Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
š¤ 115278
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š 2169
Contributor
@the-downballot.com
. Democracy, voting rights, redistricting, and maps.
pinned post!
Thread: Republicans won the Senate in 2024 despite Democrats winning more votes & representing more people nationwide. Republicans last won more support than Democrats in the 1990s but won the Senate anyway in 7 of 13 elections since 2000. Data & charts below:
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
about 1 year ago
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This is pretty clever lol. (Although some of these aren't actually gerrymandered, like California's old 43d District as the "T")
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about 14 hours ago
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NEW: Maryland Gov. Wes Moore's advisory redistricting commission has recommended a proposed congressional map that would likely turn MD's 7-1 Democratic majority into an 8-0 edge & flip GOP-held District 1
www.wbal.com/maryland-red...
Interactive map with data
davesredistricting.org/join/06423fc...
about 16 hours ago
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Cooper Lund
about 22 hours ago
Paul's back and he nails it here
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#1 Nate Blouin for Congress Stan
about 22 hours ago
This also has the Dem held Supreme Court seat at: 42% GOP 41% Dem This is not a race we can afford to lose so if youāre thinking about races to help instead of helping Roy Cooper help Anita Earls
secure.actblue.com/donate/dw_ncsc
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Taniel
about 22 hours ago
NEWS: No one filed to challenge two conservative/Republican justices on the Nevada supreme court who are up for reelection this year. The deadline was a few days ago. They will run for new terms unopposed.
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Andrea Pitzer
1 day ago
I wrote about how concentration camp regimes evolve and why it's not too late to stop this, even though we are deep in it now.
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Into the abyss
The correct response to Dachau was not better training for the guards.
https://degenerateart.beehiiv.com/p/into-the-abyss
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These are the last three justices we would want to write the Voting Rights Act decision š¬
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about 23 hours ago
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Sam Shirazi
1 day ago
Governor Spanberger made her first address to the General Assembly today She gave her most clear statement of support for Dems redistricting efforts The fact that voters have to approve it gives her some political cover But the exact map still have to be released
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Andy Craig
1 day ago
I'm sympathetic to the notion we should have compassionate release policies regarding senior citizens in prison. But Tina Peters is an exceptionally bad way to make that point. She's not special. Or rather, she's special in a way that cuts heavily the other direction:
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The Colorado Governor Should Reject Trumpās Demand to Pardon a Convicted Election Saboteur
Jared Polis will jeopardize our democracy by freeing Tina Peters
https://www.theunpopulist.net/p/the-colorado-governor-should-reject
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Kevin Elliott
2 days ago
WHOA This is so important because one of the key challenges to restoring a democracy after considerable autocratization is that of "burrowed loyalists" who've captured institutional checks & abuse them to sabotage a return to democracy. Yet targeting them looks like further democratic erosion!
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David Dayen
2 days ago
The labor share of GDP is lower today than it has been at any time since records began being kept in 1947. The share of the nationās income going to workers has fallen 16 points in that 78-year stretch. The share going to capital has risen by the same amount.
prospect.org/2026/01/19/a...
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A New Low for American Workers
The share of American income going to labor is at its lowest level since measurements began.
https://prospect.org/2026/01/19/american-workers-labor-bureau-labor-statistics-gdp-redistribution-wealth/
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Omar Wasow
12 months ago
Iāve been studying civil rights protests for 20 years. With new mobilization against Trumpās agenda, Iām sharing a thread summarizing my research on how nonviolent & violent actions by 1960s activists and police influenced media, elites, public opinion & voters. 1/
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
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jamelle
2 days ago
i think this MLK day the thing to focus on is the strategic focus and tactical brilliance of the civil rights movement and the way it was laser focused on a set of achievable goals
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Aaron Sojourner
2 days ago
Americans' economic and political pains mainly stem from unprecedented concentration of our wealth, a few dozen mega-billionaires control 12%. They buy a lot of politicians, media outlets, & influencers to distract from their power by blaming our pain on immigrants, DEI, women's careers...
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Don Moynihan
2 days ago
"Minnesota is under siege. It might not yet be a civil war, but what the White House has dubbed āOperation Metro Surgeā is definitely not just ā or even primarily ā an immigration enforcement operation. It is an occupation designed to punish and terrorize anyone who dares defy this incursion..."
