wait for it

New work exploring how elite discourse shapes public views of democracy from @seaytac.bsky.social

Viktor Orbán — on the war in Ukraine: "It’s not entirely clear who attacked whom."

It took three days of work, but iteration two of my Geoeconomics & Statecraft PhD seminar is ready to launch in Spring 2026. Syllabus link: drive.google.com/file/d/1u3p6...

Your regular reminder that the Fed has a dual mandate, we should give thanks Jay Powell has taken it so seriously, & so many of his harshest & still unrepentant critics have confused their idiosyncratic personal inflation preferences with the idea that it were otherwise bsky.app/profile/mcop...

This longer-term view very much undercuts the Putin/Trump claim that “Russia has the upper hand.”

Since I'll be trading in a pair of my vintage Advent Loudspeakers over the weekend, I decided to stack them in accordance with Hi-Fi lore. My wife told me I have 24-hours before I must take this monstrosity down.

From October 2025 - Inflation and Incumbent Support: Experimental Evidence from the 2024 US Presidential Election - cup.org/3JaiZYj "priming Americans to think about inflation reduced support for the incumbent" - Selim Erdem Aytaç, @danielmcdowell.bsky.social & David A. Steinberg #OpenAccess

Europe must act now. We should use Russia’s frozen assets to provide a reparations loan that strengthens Ukraine’s ability to defend itself. This is fair, feasible and urgent. Leaders of 🇫🇮🇪🇪🇱🇻🇱🇹🇸🇪🇵🇱🇮🇪 to 🇪🇺 in the name of 🇺🇦

"Tariff" has one R and two Fs "Terrific" has two Rs and one F. That is all.

From this a.m. on the talks in Florida, as they were starting. Not much optimism from me, and a suggestion that the US needs a different strategy.

my most dad-core belief is that the IRA should have been called the Defeat Inflation Program (DIP) so that it better paired with the other signature Biden policy -- the CHIPS act.

I realize this is not the sophisticated opinion but: Wonderful Christmastime is legitimately a top five Christmas song, in my book. It's catchy and fun. It makes me happy every time I hear it. I love the synthesizer. I love the overdubbed vocals. When the song comes on, I turn up the volume. 1/2

We used to have nice things

Republicans increasingly oppose requiring healthy kids to get MMR vaccines to attend public schools 2016 19% 2019 20% 2023 42% 2025 47% www.pewresearch.org/science/2025... 🧪

There are too many alternate uniforms in sports.

US stocks are feeling very iffy. We're only down 5% from the all-time high in October, but the narrative around the AI boom has definitely changed. I'm getting more and more questions if Fed rate cuts can bail out the market, which tells you something... robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/can-the-fe...

Cool research!

That's 100% a goaltend. www.youtube.com/watch?v=EiTq...

Great headline. Echoing the famous Clausewitz witticism: "The aggressor is always peace-loving; he would prefer to take over our country unopposed."

"Hear me out now."

We're the sidekick. As I said to @juliaradio.bsky.social and Anthony Kuhn "What America does is part of the story—it's not the main part of the story, it's a cute side character. #China is now the main character in the story of fighting #climatechange." www.npr.org/2025/11/18/n...

Stardate 2003

Like it or not this technology is here to stay and if you don’t use it you’ll fall behind in your industry

If you like Death by Lightning... The Garfield Memorial @ Lake View Cemetery in Cleveland, OH, is stunning, befitting a great man (it also provides a lovely panoramic view of the city) I hope the show means more people visit this special place. Afterward, go to Presti's bakery for treats.

I'm old enough to remember when tariffs didn't raise prices. 😀

Sisypheus hauling services. You’ll keep calling us back.

Levada Center Russia survey: "Would you be more likely to approve or disapprove if a member of your family or loved one signed a contract to participate in the special military operation?" May 23: 52% approve, 41% disapprove Apr 24: 47% app, 44% dis Oct 24: 40% app, 42% dis Oct 25: 30% app, 55% dis

Evidence that new US sanctions on Russian oil are starting to bite: "China's state oil companies and some Indian refiners are avoiding buying Russian oil due to concerns about falling foul of secondary sanctions." Link: www.msn.com/en-us/money/...

Imagine being told in 1987 that this headline would exist in 2025

Brazilian beef is tariffed at 76.4%

What's the best use of a saxophone in a rock song? I'll start. www.youtube.com/watch?v=AKiV...

Reminder that China wants to be a gold hub because it has absolutely no desire for the RMB to rival or replace the dollar as the dominant international reserve currency, since that would require it to reverse literally every one of its macroeconomic policies: bsky.app/profile/mcop...

Cambodia will be the first country to store gold reserves in China. www.businesstimes.com.sg/internationa...

There's never been a baseball game that did not involve my team that I've thought about the following day as much as that game last night.

Poor Toronto. Man.

I've had at least three heart attacks in the last 5 minutes.

I just can't with this WS right now!

Am I the only one who loves watching Ohtani pitch with dirt all over his uniform from running the bases?

Pro-China propaganda posts are especially prevalent recently, so here's a quick reminder that Russia's war machine would have collapsed long ago were it not for all the help Russia gets from China. Putin is just Beijing's stooge. It's really China that's waging war on Western Europe via Ukraine...

If you're in need of positive and rather wholesome news, there's a high school teacher named Bryan who took a ton of freely licensed celebrity headshots at the New York Film Festival last month for Wikipedia, and I truly can't believe how drastic the upgrade is for some articles (thread)

Russia's budget deficit will be even larger this year and could reach 3.5% of GDP. The recent budget correction assumes 42.8 trillion RUB expenditure, but Q4 would have to be historically frugal to achieve that target. After Q3, already 72% of the plan was spent. 66% is normal.

An absolutely brutal way to lose G6 for Toronto there.

Chinese goods are flooding global markets. There's countless examples. Congo is just an extreme one. This trade diversion shows how hard US tariffs have hit China. The way to exploit this vulnerability is to gradually ratchet up tariffs, not the current back and forth that makes the US look weak...

I worked a 6-7 into my grad seminar today so I consider it a successful semester

If you grew up as an NBA fan in the 90s like me, this is like putting on your favorite old pair of jeans. It just feels right.

Tried to watch a Wemby highlight on here and my computer crashed. That tracks.

lol