A little less than 2 weeks to submit an abstract proposal for PolMeth - Europe. Join us in Dublin this coming May to share your new political science research using cutting edge methods!!

I cannot stress this enough to my own students, you cannot outsource your own learning!!

My own TLDR for the message from this paper: statsepi.substack.com/p/sorry-what...

Submit, submit! 🚨 Pleasant reminder to all, the 5th European PolMeth meeting will be 14-15 May 2026 at Trinity College Dublin 🇮🇪 Submissions close Nov. 15 ⚠️ You can find out more about the conference, including the submission form, here: polmeth.eu If you have any questions, please contact me 😀

Not long left to apply for our Assistant Professor in Computational Social Science vacancy❗ 📚 jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/... Apply before 26 October and join an internationally outstanding group of social science methodologists 🌎

Every academic career is built on rejection, but we don’t show it. 
CVs list publications, grants & awards, not rejected manuscripts, unfunded proposals, or failures. 
But those invisible rejections shape us more than our successes ever do. 👉 catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/fail-bette... 🧵

#OpenAccess from August 2025 - Not Getting the Message on Climate? Attention as a Key Barrier to Mass-Marketing Experimentally-Validated Messages - cup.org/3HgDIJ9 - Nicholas Carnes & Geoffrey L. Henderson #ClimateChange

🚀 And this marks our launch of the CampAIgn Tracker 🇳🇱! @meinungsfuehrer.bsky.social and I are glad to finally publish our dashboard where we monitor the use of AI imagery in campaign messages, by parties, politicians & other actors during the election #tk2025 See here www.campaigntracker.nl/en/

New data for legislative scholars! Committee Membership Dataset with @bcastanho.bsky.social, @dmpullan.bsky.social and Firuze Taner: Committee assignments for all MPs (Wikidata IDs!) in 14 countries Harmonized roles/policy areas Data: doi.org/10.7802/2940 Working paper: tinyurl.com/vf54r78p ⬇️

It's been a hot minute since I sent an #MHAWS, but we are back (baby), we're back Today, we are talking about building a sustainable writing practice through thinking about duration, frequency, and intensity as different ways to measure your time writing. open.substack.com/pub/miryahol...

New jobs for computational social scientists at UNC and USC: unc.peopleadmin.com/postings/307... amd uscjobs.sc.edu/postings/194...

How common are “survey professionals” - people who take dozens of online surveys for pay - across online panels, and do they harm data quality? Our paper, FirstView at @politicalanalysis.bsky.social, tackles this question using browsing data from three U.S. samples (Facebook, YouGov, and Lucid):

Time for an explainer on how to get funding for a PhD in the UK (1/n)

Can large language models stand in for human participants? Many social scientists seem to think so, and are already using "silicon samples" in research. One problem: depending on the analytic decisions made, you can basically get these samples to show any effect you want. THREAD 🧵

It's academic job market season. I’ve written a reflection with some potentially helpful tips: jaeyk.github.io/essays/job_m...

📢 Call for Papers for EPSS 2026 conference in Belfast is out: epssnet.org/belfast-2026... Starting today, we'll feature two sections each week to provide more information about the conference. 🔝 This week: Electoral + Voting Behaviour & Climate Politics ▶️ Electoral + Voting Behaviour 🧵

Whoa—my book is up for pre-order! 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥 𝐭𝐨 𝐌𝐞𝐚𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠: 𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐭𝐨 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐭 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭 & 𝐌𝐋 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐬 𝐢𝐧 #Rstats 𝐚𝐧𝐝 #PyData The book presents an ultra-simple and powerful workflow to make sense of ± any model you fit The web version will stay free forever and my proceeds go to charity. tinyurl.com/4fk56fc8

New 'Metrics Note! "One weird trick" to characterize compliers / the effective population underlying design-based OLS & IV specifications Check it out: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/lgba6...

The new {marginaleffects} release for #RStats (0.30.0) comes with two new vignettes: 1. Speed up computation with automatic differentiation (often 10x gains) marginaleffects.com/bonus/perfor... 2. Power analyses with {marginaleffects} and {DeclareDesign}. marginaleffects.com/bonus/power....

💥Online first: "The sound of party competition: how applause reflects unity, disagreement, and the electoral cycle in parliaments" by @ankuepfer.bsky.social @jocmuel.bsky.social & @pluggedchris.bsky.social doi.org/10.1080/0140...

Next ECSR conference will take place 15-17 June 2026 at Trinity College Dublin. Abstract deadline 11 January 2026. If you're wondering if this conference is for you, have a look at the kind of work we publish in @europeansocreview.bsky.social Submissions: col.eventsair.com/ecsr-2026/su...

🚨 Reposting to avoid any confusion between EPSS & EPSA 🚨 If you want to support non-for-profit, member-led political science association, EPSS is the place to be! More here 👇🏽

Despite our pushing as editors, T&F won't reveal its other licensing agreements, or state clearly how they'll ensure proper attribution if content ends up in language models (and it is)

Please share: Seeking seed funding to develop innovations for open science, design, aggregation, transfer..? Call open now with @egap.bsky.social egap.org/our-work/res... @awilke.bsky.social Deadline 31 October

🚨 Very flattered to have a piece, w/ the terrific @miacosta.bsky.social, in the new @apsa.bsky.social Experiments Newsletter! In it, we offer some thoughts on how to think about how "realistic" experimental results are. Might be useful for students 😁 connect.apsanet.org/s42/newslett...