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Steve Vladeck
2 days ago
"Expanding candidate standing while continuing to restrict legislative standing appears to be yet another data point for the current Courtās inclination to limit legislative power especially when itās being invoked in an attempt to rein in the executive branch." New "One First" on
#SCOTUS
in Bost:
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203. Legislative Standing and/After Bost
The theory on which five justices concluded that candidates for office have standing to challenge election rules is difficultāat bestāto reconcile with the Court's hostility to legislative standing.
https://www.stevevladeck.com/p/203-legislative-standing-andafter
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Taniel
3 days ago
Portugal held its presidential election today. The center-left grabbed the first spot, and moved on to runoff and will be favored. Far-right candidate surged to grab other runoff spot, for the first time. (Outgoing is a mainstream conservative.)
www.politico.eu/article/far-...
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Logan Lucky was joking about these sequels being delayed š¢ š„š¦š¤š¢š„š¦ š¢šØš°
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3 days ago
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Mark Copelovitch
3 days ago
The song is the same everywhere
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G Elliott Morris
3 days ago
Gallego ("moderate" Dem) is going with "ICE needs to be totally torn down" (not "reform and retrain"). This is a pivot point for the country on immigration. You have been seeing this in the data for a while, and now officials are snapping to the public opinion
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/ice-is-a-7...
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This was epitomized by Trump supporters getting angry at NPR when it tweeted the full text of the Declaration of Independence one July 4th
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3 days ago
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Osita Nwanevu
3 days ago
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Brendan Nyhan
3 days ago
The president -Is occupying a major city with armed paramilitiaries -Is blackmailing treaty allies to hand over their sovereign territory -Is trying to set himself up as chairman for life of a UN rival with $1B fees for permanent membership -Is talking about canceling elections
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The constitutionās biggest failing (aside from protecting slavery) was the presidential system and its failure to anticipate that multiple parties are the basis for a stable democracy. Trump almost certainly never would have taken over the executive in a proportionally elected parliamentary system
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4 days ago
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Iām looking forward to the day when Democrats retake North Carolinaās Supreme Court, strike down the GOPās gerrymanders, and Dems win back the legislature. Then they can similarly oust all the rich guy Republicans who are undermining public education and academic freedom via the UNC system boards
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4 days ago
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Utah Republicans have proposed several bills designed to tighten their grip on the judiciary after it ruled against their gerrymandersāincluding packing the state Supreme Court
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https://www.abc4.com/news/politics/inside-utah-politics/utah-republican-lawmakers-judicial-retention-elections/
4 days ago
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Tom Pepinsky
4 days ago
This is all ā all of it ā downstream of malapportionment in democratic systems. The world over, most people vote with their feet by moving to big multicultural cities. And the left-behind rural populations ā in big, empty, and declining constituencies ā use their vote to complain about it.
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This is the president pro tem of Virginiaās state Senate calling out the stateās U.S. senators for not being aggressive enough in countering Republican gerrymandering šµ (She also turns 82 years old next week!)
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5 days ago
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If Virginia voters approve this amendment this spring, Democrats could redraw the congressional map in response to mid-decade Republican gerrymanders elsewhere. Hereās an example of how Democrats could target 4 GOP seats to gain a 10-1 majority in November
davesredistricting.org/join/5429402...
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5 days ago
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This is the president pro tem of Virginiaās state Senate calling out the stateās U.S. senators for not being aggressive enough in countering Republican gerrymandering šµ (She also turns 82 years old next week!)
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5 days ago
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Taniel
5 days ago
JUST IN: Virginia's legislature just adopted a constitutional amendment that would end Virginia's rules that ban people from voting for life. Virginia currently is the only state that strips people of voting rights for life for any felony. Youngkin rolled back reforms. Now going to a referendum.
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Virginia Lawmakers Ask Voters to Repeal a Jim Crow-Era Lifetime Ban on Voting - Bolts
Voters will decide this year whether to end Virginiaās uniquely harsh felony disenfranchisement rules. They'll also vote on abortion, gay marriage, and redistricting.
https://boltsmag.org/virginia-constitutional-amendment-to-repeal-lifetime-ban-on-voting/
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If Virginia voters approve this amendment this spring, Democrats could redraw the congressional map in response to mid-decade Republican gerrymanders elsewhere. Hereās an example of how Democrats could target 4 GOP seats to gain a 10-1 majority in November
davesredistricting.org/join/5429402...
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5 days ago
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Sam Shirazi
5 days ago
Virginia redistricting referendum amendment has officially passed the Virginia General Assembly Still needs a date for the referendum Then voters will need to give it their blessing There also state legal challenges But the process continues to move along
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Omar Wasow
8 days ago
Itās cold comfort right now but, if past is prologue, spectacles of violence committed by the state against sympathetic civiliansāespecially when captured on cameraāwere the beginning of the end for Bull Connor and Jim Crow, too.
