NEW: Support from Latinos helped Donald Trump reclaim the White House. But today, 68% of Latinos say the situation of Hispanics is worse than it was a year ago. It's the first time in @pewresearch.org polls that a majority of Latinos have expressed that view. www.pewresearch.org/race-and-eth...

In legislative races this year, both special and regular, Dems have flipped 24 seats from the GOP across the country. Republicans, well... docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

With Nydia Velázquez graciously making way for a new generation, both Democrats and Republicans continue on a record-setting pace for open House seats in 2026.

The partisan divide has grown, too. The wealthiest 100 tended to give more to Republicans than to Democrats before last year. But giving to the GOP spiked in 2024, with *84%* of donations going to back Republicans or conservative PACs.

We spent a year investigating billionaires for @washingtonpost.com. We found: the wealthiest 100 Americans gave $1.1 billion to influence the 2024 elections — 140x more than they did in 2000. And almost all of that giving boosted Republicans. washingtonpost.com/politics/int...

Delighted to report YMRP's latest survey of 18-29 men and women is out at www.ymrp.org/polling ! Full toplines/xtabs, plus analysis we presented in DC this week. Follow youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com where we'll be doing deep dives into this rich dataset! Some highlights from the deck: 🧵

TEN MONTHS IN: The national debt is higher. The trade deficit is wider. The inflation rate has worsened. The unemployment rate is up.

Checking YTD markets: Glorious Markets of the Republic: S&P 500 +13% Russell +5% Enemies of the State: Mexico +42% China +34% Canada +26% Perpetual Stores of Value: Gold +54% BTC -4% Doge -52% Personal Showering of Love and Devotion for Dear Leader: DJT: -69% Trump coin: -77% Melania con: -97%

Raising a healthy chick is the dream of many albatross mamas. And, as Erle (@erlemo.bsky.social) from our visualization team found out, there's more than one way to go about it. 🪺 🐥 www.datawrapper.de/blog/albatro...

The National Turkey Report says the wholesale price of turkeys has gone through the roof this year. (price in cents/lb) www.ams.usda.gov/mnreports/am...

I cannot tell you how touched I am by this tribute from Martin Longman (@booman23.bsky.social), a contemporary who came up with me during the dawn age of the blogosphere. Last night was incredible, but this has truly made my day—my week! martinlongman.substack.com/p/im-never-d...

Divide and concur — this radical plan from 1920, for "lasting peace" after WW1, proposed uniting central Europe into 24 wedge-shaped cantons which would radiate out from Vienna’s St. Stephen’s Cathedral: https://publicdomainreview.org/collection/unionization-of-central-europe/

Good morning. We crunched 4.6GB of trade data to find out how much of U.S. imports are getting tariffed (quite a bit) www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

My latest piece for @puddingviz.bsky.social: In pursuit of democracy pudding.cool/2025/11/demo...

Seven data-driven lessons from the 2025 elections www.gelliottmorris.com/p/seven-data...

Democrats romp coast-to-coast:

New @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social data shows GOP position on the shutdown eroding; deep unhappiness with Trump's attempt to starve people; Republicans losing the big arguments. navigatorresearch.org/government-s...

Looking at all available precincts in Hudson County, Sherrill support is higher in the most-densely Hispanic turf & tracks closely with '21. Turnout is *higher* than '21 across the county-- and even more so in the most Hispanic precincts.

Election night 2025 begins now! Check out our livestream all night long with @davidnir.com, @dwbeard.bsky.social, and @gelliottmorris.com

Perhaps relevant today, a framework for understanding how many election rumors mislead.

We obsessively track overlooked elections all year so that we can bring you special reports like this one—our guide to the top races of 2025. We go way beyond NJ/VA/CA/NYC to highlight races in PA, NH, GA, ME, TX, and more! Find our complete preview of 40 top races here -->

"The business of the culture war" marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevo... "Our results suggest that the economic incentives of cable news played a significant role in the growth of cultural conflict."

The analysis you've been waiting for: "Do you remember who was actually president when that happened?" Turns out the answer is often...no. 1 in 3 forgot Trump was in office on Jan. 6. HALF didn't say Biden was President during the Afghanistan withdrawal! yougovamerica.substack.com/p/how-many-a...

A nearly one-week animation for Hurricane Melissa with infrared (IR) imagery on the left and its maximum wind speed (intensity) evolution on the right. The animation briefly pauses at landfall in Jamaica. IR images extend about 600 km from the center of the storm to illustrate its shape evolution.

A secular transition is happening in countries around the world. Detailed explanation🧪 www.nature.com/articles/s41.... Many Muslim-majority countries, Hindu-majority India in early stage. Countries with large Buddhist & Christian populations in later stages. Blog: www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...

