Michael Hirson
@hotpotwhynot.bsky.social
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📥 376
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China-watcher and considerate Citibiker.
reposted by
Michael Hirson
James Fallows
5 days ago
Have fixed some typos in this. Still up at same link:
fallows.substack.com/p/your-score...
add a skeleton here at some point
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Michael Hirson
Asia Society Policy Institute (ASPI)
23 days ago
At the recent Two Sessions, China outlined its goals and strategies for the next 5 years. Read key takeaways from
@neilthomas123.bsky.social
, Christopher Johnson, Guoguang Wu, Lyle Morris, Lizzi C. Lee,
@hotpotwhynot.bsky.social
&
@lishuoclimate.bsky.social
👇
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What Happened at China's Two Sessions in 2026?
Read key takeaways from Center for China Analysis's experts on China's Two Sessions in 2026.
https://asiasociety.org/what-happened-chinas-two-sessions-2026
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Michael Hirson
Nick Timiraos
28 days ago
Tillis says he thinks Warsh is well qualified to be Fed chair but isn’t backing down: “It is unfortunate that an ongoing investigation prevents me from voting for Kevin at this time.”
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Michael Hirson
Chris Murphy
29 days ago
I was in a 2 hour briefing today on the Iran War. All the briefings are closed, because Trump can't defend this war in public. I obviously can't disclose classified info, but you deserve to know how incoherent and incomplete these war plans are. 1/ Here's what I can share:
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Michael Hirson
John Culver
about 1 month ago
China probably hopes that the US again becomes bogged down in a long conflict with Iran, but its strategic plans are usually not based on hope. 1/7
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Michael Hirson
Tobias Harris
about 1 month ago
Also, I should have shared this earlier but I recorded a great conversation with Ian Buruma and Chang Che about Takaichi:
changche.substack.com/p/into-asia-...
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Into Asia #12: Japan's "Iron Lady"
Japan expert Tobias Harris on Takaichi, one of the most powerful Japanese leaders in a generation
https://changche.substack.com/p/into-asia-12-japans-iron-lady?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=2978673&post_id=189847717&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=false&r=qftz&triedRedirect=true&_src_ref=app.titan.email&utm_medium=email
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Michael Hirson
Catherine Rampell
about 1 month ago
Without Trump’s trade wars since 2017, US exports to China would have been nearly 60 percent higher in 2025, or roughly $90 billion annually.
www.piie.com/blogs/realti...
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China no longer buys US exports: Drawing the right lessons for the next Trump-Xi deal
China essentially stopped buying US exports in April 2025. President Donald Trump had started his second term by launching a new trade war that he headlined with steep new tariffs on China. When China...
https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2026/china-no-longer-buys-us-exports-drawing-right-lessons-next-trump-xi
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@rajakorman.bsky.social
, has this been done already?
add a skeleton here at some point
about 1 month ago
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Trump-Kennedy Center announces new resident orchestra: Stochastic Violins.
about 1 month ago
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Michael Hirson
Noah Barkin
about 2 months ago
China is pressing Germany to support the idea of a free trade agreement between the EU and China when Chancellor Friedrich Merz makes his first visit to Beijing next week. See my latest Substack on the visit below...
nbarkin.substack.com/p/china-floa...
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China floats FTA ahead of Merz visit
Seen as ploy to keep EU market open to Chinese goods
https://nbarkin.substack.com/p/china-floats-fta-ahead-of-merz-visit
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Phil Lewis
about 2 months ago
The grandson of the inventor of Reese's Peanut Butter Cups is calling out Hershey for "quietly replacing" the candy's chocolate and peanut butter ingredients
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Grandson of Reese's Peanut Butter Cup inventor accuses Hershey of "quietly replacing" ingredients
Brad Reese claims Hershey is cutting costs by relying on cheaper ingredients, risking the Reese's brand.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/hershey-reeses-peanut-butter-cup-ingredients-grandson-brad-reese/?ftag=CNM-00-10aab7e&linkId=908549285#
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Stephen McDonell
about 2 months ago
Lionel Richie just appeared on
#China’s
New Year TV gala with Jackie Chan and a choir of kids to sing a version of “We Are The World” in English and Chinese.
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Noah Barkin
about 2 months ago
Takaichi’s LDP on course for crushing victory in Japan’s elections. China’s coercive pressure campaign against her has clearly backfired
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
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Liberal Democratic Party on course for large majority in Japan election
Exit polls suggest Sanae Takaichi’s ruling party and its coalition partner could win 366 seats
https://giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/actions/redeem/c5d94cd7-59e8-4507-a9de-19c6b4275a58
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Tobias Harris
about 2 months ago
My 2026 Japanese general election thread starts here. We're now less than a half hour to polls closing.
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Tobias Harris
2 months ago
FREE FOR ALL READERS: Japan is pummeled by snow and plunging temperatures as the campaign enters its final day. Candidates support higher defense spending but there is little consensus on how to fund it. Plus, politicians react to Trump’s endorsement of Takaichi.
open.substack.com/pub/observin...
