To keep track of the rapidly growing field of attribution research, Carbon Brief has mapped every published study on how climate change has influenced extreme weather. Explore the interactive map here ⬇️ interactive.carbonbrief.org/attribution-...

In our new paper in Science Advances, we show that AI-based forecasting models are not yet very good at predicting record-breaking events

Physics-based models outperform AI weather forecasts of record-breaking extremes www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

Extreme Klimafolgen sind auch bei 2 Grad Erwärmung möglich! Das zeigt eine Studie von #UFZ et al. Bislang wurden extreme Klimafolgen oft mit sehr hohen globalen Erwärmungsniveaus von 3 oder 4°C in Verbindung gebracht... @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social @bevacquae.bsky.social www.ufz.de/index.php?de...

NEW – Limiting global warming to 2C would not ‘rule out’ extreme impacts | @ayeshatandon.carbonbrief.org w/ comment from @bevacquae.bsky.social @erichfischer.bsky.social Read here: buff.ly/xRDSktf

Extreme global climate outcomes are possible even at 2°C of warming In our new Nature study led by @bevacquae.bsky.social with Jakob Zscheischler and @janasillmann.bsky.social, we show that even moderate warming of 2°C could lead to extreme outcomes. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Dürren und Starkregen könnten in Zukunft noch heftiger ausfallen als bislang angenommen, auch wenn die Welt das Zwei-Grad-Ziel schafft. Experten fordern deshalb neue Anpassungen und sagen, warum schon 2027 ein neuer Hitzerekord droht.

We are hiring: 4 PhD Positions in Ecology / Data Science and one Ecological Data Scientist. For more information, see www.uni-regensburg.de/universitaet...

Two exciting postdoc positions available! Historical windstorms - working with two insurance companies to explore UK wind risks: jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai... Extreme event storylines - working as part of a EU collaboration on event attribution: jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...

So, I hate to be this guy, but as the director of Yale’s new program on attribution science (!?), uh, most of the commentary on Bluesky about Hurricane Melissa and climate change has been… not quite right

This is a good corrective to the BS narrative flowing through the Pielke/AEI/NYP/EID/DOE nexus. Their argument is designed so that we can never ever attribute extreme events to emissions - even singular events that would have *never* [for some suitable finite approximation] have happened before.

Herzlichen Glückwunsch! Eine sehr verdiente Auszeichnung für eine herausragende Wissenschaftlerin und ausgezeichnete Mentorin!

I had an engagement with blogger, failed California gubernatorial candidate, and self-identified reporter Michael Shellenberger this past week, which started out being about this new paper being heralded by climate skeptics as disproving global sea-level acceleration. (LONG 🧵)

Our new study on how large floods will change in Europe under climate change, led by @bfang.bsky.social, with @bevacquae.bsky.social

I am looking for a Postdoc to join my team at @climate.columbia.edu and NASA GISS. We will be working with Corteva Agrisceince and advance our understanding of historical and future crop breeding using crop models. Exciting and ambitious, please share! academic.careers.columbia.edu#!/168193

Numerical weather prediction models (ECMWF IFS) still outperform AI weather models in forecasting record-breaking hot and cold extremes and unseen wind extremes Preprint arxiv.org/abs/2508.15724 with Zhongwei Zhang @erichfischer.bsky.social @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social and Sebastian Engelke

🏅Outstanding Publication! What if #ExtremeFloods are driven by compounding factors? Using #LightGBM + #SHAP to quantify how rainfall, soil moisture, snowpack & temperature interact, this study reveals "The Secret Network of Extreme Floods" 🔗: https://scads.ai/the-secret-network-of-extreme-floods/

To what extent does human-induced climate change contribute to global extreme wildfires? In our latest study, we quantified the contribution of human-induced climate change to over 700 observed extreme wildfires globally. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

On International Firefighters’ Day, happy to share our latest research about challenges in international firefighting cooperation due to increasing fire weather season overlap between Australia and North America. doi.org/10.1029/2024...

Transdisciplinary coordination is essential for advancing agricultural modelling with machine learning. The opportunities are great, but to avoid pitfalls, we need to establish benchmarks, evaluation criteria and best practices. Our perspective: www.cell.com/one-earth/fu... @cp-oneearth.bsky.social

#Klimawandel erhöht das Risiko gleichzeitiger Waldbrände, zeigen deutsche und australische Forschende in ihrer Studie. Die sog. Feuerwetter überlappen sich zunehmend und erschweren so staatenübergreifende Hilfe. #UFZ @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social @afsribeiro.bsky.social www.ufz.de/index.php?de...

🎺 #job alert: Are you interested in #Biodiversity and #Health linkages? Come and work with us in our lab at @ufz.de @idiv-research.bsky.social apply online via UFZ recruitment portal until 18 May 2025 👇 lnkd.in/eQmcKDQU

Our 2024 climate chronicles have just been published! Check out the Collection: www.nature.com/collections/... Thread below details all articles and their take-home messages. [1/n]

Looking for a new postdoc position in climate? Help us build a reanalysis-based storyline approach to consider how individual extreme events and their impacts are altered in different climates. Based in Edinburgh as part of collaborative project: elxw.fa.em3.oraclecloud.com/hcmUI/Candid...

