Jeff Singer
@jeffsinger.bsky.social
📤 2888
📥 380
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Managing Editor at The Downballot. Email jeffsinger -at- the-downballot -dot- com
pinned post!
This took a ton of work, but as Robert Caro says, "It’s not about how long it takes to make. It’s about whether it will endure."
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7 months ago
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Jeff Singer
The Downballot
about 1 hour ago
Rep. Eric Swalwell has joined the large field of Democrats running for governor of California.
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East Bay Rep. Eric Swalwell Announces Run for California Governor | KQED
The East Bay congressman entered the 2026 campaign Thursday with an appearance on “Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
https://www.kqed.org/news/12064922/eric-swalwell-california-governor-race
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Jeff Singer
The Downballot
3 days ago
Whoa: A federal court just barred Texas from using its new congressional map, drawn by the GOP to target Dems. "Substantial evidence shows that Texas racially gerrymandered the 2025 Map." Court says the old map must be used in 2026. Appeals are certain.
storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
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Nathaniel Rakich
4 days ago
The Alex Isenstadt article about Republicans being worried about special elections came earlier than usual this time!
#PA18
: 6 days before
#AZ08
: 28 days before
#OH12
: 7 days before
#FL01
: 5 days before
#TN07
: 18 days before
www.axios.com/2025/11/14/t...
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Read about this race before someone tells you that "nobody" is paying attention to it!
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7 days ago
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Louisiana politics: Very often bad, very rarely boring.
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Former Louisiana House Speaker Clay Schexnayder indicted for theft of 'rare state artifact'
He was indicted after an ancient cypress board went missing from his office,
https://www.nola.com/news/courts/clay-schexnayder-louisiana-indicted/article_1b96375c-1585-4463-b1e4-7b50aca119a1.html?utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=user-share
8 days ago
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@votebeat.org
is very lucky to have the one and only
@baseballot.bsky.social
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10 days ago
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The Downballot
10 days ago
Democratic Rep. Al Green, 78, will face a much younger incumbent in next year's primary for Texas' new 18th District. He just won't learn who until next year.
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Morning Digest: Al Green will run again, setting up clash with much younger opponent
The winner of a special election next year will immediately face off against the longtime congressman
https://www.the-downballot.com/p/morning-digest-al-green-will-run
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David Nir
14 days ago
Most retrospectives of Pelosi’s career focus on her time as leader of the House. At The Downballot, we reach back much further to explain how she *got* to the House in the first place. if you want to understand how Pelosi got her start in politics, read
@jeffsinger.bsky.social
’s deep dive.
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One of my favorite discoveries while writing this was the New York Times' nondescript headline following Pelosi's first general election win: "DEMOCRAT ELECTED IN SAN FRANCISCO." Her retirement generated far different headlines!
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14 days ago
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Adam Bonin
15 days ago
For the Netroots community, for everyone who knew
@arjunjaikumar.bsky.social
when he was a guy posting on DailyKos and SSP as "brownsox" who loved writing about elections, today is a joyous day as he's been elected to the Cambridge School Board with the strong backing of the local teachers' union.
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The next time there's an article about how voter registration numbers are an omen for the next election remember: This piece ran two days before New Jersey Democrats pulled off a blowout win.
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These 13 N.J. towns saw a surprise surge in Republican voter registrations
Republicans made huge gains in some traditionally Democratic strongholds in New Jersey in recent years. See the list.
https://www.nj.com/data/2025/11/these-13-nj-towns-saw-a-surprise-surge-in-republican-voter-registrations.html
16 days ago
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The Downballot
16 days ago
It wasn't just the marquee races last night: Democrats racked up massive victories across the country and far down the ballot, pretty much everywhere. We recap *dozens* of elections in today's newsletter—almost a clean sweep for the Dems. Get caught up here!
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Morning Digest: Voters deliver massive wins to Democrats in rejection of Trump and GOP
From coast to coast, Democrats ran up the score—and ran ahead of the polls
https://www.the-downballot.com/p/morning-digest-voters-deliver-massive
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Jeff Singer
Bobby Big Wheel
16 days ago
Tuned into
@the-downballot.com
's election night stream for most of the night
open.substack.com/live-stream/...
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LIVE NOW: Election night live coverage, with The Downballot & Strength In Numbers
David Nir on Substack
https://open.substack.com/live-stream/74844
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Jeff Singer
The Downballot
17 days ago
As data nerds know, MS is one of the worst states for calculating presidential election results by district ... but the indefatigable
@jeffsinger.bsky.social
&
@donnermaps.bsky.social
teamed up to get it done for Tuesday's big batch of redistricting-induced specials!
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
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Our Babka prediction contest study guide is now live!
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17 days ago
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There is no question I get more than when is the babka contest. The answer is ... now!
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22 days ago
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Proud of my favorite "Central Jersey Truther"
@mattbooker.bsky.social
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28 days ago
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Georgia Republican Tim Echols explains his decision to label Democrat Alicia Johnson, who is Black, as a "DEI specialist" by saying: "This is not a dog whistle. This is a whistle. I’m not being shy about it." Echols and Fitz Johnson are up next month for seats on state Public Service Commission.