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The final stretch | Japan Daily Briefing
Candidates and voters brace for winter storms as the campaign heads into its final day
https://open.substack.com/pub/observingjapan/p/the-final-stretch-japan-daily-briefing?r=ax7nw&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Nanoraptor
2 months ago
Some terrifically titled papers from a discovered collection of NASA research documents found in a skip (with thanks to
@juliarez.placid.horse
)
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Paul Krugman
2 months ago
An experiment: A wonkish post that isn't emailed out to subscribers
paulkrugman.substack.com/p/a-wonkish-...
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A Wonkish Note on Tariffs and Inflation
There isn’t really a puzzle here
https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/a-wonkish-note-on-tariffs-and-inflation
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Peter Lucier
3 months ago
I fought in Afghanistan as a Marine. Danes were in Helmand before Marines were. 43 Danes gave the last full measure of devotion because the U.S. asked and we had been attacked. I’m ashamed this man is the commander in chief. This isn’t how you treat friends who bled with you.
add a skeleton here at some point
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Susan Jakes
3 months ago
I have revered Zha Jianying since I first read China Pop in the late 90s and it was was the greatest to work with her +
@goldkorn.bsky.social
on her part-memoir, part polemical lament, "Trains." Here's a short interview we did about the project.
add a skeleton here at some point
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Alexandra Petri
3 months ago
www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/...
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Just came across this ad on another Website and, well...
@carlquintanilla.bsky.social
@ivanthek.bsky.social
3 months ago
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Elizabeth N. Saunders
3 months ago
📣📣📣Announcing...Chalkboard Politics
@chalkboardpolitics.bsky.social
, a podcast by students, for students (and their teachers). Written, edited, and mixed by the students at
@siwpscolumbia.bsky.social
and distributed by
@goodauth.bsky.social
. 1/
www.podbean.com/media/share/...
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
David Roberts
3 months ago
For some reason, very few people these days will stand up and say it, but: the US federal bureaucracy is one of the great wonders of the world, staffed with incredibly diligent people who do their jobs well and care deeply. Trump's destruction of the federal apparaus was a historic crime.
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The Purged
Donald Trump’s destruction of the civil service is a tragedy not just for the roughly 300,000 workers who have been discarded, but for an entire nation.
https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/2026/02/trump-federal-worker-layoffs-interviews/685321/
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Jeremy Cliffe
3 months ago
[1/6] A reminder: Europe has cards to use against the US. Lots of them. To cite some examples: - Tighten screws on US digital giants (taxes, fines, even bans) - Export taxes disrupting US supply chains eg pharma - Exclude US firms from European procurement, inc defence
ecfr.eu/publication/...
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Brussels hold’em: European cards against Trumpian coercion – European Council on Foreign Relations
Faced with an aggressive United States, Europe has more leverage than it realises. Across trade, technology, infrastructure, finance and people-to-people relati
https://ecfr.eu/publication/brussels-holdem-european-cards-against-trumpian-coercion/
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Metropolitan Transportation Authority
3 months ago
“Don’t let trash score on our city!” New York Knicks legend John Starks recorded PSAs to remind riders that courtesy counts! Listen for his announcements on your next subway ride.
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China's record $1.2 trillion goods trade surplus reflects the remarkable strength of its manufacturing sector, but also the weakness of household consumption. In a new article for
@econofact.bsky.social
,
@houzesong.bsky.social
examine the issues and the outlook. Link:
econofact.org/chinas-expor...
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China’s Export Dominance: A Sign of Both Economic Strength and Weakness | Econofact
Chinese dependence on manufacturing as an engine of growth has increased, as resistance to Chinese imports is growing abroad and domestic demand remains low.
https://econofact.org/chinas-export-dominance-a-sign-of-both-economic-strength-and-weakness
3 months ago
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
George Pearkes
3 months ago
Sentiment check: r/wallstreetbets is absolutely libbing out, indistinguishable from Bsky.
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Steve Liesman
3 months ago
Alex Manzara, rates analyst at RJ O’Brien calls the fed criminal probe “asinine.” “Anyone with a shred of self-respect currently under consideration to take over as Fed Chair should quietly remove themselves from the running.” I guess I’m not sure the candidates have many shreds left.
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Daniel Drezner
3 months ago
Some scattered, occasionally NSFW thoughts.
danieldrezner.substack.com/p/what-i-kno...
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What I Know And What I Do Not Know About the U.S. Incursion Into Venezuela
More of the latter than the former, probably.
https://danieldrezner.substack.com/p/what-i-know-and-what-i-do-not-know
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Karthik Sankaran
3 months ago
Here is a link to my latest about this weekend’s events. Longtime followers will recognize the themes in the below shots also link back to about a decade’s worth of venting about drivers of the dollar and LatAm Political Economy.
responsiblestatecraft.org/venezuela-oil/
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Elizabeth N. Saunders
3 months ago
New piece in
@goodauth.bsky.social
on what Trump's actions in Venezuela might mean.
goodauthority.org/news/what-ha...
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What happens now in Venezuela – and the world?
