ANALYSIS: the new AEMO gas projections for WA highlight the state's lack of climate policies. The high gas use AEMO projects for at least the medium term doesn't have to become reality - high emissions and energy bills can be avoided. #auspol climateanalytics.org/publications...

COUNTRY ANALYSIS: #Norway combines strong climate policies at home with a fossil fuel export model that shifts much of its climate impact abroad: its new 2035 NDC is 1.5°C aligned – domestically, but the country still relies heavily on oil & gas. CAT rating: "Almost sufficient" bit.ly/CAT_NOR

2035 TARGET ANALYSIS: #Chile's new 2035 climate target is not 1.5˚C aligned according to its fair share, and the gap between its target and 1.5˚C pathways has grown compared to 2030. The 2035 emissions level would require additional action to meet. bit.ly/CAT_CHI_2035

As we celebrate 10 years of the #ParisAgreement, we look back at why 1.5°C was set as the warming limit. @billhare.bsky.social explains why 1.5°C is the legal, moral, and scientific boundary for the world – and what’s at stake if we ignore it. www.youtube.com/watch?v=hCWt...

🗓️ Join SWITCH-Asia on 16 Dec 2025 for a high-level discussion on #COP30 outcomes and how the circular economy is reshaping climate mitigation and adaptation, featuring panelists @manjeetdhakal.bsky.social and Tenzin Wangmo. Register 👉 www.switch-asia.eu/event/betwee...

“The 1.5°C limit [for rising global temperatures] and the net zero goal have reshaped policy, finance, litigation and sectoral rules, helping to rewire how states, markets and institutions work,” @billhare.bsky.social told @theguardian.com.

10 years on – what has the #ParisAgreement done for us? Warming is new predicted to reach 2.6–2.7°C – about one full degree less than what was expected before Paris One degree sounds small. It isn’t.

Ten years ago in Paris, governments agreed to limit warming to 1.5°C and get global GHG emissions to net zero in the second half of this century. Since then, they’ve adopted policies and targets that bring projected warming down one full degree less. Our blog outlines what must happen next.

To commemorate 10 years of the Paris Agreement, we held an event on Dec. 10 with the French Embassy to Germany and @helmholtzklima.bsky.social in Berlin. Our Head of Science, Dr Melania Guerra, chaired a panel discussion exploring how to accelerate ambitious collective action.

“Instead of messing with the science,Türkiye needs to focus on strengthening its climate policies and implementation so it can be a forward-looking host of COP31, helping the world deal with the climate crisis that everyone else seems to recognise,” @billhare.bsky.social told @climatechangenews.com.

The world can still return to well below 1.5°C of warming this century if countries pursue the “highest possible ambition” in climate action, starting now. Here's what Climate Analytics' @neilgrant.bsky.social had to say recently at COP30. Read more: climateanalytics.org/publications...

"Australia cannot continue to develop and expand fossil fuel exports and pretend it’s going to be a renewable superpower supporting a 1.5C limit" @billhare.bsky.social in @australia.theguardian.com #auspol #COP30 #fossilfuels #climate www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...

As COP30 comes to a close, read the statement from CA CEO @billhare.bsky.social. This COP did not deliver the bold fossil fuel phaseout roadmap needed, but it did nudge other goals forward. National leaders must now close the gap between promises and reality. climateanalytics.org/press-releas...

2025 was again a severe #hurricane season with 4 major hurricanes (3 cat 5 hurricanes). In terms of accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) it was slightly above a normal season. Seasonal forecasts (including ours 🥳) predicted the ACE well this year 💪

To give a flavour of our G20 country factsheets in the report: ➡️ #China alone delivering on the global energy and methane goals could reduce emissions by 44% below current policies by 2035, esp by expanding renewables, and increasing electrification.

This weekend the #G20 meets in Johannesburg: Our new report shows if governments, by 2030 (and beyond) act on three COP28 Energy & Methane goals, it will make a big difference to end of century warming. But the heavy lifting needs to come from the G20. 🔗 climateactiontracker.org/publications...

While climate leaders have conceded that the world is on track to overshoot this climate goal, @neilgrant.bsky.social told @apnews.com: “We have the tools to transition away from fossil fuels. Although the hour is dark, we still have agency.”

