koenfucius
@koenfucius.bsky.social
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đ 7673
Accidental behavioural economist koenfucius.substack.com
pinned post!
Blogged: Overruling Rules My first essay of 2026 is about how our lives are steered by countless rules, but it is the exceptions we make to them (for ourselves and for others) that reveal who we truly are:
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3 days ago
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Beethovenâs fifth as a playâthe performers, the Korean a cappella group Hotplays may hold instruments, but theyâre acting out the score using their voice. (Would grumpy Ludwig Van have approved?)
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about 5 hours ago
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Making decisions comes at a costâopportunity cost, metabolic cost, and computational cost. If we feel it is too high, we abandon the decision, or put in less effort, with potentially detrimental effect. An interdisciplinary team mapped these costs:
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about 6 hours ago
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Why would we change our mind on the purchase of a statistically sound car on the basis of a single negative second hand report? A clear fallacy⌠or is it a manifestation of how we handle trust?
tomstafford.mastodon.online.ap.brid.gy
picks the phenomenon apart:
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about 8 hours ago
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Most of us will have a rule about queue jumpingânot coolâat least supposedly. Weâre civilized after all! But that is not what this rule signals about usâitâs the *exceptions* to the rule (yeh, I shouldnât but I really was in a hurry) that say who we are:
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about 8 hours ago
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Give low income people an unconditional guaranteed monthly income of $1,000 for 3 years. What changes? Research by
@evavivalt.bsky.social
et al finds⌠â˘work and earn less (4.1 pp/$1800 pa) â˘no change in job quality â˘more leisure and entrepreneurial activity
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about 10 hours ago
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Correct handle:
@briandavidearp.bsky.social
đ¤Śââď¸
add a skeleton here at some point
about 10 hours ago
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Just like the Turing test is no longer a reliable indicator for human-ness, so well-written, coherent prose in a paper is no longer sound evidence of domain fluency and competence, writes @briandavidearpâand it is making him a better reader and editor:
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about 14 hours ago
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Goede raad kan tegenstrijdig zijnâplukken we best de dag, of bewaren we liever het beste voor het laatst? De contradictie reflecteert twee evolutionaire neigingen die beide nuttigâĂŠn verkeerdâkunnen zijn. ICYMI, mijn laatste
@apache.be
stukje van 2025:
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about 14 hours ago
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Our behaviour (and our judgment of othersâ) are steered by rulesâsome forced upon us (laws), some we choose to embrace (social norms), and many we make up ourselves (whatâs an acceptable pizza topping). But itâs the exceptions that matter the most:
open.substack.com/pub/koenfuci...
about 17 hours ago
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New research suggests people who see their political group as a primary victim of injustice tend to support antidemocratic policies. This âcompetitive victimhoodâ boosts partisan hostility and viewing opponents as less than human:
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via
@psypost.bsky.social
about 18 hours ago
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If the Big Bang created equal amounts of matter and antimatter, how come pretty much all we can detect is matter? New experiments with the mysterious neutrino could open the door to explaining the universeâs missing antimatter:
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about 18 hours ago
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Alice's Egg Plant (1925) is one of Walt Disneyâs 57 live action Alice animations, produced between 1923 and 1927. He failed to sell it until a NY film distributor lost the rights to Felix the Cat (Julius shows an uncanny resemblance) gave him a break:
youtu.be/kLwPQIEdjzU
1 day ago
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Political polarization often coincides with affective polarization (like/trust ingroups; dislike/distrust outgroups), which influences non-political choices. Nettasinghe et al propose a model to map the dynamics based on ingroup love vs outgroup hate:
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HT
@jayvanbavel.bsky.social
1 day ago
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Why itâs a good idea to stop setting out to win arguments
@jeffersonfisher.bsky.social
explains the price that we often must pay for indulging this urge, and the triggers to look out for:
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1 day ago
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Total hours of sleep, deep sleep duration, and percentage of REM sleep donât predict the quality of brain cleaning during sleepââwe have been measuring the wrong things about sleep.â
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1 day ago
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Een toevallige ontmoeting op de trein die tot meer lijkt te kunnen leiden⌠impulsief de kans grijpen, of voorzichtig wachten tot het geschikte moment zich aandient? Mijn @apache_be stukje onderzoekt hoe we aan twee tegenstrijdige neigingen zijn gekomen:
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1 day ago
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During research on the efficacy of acceptance and commitment therapy to treat Misophonia (a hypersensitivity to certain sounds, eg othersâ masticating), a link with broader sensory processing sensitivitiesâodours and touchâis discovered:
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via
@psypost.bsky.social
2 days ago
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Surgery would be unthinkable today without local or general anaesthetic. But despite the fact it certainly works and has done for nearly two centuries, we still donât know precisely how, and experts still have lots of questions. What do we know?
