Check out The Qualitative Metamorphosis in @comppol.bsky.social! Great review by @ajayverghese.bsky.social of books by @saragoodman.bsky.social, Jen Cyr, @marioluissmall.bsky.social, Jessica Calarco, @alanjacobs.bsky.social, and @macartan.bsky.social. 👇 www.ingentaconnect.com/content/cuny...

NEW - Exposure to Confederate Monuments: The Political Effect of Non-Intervention - https://cup.org/42ZHRc0 "results highlight the potential negative consequences of maintaining controversial commemorations" - Ana Ruipérez Núñez #OpenAccess

Public service decline → more far-right support: I summarize evidence from several coauthored studies in a new post for the @kpolanyisociety.bsky.social series on Fascism and Liberalism.

New UN report warns that welfare cuts can fuel far-right support. It features my work on public service deprivation with @paularettl.bsky.social @catherinedevries.bsky.social @marcocappelluti.bsky.social and on climate-related disasters and far-right incumbents with @pstanig.bsky.social

This new report of the UN Special Rapporteur on extreme poverty and human rights docs.un.org/en/A/80/138 cites my work on trade shocks and economic nationalism with Italo Colantone, but also a paper of mine on extreme weather events with @simonecremaschi.bsky.social.

Cool paper by @eddieyang.bsky.social, confirming our LLM hacking findings (arxiv.org/abs/2509.08825): ✓ LLMs are brittle data annotators ✓ Downstream conclusions flip frequently: LLM hacking risk is real! ✓ Bias correction methods can help but have trade-offs ✓ Use human expert whenever possible

Why do rustbelts vote radical right? Studying the German Ruhr area, @nilsblossey.bsky.social, @lstoetze.bsky.social and I show: it’s not just about deindustrialization, but also about the original industrialization. Where coal is buried deeper and mining started later, the AfD is stronger today 1/12

1st article from my dissertation is out in Perspectives today!! two takeaways: a) knowledge economy 'winners' may not be subject to status loss but they sure care about status preservation & b) this is consequential for their attitudes re: immigration & diversity. Thnx 2 all along this journey!!

A great scholar and a very good friend coming to Milan: Ursula Daxecker. Thursday 16 October, 3 pm.

Muchas gracias @ipp-csic.bsky.social for the warm welcome and the insightful questions. Hasta pronto!

Looking forward to visiting @ipp-csic.bsky.social and presenting joint work with @siennanordquist.bsky.social @mattiacecchi2000.bsky.social @catherinedevries.bsky.social!

Just out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social 🚨 Together with @dschraff.bsky.social, I ask: Is the urban–rural divide in Europe affectively polarised? 👉 journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.... 1/7 🧵

Good report by @thinktankeuropa.bsky.social on the state of climate and energy policies in Italy. Il Bel Paese is powered by dirty fuels, despite all the EU state aid meant to foster the energy transition (plus another hundred reasons to do the transition) thinkeuropa.dk/files/media/...

"Do Integration Courses Influence Refugees’ Integration Trajectories? Evidence from Norway" by Jeremy Ferwerda and Henning Finseraas. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Now out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social. In our new article, @denis-cohen.bsky.social @thmskrr.bsky.social and I show that where local rent prices increase more, residents with lower incomes become more likely to support the radical right AfD. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

"Common decency stigmatizes people that do not participate in it—removes them from voluntary association. We indeed have to live with one another, but terms and conditions apply." me on why Ezra Klein should be ashamed / why shame is Good Actually www.bostonreview.net/articles/how...

It is the time of the year when I tell you about my favorite post-doc ever 👇 Unless you are allergic to the French, this one sits up there with the Nuffield postdoc (life style, productivity, interdisciplinary stimulation). Share widely! Apply! #poliscky www.iast.fr/research-fel...

Proper thread after the summer break– but if you were looking for a beach read about political reasoning in today's working class, look no further: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

🚨 New working paper alert 🚨 Missing summer — and the Tour de France? Don’t worry, we got you covered. 🚴‍♂️🚴‍♂️🚴‍♂️ In this paper, we show that being on the route of Tour de France reduces far-right voting. osf.io/preprints/so...

I wrote a longer essay on how social status matters for far-right support. Many still wrongly associate the far right with the economically left behind. Taking social status seriously also cautions against the idea that deliverism will win back far-right voters. equitablegrowth.org/threats-to-s...

🚨 New pre-print with @sergioloiacono.bsky.social We ran 3 large-scale experiments in 🇬🇧to investigate how perceived asylum-seeking legality, public preferences for refugee relocation, and inclusionary attitudes are shaped by symbolic and strategic boundaries doi.org/10.31235/osf...

I am beyond excited to announce that ggplot2 4.0.0 has just landed on CRAN. It's not every day we have a new major #ggplot2 release but it is a fitting 18 year birthday present for the package. Get an overview of the release in this blog post and be on the lookout for more in-depth posts #rstats

📘 64.4 How do welfare systems shape views on immigration? A 🇪🇺 study from @alinavranceanu.bsky.social & @bpetrova.bsky.social finds: Generous welfare → more positive attitudes toward immigrants Welfare cuts → increased hostility (evidence from 🇩🇰) Read more:

Radical-right parties are often linked to the “left-behind”. But supporting them when stigma is strong is costly. So who is willing to pay that cost early on, before it’s normalized? In my new WP, I argue that breaking political norms is socially stratified. 🧵👇

We show that social democratic parties receive more support when they don't move right here: muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl... Here: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1... And here: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... And a whole book where this is a main point: www.cambridge.org/core/books/b...