What happens now in Venezuela – and the world? Trump’s no-guardrails foreign policy raises big questions about the global order, not just about who will run Venezuela.
https://goodauthority.org/news/what-happens-now-in-venezuela-and-the-world/
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Sarah Bauerle Danzman
3 months ago
This brings the number of CFIUS blocks to 11. 1. - Mamco/Catic (China) 1990 2. Ralls (China) 2012 3. Aixtron/GrandChip (China) 2016 4. Lattice/CanyonBridge (China) 2017 5. Qualcomm/Broadcom (Singapore) 2018 6. StayNTouch/Shiji (China) 2020 7.
Musical.ly/TikTok
(China) 2020 *not enforced*
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Mark D. Levine
3 months ago
NYC has an excellent tool to see how recently any street has been plowed. Check out PlowNYC at:
plownyc.cityofnewyork.us/plownyc/
Thank you to the 1000s of hard working men and women at
@nycsanitation.bsky.social
who are out battling this storm tonight.
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Mark D. Levine
4 months ago
Year 1 data on congestion pricing in Manhattan… * Vehicle traffic: -11% * Foot traffic: +3.4% * Storefront vacancy: -0.9% * Pollution: -22% * Revenue for mass transit: $548M So YES this has been a huge success.
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Michael Hirson
Quinta Jurecic
4 months ago
It is boorish and unflattering to say I told you so, and yet at a certain point honesty does require it every now and then
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Don’t Move On Just Yet
Could a truth and reconciliation commission help the country heal?
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/01/how-to-not-bury-the-past/617723/
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Michael Hirson
Mujtaba Rahman
4 months ago
One key battleground we should all keep our eyes very peeled on is Hungary's election in April 2026. PM Viktor Orban is in the balance. If the US's National Security Strategy is now USG policy, we should surely expect some MAGA involvement to help tilt the race in Orban's favour
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The statue that FIFA just gifted to Trump is Tolkienesque nightmare fuel. It will make a great paperweight.
4 months ago
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This thread is the Triple Lindy of
@rajakorman.bsky.social
financial punning.
add a skeleton here at some point
4 months ago
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
War on the Rocks
4 months ago
A downturn in the AI sector wouldn’t just hit markets. It could also alter the strategic balance with China and Taiwan.
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Thinking the Thinkable on an AI Market Correction
You’re not hallucinating: AI “bubble” discourse is everywhere. Whether you’re looking at Google Trends, reading the paper of record, listening to subject
https://warontherocks.com/2025/11/thinking-the-thinkable-on-an-ai-market-correction/
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Michael Hirson
Karthik Sankaran
4 months ago
ICYMI, I hijacked the discourse to make one of my long-standing favorite points. The screen-shoot is from a WSJ op-ed by the Treasury Secretary doing before your very eyes EXACTLY (and with his customary insouciance) exactly what I complain about.
add a skeleton here at some point
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Helen Kennedy
5 months ago
ICE vs the clergy
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Mark Copelovitch
5 months ago
Imagine being told in 1987 that this headline would exist in 2025
add a skeleton here at some point
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Bob Elliott
5 months ago
My view on the mediocre real economy ROI of the Hyperscaler CAPEX inspired a lot of conversation this week across socials, so I'm opening it up to all as my free post of the week:
bobeunlimited.substack.com/p/the-ai-boo...
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The AI Boom’s Real Economy Problem
While AI CAPEX is exploding, the payoff isn’t. Meta’s $70B/yr is only notching $3-5bln in incremental revenue. The kind of poor sector ROI exposing the diff between the dream and real economy reality.
https://bobeunlimited.substack.com/p/the-ai-booms-real-economy-problem
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Michael Hirson
𝔻𝕒𝕟 🏀🍻💀
5 months ago
AI sitcom accidentally a Lynchian fever dream. The sort of general malaise that only the genius possess and insane lament.
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Interested in what China’s next Five-Year Plan means for the economy and China’s global role? Tune in to this
@asiapolicy.asiasociety.org
discussion tomorrow (Wednesday).
add a skeleton here at some point
5 months ago
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Tobias Harris
6 months ago
FREE FRIDAY: I discuss the emerging deal between the LDP and Ishin no Kai, which is not without critics but which leaves Takaichi all but assured of winning the premiership. Plus, I look back at the late Murayama Tomiichi’s unlikely but meaningful premiership.
open.substack.com/pub/observin...
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An LDP-Ishin coalition takes shape | Japan Daily Briefing
LDP nears a deal to cement Takaichi's premiership. Plus: political leaders marked the death of Murayama Tomiichi, the unlikely prime minister.
https://open.substack.com/pub/observingjapan/p/an-ldp-ishin-coalition-takes-shape?r=ax7nw&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Metropolitan Transportation Authority
6 months ago
Today, we're celebrating 1 billion rides taken on the subway thus far in 2025! As always, thanks for riding with us 🚇 🎊
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Patrick Chovanec
6 months ago
I'm hoping that the "No Kings" rally this weekend has so many American flags flying it looks like the Fourth of July.
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reposted by
Michael Hirson
Karthik Sankaran
6 months ago
add a skeleton here at some point
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