Trump's approval among independents is not good but numbers like these can be deceiving. Like, many disapprovers may have called themselves Democrats in February but now say they're independents.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. shows up to Game 7 in a Marie-Phillip Poulin jersey, the captain of the Canada women’s national ice hockey team

The responsibilities and opportunities for Canadian universities are perfectly aligned. But it's been 10 months of this and just drips of actions here so far. www.pbs.org/newshour/sho...

For @policyoptions.irpp.org, I wrote about how Canada lags its European and Anglo peers in electing women to parliament, how that harms their reputation, and, drawing on research w/ @dzobrien.bsky.social & Amanda Clayton, why voters prefer gender parity. policyoptions.irpp.org/2025/10/gend...

📣2026 Posters Competition🖼️ Open to all participants! Join prof @yveilleuxlepage.bsky.social in making posters a highlight #CPSA_ACSP26! ⏰NOV 10 25 shorturl.at/AgUow @devoncantwell.bsky.social @matthewlebo.bsky.social @apsa.bsky.social @balsillieschool.bsky.social @csnrec.bsky.social @ipsa.org

Yup, there’s research: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...

The CPSA accepts proposals for full panels. Why not choose Ottawa in June instead of Boston, USA in September?

BLS report that was due this morning didn't come out. The ADP estimate is that private employment in the US went down 32,000 jobs in September. There were also big downward revisions for previous month. Preventing the official release of bad economic news is a big shutdown bonus for Trump.

Just *published* our paper with @westernupolisci.bsky.social PhD student, Hunter Driggers, on LLM bias from party cues in annotation tasks. We extend a previous study showing annotation bias from human coders in the presence of party cues… LLM show similar bias 🧵: rdcu.be/eIKCj

Will US universities now only interview Americans and PRs?

While the Republicans on talk shows are saying stop calling us fascists, on Fox they are upping their fascism.

The most ridiculously unlikely event in all the movies is the final poker hand in Casino Royale.

Freed of the pressures of re-election, now we’ll see that Ernst acts the same as ever because she’s ok with all the fascism.

When the time comes, can someone etch this quote onto John Roberts' gravestone?

Measuring Transgender and Nonbinary Identities in Online Surveys: Evidence from Two National Election Studies Measuring Transgender and Nonbinary Identities in Online Surveys: Evidence from Two National Election Studies By Quinn M. Albaugh, Queen’s University, Allison Harell, Université du Québec…

What Texas redistricting fight means as FBI joins hunt for absent Democrats @globalnews.ca included expert insight from Prof @matthewlebo.bsky.social in an explainer article about why Republican lawmakers in Texas are pushing to redraw the state’s congressional maps. globalnews.ca/news/1132228...

#polisky #psjminfo We're hiring for three faculty positions in the Department of Political Science at the University of South Carolina. All 3 positions are part of an internal departmental cluster hire in the thematic area of Problems of Democracy. A 🧵on the positions. 1/

Yesterday's BLS July jobs report was released 8.5 hours after July ended (or 5.5 hours Pacific). Also keep that in mind when wondering why updates/revisions are necessary.

This workshop is going to be great fun, and I really look forward to meeting everyone! It would mean a lot to me if you signed up!

You know, Donald Trump doesn't have to make all of my pessimism seem prophetic.

So much for objective economic data on the U.S. economy. It was hard enough convincing partisans that the economy was doing well under a president they hated or badly under a president they liked. Now we can't even tell who's right and who's just cheerleading.

U.S. job growth May-July is 106,000. Except for the Covid jobs crash (-20M in April 2020), that's the worst three month stretch since Summer 2010.

JOB ADVERTISEMENT-POSSIBILITÉ D’EMPLOI #CPSA_ACSPJobs 🔴Assist Prof T🛤️International Politics ⏰Sept 30 2025 👉 conta.cc/3ITElIW @raulpachecovega.bsky.social #polisci @csnrec.bsky.social #cdnpoli #PoliSciTwitter @jonathanmalloy.bsky.social @emmettmacfarlane.com

Political Science at Western University, Canada is searching for three tenure track assistant professors. There are two ads, one in International Politics (IR or comparative) and one in Comparative or Canadian. Ads are here: www.uwo.ca/facultyrelat...