We have a paper on how Labour's strategy is disastrous. There's an exclusive coverage in @newstatesman.com www.newstatesman.com/politics/202...

Delighted to share that I have been awarded an ERC Starting Grant for my project “Lost in the Green Transition: Local Collective Greenloss Identity, Anti-Climate Attitudes and Radical Right Support.” #ERCStG More soon on #GREENLOSS. A huge thank you to friends and colleagues who made this possible!

It's very human to only double check that a process is working when you get a weird result. It's also very bad practice, because sometimes your "right" result is due to a bad process and you will be misled. Social scientists (economists) do this kind of asymmetric checking. arxiv.org/pdf/2508.20069

Read our Gould prize winning article, "The Great Separation: Top Earner Segregation at Work in Advanced Capitalist Economies." Available for free for the next 30 days. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/731603

🚨New Peer-Reviewed Working Paper @mpimmg.bsky.social I introduce quantitative political science data and methods to compare immigration law. A revised version will appear as a Chapter in the Oxford Handbook of Comparative Immigration Law. www.samdschmid.com/publications...

✨Very happy to see my paper "Attitudinal ambivalence toward multiculturalism" out on @jeppjournal.bsky.social ! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 1/8 🧵

🔥 Call for papers for EPSS 2026 in Belfast: migration, forced displacement, mobility, borders, asylum, diaspora, and other migration-related topics. Excited to co-chair the Migration Politics section with @kristinabsimonsen.bsky.social. Submit proposals by Nov 7! #EPSS2026

📢 Call for Papers – London Experimental Seminar Series (LESS) in Political Science @lsegovernment.bsky.social. We are launching a new forum for experimental political science research: First seminar: 19/11/2025. Deadline: 31/08/2025. Submit here: forms.gle/ZUJcBbZoDoaY...

Honored to share that our book Money Flows: The Political Consequences of Migrant Remittances with David Doyle @hectorsolaz.bsky.social & @ktertytchnaya.bsky.social was awarded the APSA Migration & Citizenship Best Book Award! Grateful to the committee & thrilled to see our work recognized. 🙏🏼

Apply to EuroWEPS 12/13! We're organizing the next EuroWEPS workshops at Bocconi (Nov 14) and EUI (Dec 15) to discuss designs/papers focusing on causal inference. No presentations, just constructive discussions. Early career scholars are especially welcome to apply! Submission deadline is Sep 30

Vicente Valentim, Elias Dinas, & I came together to do this paper because we have all long shared an intution: mainstream center-right rhetoric shapes democratic norms. The hard part? Showing it empirically. We make some headway in this new paper. Grateful to @bjpols.bsky.social for publishing.

👏🎉 Congratulations to @egocantos.bsky.social - awarded the 2025 Alexander George Best Article Award from @apsa.bsky.social’s Qualitative and Multi-Methods Research section for his article 'Aligning Interviewing with Process Tracing'!: www.politics.ox.ac.uk/news/dpirs-e...

📢 New Publication 📢 📄 Review article in Nature Climate Change It examines how resistance to climate policy is reshaping politics & why populist right parties are the main beneficiaries? (with Valentina Bosseti, Italo Colantone & Giorgio Musto) Short 🧵 🔗 www.nature.com/articles/s41...

The European Political Science Society is now accepting paper & panel proposals for its annual conference! 📢 Call for Papers: EPSS 2026 – Belfast
 🗓️ June 18–20, 2026
 📍 ICC Belfast
 📬 Deadline: Nov 7, 2025 🧵

New article out at the American Journal of Political Science: "The Troubles and Beyond: The impact of a museum exhibit on a post‐conflict society." With Dr. Elsa Voytas. Open access here: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

Public Service Decline and Support for the Populist Right: "Our findings underscore the role of public service decline as a driver of support for populist parties, especially in areas undergoing demographic change"

Can banning political ideologies protect democracy? 🛡️🆚🗣️ Our (w. @valentimvicente.bsky.social) paper finds: punishing individuals might backfire. We study a West German policy banning "extreme left" individuals from working for the state. #Democracy #PoliticalScience 🧵 url: osf.io/usqdb_v2

I worry that these data will be used to support dangerous stereotypes about faculty in the social sciences, arts, and humanities. Basically, it might seem like faculty in those fields are slacking off after tenure, but there's a much more straightforward explanation. 1/🧵

New WP w/ @riazsascha.bsky.social: via >42 million placebo tests, we show type I error inflation in Unexpected Event during Survey Designs (UESD), propose an adjustment, implement via new R package uesdRobust, and demonstrate utility by replicating two top UESD studies. osf.io/preprints/os... 1/9

Together with @jellekoedam.bsky.social, @tinepaulsen.bsky.social, and @nicolaiberk.bsky.social, we brought together an amazing group of researchers doing exciting work here in Zurich — and it turned into a super fun, engaging workshop. Huge thanks to everyone who joined and made it so special!

Today was the last day of my 13th and final EPSA conference. I spent 3 days with great colleagues and saw some fantastic research being presented. A thread on how EPSA has changed for me over the years thanks to the tireless work of many people. Especially those on the diversity committee. 1/

If you have not read @kenbenoit.bsky.social statement, please do! And support @epssnet.bsky.social by becoming a member today! www.linkedin.com/pulse/suppor...

🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨 We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community. 🔗 epssnet.org Here’s a thread with everything you need to know. 🧵

a new article in Political Psychology: osf.io/rhf4q we argue that studies of belief change have an identifiability problem much like the APC problem: the composition of change (who changed or how much they changed) is observationally confounded. with @pablobellode.bsky.social & @stephenvaisey.com: