Teamed up with @shanegoldmacher.bsky.social to take a look at the NJ governor’s race & what its results could tell us about the durability of Trump’s 2024 gains/“realignments” www.nytimes.com/2025/10/30/u...

New w/ @bencasselman.bsky.social: Wealthy Americans, buoyed by a booming stock market, are spending freely. Lower-income households, stung by inflation and a slowing labor market, are pulling back www.nytimes.com/2025/10/19/b... @nytimes.com

These New Yorkers Know the Candidate They’ll ‘Never’ Vote For Via @christinezhang.bsky.social www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

The Fed’s decision today to enact a quarter-point rate cut was not unanimous. Stephen Miran, Trump’s latest appointee to the board, cast a dissenting vote in favor of a bigger cut (half-point) My chart showing some recent Fed governor dissents in today’s live blog: www.nytimes.com/live/2025/09...

NEW: Labor Day is the end of summer (in the cinema box office) This summer at the movies was the worst $$ since 1981, adjusting for inflation & excluding the Covid period, when many theaters were closed Story by @theancientqueen.bsky.social & me - 🎁 LINK nyti.ms/42ap6ly

"This was supposed to be the summer when the North American box office returned to form — finally from the pandemic slump." Via @christinezhang.bsky.social and Brooks Barnes: www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

If Trump succeeds in replacing Cook and Kugler, his nominees would make up a majority of the Federal Reserve’s 7-person Board of Governors 🎁 link to our story: nyti.ms/4mBYJxm

Data revisions are a normal, necessary part of trying to measure a $30 trillion economy in real time. They can also be jarring, especially for people who don't obsessively scrutinize every jobs report. So I dug into the how and why of revisions. A few big takeaways: #EconSky

last friday, job gains from May+June were revised down by a total of ~258,000. the downward revisions hit virtually every sector, but jobs in state+local government were revised down the most story by @bencasselman.bsky.social about why revisions happen, 📊📈 by Keith Collins+me 🎁 nyti.ms/4fpAbEI

Claudia Sahm's substack is where I read about education sector. She shows seasonal adjustment (SA) as problem with May initial release and data collection problem in June, particularly education. So, more complicated than I had thought. More than just SA. stayathomemacro.substack.com/p/job-growth...

"Uber received a report of sexual assault or sexual misconduct in the United States almost every eight minutes on average between 2017 and 2022, sealed court records show, a level far more pervasive than what the company has disclosed." www.nytimes.com/2025/08/06/b...

CHART: How Mamdani, Cuomo & Lander voters filled out their ballots Mamdani’s most common ballot partner was Lander, Lander’s was (to a lesser extent) Mamdani, Cuomo’s was himself/blank Story by Meghan Morris, Eden Weingart & @emmagf.bsky.social 📊 by Ashley Cai & me 🎁 link --> nyti.ms/3J1Re3R

I have a bunch of writing to put out this month, but I thought it would be good to put out this transcript of an Odd Lots interview with former BLS Commissioner Bill Beach in light of the firing of his successor by Trump on Friday. www.crisesnotes.com/bloomberg-od...

a surreal scene at the hotel st george in brooklyn heights this morning

busy week for econ data. jobs report out this morning shows significant downward revisions for jobs in May & June, meaning job growth was a lot lower those months (~258K lower) than initially estimated www.nytimes.com/live/2025/07...

First time there have been two (or more) governor dissents on an interest rate decision since 1993. My colleague @christinezhang.bsky.social had a great chart: www.nytimes.com/2025/07/30/b...

NEW: This morning, we published a detailed look at Trump's second term tariffs -- the rates that each country either faces starting Aug. 1 or has brokered through a preliminary deal. We'll be updating as we learn more. www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

In his second term, Trump has targeted Powell around 43 times, all since April. The verbal attacks have outpaced those made during the entirety of Trump’s first term. Via @christinezhang.bsky.social www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

Great story/charts from @lydiadepillis.bsky.social @christinezhang.bsky.social on how health care ate the American economy. This pair of maps is especially striking. #EconSky www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

For the few years I've been covering jobs reports, and one sector typically rises above the rest, quietly hiring by the thousands: Health care. How taking care of humans became the biggest employer in America, and what it means for the rest of us: www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

See neighborhood-level election results from the Democratic primary for mayor in New York City.