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Why the PSC election next month is an early test for Democratic momentum
Early voting numbers in Democratic strongholds are far outpacing those in GOP-friendly counties, and some Republicans worry about closing the gap by Election Day on Nov. 4.
https://www.ajc.com/politics/2025/10/why-the-psc-election-next-month-is-an-early-test-for-democratic-momentum/
28 days ago
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Yes, Eric Adams said Andrew Cuomo was "a snake and a liar." But he didn't say Cuomo was a BAD snake and a liar!
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Eric Adams Will Endorse Andrew Cuomo for Mayor
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/23/nyregion/adams-endorse-cuomo-nyc-mayor.html?unlocked_article_code=1.vk8.qigm.G1_d_oRHb36r&smid=url-share
29 days ago
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Jeff Singer
With John Sununu reemerging, so does this ... memorable musical video Democrats made in 2008 linking him to George W. Bush.
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3 months ago
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Jeff Singer
The Downballot
about 1 month ago
The Utah GOP has hit on a new way to repeal anti-gerrymandering rules that they hate: a so-called "indirect" initiative that would tee up a vote by the legislature. But as
@yeargain.bsky.social
points out, the laws they're relying on smell pretty unconstitutional. More in today's Morning Digest →
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Morning Digest, sponsored by FiftyPlusOne: Why the Utah GOP's new ploy to stop fair maps may be unconstitutional
Time is running out before a judge decides which districts to use in 2026
https://www.the-downballot.com/p/morning-digest-sponsored-by-fiftyplusone
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Very excited to see this!
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about 1 month ago
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Kevin McCarthy told Republicans this summer he wanted to raise $100 million to stop California redistricting. So far he's absolutely *nowhere* near that goal.
punchbowl.news/archive/1082..
.
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about 1 month ago
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Jeff Singer
The Downballot
about 1 month ago
@malcolmkenyatta.bsky.social
The Downballot wrote about the PA Supreme Court twice last month!
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Morning Digest: Democrats have a wide spending edge in the battle for Pennsylvania's Supreme Court
But the richest man in the state could tip the balance with a single check
https://www.the-downballot.com/p/morning-digest-democrats-have-a-wide
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A must read resource for why some states can redraw their maps with ease, and why it's not happening elsewhere.
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about 2 months ago
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Jeff Singer
David Nir
about 2 months ago
My annual PSA: What do you wish people observing Yom Kippur? It's not a joyous day—it's a day of atonement and fasting. So "Have a happy holiday" is out. *But* you can wish someone a happy new year (or "shana tova"), since this time of year is closely tied to Rosh Hashanah (the new year).
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Update: GOP Rep. David Schweikert, who just a month ago dismissed fears about the Medicaid cuts he voted for as "whining and bedwetting," is running for governor of Arizona.
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about 2 months ago
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Jeff Singer
The Downballot
about 2 months ago
A bottom-feeding trash site called
@bluedelaware.bsky.social
was stealing our work all year. We noticed it today and called them on it. They hastily deleted lots of posts, but
@archive.org
saved some. Sample stolen post:
web.archive.org/web/20250627...
Ours:
www.the-downballot.com/p/morning-di...
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The Political Report – June 26, 2025
Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani, a 33-year-old self-identified democratic socialist, overcame massive opposition by New York City’s political establishment to thwart former Gov. Andrew Cuomo’…
https://web.archive.org/web/20250627034918/https://bluedelaware.com/2025/06/26/the-political-report-june-26-2025/
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Tired: Donors wasting massive amounts on Kevin McCarthy's "Revenge Tour." Wired: Donors not bothering to contribute to Kevin McCarthy's quest to stop California redistricting.
www.politico.com/newsletters/...
about 2 months ago
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Jeff Singer
Quinn Yeargain
about 2 months ago
pro tip for any candidate considering running: if this happens, just make the plunge! announce! don't dither! don't wait! just fucking announce! meet the moment! look at Andy Kim's quick decision to announce his challenge of Bob Menendez as an example!
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I asked ChatGPT a political news question, and it cited my own writing back to me.
about 2 months ago
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My Trump Isn't Threatening To Cut Off Federal Funding If We Don't Pass a New Gerrymander shirt has people asking a lot of questions already answered by my shirt.
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Braun says Trump administration has not threatened state's federal funding over redistricting - Indianapolis Business Journal
Still, Trump administration officials have been pushing Indiana Republicans to call a special session focused on redistricting. Most notably, Vice President J.D. Vance traveled to Indianapolis to spea...
https://www.ibj.com/articles/braun-says-trump-administration-has-not-threatened-states-federal-funding-over-redistricting?emci=9522f9e2-9b98-f011-b484-6045bdeb7413&emdi=f54c55cf-3999-f011-b484-6045bdeb7413&ceid=652866
about 2 months ago
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"That’s politics 101. You never look good wearing something on your head." --- Barack Obama, 2013.
