to sing The Gorgie Road.
about 1 month ago
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Today’s walk was a clockwise circular from Upton House near Edgehill, site of the first battle of the Civil War
#hiking
#Cotswolds
#Warwickshire
about 1 month ago
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Should be good. It seems that July will be randomisation month this year.
rss.org.uk/training-eve...
100 years ago Fisher wrote this:
repository.rothamsted.ac.uk/id/eprint/20...
add a skeleton here at some point
about 1 month ago
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A lovely stroll in Hyde Park this morning during which I observed this waterfowl, no doubt hoping to attract funding from the Ministry for Silly Ducks.
about 1 month ago
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‘Do not be surprised if statisticians obsess about sample size determination for as regards its importance “they know it and they know that very powerfully”’ Sayings of Confuseus
about 1 month ago
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Just learned that Oscar Sheynin died a couple of years ago. I always enjoyed his pieces on the history of statistics. As an associate editor for Biometrika in the min 1990s I had no hesitation in recommending this
academic.oup.com/biomet/artic...
coauthored with Pfanzagl for publication.
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Studies in the history of probability and statistics XLIV A forerunner of the t-distribution
Abstract. The t-distribution first occurred in a paper by Lüroth (1876) on the classical theory of errors in connection with a Bayesian result.
https://academic.oup.com/biomet/article-abstract/83/4/891/253527?redirectedFrom=fulltext
about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Stephen Senn
Wolfgang Viechtbauer
about 1 month ago
A new version (5.0-1) of the metafor package has been released on CRAN. It includes some smaller updates, including more ways to visualize prediction intervals / distributions. Further details here:
www.metafor-project.org/doku.php/new...
#Rstats
#MetaAnalysis
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Today I led the walk for the All Year Ramblers that I recced on Tuesday. We started in Amulree and finished at Newton Bridge.
about 1 month ago
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Now, now. No that’s not my age and we’ll have no rhyming slang here. I am down in London for the Fisher Memorial Lecture and just enjoying the sunshine, sunshine,
about 1 month ago
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Today’s hike was a recce for one I have to lead for the Edinburgh All Year Ramblers. The walk was from Amulree to Newtonbridge via Auchnafree. The real challenge was getting there and back via public transport: 3 buses each way and a 05:00 start from Haymarket
#hiking
#Perthshire
#Scotland
about 2 months ago
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I worked in Dundee for 9 years and really enjoyed watching California Schemin’ yesterday.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Califor...
It almost got me liking rap music. Is there a style call Jock Rap?
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California Schemin' - Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California_Schemin%27
about 2 months ago
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As promised (threatened) these are today’s (Saturday’) pictures for the walk I recced on Thursday. Carlops to West Linton via the gorge over the N Esk and Harbour Craig.
#hiking
#Pentlands
#Scotland
about 2 months ago
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Carlops to West Linton. This was a recce for Saturday so be warned to expect more soon.
#hiking
#Scotland
#Pentlands
about 2 months ago
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More pictures from today’s circular walk from Malham with ex members of the
@exeter.ac.uk
OODS society
#hiking
#Yorkshire
about 2 months ago
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Today’s hike is a widdershins circular from Malham. .#hiking
#Yorkshire
#OODSExeter
about 2 months ago
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The annual reunion of our Ex
@exeter.ac.uk
Out of Doors Society (OODS) group is near Malham this year.
#hiking
#Yorkshire
Today we did a circular from Newfield Hall taking in Gargrave and part of the Leeds Liverpool canal.
#hiking
#Yorkshire
about 2 months ago
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For various reasons I have not been able to get out of Edinburgh for my usual hike this week so I have been reduced to wandering around the city.
#hiking
#Edinburgh
about 2 months ago
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Rolling the dice for Table 1? Read this.
www.linkedin.com/pulse/cards-...
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Cards on the Table
Starting over When I started in the pharmaceutical industry almost 40 years ago, I knew nothing about clinical trials. I was puzzled by a strange ritual that seemed to be generally observed.
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/cards-table-stephen-senn-vv2de
about 2 months ago
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“Because the military actions by Bern in Savoy were an invasion, the other Confederacy allies had no legal obligation to come to the aid of the Bernese.”
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Burgund...
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Burgundian Wars - Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Burgundian_Wars
about 2 months ago
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MOT! I predict our amazing boss will say he is “proud of the lads”.
#LUFC
2 months ago
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As Helen Senn, my daughter is a conservation biologist. As Helen Watson. she is a travel writer and the author of Tea & Grit.
www.bradtguides.com/product/brad...
The May edition of Scottish Field has a very nice piece by Andy Dobson covering both these aspects of her life.
#prouddad
2 months ago
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We have just passed the vernal equinox but it appears that we have game of drones and I fear the stark reality that winter is coming.
2 months ago
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“As they find their bodies aging you will find that many develop a tuck it list.” Sayings of Confuseus
2 months ago
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Stop ignoring analysis of covariance or my head will explode. (With apologies to Christophe Lambert and David Cronenberg.)
www.linkedin.com/pulse/causes...
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Causes and Covariates
We are often told that statistics has never had much to do with causation. I find the claim surprising and am going to show, with the help of some quotations from a wonderful article by Hugh Fairfield...
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/causes-covariates-stephen-senn-npnhc
2 months ago
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That thing where after a long fruitless search on LinkedIn for a post you meant to reply to, you realise you saw it on BlueSky.
2 months ago
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The horror, the horror.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
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Orkney banana bonanza after Tesco store orders 38,000 by mistake
An ordering glitch has left Tesco in Kirkwall giving away boxes of the fruit for free to schools and community groups.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3r384ye7reo
2 months ago
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I am grateful to Scott Berry for inviting me onto his podcast 55: A Visit with Stephen Senn: Time, Concurrent Controls, and the Bayesian Guidance
www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tnb0...
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A Visit with Stephen Senn: Time, Concurrent Controls, and the Bayesian Guidance
YouTube video by Berry Consultants
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tnb0AUC_Dgk
2 months ago
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So you carried out a controlled clinical trial? Bravo. Make sure you carry out a controlled analysis. You can bin those within-group standard errors, comparisons back to baselines and dynamite detonator plots for a start.
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/2277879/
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The graphical representation of clinical trials with particular reference to measurements over time - PubMed
Clinical trials are frequently analysed as if they were surveys when they are in fact experiments. In particular the experimental basis of clinical trials is rarely reflected in the graphs which are used to illustrate them. Proposals are made, and illustrated by example, as to how appropriate figure …
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/2277879/
2 months ago
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Today’s hike was a clockwise circular from West Linton to Wolf Craigs ending up with a pint at The Gordon Arms
#hiking
#Pentlands
#Scotland
2 months ago
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