Carl Schleussner
@carlschleussner.bsky.social
📤 1913
📥 141
📝 185
Climate Scientist at
@iiasa.ac.at
and Humboldt Universität zu Berlin Views are my own.
reposted by
Carl Schleussner
Prof Friederike Otto
23 days ago
In the world we live in today, that is 1.3C warmer due to our continued burning of fossil fuels, the extreme rainfall leading to disastrous flooding in many parts of Asia is up to 50 to 160% more intense - new
@wwattribution.bsky.social
study
www.worldweatherattribution.org/increasing-h...
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Carl Schleussner
Daniel Huppmann
about 1 month ago
Zum Abschluss der
#COP30
hat die
@wienerzeitung.at
mehrere Expert:innen um Antworten auf die drängenden Fragen gebeten: Klimaangst, soziale Dimension der Emissionen und Auswirkungen, Rahmenbedingungen & Strukturen, das Pariser Klimaabkommen, Handlungsoptionen...
#WissenSchafftKlimaschutz
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Was von der COP30 bleibt: Expert:innen zu drängenden Fragen rund um das Klima | WZ • Wiener Zeitung
Abschluss der 30. Weltklimakonferenz: Expert:innen zu drängenden Fragen rund um das Klima
https://www.wienerzeitung.at/a/es-gibt-nach-wie-vor-eine-ganze-welt-zu-gewinnen
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Carl Schleussner
Inga Menke
about 2 months ago
⚖️ Are you working on topics that could be relevant for climate litigation? ➡️ Submit an abstract to our outreach session (which allows you to submit a second abstract)
#EGU26
meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU26/sessio...
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A fantastic effort from the
@carbonbrief.org
team pulling this together. A great resource summarising major outcomes and process at COP30. A must read 👇👇👇 And just a day after the gavel came down. Impressive. I bet next year, they'll beat the COP closing plenary :)
add a skeleton here at some point
about 1 month ago
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Carl Schleussner
Peter Pfleiderer
about 1 month ago
2025 was again a severe
#hurricane
season with 4 major hurricanes (3 cat 5 hurricanes). In terms of accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) it was slightly above a normal season. Seasonal forecasts (including ours 🥳) predicted the ACE well this year 💪
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Carl Schleussner
IIASA
about 2 months ago
Against the backdrop of negotiations at
#COP30
, leading climate scientists have released the Búzios Scientific Statement, offering a clear assessment of the world’s remaining options to return to 1.5°C of warming by the end of the century. 🔗
iiasa.ac.at/news/nov-202...
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Carl Schleussner
Daniel Huppmann
about 2 months ago
Búzios Scientific Statement 100 climate researchers, coordinated by
@pik-potsdam.bsky.social
&
@iiasa.ac.at
, released a joint statement to inform the
#COP30
negotiations and provide guidance on difficult but doable global efforts designed to limit dangerous overshoot of 1.5°C as much as possible.
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Búzios Scientific Statement.pdf
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ofMwRM4BeTovfSdthsO5v_9I5x3xShMU/view
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There's an science statement that emerged from this weeks IAMC conference in Buzios, Brasil 5 key insights including 2035 benchmarks for GHG and fossil fuel reductions, PV+Solar upscaling Check it out here:
drive.google.com/file/d/1ofMw...
Open for sign-up here:
forms.gle/FPrV3w6cMu8h...
about 2 months ago
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Carl Schleussner
Claire Fyson
about 2 months ago
Check out the IEA NZE here
tinyurl.com/2ctf7mrx
(but ignore the unrealistic-zombie-nightmare (CPS) scenario) For a nice comparison, see this new high ambition pathway by
@climateanalytics.org
and the REMIND team at
@pik-potsdam.bsky.social
-
tinyurl.com/y9m8z8jk
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Rescuing 1.5°C: new evidence on the highest possible ambition to…
This study shows that, even after years of insufficient action, the world can still return to well below 1.5°C of warming this century if countries pursue the “highest possible ambition” in climate ac...
https://climateanalytics.org/publications/rescuing-1-5c
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Climate emulators are a great tool to explore a wide range of possible climate futures. Here comes MERCURY - utilising the power of image-compression-based techniques for memory-efficient emulation. Fantastic work led by
@shrutinath97.bsky.social
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...
