One of the delights of fall is getting my coats out again and finding fun stuff in the pockets. It’s like little gifts from the past! 🎟️🍬💵

Our grad students are in the Halloween spirit @ndecon.bsky.social

this rocks. when indiana edu killed the student newspaper, Purdue stepped up, printed the forbidden issue, drove it to Bloomington and stocked the boxes.

Happy to have the chance to set the record straight, alongside one of the best in the biz @karenguzzo.bsky.social

Yesterday's IVF press conference was full of inaccurate claims. @kaseybuckles.bsky.social and I try to correct some of those claims in this @newsweek.com piece.

RFK Jr says something stupid and now I have to spend part of my morning saying that no, girls aren’t hitting puberty six years earlier 🙄 (and anyway, wouldn’t that increase fertility rates?)

Mike Johnson has now had the House adjourned for 72 of the last 84 days. Epstein Shutdown.

The Economic Demography Workshop will be on May 6, at the PAAs in St. Louis. See the call for papers 👇 Thanks to co-chairs @hnmansour.bsky.social & @mguldi.bsky.social !

My old Reds Cabbage Patch doll (Barth Willie) is very happy today

New CSWEP newsletter focused on visibility in the economics profession: Christine Exley on self-promotion, Olga Stoddard on professional visibility, Corinne Low on public scholarship and how to write and publish a trade press book, Khoa Vu on social media and its professional uses.

Senior Economics major Andrew Brooks is a drum major with the Notre Dame Band. Yesterday, he brought his mace to class and let Prof. Kasey Buckles @kaseybuckles.bsky.social hold it!

Huh an awful lot of rhetoric shifted from Old Testament to New Testament over the past few hours

Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook won a round in federal court in her bid to keep her job despite President Trump's effort to fire her.

🎂🎉 Lucky 13 is William Cockriel's fascinating paper on the introduction of the McKay stitcher, which dramatically changed shoe production in the late 19th century. Using the Census Tree, he shows that the most exposed shoemakers and their children lost 2.2 and 1.9 years of wages, respectively.

rule of law Rule of law Rule of Law Rule of Law! RULE OF LAW!!! Still alive in many lower federal courts. #EconSky www.theguardian.com/business/202...

We're back at it with Day 12 🎂🎉: In his job market paper, Dongkyu Yang uses the Census Tree to create the shift-share IVs for his investigation into the role of labor scarcity in facilitating capital-augmenting technical change in the American South during the Second Great Migration (1940-1970).

US Open rolls over, adding themselves to a growing, embarrassing list. And he’s only there because Rolex is trying to get special treatment on tariffs.

Census Tree Bday Celebration 🎂🎉Day 11: Ager & Malein use the Census Tree to show that early 20th century charity nurseries w/kindergarten instruction significantly improved children’s educational attainment & long-run economic outcomes, especially for disadvantaged immigrant children.

For Day 10🎂🎉 I'll share work by a team that includes PhD student @adrianhaws.bsky.social--one of my awesome collaborators in building the Census Tree They exploit quasi-random oil discoveries in early 20thC OK to document large long-run benefits from parental wealth shocks for both daughters & sons

Census Tree birthday party Day 9 🎂🎉: @withrowjenny.bsky.social uses the Census Tree to explore the roles of race & gender in migrant selection & sorting during the exodus of single young people from U.S. Southern farms from 1900-1940. Female migration rates ⬆️ in response to ⬇️ male marriageability.

The Census Tree is turning 2! 🎂🎉Our links allow researchers to follow people through the 1850-1940 US censuses. To celebrate, I'll be featuring a paper each day that uses the Census Tree in its empirical work. If you have a paper you think I should know about, contact us at censustree.org/contact👇

We took Labor Day off, but we're back with Day 8 of the Census Tree's bday celebration!🎂🎉 Bazzi et al. find that frontier exposure entrenched inegalitarian conservative gender norms in the U.S., leading to long-run decreases in female labor force & political participation & higher fertility rates.

It’s Day 7! 🎂🎉 @jacobvanecon.bsky.social‬ uses the Census Tree to show that individuals exposed to the Galveston Hurricane of 1900 were less geographically mobile, had shorter lifespans, and were less likely to be literate, with some of these effects persisting across generations.

For Day 6 🎂🎉 I bring you Clay & Schmick, who use the Census Tree in their paper showing that the boll weevil’s damage to cotton production reduced labor market frictions in the American South, significantly increasing the long-run wages of Black sons born after the shock. www.nber.org/papers/w27101

For Day 5 of the Census Tree’s bday celebration 🎂🎉 we bring you @econzach.bsky.social & Priti Kalsi’s work on wealth in the Gilded Age. While they find substantial turnover at the very top, descendants of the extremely wealthy were much more likely to reach the top 1% of the wealth distribution.

