If you're not burned out on thoughtful, well-reasoned posts that look at the pros and cons of using AI (LLMs) as a tool, this from @mtkonczal.bsky.social is a good one. If you get bogged down in the middle, do still read the concluding paragraphs. newsletter.mikekonczal.com/p/three-ways...

One year ago...

As a Giants fan I'm doing some research on our new starter. Years he puked during a game: 2018: 3.29 ERA 2019: 3.72 ERA 2025: 3.31 ERA Average: 3.44 ERA Years he didn't puke during a game: 2020: 5.30 ERA 2021: 3.22 ERA 2022: 4.73 ERA 2023: 4.12 ERA 2024: 5.84 ERA Average: 4.64 ERA

I still think the internet is the best comp for AI. It was a bubble that popped, but the underlying tech turned out to be real. It enabled a bunch of psychosis and slop, but also some genuinely cool stuff. Massive labor market disruptions, but employment levels look about the same.

Folks, it’s good

Happy valentine's day ❤️

I’m on my focaccia arc

What'd I miss?

we will greet them as liberators

One of my more controversial opinions is that the US needs to significantly raise taxes to the tune of a couple % of GDP right now, even before any expansive social democratic reforms, and that means you—yes you, dear highly educated professional—will need to pay up, not just nebulous billionaires.

Happy Halloween, the holiday that reminds us that it’s fun and cool to give every child a welfare benefit

Food stamps remind me of vaccines, we basically eliminated hunger like we eliminated measles, both incredible human accomplishments the GOP is determined to reverse.

Conservatives love doing the opposite of occam's razor. "Over 10% of people are on food stamps because over 10% of people are in poverty" is too simple. It has to mean there are actually half a billion people in America.

In areas with increased SNAP take-up rates, grocery prices increased *less*

common sense rules of the internet: 1. never do an interview with @ichotiner.bsky.social 2. never bet with @jdcmedlock.bsky.social 3. never attempt to dunk on @dieworkwear.bsky.social

It feels immoral not to sign up for an effectively wild patreon sub as a sort of hazard pay after this game

“I’ll declare war on you if you don’t give me the peace prize” is an incredible bit

Two dudes whom despite their best efforts have no power in Canada.

Seeing Curtis Yarvin tweet is like if you watch a horror movie that sets up this mysterious evil villain, and then at the end of the movie comes the grand reveal… and it’s just Alf. And you can’t help but laugh and also feel a bit let down. That’s it??

More than anything, they want to be patted on the head and told they're a good boy by the liberal elites

RFK at HHS is like if a baby crashed a car in to a crowd of people. Sure I'm mad at the baby, if not particularly surprised by the outcome - but my bigger concern is all the adults who handed the baby the car keys and insisted it'd be fine.

Goldbugs are so insane

How it started // How it’s going

Conservatives love to darkly say stuff like “you aren’t prepared for what’s next, we’re not going to be moderate anymore, you have no idea what you’ve unleashed” and then cry like babies when you call them fascists

I'm going on vacation, what books should I read?

This is the make or break moment for Powell's @federalreserve.gov. If they do not defend Lisa Cook and treat her as still on the Board, the fight over the Fed as an independent agency will officially be over. see my Friday piece. www.crisesnotes.com/trump-vs-pow...

The case against worrying about pre-transfer poverty

It’s funny that Cuomo used “unhoused” in his big callout post, while Zohran uses “homeless”

After years of suffering with a single hose portable air conditioner, I have finally upgraded to a far more efficient dual hose unit. Thank you, TechnologyConnections youtube channel for changing my life.

when @jdcmedlock.bsky.social writes a webtoon:

If you want an electability focused dem who has moderated on key issues but hates the GOP with a burning passion and is willing to fight fire with fire, Gallego would be so much better than Newsom

Conversely, I had dinner with a bunch of professors the other day and I don't think the right is prepared for the radicalization of formerly centrist types against them

I love that tricking umpires is such a valuable and quantifiable skill in baseball

Happy Birthday Social Security 🫡

The plan? Make vegetables substantially more expensive and give candy and soda makers low-impact PR wins

The NL West is incredible, 4 out of 5 teams have a positive run differential but the combined run differential is -200 thanks to the Rockies

This is one of those things that sounds good but the actual policy is completely incoherent and likely to make things worse.

We are truly entering the statistical Bad Place

Grok W

Lmao

These people can only conceive of win-lose situations, and so they forgo win-win arrangements in favor of lose-lose arrangements

The collective response to this is: let’s do it

If you put the DOGE guys on a desert island where the only way out was to say the magic words “I’m not sure what the answer is, let me consult someone who has worked on this problem for a long time” they would all starve to death

The GOP isn't a political party? No they are Pedocons. Pedocons are a menace that seek to molest kids. This is who they GOP is, kids are who they molest

So what states would you like to see rise from the fallen ashes of the US empire? I, for one, am a Long Chile guy.

Ok that time may have just arrived

This is true, and I do think we should take more credit for this