If someone would like to do a postdoc with me on the Stanford campus aimed at thinking about allocation of resources across different domains (climate, environment, food, health, education, wealth transfer, etc) to improve human welfare (balancing near-term and long-term goals), please contact me.

📢 Postdoc Opportunity: Ocean Tipping Points & Impacts! We're hiring a postdoc in my group at the University of Bern, Switzerland, to study ocean tipping points and their impacts. The position is part of HEurope project TipESM (@tipesm.bsky.social). Feel free to reach out with any questions. 🌊

Interested in volunteering to be an author for the IPCC AR7 Working Groups? Nomination process open until 17th April: apps.ipcc.ch/nominations/...

Like to develop your own research profile? Work on a permanent contract in a diverse, inspiring & supportive work environment? We seek to appoint a scientist working on climate hazards for risk assessments & on data management & analysis. Join us at Wegener Center: jobs.uni-graz.at/en/jobs/6015...

1,5 Grad-Schwelle möglicherweise dauerhaft überschritten#Klimawandel#Erderwärmung #1,5Grad

People may not understand just how important federal science research funding is to the prosperity of the nation. I tried to explain it, because it's under unprecedented and direct assault.

Das 1,5-Grad-Ziel ist gefährdet, wie aktuelle Berechnungen zeigen. Trotzdem rät Klimaforscher Emanuele Bevacqua, daran festzuhalten: Noch sei es möglich, die Erderwärmung zu verlangsamen.

Was der Klimawissenschaftler Emanuele Bevacqua sagt. Wäre doch mal schön, wenn wir dazu eine Talkshow hätten, oder @zdfde.bsky.social ?

In Nature Climate Change, we show that a year above 1.5 °C signals that Earth is most probably within the 20-year period that will reach the Paris Agreement limit. @natclimchange.bsky.social

Excellent thread on our new paper in Nature Climate Change on what a year above 1.5°C means for the Paris Agreements lower temperature target

🚨 We’ll soon be hiring a 3-year postdoc to join our Leipzig lab on climate discourses 🌍🔍 Our Working group bridges #NLP, social science, and environmental research to explore how climate change, public discourse & political action interact. Stay tuned! @marckeuschnigg.bsky.social

I'm currently advertising for 2 post-doc positions: (1) role of natural climate variability in modulating climate projections (2) developing a weather generator for UK and Ireland for climate projections - jobs.ncl.ac.uk/job/Newcastl...

THREAD This Is The Story Of The The Pernicious Rise of AI-Generated Papers and their Online Impact An Incomplete History Told In The Voice of Documentarian Adam Curtis 1/31

PhD opportunity at Bristol: "Machine Learning for Understanding Extreme Weather in a Changing Climate". Please share with potential applicants. Deadline is Jan 31 12:00. www.bristol.ac.uk/geography/co... www.bristol.ac.uk/media-librar...

Redrawing the global warming stripes. In a new paper led by Sebastian Sippel published in Nature today, we show that the early 20th century global ocean surface temperatures and thereby global mean surface temperature were warmer than previously thought. Thread... (1/13)

Today, @carbonbrief.org has published the latest, and most comprehensive, update to our interactive map of extreme weather attribution. The redesigned map now includes almost 750 extreme events and trends from more than 600 studies. interactive.carbonbrief.org/attribution-... THREAD 1/10

📢Global Carbon Budget 2024📢 Despite some predicting a peak in global fossil CO2 emissions, we estimate growth of 0.8% [-0.3% to 1.9%] in 2024. Maybe a peak next year? Is it all bad news, or can we find some good news? essd.copernicus.org/preprints/es... 1/

We Europeans need to practice survival in a rapidly changing climate - my opinion piece, focussed on Spain, but could equally have been written 3 years ago after the deadly floods in Germany . We've not learned enough & that costs lives and livelihoods. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

New perspective paper on how weather/climate extreme event attribution could be combined with the science of disaster risk reduction to make it more useful - includes case studies. iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...

Climate change intensified the 2022 European drought "human-induced global warming contributed to over 30% of the drought intensity and its spatial extent via enhanced evaporation" www.nature.com/articles/s41...

🚨Postdoc in Climate Dynamics at ETH Zurich🚨 We are hiring a postdoc to work on understanding projected future changes in the atmospheric circulation and climate. The scope is broad, with flexibility to work on questions aligned with your interests/experience. jobs.ethz.ch/job/view/JOP...

Great new paper by Gordon Bonan and others on the deep historical legacies that limit how we think about the biosphere within the climate system, and the need to more fully represent diverse ways of understanding nature in the face of climate change. agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...

A preprint I’ve been working on together with Olivier Pasche, Zhongwei Zhang, @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social, and Sebastian Engelke is out: arxiv.org/abs/2404.17652. We compared ML-based weather models and ECMWF’s HRES in case studies on 3 recent high-impact extreme events! Summary & a few thoughts 🧵👇

I have a commentary in Nature on our disquieting inability to work out why 2023 was so warm. www.nature.com/articles/d41...

The Compound Event Network is on bsky! Give them a follow to keep up with the most recent research on compound and cascading climate hazards and risks. ➡️ @compoundnet.bsky.social

Researchers often use interpretable machine learning tools like feature importances to identify drivers, but cross-validation strategy used can affect these results: Our open access study in AIES doi.org/10.1175/AIES... (with co-authors Jakob Zscheischler, Christoph Müller, Mohit Anand)