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about 2 months ago
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Jeff Singer
The Downballot
about 2 months ago
Georgia Democrats have their first notable candidate for secretary of state, which has become one of the most important offices in this swing state. Republican Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger, who Trump told to "find 11,780 votes" to overturn Biden's victory, is leaving to run for governor.
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Morning Digest: Democrats land first candidate in race to be Georgia's top elections official
A victory would break a GOP winning streak that goes back to 2006
https://www.the-downballot.com/p/morning-digest-democrats-land-first-e49
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Jeff Singer
The Downballot
2 months ago
Hot off the presses: Former Democratic Rep. Wiley Nickel has launched his campaign to become district attorney in Wake County, NC, a powerful post that has jurisdiction over political corruption cases involving lawmakers and state officials.
www.the-downballot.com/i/173709722/...
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Jeff Singer
The Downballot
2 months ago
This is not right. The Downballot makes tons of data available for free. But when big-name pundits rip off our work without proper attribution or a link—to build up their followings and make money off us? That's bullshit. This case is especially egregious, but this happens *all* the time.
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Jeff Singer
The Downballot
2 months ago
National Republicans are trying to unseat a trio of Democratic justices to set off "a seismic momentum shift in Pennsylvania that would create an opening for more conservative policy victories in the state." The incumbents' allies are fighting back by focusing on abortion rights.
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Morning Digest: GOP launches campaign to end Democratic control of Pennsylvania's top court
Three justices are up for retention this fall
https://www.the-downballot.com/p/morning-digest-gop-launches-campaign
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Josh Kraft's consultants after last night's 49-point beatdown against Boston Mayor Michelle Wu.
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2 months ago
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Jeff Singer
The Downballot
2 months ago
Accept no imitators! This is the one and only special elections Big Board from The Downballot! There are still a few votes left in
#VA11
but the vast majority have been tallied. Dem James Walkinshaw is winning by 50 in a Harris+34 district, so a 16-point overperformance—right at the average.
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The Downballot's special elections Big Board for the 2025-26 cycle
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1JGk1r1VXnxBrAIVHz1C5HTB5jxCO6Zw4QNPivdhyWHw/edit?gid=415249345#gid=415249345
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Jeff Singer
The Downballot
2 months ago
Hot off the presses: State Rep. James Talarico, who has become of the most prominent Democrats in Texas, launches his long-awaited campaign for the U.S. Senate.
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Morning Digest: One of the best-known Democrats in Texas launches a bid for Senate
Joe Rogan loves this lawmaker and aspiring preacher. Will voters feel the same way?
https://www.the-downballot.com/p/morning-digest-one-of-the-best-known
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jamelle
3 months ago
serious question. does no one know anything anymore? you're saying the people you hate on bluesky are of the same type as the ones that produced the democratic wipeouts in the 1980s? you know, when the democratic party still had a conservative southern wing and strong support from white ethnics?
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Oregon state Rep. Cyrus Javadi announces he's leaving the Republican Party and will seek reelection next year as a Democrat. Javadi's party switch comes after he provided the crucial vote to pass Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek's package to fund road maintenance.
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Oregon state Rep. Cyrus Javadi switches political teams, registers as a Democrat
The move comes after Javadi took a tax vote this week that infuriated some Republicans.
https://www.opb.org/article/2025/09/05/oregon-state-representative-cyrus-javadi-switches-parties-now-democrat/
3 months ago
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Polling the candidates who are actually running should not be a high bar to clear, but this conservative firm faceplants repeatedly in their New Jersey survey.
newjerseyglobe.com/governor/pol...
3 months ago
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Jeff Singer
Dr. Lucky Tran
3 months ago
Gotta say seeing governors competing to one up each other to see who can make vaccines most accessible is a refreshing change.
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David Nir
3 months ago
Many excellent points from Josh here. "But when you look at the factors weighing down Democrats, it’s not crime or trans rights or wokeness. It’s the deep-seated belief among independents and Democratic voters than Democrats are weak and feckless"
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With John Sununu reemerging, so does this ... memorable musical video Democrats made in 2008 linking him to George W. Bush.
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3 months ago
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Republicans love to make fun of Democrats for recruiting Senate candidates who lost their last campaigns ... yet here we are.
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3 months ago
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Jeff Singer
David Nir
3 months ago
Been waiting since the weekend for the definitive Duke Cunningham obit from
@joshtpm.bsky.social
! Please tell me it's coming? 🥺
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Jeff Singer
The Downballot
3 months ago
There’s been a lot of wishful thinking and outright misinformation about the Texas GOP’s new gerrymander. The bottom line: The map may disappoint the GOP, but it won't backfire on them. Our new piece explains why the map is *not* a dummymander.
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No, Texas Republicans did not pass a dummymander
The GOP might fall short of its aim of flipping five Democratic seats, but they haven't jeopardized their own incumbents
https://www.the-downballot.com/p/no-texas-republicans-did-not-pass
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Jeff Singer
Brian Lyman
3 months ago
I often think about how Black Alabamians resisted Jim Crow for half a century, at major personal and professional risk and with the likelihood they would not live to see the system fall. Because Jim Crow was immoral and the people upholding it deserved to be on their heels.
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