Adam Shapiro
@adamshap.bsky.social
📤 3704
📥 1198
📝 271
Macrodata Refinement Personal account | Views are my own
😳
about 4 hours ago
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An impressive public health breakthrough
2 days ago
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😮
5 days ago
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😮
5 days ago
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reposted by
Adam Shapiro
Some evidence why consumers are still unhappy
on.ft.com/3M3EA5S
6 days ago
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Some evidence why consumers are still unhappy
on.ft.com/3M3EA5S
6 days ago
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Happy Thanksgiving! 🦃🦃🦃🦃🦃🦃🦃🦃
7 days ago
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Adam Shapiro
Monetary policy tightening raises longer-term yields only when inflation is driven by strong demand.
www.frbsf.org/wp-content/u...
10 days ago
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Adam Shapiro
Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham
10 days ago
Update on the state of the job market courtesy of a nudge by
@gottliebecon.bsky.social
It's bad!
paulgp.com/2025/11/24/j...
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Economics Job Market Update: November 2025 - A Historic Low
https://paulgp.com/2025/11/24/joe-market-update-november.html
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Monetary policy tightening raises longer-term yields only when inflation is driven by strong demand.
www.frbsf.org/wp-content/u...
10 days ago
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Adam Shapiro
Mohamed A. El-Erian
10 days ago
H/T to Torsten Slok for this SF Fed chart illustrating demand-side influences overtaking supply-side factors as the primary driver of US inflation. Why this matters: 1. The Fed: Inflation driven more by demand than supply factors argues against a rate cut just as worries mount about the ... 1 of 2
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Adam Shapiro
The Washington Post
14 days ago
Exclusive: The U.S. Coast Guard will no longer classify the swastika, nooses and the Confederate flag as hate symbols. The military service drafted a new policy that classifies them as “potentially divisive.”
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U.S. Coast Guard will no longer classify swastikas, nooses as hate symbols
The military service, which falls under the Department of Homeland Security, has drafted a new policy that classifies such items “potentially divisive.”
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2025/11/20/coast-guard-swastika-noose/?utm_campaign=wp_main&utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social
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yikes
15 days ago
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It’s happening…
www.sfgate.com/centralcoast...
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Wealthy Calif. town moves to permanently ban pickleball
"This is not a good location for pickleball."
https://www.sfgate.com/centralcoast/article/carmel-moves-to-permanently-ban-pickleball-21193222.php
15 days ago
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Tarrifs tend to raise unemployment and lower inflation. (you read that right, lower inflation)
www.frbsf.org/wp-content/u...
18 days ago
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You’re going to have to find alternative ways to get chain restaurant pasta today
apple.news/APLkcE64UQlK...
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Olive Garden is shutting down all of its 900 stores for 24 hours. Here is why. — Time Out USA
When we first learned about Olive Garden's intention to shut down all of its 900 stores for 24 hours, we panicked. Was the news a signal of more permanent shutterings to come? Alas: the temporary clos...
https://apple.news/APLkcE64UQlKywpHC3ANMOA
21 days ago
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This is just wrong
26 days ago
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“Medicare increases life expectancy by about 1 year at age 65”
economics.uchicago.edu/sites/defaul...
27 days ago
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reposted by
Adam Shapiro
Mag 7 approaching 100% of the entire stock market
about 1 month ago
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youtu.be/MarBVyZVe9s?...
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Jerry Seinfeld on Halloween (Stand-up in New York)
YouTube video by MechaNikos
https://youtu.be/MarBVyZVe9s?si=4_83l3jLXmlI1cS9
about 1 month ago
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Mag 7 approaching 100% of the entire stock market
about 1 month ago
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Didn’t know this
about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Adam Shapiro
Joshua Goodman
about 1 month ago
I'd love to help make BlueSky one of the places where young scholars introduce themselves and their work to the world. If you're a PhD student whose work at least partially focuses on economics of education or education policy, reply to this thread and I'll highlight your work.
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What could go wrong?
