Do they though

Nature Medicine starts an investigation into inconsistencies in a study that found it was better to have immunotherapy in the morning. www.statnews.com/2026/02/20/c...

Nearly 15 years ago, I discovered @isec-stats-ecol.bsky.social as a first year PhD student and knew it was my dream conference/community. Haven’t missed one since & now I get to bring it to México. Que padre unir mi comunidad académica y mi gente 🇲🇽 🌎 bsky.app/profile/isec...

How people think about a stronger immune system vs Actually a stronger immune system.

At face value, the problem with this is it would have been even more valuable to our ancestors, so why doesn't the immune system do it already? Could be - just expensive in energy 🥳 - like interferon prophylaxis it makes you feel shitty😐 - encourages autoimmune disease😱 www.bbc.com/news/article...

Watching the guys at the super-nerdy specialty coffee shop adjust the internals of an ultra-fancy hand grinder with little screwdrivers of various shapes.

People who say knees are evidence against intelligent design should remember that Microsoft Windows is the result of intelligent design

Has anyone interviewed the spiders about their disappointment?

Love communicating about stats? Early career or student? Enter our 2026 writing competition for the chance of publication and a conference session https://ow.ly/Tg0A50Yi2Mf

JSSAM Special Issue 13(5) is now available. The first of two special issues showcasing survey research across Asia, Africa, Latin America, the Caribbean, and Oceania is now online: 🔗 academic.oup.com/jssam/issue/13/5 Thread ⬇️

New blog post introducing Causion - a web app for causal inference teaching and learning: pedermisager.org/blog/causion....

"Microsoft morged my diagram" --Vincent Driessen #continvuocly nvie.com/posts/15-yea...

All are welcome to the March @vicbiostat.bsky.social seminar. Lee Kennedy-Shaffer from @yalesph.bsky.social will be presenting " #Estimands, Assumptions, and the Challenges of Evaluating Policies: Lessons from Staggered Adoption" 12 March, 9:30 AEDT online. www.vicbiostat.org.au #steppedwedge

That's not a nice email to send someone who's marking exams

Some more details on the omnibus test for whether the ADRF is flat, as I mention in this test. We have an estimate for the ADRF at each treatment value `a`, and jointly they have a multivariate normal distribution. This makes the ADRF estimate a Gaussian Process. 1/8

The bike underpass that has excellent drainage except when there's, you know, rain

Fun times: a paper of ours is finally "properly published" in AAP: 'Weak Poincaré inequalities for Markov chains: Theory and applications' - Christophe Andrieu, Anthony Lee, Sam Power, Andi Q. Wang This was the final part of a trilogy of joint works during Andi's and my postdoc.

I love R for everything statistics, but I've always been a little jealous of statisticians using SPSS Complex Samples or SAS SURVEYSELECT to design their samples. So I decided to build samplyr, a tidy and pipe-friendly grammar for survey sampling design in #rstats. dickoa.gitlab.io/samplyr/inde...

RAM shortage so severe they're talking about finding the man who put it in the ram-a-lama-ding-dong and making him take it out www.youtube.com/watch?v=kKpZ...

"99% of adults over 40 have shoulder “abnormalities” on an MRI, study finds" arstechnica.com/health/2026/...

Survey researchers: I'll discuss LLM "synthetic respondents" in a free webinar this week. ➡️ Synthetic Survey Data? It's Not Data Thursday Feb 19, 12pm Eastern, hosted by Sawtooth Free registration: sawtoothsoftware.com/resources/ev... (P.S., I give no quarter on this topic 😆)

1. I’m quite happy with this popular piece that Lee Dugatkin and I wrote recently. For the next two weeks it’s free to read on the American Scientist website.

Bad clogs and Englishmen #noelcowardice

Next steps for Parliament: declare that Winston is a citizen, legalise rugby, allow burgers to be made of meat

At training in what appears to be the ARSE building

"the median voter theorem is basically the ivermectin of politics"

Great piece from @dsquareddigest.bsky.social, which touches on one of the big theories for why English-speaking countries do especially badly at housebuilding: Adversarial and litigious common law systems (Anglo) vs judge-led civil law systems elsewhere. samf.substack.com/p/build-the-...

In this age of LLMs, it's trivially easy to get a Phd-level-expert™️ summary of any journal article that will extract the main arguments and findings for you and often even flags up the most relevant connections to the larger literature: just look for the bloody abstract, kid #AcademicLifeHacks

maybe not thought control exactly but perhaps some sense of what counts as a thought?

New open source: cuthbert 🐛 State space models with all the hotness: (temporally) parallelisable, JAX, Kalman, SMC

Do international nonproprietary names of drugs come with approved pronunciations, or is it left to custom and practice? For example, is there an official rule as whether the new oral GLP1 drug orforglipron is orFORGLYpron vs orforGLIPron?

Almost every complaint about what academics in the humanities study could be solved by quantities of money that are - in the scheme of these sorts of things - very small. In that context, what is telling is that the right, aware that the humanities were for sale, opted to destroy them instead.

The anti-trans propaganda push is one of the best examples I know of real-world disinformation in action.

Here is another way of approaching it - for the 0.1% (318) most rainy known hours at Auckland Airport (in north of country, has long run of data), when were those hours distributed through time.

A single image that captures NZ's dominant belief system and economic model #nzpol www.reddit.com/r/newzealand...

"tulip kiwi tantrum beavers" is a sequence of words I needed some help with

Roses are red Water is brown Wellington swimmers Should head out of town

Roses are orange Violets are blue Lucky this form Only rhymes at line two

Roses are grey Violets are grey You're snogging with him No walkies today 🐾 #dogvalentine

Roses are red Violets are blue It's Normal for me To share moments with you #stats #math

This is just nuts. In a well-powered randomised trial, giving immunotherapy in the morning rather than afternoon/evening produced ludicrously big improvements in progression-free survival www.nature.com/articles/s41... via www.science.org/content/blog...

Posted everywhere and simply wrong. This is a measure of premiums collected minus benefits paid. Fewer benefits paid with everyone staying home for Covid, hence higher numbers then reversion. It isn’t a measure of your premium. I don’t think it’s malicious but please be careful.

The audio of Carl Bergstrom @carlbergstrom.com being interviewed on RNZ by Mihingarangi Forbes this morning. www.rnz.co.nz/national/pro...

Hugo Noms have opened and I want to get in quick with this: there is a fabulous and vibrant contemporary SFF novella scene and the quality is *not* disproportionately located at tordotcom, which puts out brilliant work but does not have a monopoly on it. 5 titles for your consideration follow:

Reposting this because apparently rotisserie chicken now? The problem with housing is not that we're spending too little on it. www.statschat.org.nz/2025/11/16/5...

Almost not raining

I've seen this so-called predicted light curve for Comet 2026/A1 pop up in a few places. I think it is a wonderful example of over-enthusiastic extrapolation from limited data, as it is very unlikely a comet will end up (checks) TEN MILLION TIMES BRIGHTER THAN THE SUN.

I had a lot of fun getting silly in a recording studio with very abbreviated sonnets like: Can't sleep by day, 'cause work's my duty. Can't sleep by night, 'cause you're a cutie. When in disgrace and feeling crappy I think "you love me." Then I'm happy.