It is finally finished and released! I was proud to be a member of the Task Force on 2024 Pre-Election Polling, and to play just a small role in producing this report. Here is the report: aapor.org/wp-content/u... And here is the Executive Summary: aapor.org/wp-content/u...

🚨Postdoc altert 🚨 Come to @upenn.edu for a great postdoctoral fellowship opportunity at @perryworldhouse.bsky.social. Pass it on. perryworldhouse.upenn.edu/opportunitie...

Proud to have worked on this paper with @tiagoventura.bsky.social, Bernhard Clemen von Hohenberg, Ericka Menchen-Trevino, and Mabdalena Wojcieszak: www.cambridge.org/core/journal... .

How common are “survey professionals” - people who take dozens of online surveys for pay - across online panels, and do they harm data quality? Our paper, FirstView at @politicalanalysis.bsky.social, tackles this question using browsing data from three U.S. samples (Facebook, YouGov, and Lucid):

#OpenAccess from @polanalysis.bsky.social - Survey Professionalism: New Evidence from Web Browsing Data - https://cup.org/3KWgqtg - Bernhard Clemm von Hohenberg, @tiagoventura.bsky.social, Jonathan Nagler, @ericka.bric.digital#OpenAccess& Magdalena Wojcieszak #FirstView

In the Global South, WhatsApp is more popular than X or Facebook. New in @The_JOP, we ran a WhatsApp deactivation experiment during Brazil’s 2022 election to explore how the app facilitates the spread of misinformation and affects voters’ attitudes. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...

🚨 Paper now as "just accepted" at @The_JOP. We ran the first WhatsApp deactivation experiment focused on multimedia content ahead of the 2022 election in Brazil. We find a reduction in users' recall of false rumors -- and, to a smaller degree, of true news. Null effects on attitudes. Full thread ⬇️

I am thrilled to share a new article in Sociological Methods & Research, “Quantifying Narrative Similarity Across Languages”. My co-first author Sol Messing and our collaborators developed a new approach to measuring “narrative similarity” between texts: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

(1) "Voting for Law and Order: Evidence From a Survey Experiment in Mexico" by Tiago Ventura @tiagoventura.bsky.social and Sandra Ley journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...

New article w/ @emroberto.bsky.social out in SMR! We introduce a framework for analyzing images 🖼️ with generative multimodal models and provide an empirical application using satellite and street images. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Looking for new research showing no backlash for misinformation corrections? Here is our recent paper: 🚨 Fact-checking increases perceptions of fact-checkers’ reputations, even for counter-attitudinal corrections to voters’ political views. Thanks @respol.bsky.social for publishing and sharing!

Natalia Aruguete, @tiagoventura.bsky.social & @ecalvo68.bsky.social examine how exposure to counter- and pro-attitudinal fact-checking messages impacts voters’ perception of the fact-checker: Fact-checking increases the reputation of the fact-checker but creates perceptions of ideological biases.

New publication out with Natalia Aruguete, @ecalvo68.bsky.social and Carlos Scartascini. Do polarizing political tweets make us less trustworthy? Not quite. But they do make us trust others less. Our article shows how social media erodes trust, even when we stay principled. 🧵1/

I am hiring a new Lab Manager to help run the NYU Center for Conflict & Cooperation. We start reviewing apps on MAY 1st and it pays over $58,000. Please share with anyone who might be interested! Please apply here: apply.interfolio.com/166620 See more details below:

For today’s spotlight on EGAP #polarization work: @cdsamii.bsky.social discusses a survey experiment conducted during Argentina’s 2019 presidential election on fact checking & misinfo w/ researchers @ecalvo68.bsky.social , @tiagoventura.bsky.social , & Olivia Sohr (@chequeado.com ).

How can researchers identify covert state propaganda campaigns in China? My co-authors Yin Yuan, Molly Roberts, Brandon Stewart @bstewart.bsky.social and myself are excited to share our new article in PNAS (@PNAS): doi.org/10.1073/pnas... Thread below.

Please share! Have an MA student or current PhD student who wants/needs to get out of the US (or not go there)? Western is accepting PhD late apps. Info here: politicalscience.uwo.ca/graduate/gra... Apply here: politicalscience.uwo.ca/graduate/pro... Or contact Grad Chair: [email protected]

I was just informed that our RCT in Bangladesh has been terminated mid-way. The project we were evaluating was helping to build resilience by forming farmer groups in 225 villages and transferring critical knowledge on smart agriculture practices in areas highly affected by climate change.

👇🏼👇🏼👇🏼👇🏼

New article out at @respol.bsky.social (w/ Ernesto Calvo and)🥳 Much has been shown on fact-checking effects on the ability to discern true from false. But.. does it affect the fact-checker's perceived reputation and ideological leaning? Check below: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Really great piece!

I was planning to sit out the current round of tech-criticism internet drama. But I always read @caseynewton.bsky.social, and I think he misses a key point about market power and the purpose of tech criticism. TL;DR: we shouldn't grade the tech barons on a curve. open.substack.com/pub/davekarp...

Incredibly flattered to be profiled on the @ssrn.bsky.social blog.

