Die Reform zum Angst-Modell: Man kann in kleineren Betrieben jederzeit gefeuert werden, landet dann in einer kargen Grundsicherung und wird dort unter Androhung von Sanktionen gezwungen, sofort jede neue Arbeit anzunehmen. Konzerne könnten dann Teilbereiche an 49-Personen-Betriebe outsourcen. /1

Social media is no longer social. Most of it is passive viewing of videos and pictures from people we've never met. But we're still studying social media like it's 2010. We've entered the post-social media era — and research needs to catch up. osf.io/preprints/so... preprint w/ Richard Rogers

New paper with @bjoernbremer.bsky.social and @catherinedevries.bsky.social out! The Limits of Public Support for Fiscal Consolidation: Survey Evidence From Great Britain (1/7) journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Good news everyone 🥳 Our (w @vincentab.bsky.social) primer on models as prediction machines (with the marginaleffects package) is finally officially published!> journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

The special issue of @cpsjournal.bsky.social “Back from the Brink: Countering Illiberalism in Liberal Democracies”, co-edited by myself and Isabela Mares, was just published. The issue includes 8 articles, many of which set new research agendas. A🧵w/overview 1/10 journals.sagepub.com/toc/CPS/curr...

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... shallow support for austerity: citizens receptive to counter narratives

Very timely & important publication: "Why do political debates escalate? Trigger Points and the Moral Dynamics of 'Hot Politics'" @bjsociology.bsky.social by @lwestheuser.bsky.social, @thomaslux.bsky.social & our Director @steffenmau.bsky.social. Open Access. Details below.

New QJE paper measures spending flows between 1000s of small groups of consumers and producers, government, rest of the world. Most consumer spending stays domestic, esp in rural, older, less-educated areas->higher fiscal multipliers; targeting "left-behind" groups boosts economy

excellent

Whether more social housing weakens the far right depends on whether housing is politicized as a (natives vs migrants) group conflict. This is similar in areas like climate policy: How objective distributive effects are perceived is mediated by politically induced group scripts. Politically,...

In an effort to promote open data, I just uploaded my media-based data collection on political DDoS attacks from 2008-2016 with manual coding of attacker types, targets, and attribution certainty. Feel free to explore the early days of Anonymous and Russian hacktivists: osf.io/preprints/so...

I have always been fascinated by the question of what people think when they know they are being surveilled. How do they change their behavior? Why? My paper on this is out today in Political Behavior. A survey experiment with 5,025 people in Kazakhstan. 🧵

but can it review papers

I’d especially like to encourage women to apply. We’re a fantastic department with excellent scholars, in beautiful Vienna. Data shows that women are less likely to apply for positions than equally qualified men (Muriel Niederle & Lise Vesterlund 2011), so if you’re considering it, please go for it!

Like most self-styled “libertarians”, Döpfner is fascinated by authoritarian politicians and fascist tech bros. One could write a whole PhD on his success and how it reflects the conservatism, parochialism and sexism of German business society.

🚨 Job Alert 🚨 We have an opening for a 𝗣𝗼𝘀𝘁𝗱𝗼𝗰 𝗣𝗼𝘀𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 @stawi-univie.bsky.social starting Aug/Sep 2026! Focus: political representation, party competition, political institutions, political economy, political behavior, or related fields 📅Apply by 29 April 2026 jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Universi...

NEUES BUCH ZU KI & DEMOKRATIE! KI verändert alles, aber nicht automatisch alles zum Besseren. Vielmehr kann KI ungesteuert Freiheit, Selbstbestimmung und Demokratie beseitigen. Deshalb darf die wehrhafte Demokratie der Allianz von BigTech & Rechtsextremen nicht die Zukunft überlassen. #OffeneZukunft

One of my favorites paper got published 🤓 It covers a lot of ground and it’s the best summary of my views on misinformation and what to do about it. Give it a read :) 🔓 osf.io/preprints/ps... 👉 doi.org/10.1177/1461...

German real wages saw the sharpest decline since WWII in the 2022 energy crisis & still haven’t recovered. The new energy shock will make things worse. But the German government is once more calling on people to tighten their belts. This is paving the way for the far right.