Now we need to see them implement these agreed goals to address #climate change. ➡️ there must be finance especially for poorer countries ➡️ And if they also worked to end deforestation the result would be even bigger.

“We know that the world’s richest countries are continuing to invest in oil and gas development,” our CEO @billhare.bsky.social told @politico.com. “This simply should not be happening.” www.politico.com/news/2025/11...

REPORT: If governments were to implement the promises they made in 2023, to triple renewables, double energy efficiency, reduce methane by 2030 & beyond, they could ✅ significantly cut projected warming - by 0.9˚C ✅ cut warming rate by a third by 2035 and halve it by 2040 🔗 bit.ly/CAT_COP30_GST

"We are running out of time and governments need to be taking this seriously." Watch Sarah Heck of Climate Analytics provide an update to @CNBC on the state of climate progress. www.cnbc.com/video/2025/1...

Media at #COP30: join Climate Analytics and @greenpeace.org at noon for a news conference in Press Room 2, Area D. Greenpeace will launch a new report on climate ambition, and Climate Analytics will present their findings on the latest Global Temperature update of the Climate Action Tracker.

Catch @billhare.bsky.social speaking at #icci #COP30 event– The Perils of Ignoring Science and 1.5°C at COP30: Tipping Points in the Cryosphere. He presents our work on limiting overshoot and returning warming back well below 1.5°C by 2100. 📅 Nov 14 15:00-16:30 BRT 📍 Side Event Room 9

Tomorrow at #COP30, join us at the Evidence 4 Action pavilion for Rescuing 1.5°C, presenting the latest science and introducing the Highest Ambition Pathway, one which minimises overshoot and gets temperatures well below 1.5ºC before 2100. Speakers: Piers Forster, @neilgrant.bsky.social, Anne Olhoff

Join @wriclimate.bsky.social and CA at #COP30 for this session hosted by #SystemsChangeLab to explore findings from #StateofClimateAction 2025 📅 Nov 14 | 1–2 PM (GMT-3) 📍 Renewable Energy Action Pavilion (C108), Blue Zone

CAT Global Update 2025 🚨 Ten years after the #ParisAgreement we see little to no measurable progress in warming projections - for the fourth consecutive year. The 2035 #NDCs have made no difference to our warming outlook. 🔗 bit.ly/CAT_Global_2...

The IEA's first net zero scenario (NZE), published in 2021, showed emissions peaking immediately and falling to net zero by 2050. Today they published an update. Although we are behind on most things, solar and wind deployment moved EVEN FASTER than the first NZE suggested. A little ray of hope.

“Backing renewables is a win-win for people’s wallets and the climate – in fact, all the different futures mapped out by the IEA have renewables growing faster than any other energy source,” said @billhare.bsky.social. “Renewables are now unstoppable," he said. gasoutlook.com/analysis/coa...

We’re at #COP30 in Belém this week! Come find us at events showcasing our work on NDC ambition, pathways to limit warming to 1.5°C, how international collaboration can cut emissions and costs, and more. Bookmark this page for daily updates: climateanalytics.org/events/clima...

1/ The IPCC’s role in the GST2 is at risk after the latest meeting. The failure to agree delivery dates for the AR7 reports threatens to push the crucial Working Group III report beyond the end of GST2 in 2028. tinyurl.com/29bnmyjb

Senior Climate Scientist @fahadiii.bsky.social features in this @granthamicl.bsky.social documentary speaking on the @wwattribution.bsky.social study of the catastrophic 2022 floods in Pakistan. "The study played an important role in shaping the global negotiation around loss and damage,” he said.

COUNTRY ANALYSIS: #China's 2035 NDC is unlikely to drive emissions down, but should be understood as a floor not a ceiling. We project 2025 could mark a year of peak CO2 emissions if current momentum continues. Its overall rating remains "Highly insufficient" bit.ly/CAT_CHN

A must-read for anyone at #COP30 and beyond thinking about how to rescue 1.5°C and limit #overshoot!