Angst about the "revenge tax" in the GOP bill centers around an overarching fear that it will deter foreign investment at exactly the moment the US would value it most "It’s right for people to be nervous" www.nytimes.com/2025/06/16/u... w/ Alan Rappeport @nytimes.com

can tariffs pay for tax cuts? this chart in @lydiadepillis.bsky.social & my story shows an analysis by @taxfoundation.bsky.social assuming tariffs continue, they won't offset revenue losses from the proposed tax cuts until 2029 — after many cuts are set to expire 🎁 nyti.ms/4kUVgsq

Tickled to team up today with @christinezhang.bsky.social for this exploration of how tariff revenue is shaping up and whether it could really fill the fiscal hole the Big GOP Spending/Tax/Etc. Bill would create: www.nytimes.com/2025/06/11/b... (Spoiler: Probably not. Among other problems.)

Happy Jobs Day (and, apparently), National Donut Day 🍩 news.dunkindonuts.com/blog/celebra... Charts (though not Donut Charts), to come: www.nytimes.com/live/2025/06... 📊

The Bureau of Labor Statistics is cutting back its collection of data on consumer prices, raising questions about the reliability of federal economic statistics under President Trump. #EconSky www.nytimes.com/2025/06/04/b...

My latest for the NYT Business desk - It typically takes 900+ days to make a trade deal. See how the current talks compare. www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

NEW: These two maps help tell the story of America's political realignment in the Trump era. They show every county the two parties have continuously improved in over the 2016, 2020 and 2024 elections. It's a stark map. www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

NEW: The US consumer has seemed unstoppable in recent years, spending throughout soaring inflation and the highest borrowing costs in decades. But as tariffs bite, they are starting to show signs of strain www.nytimes.com/interactive/... @nytimes.com @christinezhang.bsky.social

a wonky polls story about a wonky topic, from me & Ruth Igielnik 📈📉

new from me: www.nytimes.com/2025/02/08/w...

Help us go the last mile in Pennsylvania.

The folks at @upshot.nytimes.com have released their first cut at a precinct-level map of 2024 presidential results, using some of the data we collected and published for Michigan: www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

Some economic data points that stuck out in 2024, from our colleague @christinezhang.bsky.social www.nytimes.com/2024/12/21/b...

For @nytimes.com dealbook: roundup of the year in Econ & Markets, in charts 📈📉 nyti.ms/4gMg9UD

PRECINCT MAPS: 11 cities, 33 maps Atlanta, Chicago, Detroit, Houston, Las Vegas, Miami, Milwaukee, NYC, Philadelphia, Phoenix, San Francisco nyti.ms/3CR1fh0

NEW: We asked voters to describe their feelings about the election in one word. *JOY* has jumped; so has *ANXIETY* Join @alexlemonides @RuthIgielnik on our journey of a story that grapples with the duality of hope and fear 🎁 nyti.ms/3Mh1R0P

reporting out this story (by Cam & me) from Wednesday felt like doing a mental health checkin with some other pollsters at this moment in time … ♥️📊 nyti.ms/4cX8gdq

In some ways, the election will be a battle of memories. www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

got the word “zombie” into a headline at work 🧟 nyti.ms/3wengDu

Carbon dioxide levels have passed another milestone www.nytimes.com/interactive/... My latest @upshot.nytimes.com piece

Precinct data is a pain but it was worth it for this map The most detailed map, the most detailed analysis of the South Carolina primary www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

always thrilling when I get to do a scatterplot for work 🤓 www.nytimes.com/live/2024/01...

my last work project of 2023: trying to distill the Econ/Finance stories of the year the only way I know how … charts !! 📈📊📉 nyti.ms/48Bw3gw

my latest TikTok for work, about the set of NYT/Siena swing state polls that came out this week 📊 www.tiktok.com/t/ZPRvNTExC/

38 additional strike targets for UAW, all distribution centers at GM and Stellantis www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

It's Hellsankey

personally I still think a tiktok video is the best way to explain the Fed dot plot (see mine from June www.tiktok.com/@nytimes/vid...) but adding dots to our chart is also good 😊 www.nytimes.com/live/2023/09...