trump hits a new approval low among adults today (rounding to -19 for the first time) fiftyplusone.news/polls/approv...

Looking for speeches from all German state parliaments? @cgnguyen.bsky.social , Eric Beltermann, Sabine Kropp & Antonios Souris have you covered. Introducing the StateParl Corpus. Now open access with PVS: doi.org/10.1007/s11615-025-00643-5

Super proud that our 9-country-study is finally published in @cpsjournal.bsky.social! A Populist Axis? Analyzing Connections Between Populist, Economic, and Cultural Dimensions of Political Space 👉Populist axis exists, effect on voice choice differs by country journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... 🧵

Zur Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg haben wir (@pluggedchris.bsky.social @marcdebus.bsky.social @nilssteiner.bsky.social T. Bräuninger) die Online-Wahlhilfe Party-Check entwickelt: party-check.org 🗳️ Neben einem Prozentmatch für diverse Themenbereiche gibt es eine Links-Rechts Verortung. #ltwbw 1/

🧵I am happy to announce a new article in Political Behavior @polbehavior.bsky.social, “Are the Politically Active Better Represented?”, co-authored with @jenny-oser.bsky.social, @rdassonneville.bsky.social, @professormpersson.bsky.social, and Anders Sundell. link.springer.com/article/10.1...

New and open access, in @psrm.bsky.social: What happens when we make politicians draw distributions? Nic Dias, @jacklucas.bsky.social and I explore whether the large errors politicians make about public opinion are artificially inflated by how researchers ask them to estimate it /1 cup.org/4kltoyE

Diese Woche kehre ich an alte Wirkungsstätte zurück: An der @unimainz.bsky.social moderiere ich eine Diskussion des Fachschaftsrats Politikwissenschaft zur Landtagswahl in Rheinland-Pfalz. Wir sprechen über Bildung, bezahlbares Wohnen und Arbeitsmarkt/Wirtschaft. Kommt vorbei! @powimz.bsky.social

🚨Happy to finally see this out in the @ejprjournal.bsky.social (with @leonardocarella.bsky.social) ⁉️ Does growing up when immigration is salient make people vote for parties they agree with on immigration *for the rest of their lives*? doi.org/10.1017/S147...

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Estimated policy positions of the Baden-Württemberg state parties for the upcoming state election. No major changes, except for the move of the Green party towards more centrist positions on economic and societal policy, which could make potential coalition negotiations with the CDU easier. /1

How do national identities become politically activated? From our December issue, Antonia C. May finds that the salience of immigration-related coverage in the media is connected to the activation of national identity in electoral/political cognition. Read open-access: doi.org/10.1111/pops...

🚨 Are Gen Z gender gaps in gender equality attitudes really as pronounced as perceived? In a new preprint w/ @stinasiegert.bsky.social , we analyzed 82k+ young adults across 24 European countries. 👉 Read here: osf.io/6h9gd_v1

NEW PAPER ALERT! My paper, with @bjornhoyland.bsky.social , on how “policy loss” shapes support for the EU has just been published in @cpsjournal.bsky.social. Check it out! 1/

📊 New paper out in Democratization! How do autocrats actually stay in power? 👉 Open access: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... Co-authored with Wooseok Kim, @eugenian.bsky.social , Ksenia Northmore-Ball, and @ktertytchnaya.bsky.social.

About one week left to submit proposals for our #AKWahlen conference in Mainz. No fee, open topic, nice people & city! More here: www.dvpw.de/gliederung/a... Cc: @sgarritzmann.bsky.social @conradziller.bsky.social @dvpw.bsky.social

I am happy to announce that I have joined the team of Politische Vierteljahresschrift / German Political Science Quarterly @pvs-journal.bsky.social as Managing Editor alongside the new Editor-in-Chief Marc Debus. I will assist Marc and the team of Associate Editors in managing this great journal.