New research out today demonstrates that reaching #realzero is achievable and economically competitive in many major emitting sectors. EU road freight could reach real zero by 2040, while global steel and shipping could reach real zero by 2050. climateanalytics.org/publications...

1.5°C still achievable – if the world pursues ‘highest possible ambition’. #ParisAgreement #ClimateAction @climateanalytics.org www.csofutures.com/news/1-5degc...

👉 Looking forward to engage in discussions about rescuing the 1.5°C in the upcoming #COP30. Despite the -collective- political failure to address the issue, the 1.5°C window is still open, but we need to double down on action ✊ aka Highest Possible Ambition! Enjoy it and feel free to reach out!

Does this mean we should give up on 1.5ºC? No – 1.5ºC endures as a legal and ethical imperative as we approach, meet and potentially exceed 1.5ºC. See @joerirogelj.bsky.social's great piece on this: bsky.app/profile/joer...

🚨🚨🚨 NEW REPORT ALERT 🚨🚨🚨 @climateanalytics.org has a new report out today that I’m really excited about. It’s all about 1.5ºC... ▶️ Is overshooting 1.5ºC inevitable? ▶️ Can we still get temperatures back below 1.5ºC? ▶️ If so, how? If you’re interested in our findings, buckle up for a mega thread...

A new @climateanalytics.org report has come out today, with a profoundly hopeful message: even though the world is on track to exceed 1.5°C of global warming, we can peak at 1.7°C and get temperatures back down well below 1.5°C by end of century. But.... only if we phase out fossil fuels, fast. 🧵

After years of political failure, the world can still rescue 1.5°C – if countries pursue the “highest possible ambition”, starting now. New report from Climate Analytics and @pik-potsdam.bsky.social shows how it’s possible. Read more: climateanalytics.org/publications...

The @unep.org’s #EmissionsGap Report says global temperatures now predicted to reach 2.3-2.5°C, down from 2.6-2.8°C last year. While this is progress, we must go faster. Our CEO @billhare.bsky.social told AP that the numbers indicate “a lack of political will”. apnews.com/article/clim...

Ten years on, the Paris Agreement is working—just not fast enough. Our new report tracks 22 ways it’s changing the world: uniting countries behind 1.5°C and net zero, and cutting projected 2100 warming by ~1°C (≈3.6°C → ≈2.7°C). climateanalytics.org/publications...

“Keeping warming to 1.5°C now hinges on one thing: speed,” says our CEO @billhare.bsky.social. “The science is unequivocal: the world isn’t moving fast enough. Every year of delay makes the task harder, and only rapid, sustained cuts can keep 1.5°C within reach.” #StateOfClimateAction

COUNTRY ANALYSIS: Despite a weak target, #VietNam builds momentum for deeper renewable energy integration & coal phase-out. Ambitious new targets & polices for solar & offshore wind signal stronger long-term alignment w the clean energy transition Still "Critically insufficient" bit.ly/CAT_VietNam

Climate policy analyst @thomashle.bsky.social told #TheStraitsTimes that Indonesia is lagging when it comes to building out renewables. “Its latest power grid plan delayed a lot of the renewable deployment until after 2030 and includes near-term increases in fossil-fuel generation,” he said.

COUNTRY ANALYSIS: "much done, much more to do" is our summary of the new UK government's first year on #climate policy, achieving moderate success in addressing the implementation gap. Overall rating remains "Insufficient" bit.ly/CAT_UK

We’re thrilled to launch the Global Methane Explorer – a comprehensive dashboard for methane emissions, targets and policies. You can use it monitor progress, identify gaps, and support urgent, evidence-based action to accelerate methane mitigation worldwide. methane-explorer.climateanalytics.org

Faster action on #methane this decade, alongside deep cuts in CO2, is essential for limiting near term warming. Our new report assesses emissions, targets, and policies for 72 countries that account for over 90% of global methane emissions.

What will it take to finally get climate #adaptation into the political mainstream? Catch @manjeetdhakal.bsky.social, Head of our LDC Support Team speak on how #COP30 can deliver real progress at @climatechangenews.com webinar tomorrow, Oct 30, 2:00 PM CEST.

Important thread from @billhare.bsky.social on António Guterres' statements on climate yesterday. ⬇️