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MERCURY: A Fast and Versatile Multi‐Resolution Based Global Emulator of Compound Climate Hazards
Climate model emulators traditionally generate global fields amounting to Peta-Bytes of data We introduce the emulator MERCURY, that employs a lifting scheme based on image compression techniques...
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2024MS004905
about 2 months ago
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Excellent compilation of viewpoints in
@natclimate.nature.com
on the Paris Agreement Articles. Honoured to have contributed together with a fantastic group of experts. 👇👇👇
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about 2 months ago
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Carl Schleussner
Joeri Rogelj
about 2 months ago
Stories abound these days showing that global warming exceeding 1.5C is now part of science's best estimate. What does that mean for the
#ParisAgreement
1.5C goal? A good time to revive a thread about a piece we wrote earlier this year on this topic in
@science.org
👇🌍🌡️
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reposted by
Carl Schleussner
Grantham Institute - Climate Change and the Environment
about 2 months ago
COP30: Study reveals “highest possible ambition” for countries' climate pledges With COP30 kicking off on Monday, a new paper by Julia Schönfeld and Professor Joeri Rogelj provides a framework for assessing countries’ climate pledges 🧵 Learn more:
ow.ly/CiB050XnMK2
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COP30: Study reveals “highest possible ambition” for countries' climate pledges | Imperial News | Imperial College London
A new study, for the first time, shows how the ‘highest possible ambition’ of countries' climate pledges can be assessed.
https://ow.ly/CiB050XnMK2
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reposted by
Carl Schleussner
Kai Kornhuber
about 2 months ago
Excited to announce our
#EGU26
session on Climate Risk Assessment for Finance & Insurance Sectors with
@mattpriestley.bsky.social
A. Ciullo
@hcbloomfield19.bsky.social
@natalieslord.bsky.social
meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU26/sessio...
@iiasa.ac.at
@riskkan.bsky.social
@lamont.columbia.edu
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reposted by
Carl Schleussner
Yann Quilcaille
2 months ago
I'm proud to be part of the 2025
#TIME100Climate
list of influential leaders. Link to the full list of 2025
#TIME100Climate
time.com/collections/...
Link to my page in the 2025
#TIME100Climate
time.com/collections/...
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Yann Quilcaille: The 100 Most Influential Climate Leaders of 2025
Find out why Yann Quilcaille is on TIME's 2025 list of the 100 most influential leaders driving business climate action.
https://time.com/collections/time-100-climate-2025/7326540/yann-quilcaille/
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reposted by
Carl Schleussner
Emily Theokritoff
2 months ago
This is how climate injustice unfolds. There is both an economic logic to cutting emissions now & a moral imperative to rapidly scale up international finance for loss and damage and adaptation in the most vulnerable countries.
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Really important paper led by my
@iiasa.ac.at
colleague Alex Nauels
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
“The difference between decisive climate action today and continued high emissions is not just measured in degrees of warming but also in meters of sea-level rise” 👏👏👏
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Multi-century global and regional sea-level rise commitments from cumulative greenhouse gas emissions in the coming decades - Nature Climate Change
It is important to understand how much long-term sea-level rise is already committed due to historical and near-term emissions. Here the authors use a modelling framework to show how decisions on glob...
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-025-02452-5
2 months ago
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reposted by
Carl Schleussner
IIASA
2 months ago
New research shows that near-term mitigation could spare future generations around 0.6 meters of sea-level rise caused by emissions between 2020 and 2090, making today’s decisions critical not only for limiting warming but also for coastal impacts. 🔗
iiasa.ac.at/news/oct-202...
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reposted by
Carl Schleussner
Climate Analytics
2 months ago
The world’s largest fossil fuel and cement companies should shoulder a major share of the investment needed to develop carbon removal technologies, according to a new peer-reviewed study in
@climate-policy.bsky.social
.
#carbonmajors
#CDR
#climatepolicy
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The responsibility of investor-owned carbon majors to contribute to direct air carbon capture and storage investment
Carbon dioxide removal (CDR) options are critical for achieving global climate objectives. Yet, many proposed removal technologies are in their formative phase. Significant near-term investments ar...
