NEW 🧵: We mapped our 2024 presidential election data by congressional district for the 2026 map. Due to new GOP gerrymanders, the median seat went from AZ-01 at Trump+3.1 on the 2024 map to VA-01 at Trump+4.9, 3.5 points to the right of the country. Trump won a 235-200 majority, up by 5 from 2024

Parked but not idle: The buses “will charge up their nearly 200-kilowatt-hour batteries overnight, when the power supply is at its cleanest & cheapest, then send energy back to the grid from 4 pm to 7 pm on days when the grid is strained. The district will earn revenue for the power it shares…”

This was truly one of the best - and best organized! - conferences I’ve ever attended. What a truly impressive start! (With huge thanks to everyone who made it happen, especially the organizers.)

Climate.us is officially live! After NOAA ended Climate.gov’s day-to-day operations in 2025, former team members built Climate.us to carry that work forward. Their explanations and graphics have always stood out to me as clear, accessible, and transparent. I’m really looking forward to this reboot.

A new Gallup poll found Americans associate the American Dream with freedom, financial security and success. But more Americans say they feel financially worse off than before, while even more are worried about finding or keeping a job. https://wapo.st/4ezfUga

'When solar and wind power are combined with battery storage, they can undercut new gas power, challenging one of the fossil fuel industry’s arguments against renewables: that they cannot provide 24/7 electricity when the sun isn’t shining or the wind isn’t blowing.' www.euronews.com/2026/05/08/r...

A Wall Street Journal poll finds that even the wealthiest worry about financial security for themselves and their children. on.wsj.com/4w1TriV

Honestly… it’s a cultural experience. 😅 Especially when it comes to customer service.

We have created a Bluesky account for the WhoGov project, which we will use for updates, sharing research on political elites, & data visualizations. We are working on many new projects, including a new webpage (will be launched in July), gathering more data, a R-package, and we even got a new logo

Adults on Medicaid will be required to work 80 hours per month. The Trump administration says people who are sick will have to prove they are too sick to work to be exempt from the new work rules. n.pr/3RK4U7X

💻 #BigTech consumes massive amounts of energy & water. IIPP Professor @ceciliarikap.bsky.social & @silviaweko.bsky.social explore how Google & Amazon are positioning themselves to control ecological transition paths for their purposes. ✍️ Read their paper here: buff.ly/IPwShlQ

Introducing Dr. Noah Pruitt (@noahpruitt99.bsky.social)! I am incredibly proud of you, and I look forward to everything you will accomplish. Sincere thanks to a wonderful and supportive committee. (@fthames.bsky.social, Sayan Banerjee, and Austin McCrea)

A survey of Midwestern lenders showed repayment rates are down while demand for loans was rising. on.wsj.com/4nWdSLq

File under: stressful academic emails. (I’m not sure why Toronto decided that I should receive an email about teaching Canadian politics, but, even if it applied, the Spring semester literally JUST wrapped up. 😳)

“It’s just frustrating to see them come into our community and run all over us like the citizens don’t matter, and then they’re above the law when they do break it,” resident, James Clifton said. www.politico.com/news/2026/05...

"All 22 members of the advisory board that advises and oversees the US National Science Foundation (NSF), a leading funder of basic science, were fired on 24 April without explanation." www.nature.com/articles/d41...

Given the persistent disruptions from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, @cronco.bsky.social and I have written a substack article about how Europe’s fossil fuel dependence is now as much about macroeconomic resilience as climate. A 🧵. #Iran #Inflation #Energy open.substack.com/pub/outsampl...

… www.theguardian.com/world/2026/a...

Why I don't expect liberal democracy to go away any time soon: My article on the resilience of liberal democracy, published in @jeppjournal.bsky.social. Perfectly timed to the day after Orbáns defeat and a small spike in "democracy-optimism". There are, I argue, good reasons for such optimism.

Party ID “explains far more variation in elite climate beliefs than ideology, trust in science, or broader conspiratorial predispositions.”

The U.S. Department of Homeland Security issued a nationwide alert late last year to law enforcement agencies: Harassment of judges has surged, and the trend is likely to continue. The New York Times has identified thousands of threats targeting state judges in the past three years alone.

New in @science.org ‼️ In the most comprehensive study to date, we show that wildlife trade is driving animal-to-human zoonotic spillover at a planetary scale, with +1 spillover per host every 10 years. Live animal markets and illegal trade pose even greater risks. 🔓 www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

Thrilled that my paper (w/@sarahobolt.bsky.social,@catherinedevries.bsky.social,@simonecremaschi.bsky.social) was accepted at the American Political Science Review! We find that declining public services fuel support for the populist right — and show why the right benefits more than other parties 🧵

A fascinating thread. (Also fantastic if you are teaching research design.)