Sonntagsfrage zur Landtagswahl in Baden-Württemberg • Infratest dimap für SWR/StZ: CDU 29 % | GRÜNE 23 % | AfD 20 % | SPD 8 % | DIE LINKE 7 % | FDP 5 % | Sonstige 8 % ➤ Verlauf: wahlrecht.de/umfragen/lan... 🗓️ Nächste Landtagswahl: 8. März 2026 #ltwbw

Sonntagsfrage zur Landtagswahl in Rheinland-Pfalz • Infratest dimap / SWR: CDU 29 % | SPD 26 % | AfD 18 % | GRÜNE 10 % | DIE LINKE 6 % | FREIE WÄHLER 4 % | Sonstige 7 % ➤ Verlauf: wahlrecht.de/umfragen/lan... 🗓️ Nächste Landtagswahl: 22. März 2026 #ltwrp

The TACO cycle: Markets want to price in TACO. But TACO only works if Trump sees stocks tank. So we get a loop: Trump does things → nothing happens (markets already priced in TACO) → that emboldens him to do more → until markets start to think he might not TACO → stocks fall → TACO is restored.

Today, the European Parliament voted to put the Mercosur trade agreement to the European Court of Justice for review. It was a politically momentous decision, very tight and carried by an unusual majority, so it is worth looking a bit deeper into it.

Which economy is more productive - Germany or the US? It seems the answer would be clear, but it's not. The mood in Germany is so deeply negative, even aggressively pessimistic, that I thought we had fallen behind by a lot. But here are the facts - they surprised me as well:

New in @bjpols.bsky.social! Dave Hope, @lhaffert.bsky.social and I show that low taxes on the rich have a hidden cost: They undermine public support for broad-based taxation. 🖋️ cup.org/45lgPwN

Same old, same old? Germany held an early election after the implosion of the traffic-light coalition in Feb 25. Some takeaways from our election report @klingelt.bsky.social @wepsocial.bsky.social www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Am 12.01.2026 spricht unsere Kollegin Prof. Claudia Landwehr im Rahmen der Vorlesungsreihe "VOICES FOR CLIMATE" von Zukunft@JGU zum Thema "Die demokratische Repräsentation zukünftiger Generationen."

Wir laden herzlich zur 1. Forschungswerkstatt im Neuen Jahr 2026 ein! Am Mittwoch, 14. Januar um 16 Uhr (Raum P5), spricht Matthias Mader (Universität Witten/Herdecke) zum Thema „Seeing oneself as 'The people': Populism increases opinion projection on foreign policy issues“. Alle sind willkommen!

Very happy to see this out in CPS! We study class identities and their social and political relevance over several decades in Britain, Denmark, Norway, and the US. A small thread: journals.sagepub.com/eprint/SIRW4...

The latest from YouGov (n ~ 2.2k): No one's buying this Greenland shit. Trump loses virtually everyone on the threat of force. He barely gets *half of Republicans* on "purchasing" Greenland. today.yougov.com/topics/overv...

🧵 PhD position (75%) in Political Behavior / Political Communication / CSS 📍 LMU Munich | ⏳ 3 years | 🗓 start March–May 2026 We’re hiring for DemocraGPT, a @bidt.bsky.social-funded project developing an AI-based training for difficult conversations in times of growing polarization

‼️ New paper out at @electoralstudies.bsky.social with the fantastic Valentin Pautonnier, Michael Lewis-Beck and Richard Nadeau! doi.org/10.1016/j.el... A short 🧵 on what it's about and what we find

Why do citizens who say they support democracy tolerate leaders who dismantle it? Delighted to share my paper “Framing Democracy: How Elite Discourse Shapes Citizens' Understandings of Democracy and Enables Backsliding” is forthcoming in World Politics...(1/5, link at the end)

Interesting! I tried to do that in more detail last week (far from perfect, obviously).

You want to know more about the GLES? Here it is! www.gesis.org/en/gles/over...

🇪🇺🇩🇪 Published Today in @bjpols.bsky.social 🇮🇹🇫🇷 How a voting advice application affected voting behavior in three large-scale field experiments: shorturl.at/2ekBj TLDR of our study (with @simonhix.bsky.social & @rlachat.bsky.social) below 👇 1/14

This is a fantastic dataset for studying the evolution of political attitudes and party preferences in Germany. Here's a mosaic plot of vote choices in 2025 by vote choices in 2021 (as reported back then). One striking observation is the high volatility behind the overall gains of the Left Party.