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
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Amazon Plans to Cut Corporate Jobs Across Core Departments
Amazon.com Inc. plans to cut corporate jobs in several key departments, including logistics, payments, video games and the cloud-computing unit, according to people familiar with the matter.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-27/amazon-plans-to-cut-30-000-corporate-jobs-reuters-reports?accessToken=eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiIsInR5cCI6IkpXVCJ9.eyJzb3VyY2UiOiJTdWJzY3JpYmVyR2lmdGVkQXJ0aWNsZSIsImlhdCI6MTc2MTYwMDI1OSwiZXhwIjoxNzYyMjA1MDU5LCJhcnRpY2xlSWQiOiJUNFQwOFBHT1lNVEYwMCIsImJjb25uZWN0SWQiOiJDMjQ2MDc2RDNFQzI0N0YzODI3MThDMUYwRjdGOTIzMCJ9.1rYt6Euwpr-aRpAhLhaMEUQbyf6SzsZIR6mVJSoXr4Q
about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Adam Shapiro
Peter Thiel has $5b in his Roth IRA
www.propublica.org/article/lord...
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Lord of the Roths: How Tech Mogul Peter Thiel Turned a Retirement Account for the Middle Class Into a $5 Billion Tax-Free Piggy Bank
Roth IRAs were intended to help average working Americans save, but IRS records show Thiel and other ultrawealthy investors have used them to amass vast untaxed fortunes.
https://www.propublica.org/article/lord-of-the-roths-how-tech-mogul-peter-thiel-turned-a-retirement-account-for-the-middle-class-into-a-5-billion-dollar-tax-free-piggy-bank
about 1 month ago
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Peter Thiel has $5b in his Roth IRA
www.propublica.org/article/lord...
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Lord of the Roths: How Tech Mogul Peter Thiel Turned a Retirement Account for the Middle Class Into a $5 Billion Tax-Free Piggy Bank
Roth IRAs were intended to help average working Americans save, but IRS records show Thiel and other ultrawealthy investors have used them to amass vast untaxed fortunes.
https://www.propublica.org/article/lord-of-the-roths-how-tech-mogul-peter-thiel-turned-a-retirement-account-for-the-middle-class-into-a-5-billion-dollar-tax-free-piggy-bank
about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Adam Shapiro
You’d want to compare levels, not growth to make that claim
about 2 months ago
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about 1 month ago
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8% of 4 year olds have a smart phone 🤨
about 2 months ago
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Not sustainable
about 2 months ago
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🧐
about 2 months ago
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about 2 months ago
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🤯
about 2 months ago
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reposted by
Adam Shapiro
add a skeleton here at some point
about 2 months ago
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add a skeleton here at some point
about 2 months ago
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reposted by
Adam Shapiro
Joel Suss
about 2 months ago
Yes and it is not only due to tariffs and goods prices, services are a problem too
on.ft.com/436rURb
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US inflation being driven higher by core goods and services
[FREE TO READ] A deep dive into inflation data reveals upward pressure via supply and demand forces
https://on.ft.com/436rURb
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Adam Shapiro
Goldman at 2.8%
2 months ago
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Adam Shapiro
Economic news sentiment plunged in April during the time of tariff announcements, and has since only marginally recovered
www.frbsf.org/research-and...
2 months ago
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Economic news sentiment plunged in April during the time of tariff announcements, and has since only marginally recovered
www.frbsf.org/research-and...
2 months ago
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reposted by
Adam Shapiro
GDPNow (Atlanta Fed) is projecting Q3 growth at close to 4%
www.atlantafed.org/cqer/researc...
2 months ago
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GDPNow (Atlanta Fed) is projecting Q3 growth at close to 4%
www.atlantafed.org/cqer/researc...
2 months ago
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reposted by
Adam Shapiro
Mark Chadbourn
2 months ago
Problems now, bigger ones ahead.
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FT poll
2 months ago
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reposted by
Adam Shapiro
This is a big problem
www.nytimes.com/2025/09/25/u...
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What Declines in Reading and Math Mean for the U.S. Work Force
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/25/us/what-declines-in-reading-and-math-mean-for-the-us-work-force.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
2 months ago
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reposted by
Adam Shapiro
BlueSky not looking so good
www.pewresearch.org/journalism/f...
2 months ago
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BlueSky not looking so good
www.pewresearch.org/journalism/f...
2 months ago
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This is a big problem
www.nytimes.com/2025/09/25/u...
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What Declines in Reading and Math Mean for the U.S. Work Force
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/25/us/what-declines-in-reading-and-math-mean-for-the-us-work-force.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
2 months ago
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reposted by
Adam Shapiro
There’s been a steady decline in moving, for both renters and home owners
2 months ago
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There’s been a steady decline in moving, for both renters and home owners
2 months ago
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reposted by
Adam Shapiro
The split between twitter (X) and actual sentiment that began in mid 2024 looks like it might be permanent
2 months ago
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