Without CT we couldn’t have written the paper!

The 4th entry in our Census Tree celebration 🎂🎉 is @guoxu.bsky.social & team's work that uses the CT to show that sudden ⬆️ in female public sector employment during WWI ⬆️ LFP among daughters of civil servants, suggesting that “temporary shocks can give rise to persistent changes in societal norms.”

It's Day 3 of the Census Tree's bday celebration 🎂🎉! @danielavidart.bsky.social revisits the link between electrification & fertility, and finds that electrification efforts in the US account for 3.1% of the fertility decline from 1900-1940 due to the increase in the opportunity cost of children.

Please join me in signing and sharing:

For Day 2 of our celebration of work using the Census Tree we highlight @lukestein.com & co's work on the gendered impacts of perceived skin tone. They find that among African Amer. sisters, women perceived to be darker-skinned were disadvantaged. *They also cite a great QJE pub by Lisa Cook et al*

Just received this statement from Lisa Cook: "President Trump purported to fire me 'for cause' when no cause exists under the law, and he has no authority to do so. I will not resign. I will continue to carry out my duties to help the American economy as I have been doing since 2022."

Love to see it! If you’d like to learn more about @aeacswep.bsky.social’s peer mentoring program, go to cswepmentoring.org

The fantastic Atlanta Workshop on Public Policy & Child Well-being is now accepting paper submissions! 👇 Thanks to the organizers @lindsbullinger.bsky.social @danieldench1.bsky.social

Your periodic reminder that this account is a must-follow 👇

Using data on 2.5 million great-grandchildren linked to great-grandfathers (1850–1940) to find strong economic persistence across 4 generations, from Zachary Ward, @kaseybuckles.bsky.social, and Joseph Price https://www.nber.org/papers/w33923

New @nber.org working paper from our colleague Kasey Buckles @kaseybuckles.bsky.social (along with Joe Price and Zach Ward), "Grandchild? Multigenerational Mobility in American History." Check it out: www.nber.org/papers/w33923

The opioid epidemic fueled economic hardship and a political shift. Areas hit hardest saw rising Republican support, from Carolina Arteaga and Victoria Barone https://www.nber.org/papers/w33904

Looking for a PhD fellowship in family demography? We are looking for candidates with a strong quantitative background and interest in men’s fertility and family participation. Reach out to Vegard or me if you have questions.

It is 100% carrying water for the opposition to participate in this collective delusion that Dems for some reason need to answer for every teen who throws a rock rather than hold the Trump admin accountable for intentionally creating chaos and breaking the law to stoke violence. They are in charge.

I cannot believe this Oklahoma-Texas Tech softball game

CSWEP Now Accepting Applications: 2025 Mentoring Workshop for Women & Non-Binary Econ PhD Students. The workshop will be held in person on Friday, November 21st in Tampa, FL. Applications are due Friday, July 18th, 2025. For more information, please visit the link: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

This is very exciting news for @notredame.bsky.social and for all in our college. Looking forward to welcoming Dr. Scheve back home! news.nd.edu/news/kenneth...

I mean it couldn’t fucking matter less whether Trump does something to benefit the Qataris, thought he already has and certainly will again. What matters is that the actual Constitution — not some obscure law — flatly explains that he cannot accept a nice fountain pen much less a fucking airplane.

Happen to be in Kenya watching the pope announcement with a bunch of @notredame.bsky.social colleagues and you can see that they were shooketh

Last week, we hosted a poster session for our 25+ undergraduate majors who completed an honors thesis. We are incredibly proud of our students for their accomplishments and deeply grateful to their faculty mentors. Special kudos to @kaseybuckles.bsky.social, who runs our honors workshop

cc: Judge Xinis

Congratulations to our outstanding graduate student, Haley Wilbert, on winning an Outstanding Graduate Student Teaching Award.

Recently talked with @ineteconomics.bsky.social about the mobility of scientists and why it matters for economic progress - and whether the U.S. will continue to be the magnet for scientific talent it has been in the past. 👩🏽‍🔬 🔬 🌎 One pattern we discussed -- Nobel Prize winners:

We are very proud of our graduate student, Henry Downes, winner of this year's Shaheen Award in the Social Sciences @notredame.bsky.social. Henry is going to the University of Georgia as an assistant professor next year. graduateschool.nd.edu/news/graduat...