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14693062.2025.2557230
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reposted by
Carl Schleussner
Fridays for Future Germany
2 months ago
Merz & Co wollen die EU-Klimaziele aufweichen?! Nicht mit uns 😡 In einem offenen Brief mit Wissenschaftler*innen fordern wir die Bundesregierung jetzt auf, sich für ein starkes Ziel von mind. 90% Reduktion bis 2040 einzusetzen & nicht noch zu verzögern! 👉
fridaysforfuture.de/offener-brie...
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reposted by
Carl Schleussner
Daniel Huppmann
3 months ago
🎙️
#EditionZukunft
@derstandard.at
Über das Konzept
#Overshoot
und die Dringlichkeit rascher Reduktion unserer Treibhausgas-Emissionen zur Minimierung der Risiken durch die Erderhitzung.
@carlschleussner.bsky.social
vom
@iiasa.ac.at
im Gespräch mit
@philippramer.at
#WissenSchafftKlimaschutz
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Wie sich das 1,5-Grad-Klimaziel noch retten lässt
Klimaforscher Carl-Friedrich Schleußner erklärt, warum wir nur mehr in der zweit- oder drittbesten Welt leben – und wie sich CO2 aus der Atmosphäre holen lässt
https://www.derstandard.at/story/3100000291374/wie-sich-das-15-grad-klimaziel-noch-retten-laesst
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Der
@derstandard.at
hat unserer Overshoot Konferenz noch ein längeres Interview gewidmet 👇👇👇
www.derstandard.at/story/310000...
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derStandard.at
https://derStandard.at/Wissenschaft
3 months ago
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Carl Schleussner
IIASA
3 months ago
📰 Your evening read on the IIASA
#OvershootConference
:
@carlschleussner.bsky.social
tells
@carbonbrief.org
that the scientific community is only just “beginning to appreciate” the need to understand & quantify how different overshoot pathways affect adaptation.
www.carbonbrief.org/overshoot-ex...
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Overshoot: Exploring the implications of meeting 1.5C climate goal ‘from above’ - Carbon Brief
The first-ever international conference on the contentious topic of “overshoot” was held last week in...
https://www.carbonbrief.org/overshoot-exploring-the-implications-of-meeting-1-5c-climate-goal-from-above/
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reposted by
Carl Schleussner
Carbon Brief
3 months ago
NEW – Experts: The key ‘unknowns’ of overshooting the 1.5C global-warming limit |
@ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org
and
@rtmcswee.carbonbrief.org
Read here:
buff.ly/yPWMH59
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Experts: The key ‘unknowns’ of overshooting the 1.5C global-warming limit - Carbon Brief
On the sidelines of a conference, Carbon Brief asked a range of experts what they consider to be the key “unknowns” around overshoot.
https://buff.ly/yPWMH59
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reposted by
Carl Schleussner
Robert McSweeney
3 months ago
Last week,
@ceciliakeating.carbonbrief.org
and I attended the first-ever conference on climate "overshoot" in Vienna. Here's our summary of the wide-ranging discussions. (Bearing in mind we were two journalists covering 8 conference themes...!)
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Super comprehensive report on our @iiasa.ac.at overshoot conference by
@carbonbrief.org
. Great summary and overview on some of the central discussion points. Check it out👇👇👇
www.carbonbrief.org/overshoot-ex...
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Overshoot: Exploring the implications of meeting 1.5C climate goal ‘from above’ - Carbon Brief
The first-ever international conference on the contentious topic of “overshoot” was held last week in...
https://www.carbonbrief.org/overshoot-exploring-the-implications-of-meeting-1-5c-climate-goal-from-above/
3 months ago
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reposted by
Carl Schleussner
IIASA
3 months ago
✨ The reflections sent a powerful message: overshoot is not just a scientific scenario, it is a lived reality that compounds risks, deepens inequities, & raises questions of justice. Responding requires courage, collaboration, & commitment across all levels of society. ℹ️
overshootconference.org
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Overshoot |
https://overshootconference.org/
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reposted by
Carl Schleussner
A&W Blog
3 months ago
In Ö entfallen mehr als 50 % der
#Treibhausgase
auf die obersten 10 %. 🏭💨 Höchste Zeit, Reiche und Konzerne stärker in die Pflicht zu nehmen, meinen
@nicolasprinz.bsky.social
,
@sixev4.bsky.social
& Judith Derndorfer:
www.awblog.at/klima-energi...