🎉 The GLES panel data releases for the 2025 German federal election are now complete—an amazing data treasure for analyzing political attitude shifts and decision‑making during the campaign and beyond. #GLES2025 #BTW2025 #ElectionResearch

we have 5 positions open at @goetheuni.bsky.social in Frankfurt - a 4,5 year postdoc in my @erc.europa.eu project on the educational cleavage - 2 postdoc & 2 PhD positions, 4 years, in a research group on Reconfiguration & Internalization of Social Structure www.uni-frankfurt.de/48794784/FB0...

🚨 Postdoc in Comparative Politics/Public Opinion (2 years) We’re hiring a 100% Postdoc at the University of Greifswald. ✨ What makes this job special: Two full years to focus on research (no teaching, no admin overload) embedded into an International Research Training Group

New article , together with Salvatore Barbaro, in Public Choice: On the prevalence of Condorcet's Paradox. Analyzing 253 national elections, we show that Condorcet Paradoxes virtually never occur. This raises an important question: who is the Condorcet winner? link.springer.com/article/10.1...

📢 Publication Alert! Wir analysieren für alle Berliner Grundschulen von 2010 bis 2020, wie sich Wohn- und Schulsegregation entwickeln – und warum sich beide Systeme immer stärker entkoppeln, obwohl die Stadt durchmischter wird. 1/ (mit @taljab.bsky.social) Open Access: doi.org/10.36900/sub...

Absolutely amazing chart from @peterkellner.bsky.social's piece in @thenewworldmag.bsky.social today: www.thenewworld.co.uk/peter-kellne...

🎧 JETZT REINHÖREN: #Forschungspodcast #MindsOfMainz – #DerGutenbergTalk | Folge 28: Demokratie im Fokus: Warum Politische Theorie heute die Gesellschaft bewegt | mit Prof. Claudia Landwehr 👉 www.magazin.uni-mainz.de/minds-of-main…#Demokratiei#Politikwissenschaftf#PolitischeTheorieie

Ich war neugierig und wollte mir mal selbst anhand der Ergebnisse auf Wahlbezirksebene einen Eindruck von den vom BSW beklagten, vermeintlichen Fehlzuordnungen bei der Bundestagswahl 2025 verschaffen. 👇

🚀 How do citizens imagine their future democracy – on Mars and on Earth? Using large survey experiments in the US and Germany, we explore how people envision democratic governance with and without path dependencies 🪐 Read the preprint here ➡️ osf.io/preprints/so...

Happy to share that the German Research Foundation DFG funds my new project: “Countering Polarization: The Borda count as a basis for proportional representation”. I am recruiting 2 PhD candidates to join me in Hannover as of March 2026 or later! Feel free to reach out!

After becoming a congressional leader, a politician’s stock portfolio beats out those of peers by 47 (!!!) percentage points a year through trades timed around bills and firms that later get government contracts www.nber.org/papers/w34524 via @florianederer.bsky.social

📢 Very happy that my first single-authored paper found its home at @environmentalpol.bsky.social 🌱 I am beyond thankful to all the fantastic people who gave me feedback and supported me along the way! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... (1/5)🧵

Heute besucht uns Jale Tosun (Universität Heidelberg) in der #Forschungswerkstatt (16 Uhr, P5). Wir freuen uns auf einen spannenden Vortrag zum Thema "Die Wirksamkeit nationaler Klimapolitiken: Evidenz aus 43 OECD- und Schwellenländern". Alle sind herzlich willkommen.

🌍The latest cleavage: the universalist divide @mrsteenbergen.bsky.social , @dpzollinger.bsky.social , @siljahausermann.bsky.social, @simonbornschier.bsky.social, and @lhaffert.bsky.social provide evidence from the 2024 European Election Study 👇 🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....