Kyle Marquardt
@kailmarkvart.bsky.social
📤 958
📥 908
📝 120
Professor,
@sampol.bsky.social
; Project Manager,
@vdeminstitute.bsky.social
; Iowan; klmarquardt.com
pinned post!
Excited to introduce a new working paper with
@danpemstein.com
,
@chknutsen.bsky.social
and other colleagues not on Bluesky! We use experimental and observational data to investigate the degree to which general biases affect expert perceptions of specific cases. 🧵 1/17
v-dem.net/media/public...
6 months ago
2
21
8
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Department of Political Science, University of Oslo
9 days ago
📣CfA for a Postdoctoral Fellow Position in political science (3-4 years) as part of the ERC project “Waging of War” (WOW) - PI Scott Gates. The application deadline is March 16th, 2026.
www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
loading . . .
Postdoctoral Fellow in Political Science (3-4 years) (295112) | University of Oslo
Job title: Postdoctoral Fellow in Political Science (3-4 years) (295112), Employer: University of Oslo, Deadline: Monday, March 16, 2026
https://www.jobbnorge.no/en/available-jobs/job/295112/postdoctoral-fellow-in-political-science-3-4-years
0
8
12
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Henning Finseraas
9 days ago
We have a vacant position as Associate Professor in Political Science (International Relations). Deadline April 29. Please apply or distribute.
www.jobbnorge.no/en/available...
loading . . .
ASSOCIATE PROFESSOR IN POLITICAL SCIENCE (294884) | NTNU - Norwegian University of Science and Technology
Job title: ASSOCIATE PROFESSOR IN POLITICAL SCIENCE (294884), Employer: NTNU - Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Deadline: Wednesday, April 29, 2026
https://www.jobbnorge.no/en/available-jobs/job/294884/associate-professor-in-political-science
0
18
27
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Staffan I Lindberg /V-Dem Institute
9 days ago
Open Access: -110 initially nondemocratic countries of the third wave from 1970 to 2024 - 105 episodes of autocratization followed in 75=60 (55 %) of these 110 countries are democracies by 2024, but 50 never became democracies or have reverted back to autocracy.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
loading . . .
Fifty years of the third wave(s): from democratization to autocratization
This piece reflects on 50 years since Portugal’s 1974 Carnation Revolution, seen as a trigger for the “third wave of democratization,” a global trend that transformed many dictatorships into democr...
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13510347.2026.2615134
0
6
4
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
V-Dem Institute
10 days ago
Altruistic motivations aside, looking at purely self-interested motives of donors, is there still a rationale for supporting democracy abroad? YES, says a new
#PolicyBrief
from V-Dem Institute: Democracy Aid: What’s in it for Donor Countries?
v-dem.net/media/public...
👇 1(3)
#Polisky
#SocialScience
1
5
2
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Isabelle DeSisto 🇺🇦
24 days ago
My latest - some interesting insights from new survey data from 🇰🇿
add a skeleton here at some point
0
4
2
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Aleks Turobov, PhD
30 days ago
Digital sovereignty is a strategically flexible concept, and if you are interested in its development and evolution, check our new article in
@govjournal.bsky.social
:
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
1/8
loading . . .
Opening the Black Box of EU Digital Sovereignty: A Macro‐Level Analysis of the Concept's Development
Digital sovereignty has emerged as a central organizing principle in European Union governance, yet systematic understanding of its conceptual evolution remains limited. This article provides the fir....
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gove.70112
1
3
3
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
V-Dem Institute
24 days ago
🥉“Conceptual and Measurement Issues in Assessing Democratic Backsliding”. Working Paper 140 from 2023 is the third most viewed (4,080 times).
v-dem.net/media/public...
@chknutsen.bsky.social
@kailmarkvart.bsky.social
@silindberg.bsky.social
@medzihorsky.bsky.social
@danpemstein.com
4(6)
loading . . .
https://v-dem.net/media/publications/wp_140.pdf
1
5
2
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Adam Serwer
25 days ago
Last week in Minnesota, I watched ordinary people risk their lives to protect their neighbors. In the process, they not only won a significant—though not final—victory against authoritarianism, they proved virtually every MAGA social theory wrong. (gift link)
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...
266
12125
4469
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Sarah Parkinson
25 days ago
@schumer.senate.gov
&
@hakeem-jeffries.bsky.social
would fail a basic org sociology course, which is a problem for all of us, not to mention the country. Here's the deal: 1. ICE has a known organizational culture 2. That culture centers on violence, racism, personalistic loyalty, & impunity 1/
add a skeleton here at some point
1
26
14
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Scott Gehlbach
26 days ago
Amid everything else, a brief note to announce the CFP for the 2026 Summer Workshop in the Economic History and Historical Political Economy of Eurasia. If you are an economist, historian, or political scientist working on Imperial Russia or the USSR, please consider applying. July 17–18, Paris.
loading . . .