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reposted by
Carl Schleussner
IIASA
3 months ago
🧵 As the
#OvershootConference
drew to a close today, the final plenary offered a space to step back and reflect across themes. What stood out was both the urgency and interconnectedness of the challenges we face when confronting climate overshoot:
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reposted by
Carl Schleussner
IIASA
3 months ago
🎭 Science met art at the
#OvershootConference
today through various science-art performances. Gloria Benedikt's performative lecture, and works by the et art. collective, Mehrta Shirzadian, Lea Aigner, and Rosalie Arendt, brought new perspectives to the overshoot challenge
vimeo.com/1119056369/0...
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The Road Not Taken (so far)
Trailer for the performative lecture taking place at the 1st Overshoot Conference on October 1st, 2pm. A performative lecture is a lecture based on an academic paper…
https://vimeo.com/1119056369/020ca8b9e4?share=copy
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reposted by
Carl Schleussner
IIASA
3 months ago
The third and final day of the
#OvershootConference
kicked off with an insightful report-back and reflection session, where theme leads shared insights from their discussions so far. See insights from discussions on Day 2 in the thread below:
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Carl Schleussner
IIASA
3 months ago
Day 2 of the
#OvershootConference
started with a report back & reflection session followed by plenaries, panels, and parallel sessions exploring critical questions around the core conference themes. Stay tuned for highlights, quotes, and snapshots! ℹ️
overshootconference.org
@climateworks.org
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reposted by
Carl Schleussner
IIASA
3 months ago
🎤 Dr. Jimmy Fletcher, Former Minister of Saint Lucia and Founder of the Caribbean Climate Justice Project, delivered powerful remarks during a social dinner at the close of Day 1 of the
#OvershootConference
: “Overshoot might be a phase but never a future we accept.”
@carlschleussner.bsky.social
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Carl Schleussner
IIASA
3 months ago
🌍 The first international
#OvershootConference
kicked off at IIASA today with an inspiring plenary session that set the tone for an important week of dialogue on pathways beyond overshoot.
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Carl Schleussner
Daniel Huppmann
3 months ago
Starting today: 🌍 First international conference on
#ClimateOvershoot
at
#IIASAVienna
! 📅 30 Sep–2 Oct 📍Laxenburg, Austria 🇦🇹 As we edge closer to the 1.5 °C limit, understanding the implications for mitigation, adaptation limits and climate justice has never been more urgent.
@iiasa.ac.at
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First ever international conference on climate overshoot at IIASA
As global temperatures approach the 1.5°C threshold, understanding the risks of climate overshoot has become an urgent scientific and policy challenge. From 30 September to 2 October 2025, IIASA will ...
https://iiasa.ac.at/news/sep-2025/first-ever-international-conference-on-climate-overshoot-at-iiasa
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reposted by
Carl Schleussner
IOPP Environment and Energy
3 months ago
🌍New
#ERL
focus collection on
#climate
#overshoot
is open! Linked to @iiasa.ac.at Overshoots conference in Vienna this week. ERL Publisher Lauren Carter will be attending, email to discuss a contribution:
[email protected]
📅Deadline: 30 April 2026 🔗
iopscience.iop.org/collections/...
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Less than 24hrs until the conference starts and our last podcast is out (in time for those of you travelling to Vienna):
overshootconference.org/the-overshoo...
The fantastic Lavanya Rajamani from
@ox.ac.uk
speaks about Legal and Justice Implications of Overshoot. Don't miss it 🎧
add a skeleton here at some point
3 months ago
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Grand Finale for the Overshoot Conference Podcast: Episode 8 is out on Loss & Damage with Sindra Sharma from
@canpacificislands.bsky.social
open.spotify.com/episode/5eTn...