UTTERLY SURREAL LOW ANGLE GLACIER SLIDE!! 😮😱 On Saturday at 11:00 am, a 2 km-long, 25 m-high, and 150-200 m in width section detached off the Ismoil Somoni Glacier (Tajikistan) and slid down the gorge! 🧊🌊 asiaplustj.info/en/node/354309 📽️ via @volcaholic1

I jump into the moderation debate. I agree with @adambonica.bsky.social and @gelliottmorris.com on the methodology, but I want to draw attention to a bigger issue. The collapse of candidate effects generally. leedrutman.substack.com/p/the-modera...

Today @urbaninstitute.bsky.social launches a new data tool: The American Affordability Tracker. We're collecting data that tracks the rising costs of a secure lifestyle, and indicators of financial distress that are contributing to a growing crisis. See the data here: www.urban.org/data-tools/a... 📊

Even after weighting, there's a ton of poll-to-poll variation in estimates of support within demographic subgroups. Saving this for the next time someone goes sub-group diving with future polls.

Fun with flags A compilation of natural landscapes that represent the flags of different countries and regions. www.cartographerstale.com/p/fun-with-f...

Forest canopy height of beautiful Shikotsu-Toya National Park, Hokkaido. I rather like how the mountains look like holes and are distinguishable from the lakes by looking at the way the canopy height changes. #rayshader adventures, an #rstats tale

Compare & contrast:

The propaganda in red covers the *whole page* when you go to www.usda.gov

I made an image of all the art posted by US DOL on X since approximately Labor Day

There's a whole family conversation going on here. UK and Ireland We God! Iberia What? Heroes? Lolo West Europe When arise a noble unity, brothers? Scandinavia Yes, you there, Poland! Czech & Slovakia Where? There. 1/2

Even King George didn't go this far.

WEIL: “.. Circularity can be virtuous on the upside, and vicious on the downside. The deals can work fine, until they don’t.” @wsj.com $NVDA $ORCL @justinhendrix.bsky.social www.wsj.com/tech/ai/is-t...

Now that #NoKings 2.0 is behind us, here's a quick 🧵 into the data we collected in DC on Saturday to start thinking about what the day-of-action can tell us about this wave of Resistance to Trump2.0 and its policies. The day turned out millions across the US in over 2700 locations across the US:

Nominal wage growth for the bottom quartile is below late 2010’s levels while core inflation and interest rates are higher — it’s probably the worst time for that cohort since at least the early 2010’s:

Lately I've seen many references to the 3.5% rule. A few years ago I pulled together this Q&A on potential uses and misuses of this statistic. www.hks.harvard.edu/sites/defaul...

The history of the present King is a history of repeated injuries and usurpations, all having in direct object the establishment of an absolute Tyranny over these Waters 1/12

The inflatable frog has gone global. Today’s #NoKings #NoTyrants rallies in Japan, Australia, Spain, and Germany.

If you attend a No Kings Day event, please record the number of people in attendance in our crowdsourced crowd-counting sheet. We prefer official estimates above ad-hoc counts — if you count yourself, pls be conservative (people are bad at estimating crowd sizes). docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

Why do rustbelts vote radical right? Studying the German Ruhr area, @nilsblossey.bsky.social, @lstoetze.bsky.social and I show: it’s not just about deindustrialization, but also about the original industrialization. Where coal is buried deeper and mining started later, the AfD is stronger today 1/12

"New Far Side comics" was definitely not on my bingo card for this week. They're not bad! www.thefarside.com/new-stuff/

Visualize voting trends with more than 20 years of U.S. election data Kristian Ekenes, Esri www.esri.com/arcgis-blog/... www.esri.com/arcgis-blog/... #NACIS2025

New visual story: Bird migration is one of nature’s greatest spectacles — and scientists are uncovering extraordinary insights into how new threats are reshaping these epic journeys. Follow the remarkable travels of three birds as they fly across the planet. www.theguardian.com/environment/...

SCOTUS could eviscerate the last pillar of the Voting Rights Act in a case it's hearing right now. If it does, Southern states could target around 9 Dem seats before 2026, shown in dark red. That's in addition to many other non-VRA seats the GOP could go after. Dems have fewer options to respond.

U.S. companies and consumers are bearing the brunt of the country's new import tariffs, early indications show, contradicting assertions by President Donald Trump and complicating the Federal Reserve's fight against inflation. www.reuters.com/world/us/how...

Priming inflation in survey experiment right before Nov 2024 election consideration decreased approval of the Democratic party equivalent of 5 pp among Dems and Independents, stronger effects in areas with greater local inflation