Among other things, US higher education effectively exports tens of billions worth of dollars of services, by persuading foreigners to pay a lot for a product that keep jobs in the US. How long more will they keep paying when they can't be sure they can even enter the country.

🤖🗣️ How human is AI-generated content? New study analyzes perceptions of AI-generated social media for 2024 presidential debate. While users generally distinguish between human & AI content, platform plays a significant role in perception @tiagoventura.bsky.social et al: https://bit.ly/4i1rphm

🚨New publication alert! IJPP has just published our article about the impact of exposure to partisan news on social polarization and vote choice in the context of the last Brazilian elections. Full text here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Botafogo vai entregar de novo!!

Took a crack at the Political Communication starter pack. Sorry for all the great folks I undoubtedly missed go.bsky.app/J1U6jVe

What an amazing collection, and an enormous undertaking to get all of these edited and published just days after the election. Kudos to the editorial team!

Our piece focus in perceptions of humanness of social media content. We use pair-wise models to compare platform and AI-generated content. We find: - humans can in general separate real platform from AI content - human rely on emotional cues to identify AI vs Human content

Repost if you’ve participated in a Summer Institute in Computational Social Science. Let’s get #SICSS Bluesky going!

I’m starting to wonder if starter packs are creating higher levels of network inequality (“rich get richer”) than traditional friendships recommendation algorithms. Hard to find a counterfactual to measure, but interesting problem to understand effects of a “wisdom of the crowds” type of rec system.

Starter pack of soccer fans! Please, please, please!

🚨 How should we design surveys to capture opinion in fast-changing contexts like elections or within hard-to-reach communities? 🚨 My paper, conditionally accepted at Political Analysis, develops a method that leverages LLMs and adaptive algorithms to construct surveys that evolve with user input.

New from me @goodauth.bsky.social: Where to start to explain Trump's win. goodauthority.org/news/where-t...

“'The world is not obliged to put up with Musk’s far-right ideology just because he is rich,' Lula said in the interview with CNN Brasil." fortune.com/2024/09/03/b...

Are foreign influence campaigns overhyped? How does misinfo spread on WhatsApp? Will researchers get enough data to study the 2024 elections? In part two of our series, Sarah Graham, @tiagoventura.bsky.social, and @cbarrie.bsky.social explain what they're watching this year.

In this year of elections, many worry that a variety of factors — advances in AI, TikTok, misinfo, etc — could undermine elections. In a new series, CSMaP experts @tiagoventura.bsky.social, Cristina de la Puerta, Lama Mohammed & @jennyallen.bsky.social explain what they're watching in 2024.

🚨Postdoc Opportunity, Please share!🚨 LeticiaBode, Lisa Singh, and I are seeking a postdoc to work with us at @MassiveData_GU on our project on GenAI, Misinformation, and Social Media. Full-time research, no teaching required. Please reach out! apply.interfolio.com/143997

I opened Twitter and nobody was talking about APSA! For a moment I forgot my fellow PS were all over here! See you all in Philly friends!

🚨 New article out at Nature Scientific Reports 🚨 Using experiments from a four-country study, we show that framing fact-checks as *confirming* accurate information rather than *refuting* misinformation elicits higher engagement rates on social media! link: www.nature.com/articles/s41...

WhatsApp—very popular in Brazil—is blamed for spreading misinformation and causing false beliefs and polarization. Research by @TiagoVentura.bsky.social et al suggests reducing exposure to multimedia on WhatsApp has little effect on belief accuracy and polarization buff.ly/47cdG0n

Amazing opportunity! And super happy to see the focus on comparative politics and social media. We need more research on social media outside of the US and Europe, and I’m happy to see CSMaP leading the way! Please apply!

When SCOTUS considers FL/TX content moderation laws next year, it should craft rulings that leave ample room for legislative & regulatory efforts to mandate transparency & data access. CSMaP filed an amicus brief in the case w/Darren Linvill, @pwarren.bsky.social, & @fil.bsky.social More: 🧵 1/

I’m doing a replication exercise in my class next spring. Anyone has a syllabus to share describing a similar task? I did some in grad school but the instructions were all a bit loose, so I want see what people are using right now. Thanks!!

We begin to review applications for our postoctoral position this coming Wednesday. This is relevant to any advanced garduate student with strong technical skills who can defend by the end of summer 24'. PSJMInfo ; Polisky see apply.interfolio.com/136018

Many of the violent videos and images posted to social media since Hamas attacked Israel have been seeded by Hamas to terrorize civilians and take advantage of the lack of content moderation on some sites, including X and Telegram, a Hamas official and social media experts said.

Come work with me! Duke is hiring -- Assistant professor in comparative political economy: academicjobsonline.org/ajo/jobs/25592 Assistant professor in comparative ethnic politics: academicjobsonline.org/ajo/jobs/25591 Not on either committee, but happy to chat about dept/lifestyle here, etc.

If you’re finishing up your PhD consider applying for one of UPenn's Provost’s Post-doctoral Fellowships. The deadline is Nov. 3, with fellowships starting July 1, 2024. For full details, see: research.upenn.edu/postdocs-and...

The @LSEnews Latin American Politics Seminar series is back this year with an exciting lineup of speakers... Talks will be on-campus (open to anyone interested) but you can also join us remotely: lse.ac.uk/government/r...