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Sherrilyn Ifill
5 days ago
So she had a pulse. Thatās what the doctor on the scene wanted to check. She wasnāt breathing, but she had a pulse. He could have started CPR right away. Instead ICE barred the doctor from attending her and waited 15 mins for EMT to get to her.
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NPR
5 days ago
A South Korean court has sentenced former President Yoon Suk Yeol to five years in prison, the first verdict in eight criminal trials for allegations that include his 2024 martial law decree.
n.pr/4jG1fBS
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A South Korean court sentences Yoon to 5 years in prison on charges related to martial law decree
A South Korean court has sentenced former President Yoon Suk Yeol to five years in prison, the first verdict in eight criminal trials for allegations that include his 2024 martial law decree.
https://n.pr/4jG1fBS
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Kyle Clark
6 days ago
I read this is the clearest sign yet that Gov Jared Polis (D) will grant clemency to Tina Peters. Well done by
@ryanhasaquestion.bsky.social
, asking a new question about deeply-covered topic.
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Don Moynihan
6 days ago
The scale and speed of state censorship of campus really is amazing. More than half of America's college students attend institutions in states that have passed laws censoring higher education since 2021. From
@penamerica.bsky.social
pen.org/report/ameri...
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Taniel
6 days ago
DeSantis appoints a new supreme court justice in Florida āĀ a reliable conservative who, in a lower court, sided with him in the most fight over gerrymandering.
jaxtrib.org/2026/01/15/b...
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Before ascending to Florida Supreme Court, judge backed DeSantisā redistricting push
First District Court of Appeal Judge Adam Tanenbaum would be a critical ally to DeSantis on a high court that the governor has already shaped significantly.
https://jaxtrib.org/2026/01/15/before-ascending-to-florida-supreme-court-judge-backed-desantis-redistricting-push/
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He has affected to render the Military independent of and superior to the Civil power. He has abdicated Government here, by declaring us out of his Protection and waging War against us.
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6 days ago
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The Republican effort to gerrymander New Hampshireās congressional map and flip a Democratic seat appears to be dead
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Congressional redistricting effort in N.H. effectively dead, as sympathetic GOP lawmaker cites lack of āpolitical willā - The Boston Globe
A key Republican state lawmaker in New Hampshire came out against a mid-decade redistricting proposal Wednesday, all but guaranteeing an end to the push to redraw the stateās congressional maps ahead ...
https://www.bostonglobe.com/2026/01/14/metro/nh-congress-redistrict-republican-trump/
6 days ago
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Aaron Rupar
6 days ago
Trump to Reuters about the midterm elections: "When you think of it, we shouldn't even have an election."
www.reuters.com/world/us/fiv...
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Chris Ingraham
6 days ago
Another critical piece of missing context in this story: tax dollars flow from the MSP metro to rural Minnesota. People in the city subsidize the lifestyles of people living in the country
minnesotareformer.com/2023/12/04/t...
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jamelle
6 days ago
looks like donald trump used the military to do a smash and grab for his personal benefit
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Taniel
6 days ago
Virginia's legislative session only started yesterday, and it was a very big day. The House already passed four constitutional amendments on Day 1: āprotect abortion rights ārepeal the same-sex marriage ban āallow mid-decade redistricting āgreatly expand voting rights restoration. Next: Senate.
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Vicente Valentim
6 days ago
Apologies for being self-referential but
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Darin Self
7 days ago
How bad are things? European countries are asking Germany for their military to comin into their countries to protect them from Americans.
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Chris Geidner
7 days ago
BREAKING: Three-judge panel, on a 2-1 vote, refuses to block California from using its mid-decade redistricting map.
storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
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Don Moynihan
7 days ago
We are so far beyond "show us your papers." They don't want to see the papers. We are now into the "give us the names" stage of the occupation.
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The Redistrict Network (mirror š¤)
7 days ago
#BREAKING:
Virginia Democrats plan to release proposed new congressional maps by January 30. The referendum on the proposed maps would take place in April 2026.
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BK (@BradKutner)
Timeline for #redistricting? āWill get out of #valeg this week, referendum in April, modified primary schedule, Nov elections - VOTERS WILL SEE THE MAPS VEFORE THEY VOTE - MAPS BY JAN 30ā - but no maps yet, but theyāre taking suggestions #ET @DelCiaPrice85 https://t.co/fLubDg56rM
https://xcancel.com/BradKutner/status/2011463669809389831
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