More than 10,000 veterans lost their homes to foreclosure since May of last year, when the Trump admin shut down a key safety net in the VA home loan program, according to the latest industry data. That is the highest pace of foreclosures for VA loans in a decade.

It is out! We find that linked fate (or lack thereof) helps explain 2024 Trump support in young Latinos. @mattlamb.bsky.social @landgravephd.bsky.social spssi.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

Do the clothes make the candidate? In my paper with Steven Perry, we find candidates who dress more formally were perceived as more politically sophisticated, & indirectly had increased support. The text complexity of candidate messages had no effect. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

My @nytopinion.nytimes.com piece discusses the failures of Trump's strategy to create manufacturing jobs--but puts it in the broader context of the previous failures to achieve this goal and why it isn't the right goal to start with. www.nytimes.com/2026/04/02/o...

This is exceptionally interesting. "Each $1,000 increase in maximum EITC benefits cut voter turnout by 0.5 percentage points, reduced Democratic identification by 1.8 points, and raised Republican identification by 1.1 points." The mechanisms point toward the importance of environmental factors.

"Those with an immigration background from established democracies are more likely to support green parties than those from (post-)authoritarian regimes. [...] immigrants build on experiences from their origin country when participating in politics in their host country."

Ukraine war briefing: Children ordered to leave key Ukrainian stronghold as Russians advance

I have a new story with @rebeccafelliott.bsky.social on how Meta and others, seeking power for data centers, are building their own power plants. These projects have transformed places like New Albany, Ohio, where farmland has given way to industry. Gift link: www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

When you have nice colleagues. :)

"AI is an extractive technology that relies on the brutal labor of underpaid workers around the world. For years, the work of African data labelers has been more or less “ghost work,” the unseen, hidden labor that lets American tech companies build their products." www.404media.co/ai-is-africa...

This will be the 3rd edition. If you study pol. behaviour and work on #CEE, this is the right place to present your research. Dates: June 25-26. Discussants include @simonhix.bsky.social & @eliasdinas.bsky.social. Highlight: roundtable on dem. erosion with H. Kriesi, M. Svolik & N. Wunsch.

🚨New version of paper🚨 osf.io/preprints/os... How do oligarchs shape policy outcomes in developing democracies? I argue they do so through informal networks of legislators personally linked to them. Using unique quantitative & qualitative evidence from Ukraine, I show that:

🌀 👣 @alinavranceanu.bsky.social & @bpetrova.bsky.social show that in Western Europe, generous #welfare systems – perhaps counterintuitively – make natives more favourably inclined toward #immigrants. 💸Indeed, cutting benefits risks exacerbating anti-immigrant sentiment 👇🏾

The Biden Admin directed hundreds of billions to clean energy/manufacturing. Did these investments shift public opinion? We find that these projects are visible but not traceable: People notice nearby investments, but connect them to Governors, not Biden. Thread 👇 www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

Left vs Right is becoming personal 🔴🔵 New cross-national evidence by N. Lin, L.P. Santoso & R.T. Stevenson shows voters in Western democracies are developing emotional attachments to the Left and Right as social groups, but how will this impact voting?

In this Element, @fthames.bsky.social + @ladyprofessor.bsky.social takes a large-N approach to exploring whether inequality variation in states at conflict leads to variation in women's health outcomes. Free to download now! 2/ www.cambridge.org/core/element...

William Shakespeare, 400 years ago. 👏

Look at how being diagnosed with cancer impacts people's involvement in crime!

Major loss of manufacturing jobs during Trump 2.0's first year in office. Unsurprisingly, clean energy manufacturing hit especially hard ... www.eenews.net/articles/us-...

📢 Publication alert: Governments are investing in digitalization intensively, but we know little about who supports this policy. We investigate this question in this new article with Alex Kuo, @retobuergisser.bsky.social, and @siljahausermann.bsky.social published at JEPP doi.org/10.1080/1350... 🧵

New article by Ayelén Vanegas. It explores how redistributive attitudes react to citizens' evaluations of policy results. It is a fascinating analysis of the conditions under which beneficiaries of social policies cease to support them. Fantastic work. www.ingentaconnect.com/content/cuny...

Copies arrived, finally! Thanks @oxunipress.bsky.social Thanks to all contributors to this thoughtful volume.

Excited to share my latest article, in first view at Political Research Quarterly: doi.org/10.1177/1065...

We are looking for a postdoc!

Gabriel Zucman on the shocking concentration of extreme wealth in the United States…. gzucman.substack.com?r=nle0&utm_c...