many economists would be better served by suppressing the reflexive contrarian in their brains, or at least not letting the contrarian type their posts

Neil Day April 13th, 2006🎂🥂🎈

Wanna pet the kitty

“Is Eric Adam’s an Albanian-American politician” the greatest thread in the history of the forums locked after 138 pages of debate

New release from the Michigan Survey of Consumers for March 2026 #Inflation #expectations of household surge. The median 1-year-ahead increased to almost 5%. One-year expected business conditions plunged about 20% More there: www.sca.isr.umich.edu

Inflation pressures were firming before the war. The core PCE index rose 0.37% in February and was +3.0% on the year. The 6-month annualized rate was +3.4%, the highest since June 2024, before the Fed began to cut rates. The 3-month annualized rate was +4.4%, the highest since March 2024.

SLAVERY AND TREASON BURIED IN THE SAME GRAVE

to all who celebrate...

WOIMSDAY

Brookings is partnering with Urban, AEI, Niskanen, Upjohn Institute to launch the Economic Indicators Initiative (EII), a collaborative effort with the mission of highlighting risks to the federal statistical system and strengthening the production of economic statistics

Congratulations to Ludwig Straub @ludwigstraub.bsky.social of @harvard.edu, winner of the 2026 John Bates Clark Medal! www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/ho...

Had this already been announced and I missed it? If not, congrats to Ludwig Straub! www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/ho...

If you teach intro to Econ and would be interested in being part of an RCT on AI homework tutor I have a good lead on funding. Participating faculty will get $500 to $1000. DM me or email [email protected] Please repost! Repost and I'll buy you a drink at ASSA 2027 or future conference

This has been a fun one to write. Draft coming soon.

i been saying thehill.com/opinion/fina...

had to go see the landback skyscrapers for myself

So on the same day that BLS reported the lowest household survey response rate on record, the White House is proposing further budget cuts. Pretty much every economist that I've talked to says that we should be investing more money in the statistical system right now, not less.

If you have the experience required and an interest in serving as Minnesota State Economist, our department is hiring someone at the tenured level for that position: www.higheredjobs.com/faculty/deta...

And they stress that whatever policies we adopt shouldn't embed assumptions about what the technology can and cannot do (which could change). Policy responses need to be flexible, ready to scale up or down based on how things play out.

12. A current list of seven members includes Philip Jefferson, Michelle Bowman, Christopher Waller, Lisa Cook, Michael Barr, and Stephen Miran, with what name missing? NICE TRY, RUMPELSTILTSKIN #LL108 #bestwronganswers

15th century Italians:

This is so, so well-articulated.

Breakeven job growth (the pace needed to maintain a steady unemployment rate) near-zero. Could make negative job growth almost as likely as positive job growth in any given month. 2: Any growth in potential GDP must come from productivity growth. (2/2) www.federalreserve.gov/econres/note...

Labor force growth could be near-zero starting this year, due to weak population growth and declining labor force participation. Such weak growth is unprecedented in the United States’ recent history. This has significant economic implications: (1/2) www.federalreserve.gov/econres/note...

pretending that the “too old” refers to the moon. The moon is too old

I'm on this!

🧵1/ Our first meta-science paper (with 350+ coauthors) is published today in Nature. It presents one of the largest-ever reproducibility projects in economics & political science. Here’s what we found 👇

Proud to have "Nonbinary Gender Economics" out in JPE Micro. We document the economic experiences and preferences of nonbinary individuals—a population of 1M+ in the US that is often overlooked.

Does anyone have recommendations for an R package that produces IV MTE plots similar to @eckhoffandresen.bsky.social's mtefe STATA package? (ivmte seems to not have quite what I want, but I also might not be using it right 😅)

In what world is it okay for the Defense Secretary to make multi-million dollar investments in defense companies: a) Ever; b) In the run-up to starting a war in the Middle East FT has the scoop: www.ft.com/content/744e... In a functional democracy, he would offer his resignation tonight.

It makes sense that the author of the Odyssey is called Homer, but the Iliad should have been written by Awayer

Worth reading the whole thread

Deep down every economist wants to do Moneyball

Inspired by my brilliant coauthor @galinah.bsky.social, one thing I've been doing in my Pol Econ of Food and Ag class this semester, and which students seem to enjoy, is to periodically hold debates on controversial topics. 1/

in 2016 a group of strangers in Kazakhstan saved a dog from drowning by forming a human chain to reach him. they just unveiled a statue commemorating the event and I'm genuinely about to start sobbing

There are no incentives for politicians to stand up to the farm lobby when it comes to inefficient, costly, and/or harmful policy ideas, so you end up with liberals promoting shit like E15

There IS no such thing as a free lunch damnit

it’s too late to make any improvements now

dudes rock www.youtube.com/watch?v=AbT1...

the platonic method is when you hypothesize an ideal student who already knows the material

NY Fed has a new analysis of sports betting legalization on credit delinquency libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2026/03/spor...

enough of this "I never saw a wild thing sorry for itself" bullshit. they also don't have any open heart surgery and didn't make any films such as my neighbour totoro. respect to the wild things but there's other ways to live.

The Wall Street Journal is running a puff piece about people manifesting wealth through completely mad superstition. I am going to liquidate my entire retirement and purchase a fifteen hundred kilogram tungsten orb.

“Tomorrow!” cried Toad. “I will do it all tomorrow!”

Senior BIS economist Hyun Song Shin has been named by South Korea’s president to run the Bank of Korea www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

I have only ever seen one good blurb in my entire reading life and it was on the back of BEAR ATTACKS: THEIR CAUSES AND AVOIDANCE by Stephen Herrero

Oofdah

I'm updating my undergrad (macro) growth elective. Some of the papers in my survey of topics in the empirical growth literature are maybe a little out of date. Any suggestions for recent or less-er known classics papers that are reasonably accessible to undergrads?