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2 days ago
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Denmark is not like the USâneither are their postal services. In the latter, remote mailboxes are served by mile and boat. In the former, the national postal services provider since 1924 has ceased to exist as of this new year:
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2 days ago
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Only one New Yearâs resolution comes with a happiness guarantee: more social connection, argues Paul Dolan:
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2 days ago
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Our truth-value judgments donât simply track whether what was said corresponds with facts, research by Zyglewicz et al suggests: we also consider the speakerâs commitment to accurately informing and avoiding deception (âtruthfulnessâ):
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HT
@xphilosopher.bsky.social
2 days ago
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What drives the retro tech revival, with people switching to iPods and other ancient MP3-players? (Itâs complexđ):
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HT
@neuroscienceof.bsky.social
3 days ago
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Blogged: Overruling Rules My first essay of 2026 is about how our lives are steered by countless rules, but it is the exceptions we make to them (for ourselves and for others) that reveal who we truly are:
buff.ly/F5CkUtJ
3 days ago
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The effect of the left-digit in ride-sharing apps is significantâresearch by
@johnlist.bsky.social
et al suggests as much as $160M in profit is left in the table by not using it:
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3 days ago
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Our emotions can be a guiding light for making decisions, but their messages to us are not always as plain as weâd like. Seeking emotional clarity can boost that role considerably:
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3 days ago
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The wondrous Mexican eyeless cavefish not only reveals how exactly evolution eliminates expensive, superfluous traits in multiple ways. It also opens research avenues on diabetes and obesity in humans, writes @timvernimmen:
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3 days ago
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The idea that we all hate all hypocrites is being questioned by @mhallsworth. There are 4 types of hypocritesâthe virtuous hypocrite, the relatable one, the principled one, and the reasonable oneâthat we may actually like:
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3 days ago
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We judge othersâ morally questionable actions as less wrong when they benefit us personally, research by Miazek & Bocian suggestsâregardless of any cognitive resource constraints:
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3 days ago
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âEvery generation believes it has finally identified the real vicesâthe habits that must be curtailed for health, morality, or progress. History suggests caution.ââ@pessimistsarc.bsky.social Which of todayâs vices will become tomorrowâs virtues?
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3 days ago
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AI slop everywhere. Even in restaurant reviews. Can it be detected?
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4 days ago
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Are the rich inherently more selfish? Freakonomics looks at the evidence:
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4 days ago
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Rituals that persist despite failing to produce desired outcome are not a failure of reasoning, argues Ze Hong. Failures are rationalized through additional explanations, restraining public skepticism, and hard to share or act upon collectively by design:
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4 days ago
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reposted by
koenfucius
On #4, My trilogy on Evolutionary Economics, on how economics is not just a human artefact: * Part 1âEvolutionary origins
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* Part 2âWithin and Between
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* Part 3âThe Human Touch
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Tomorrow the top 3! 7/10
4 days ago
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reposted by
koenfucius
On #5, Are we all Moral Bullshitters?, on acting without regard for morals (like bullshitting is speaking without regard for the truth):
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6/10
4 days ago
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reposted by
koenfucius
Continuing the countdown of my most read essays... On #6, Moral Cowardice â Why we donât Argue What we Actually Believe, on the disingenuousness on both sides of the assisted dying debate:
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5/10
4 days ago
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What does friendship look like from a neurobiology viewpoint? Social interaction is rewarding for the brainâand essential for its health:
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4 days ago
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Not to pour cold water on todayâs New Yearâs celebrations, but scientists have worked out the end of the universe is nigher than expected. Instead of 10^1100 years, thereâs likely just 10^78 aheadâa huge reduction. Better stop wasting timeâHappy 2026!
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4 days ago
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The season of conception has a lasting effect on a personâs metabolism, Japanese researchers findâthose conceived in colder months have more brown fat, with known metabolic health benefits (mice research suggests paternal cold exposure conception):
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4 days ago
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We âtreasure what we measure,â so we fail to recognize car fuel efficiency and undervalue household production like child and elder care, grocery shopping etc, not counted in GDP calculations. What we do and donât count can create perverse incentives:
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4 days ago
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Study tests the efficiency, effectiveness, and ethics of AI-agent recruitment interviewing. It led to 12% more job offers, 18% more job starters, and 16% higher 30 day-retention rates. Given the option, 78% of applicants preferred the AI interviewer:
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4 days ago
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Our intuitions about political advertising are flawedâmicrotargeting can work, but its persuasive effect is tiny compared to other aspects of adverts, and it is a long way from mind control.
@tomstafford.mastodon.online.ap.brid.gy
persuasively riffs on a podcast on the topic:
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5 days ago
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Hoe komt dat sommigen zeer beheerst hun sinterklaaschocolade met mate over weken of zelfs maanden consumeren, en anderen ze op een dag naar binnen zouden spelen als dat mocht? Mijn laatste
@apache.be
stukje van 2025 over twee tegenstrijdige tendensen:
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5 days ago
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Research by Schunck et al suggests more physically attractive peopleâboth women and menâearn more, but finds no evidence that attractive individuals face earnings penalties when employed in occupations typically dominated by the opposite gender:
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5 days ago
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Why do we often stay silent in uncomfortable situations, even when our conscience tells us to speak?
@profsunitasah.bsky.social
explores this puzzling behaviour, and sets out how learning to read that tensionââinsinuation anxietyââand overcome it:
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5 days ago
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30% chance of rain doesnât mean rain over 30% of the area, less still rain 30% of the time or even rain of 30% heaviness on a scale of 0-100% So what does it mean?
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5 days ago
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reposted by
koenfucius
On #7, The False Consensus of Democracy, on how many people support, defend, and fight for democracy... but not necessarily for the same type:
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Tomorrow three more - numbers 6 to 4. 4/10
5 days ago
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reposted by
koenfucius
On #8, Two Economic Blind Spots We All Share, on how we are not pre-wired to see win-wins (but to assume zero-sums) and on how we overlook or ignore externalities:
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3/10
5 days ago
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reposted by
koenfucius
On #9, The Trouble with the Truth, on how this concept is easily uttered but very hard to actually determine:
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2/10
5 days ago
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reposted by
koenfucius
Top-10 time! Counting down my most read essays this year... On #10 my first post of 2025, The Binary Trap (on how a little less binary thinking might offer us a better world:
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1/10
5 days ago
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A very good lesson in probability estimation from David Spiegelhalterâknow what you know!
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5 days ago
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