New working paper: Rethinking Misinformation Interventions. The field has spent years searching for the one intervention that will solve misinformation. This search is the wrong approach — and our disappointment says more about our expectations than our tools. (1/5) osf.io/preprints/so...

This is the *fifth* study to undermine the idea that the muted political response to inequality is due to growing meritocracy beliefs, esp. among the poor. - Inequality erodes meritocracy beliefs - Poor meritocrats still want redistribution - What matters is the politicization of inequality Links:

🔍 How does economic inequality impact beliefs in meritocracy? Using comprehensive survey data from 39 advanced capitalist democracies over more than three decades, Markus Gangl & I examine how rising economic inequality has been shaping citizens' belief in meritocracy. 🔗 doi.org/10.1093/ser/mwag016

A 🧵on how the @vdeminstitute.bsky.social accountability indices help us understand how democratic backsliding is occurring in the United States. tl;dr: in principle, vertical constraints on the president remain strong; in practice, horizontal and diagonal constraints have been greatly weakened.

I have always been fascinated by the question of what people think when they know they are being surveilled. How do they change their behavior? Why? My paper on this is out today in Political Behavior. A survey experiment with 5,025 people in Kazakhstan. 🧵

"Do Voters Respond to the Economy or to News Reporting on the Economy? A Mediation Analysis" by Mark A. Kayser and Michael Peress. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Such an important paper

What if reposting far-right takes in twitter screenshots helps them more than us? 🤔

A good moment to advertise this week’s Rethink where we discuss the promise of AI with proponents and skeptics alike and I make a bad stochastic parrot joke. With @emollick.bsky.social Rosalind Picard, Mike Wooldridge and more. But, I think @damonberes.com is right. www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...

In 2022, Michael Rochlitz and I designed a survey experiment about government surveillance tracking protesters. Back then it was hypothetical. ICE is now doing exactly what we described. New post on what our data showed and why privacy is a political question. dkarpa.github.io/blog/2026/su...

🎺 Call for proposals 🎺 1️⃣ replicate an existing experiment 2️⃣ run a novel experiment on repdata.com 3️⃣ coauthor with Mary McGrath and me to meta-analyze the replications and existing studies 4️⃣ publish your study details: alexandercoppock.com/replication_... applications open Feb 1 please repost!

Girl are you NA? Because I'm missing you

Very happy that our review article (with the @annualreviews.bsky.social) on „Austerity and Populism“ is now available as preprint: www.annualreviews.org/content/jour... - with @sattlersthomas.bsky.social

"the relationship between downward class mobility is only mediated by life satisfaction and income insecurity, suggesting that the class route to far-right voting is largely linked to existential and material issues. "

People misperceive their rank in the wealth distribution: the wealthy underestimate how much they have compared to others, and people at the bottom of the distribution think that they are doing better compared to others than they actually do. Our research shows that misperceptions shape for savings.

I find cats funny. They look so dumb, yet so cute

Very interesting thought. Analogously, the BBC staying on X might boost its value for users while also needlessly legitimazing it

🧵 PhD position (75%) in Political Behavior / Political Communication / CSS 📍 LMU Munich | ⏳ 3 years | 🗓 start March–May 2026 We’re hiring for DemocraGPT, a @bidt.bsky.social-funded project developing an AI-based training for difficult conversations in times of growing polarization

Great thread about the demand-side for non-democracy. Jacob unpacks a lot here and provides useful literature. Gather, folks!

"However, executive constraints appear less central to citizens’ preferences, especially when set against the promise of economic prosperity."

Everyday at exactly six AM I get a new email from someone working for the publisher rejecting my already accepted paper for an arbitrary technical reason. This gives me the stability I need to get through the day

Terrific read!

The affordability crisis is an inequality crisis. When prices spike in key sectors, it's not just inflation—it's a massive redistribution shock that hits poor households hardest. In our **new working paper**, we identify the sectors that matter most. A thread 🧵 scholarworks.umass.edu/entities/pub...

I cannot imagine anyone thinking that

New research! Austerity and the labour market in the UK. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.... Headline result: austerity reduced wages, increased employment rates, and contributed to weak productivity. 1/n

Print this paper out and have it in your pocket in case of emergency

This is so important to acknowledge. Non-reforms in 2008 were the issue, with a moderation effect by the media. (I think)

Great resource!