Nice dangle.

Trump at 37% with Gallup is the start of interesting territory. It usually takes sustained bad news to keep him from bouncing back. Second Q GDP numbers will be out soon... news.gallup.com/poll/692879/...

Reminder that political scientists developed several objective measures of the fairness of districting plans but John Roberts called these measures “sociological gobbledygook” and ruled that there’s was no way to measure the fairness of districting plans so when it comes to gerrymandering, YOLO.

Moneyball is the closest thing there is to an instructional video for being a department chair at mid-sized public university.

This does capture a small set of single issue voters.

My op-ed @thestar.com : Trump's tariffs: U.S. president Trump is motivated by the spectacle of it all. www.thestar.com/opinion/cont...

The academic pages of Reddit are full of stories of PhD students whose offers have been rescinded due to pulled NIH funding. Western is stepping up and offering expedited admissions and excellent funding to these deserving students: www.forbes.com/sites/michae...

I wrote an op-ed in December about Canada's opportunities as the U.S. government was about to attack science and universities. Six months later, not much has happened here. Me: "it wouldn't take deep thought to catch up." "It takes some big number (of dollars) and a plan."

Is T losing support in a meaningful way? Like, could it turn Congressional Rs or end mass deportations? Not at this rate. T hit 37% in '17 and 34% after Jan 6, '21. His floor is higher now. The half-life of his worst actions is a week or two, then reversion back to low-40s. He's safe structurally.

Congress shall make no law... abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the government for a redress of grievances. Unless Trump doesn't like it and then it will be met with very heavy force.

Upcoming talk June 25th at 1pm Eastern/6pm BST/10am Pacific Siblings, Disability and Care: Cocreation during Times of Transition with Pamela Block Helen Ries and @dimakassem Hosted by the @siblingstudies www.tickettailor.com/events/unive...

When Johnson says "This is what a record number of 77 million popular votes requested and demanded" how about an interviewer try "Biden got 81 million votes in 2020, so 77 million was not a record. You know that but you lie about it. Why can't you stop? Why should we believe you about the deficit?"

boy Ontario is just so thoroughly squandering this moment

The worst part of science reporting right now is chronicling the expertise that will be lost. My latest piece for @nature.com

The absolute disgrace taking place today in front of cameras in the White House is yet another reminder that for all the talk of Joe Biden's failures, the people who failed America the most are our citizens. Empowering this guy (again) was a foreseeable disaster we'll be lucky to survive.

The #1 reason the US has an authoritarian president is because 49.9% of Americans chose to vote for the authoritarian.

In some alternate-universes: 1) Biden resigned earlier, Harris became president and 1a) won primaries and ran as incumbent, or 1b) lost the primaries; 2) Biden announced he wasn't running earlier but didn't resign and 2b) Harris won competitive primaries, or 2b) Someone else did; 3) Biden ran.

Mark Carney has already won a big concession for Canada. Trump just gave us Alex Ovechkin.

This demonstrates a key failure of American journalism. The interviewer has some set of questions he insists on covering as his story. He won't just focus in on a single batshit crazy lie to demonstrate that the president is a batshit crazy liar and make that the story.

"From this day forward, our country will flourish and be respected again all over the world." Trump, Jan. 20, 2025. Here's your flourishing with negative GDP growth:

Sounding Trumpy proved to be a pretty time-limited electoral strategy for Piere Poilievre.

$Carney_{t-1}$: "I'm going to govern in Econometrics." I am so ready for that.

To my American friends: As Trump shuts down your LGBT+ suicide and mental health crisis hotline during these trying times, Canada has added a US toll-free number to ours so you can get help anytime you need at no cost. Kindness and empathy have no borders. 1-877-330-6366 Canada cares

CNN misusing English helps sell it: Deportatation (noun): "the removal from a country of an alien whose presence is unlawful or prejudicial." Vs: Expatriation (noun): "the forced removal from a homeland." or Exile (noun): "the state or a period of forced absence from one's country or home."