We just released version 3.1 of WhoGov, a global dataset on members of government from 1966-2023. The update fixes the mistakes that came to our attention while creating the Paths to Power dataset + mistakes users have notified us of More additions and updates to WhoGov are on their way, including:

In poli sci, "the top 20% of departments produced 75% of all faculty and the bottom 50% accounted for less than 5% of all tenure track faculty members at a research university. 49 programs did not have a single graduate placed in a TT position at a PhD-granting department in the past 10 years."

Now on FirstView! "…we present a predation index in political science based on a clear operational definition & coding, thereby providing a tool that every scholar can use to protect the integrity of the publishing process & their own work." doi.org/10.1017/S104... #polisky #academisky

🚨 Updated working paper! Ekin Dursun and I ask what instruments best manipulate emotions on surveys (osf.io/56h4g). We find that vignettes really work! They have large effects on emotions of interest & smaller effects on emotions *not* of interest. But as always, it's complicated.👇 (1/17)

🚨 I have a new paper with a fantastic team (thanks to @jgeller1phd.bsky.social!) with a nice mix of theoretical & applied perspectives on beta regression modeling (i.e., proportions). It's fully reproducible with #rstats code. Great resource for teaching & self-learning! osf.io/preprints/ps...

The European Political Science Society is now accepting paper & panel proposals for its annual conference! 📢 Call for Papers: EPSS 2026 – Belfast
 🗓️ June 18–20, 2026
 📍 ICC Belfast
 📬 Deadline: Nov 7, 2025 🧵

This looks interesting. "Bounding causal effects in survey experiments with noncompliance or inattention" www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/wvzck...

1. Kevin Gross and I just posted a new science-of-science preprint. This one explores the looming peer review crisis. As many of you know, it's becoming significantly more difficult for journal editors to find scholars willing to serve as peer reviewers for submitted manuscripts.

#OpenScience principles help students gain lots of useful skills that are an advantage on the job market in and beyond academia. Read our latest book chapter where we provide tips for educators to bolster employability through open science: doi.org/10.31219/osf...

New #rstats blog up! solomonkurz.netlify.app/blog/2025-07... This is the first in a brief series where we use {brms} to learn {Stan} code. Many thanks to @fusaroli.bsky.social and @stephenjwild.bsky.social for their helpful reviews.

After how many failed submissions (and after incorporating reviewers’ feedback as genuinely as possible along the way) do you finally give up on a project? Asking for a friend…

this post uses newly released data from the 2020-2022-2024 CES panel survey, which includes interviews with ~6k Americans we interviewed (and re-interviewed) over the past three election cycles. download it and dig in! dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtm...

New NEH-supported tutorial on running LLMs locally with ollama! Your laptop is more powerful than you think. Save money, privacy, and energy. aiforhumanists.com/tutorials/

Our conclusion: Apparently "spontaneous" or "emergent" dynamics are observationally equivalent to data leakage. That is, what looks like emergent behavior may be LLMs drawing on their pretraining data. Read the full paper: arxiv.org/abs/2505.23796

Incorporating informative Bayesian priors offers the ability to learn more from experiments. @leoiacovone.bsky.social , @economeager.bsky.social & @dmckenzie.bsky.social demonstrate how to do this in the context of a Colombian exporting experiment. buff.ly/CwdGmKE

Such a cool book www.economics.utoronto.ca/osborne/mpe/...

The Experimental Research section of the American Political Science Association (@experimentsapsa.bsky.social) invites research proposals from post-prospectus PhD students for its Experimental Research Early-Career Fellowship program. Share this post! @apsa.bsky.social, @poscresearch.bsky.social

Writing some paragraphs about odds ratio and, more generally, different scales in nonlinear models. Any favorite articles on odds ratio?>

😶‍🌫️ You’re not blocked. You’re just trying to write the whole thing at once. 
🧵 about writing, Einstein & big projects. 
Prompted by great Q @dirckdekleer.bsky.social: How do I break down a big project into writing tasks that feel manageable? 🔗 catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/youre-not-...

We sometimes need to deviate from a preregistration to increase the validity of our inferences. Not all deviations reduce the severity of our tests - but they often do. Be transparent about all deviations, and evaluate the consequences for test severity. online.ucpress.edu/collabra/art...

I wrote a new Substack! "The quiet collapse of surveys: fewer humans (and more AI agents) are answering survey questions" laurenleek.substack.com/p/the-quiet-...

Fascinating substack post by @laurenleek.eu on the problem of declining humans and increasing AI agents in survey responses. This is going to become a huge issue in survey research! open.substack.com/pub/laurenle...

From Weingast's essay "Caltech Rules" "With rare exceptions, papers do not write themselves. Transforming a good idea into a good paper is a difficult process. A clear understanding of what each part of your paper must accomplish is essential to this process." Link to essay weingast.people.stan...

#RDDers: check it out. rd2d: Causal Inference in Boundary Discontinuity Designs "This article introduces the R package rd2d, which implements and extends the...results developed in Cattaneo et al. (2025) for boundary discontinuity designs [like geographic RDDs]" arxiv.org/abs/2505.07989