AND: registration for the livestream of the plenary sessions is open now:
overshootconference.org/registration/
add a skeleton here at some point
3 months ago
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And Episode 7 is online. Kristie L. Ebi speaks about: Adaptation and Adaptation Limits under Overshoot. A perspective all too often missed when we discuss climate overshoot, so make sure to tune in:
overshootconference.org/the-overshoo...
open.spotify.com/episode/6p0k...
add a skeleton here at some point
3 months ago
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Carl Schleussner
Ben Sanderson
3 months ago
Sorry, but disagree with
@hausfath.bsky.social
here. You open Pandora's box, you ain't closing it again. We've already seen with Paris that well intentioned international agreements do not translate into physical reality and SRM governance is a much harder problem. Zero is the only safe level. /1
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In time for the weekend. Episode 6 🎧 Jonathan Donges from
@pik-potsdam.bsky.social
speaks about Overshoot Legacy and Tipping Elements. Don't miss it 👇👇👇
overshootconference.org/the-overshoo...
and here:
open.spotify.com/episode/11F3...
add a skeleton here at some point
4 months ago
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Episode 5 is online. Honoured to have Debra Roberts, former
@ipcc.bsky.social
AR6 WG2 Co-Chair, to speak about "Climate impact (ir)reversibility" 🎧
overshootconference.org/the-overshoo...
and here:
open.spotify.com/episode/2JBt...
add a skeleton here at some point
4 months ago
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reposted by
Carl Schleussner
Prof Friederike Otto
4 months ago
The summer is over - and for about 16,600 people across 854 European cities that doesn't mean autumn comes, but death. People who would still be alive if it wasn't for our burning of fossil fuels. - New study with
@lshtm.bsky.social
www.imperial.ac.uk/grantham/pub...
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reposted by
Carl Schleussner
Bob Berwyn
4 months ago
For decades, there has been a highly organized war on science in the U.S., mainly funded by fossil fuel companies, and their propaganda is now official government policy.
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Top US Energy Official Lobbies for Fossil Fuels in Europe - Inside Climate News
European climate experts say the pro-fossil fuel arguments are based on climate disinformation.
https://insideclimatenews.org/news/09092025/energy-secretary-chris-wright-fossil-fuels-europe/
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And the episodes keep coming. Now online Episode 4 with Deliang Chen from Tsinghua University talking about "Earth System responses up to net zero and beyond" Don't miss it. 👇👇👇
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4 months ago
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Carl Schleussner
Nature
4 months ago
Nearly one-quarter of heatwaves would have been ‘virtually impossible’ without global warming — and can be attributed to the emissions of individual energy producers
go.nature.com/3Kir39u
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Dozens of heatwaves linked to carbon emissions from specific companies
Nature - Nearly one-quarter of heatwaves would have been ‘virtually impossible’ without global warming — and can be attributed to the emissions of individual energy producers.
https://go.nature.com/3Kir39u
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Carl Schleussner
Yann Quilcaille
4 months ago
🚨 Important paper in Nature: "Systematic attribution of heatwaves to the emissions of carbon majors".
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
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Systematic attribution of heatwaves to the emissions of carbon majors - Nature
Climate change made 213 historical heatwaves reported over 2000–2023 more likely and more intense, to which each of the 180 carbon majors (fossil fuel and cement producers) substantially contributed.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-025-09450-9
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Carl Schleussner
Prof. Sonia I Seneviratne
4 months ago
Hot off the press: We can provide for the first time a systematic attribution of recent
#heatwaves
to the emissions of
#carbon_majors
. Essential new
#Nature
article coordinated by
@yannquilcaille.bsky.social
at
@ethz.ch
, with numerous contributors
@usyseth.bsky.social
:
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
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https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-025-09450-9
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And here comes Overshoot Podcast number 3 🎧.
@iiasa.ac.at
's Keywan Riahi talks about Carbon Dioxide Removal: Sustainability Constraints and Opportunities:
overshootconference.org/the-overshoo...
and here:
open.spotify.com/episode/4yPi...
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4 months ago
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Carl Schleussner
Rupert Stuart-Smith
4 months ago
Out now: our new study shows that climate change caused nearly 1,700 heat-related deaths in Zürich over 50 years. We assessed the effects of changing vulnerability to heat, heat-mortality within and outside of heatwaves, and the contribution of individual companies' emissions to heat deaths.
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