Scott Gehlbach - 2026 Summer Workshop in the Economic History and
Call for papers We invite submissions to a workshop on the economic history and historical political economy of Eurasia. The workshop will take place at th...
https://scottgehlbach.net/pages/summerworkshop2026
0
15
14
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
John Polga-Hecimovich 🧉
about 1 month ago
I wrote about what political science research suggests about democracy building in Venezuela after the way Nicolás Maduro was removed:
blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/20...
We'll see what comes of María Corina Machado's meeting today with Trump-
loading . . .
In Venezuela, the US has removed a dictator, but shows little sign of building a democracy | USAPP
While Maduro has been removed, Venezuela remains a dictatorship, and one that is unlikely to transition to a democracy without specific US interventions.
https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/2026/01/13/in-venezuela-the-us-has-removed-a-dictator-but-shows-little-sign-of-building-a-democracy/
0
3
2
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Alexei Zakharov
about 1 month ago
[2/3] In this paper I use a model to explain why propaganda can be obviously false and still work - even a clearly false claim can be effective not because it persuades, but because it undermines trust in all news.
1
2
2
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Department of Comparative Politics UiB
about 1 month ago
📣 New article 👥
@allansikk.bsky.social
@sonagolder.bsky.social
@ibenskasr.bsky.social
@paulinasl.bsky.social
👉 Does switching pay off? The impact of parliamentary party instability on individual electoral performance 📗 Open access in Electoral Studies 🔗
doi.org/10.1016/j.el...
0
12
3
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Brian Taylor
about 2 months ago
I don't think we should over index Trump's "Donroe Doctrine" comments & infer that he favors a great-power-spheres-of-influence world. He's not that consistent. A few months ago he claimed to have brokered an Armenia-Azerbaijan deal, cutting out Russia. 1/2
1
10
3
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Leiv Marsteintredet
about 2 months ago
With Maduro gone, Venezuela must decide on the status of his absence. According to the Venezuelan constitution the National Assembly can declare the presidency abandoned, but if it does new presidential elections must be held within thirty days (art 233). Don’t expect such a declaration anytime soon
1
9
4
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Seán Hanley
about 2 months ago
Putin did full scale invasion and presented as special military operation, Trump has done special military operation and presented as if it was full scale invasion. Both seem deluded.
add a skeleton here at some point
0
7
2
Upward and onward to 2026.
loading . . .
about 2 months ago
0
4
0
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
The Moscow Times
about 2 months ago
Resistance in Altai, environmental protests in Bashkortostan and the shadowy influence of an occult healer espousing reptilian conspiracy theories. In the final Regions Calling newsletter of 2025, we wrap up the year in Russia's regions:
loading . . .
Regions Calling: 2025 Wrapped - The Moscow Times
Merry Christmas and welcome to Regions Calling, a newsletter by The Moscow Times shedding light on life beyond the Russian capital. For this final newsletter of the year, we asked our special corresp...
https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/12/25/regions-calling-2025-wrapped-a91524
0
11
3
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Eugene Finkel
about 2 months ago
Christmas came early to the Russia scholars with Santa declassifying the Bush-Putin meeting transcripts. That's 2001. Ukraine is Russian land, simply given away for no reason, as if USSR had not collapsed and there was no Ukraine independence referendum. And, long before the 2008 Bucharest Summit
13
232
92
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
S. Erdem Aytaç
2 months ago
Why do citizens who say they support democracy tolerate leaders who dismantle it? Delighted to share my paper “Framing Democracy: How Elite Discourse Shapes Citizens' Understandings of Democracy and Enables Backsliding” is forthcoming in World Politics...(1/5, link at the end)
3
94
35
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Sergiu Lipcean
2 months ago
For those interested in the effects of direct public funding of political parties on various dimensions of political activity, a brief review.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
loading . . .
Blessing or curse? A critical review of the paradoxical consequences of direct public funding for political parties | European Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
Blessing or curse? A critical review of the paradoxical consequences of direct public funding for political parties
https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/european-political-science-review/article/blessing-or-curse-a-critical-review-of-the-paradoxical-consequences-of-direct-public-funding-for-political-parties/DD7A92A9510CED3BD37FDB671BA3CF68#article
0
6
3
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
tim frye
2 months ago
Come work with us. A two-year postdoctoral fellowship in Ukrainian Studies and another for an open position at the Harriman Institute. Deadline January 5.
harriman.columbia.edu/postdoctoral...
loading . . .
Postdoctoral Scholars
Postdoctoral Scholars
https://harriman.columbia.edu/postdoctoral-scholars/
0
7
5
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Elizabeth N. Saunders
2 months ago
🧵Here's a research-backed answer: No. 1/
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
add a skeleton here at some point
3
371
118
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
David Szakonyi
2 months ago
And just in time for the holidays! The perfect present for all your criminal and kleptocrat loved ones living abroad.
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
loading . . .
Trump launches $1 million ‘gold card’ visa program that’s drawn skepticism
Critics have pointed out that such programs create a two-tier immigration system, disproportionately benefiting wealthy individuals.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/12/11/trump-gold-card-uscis-visa/?itid=hp-top-table-main_p001_f005
0
5
2
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Rachel Schwartz
3 months ago
🇭🇳 🗳️ Wondering what's going on with Honduras' election chaos? Me too! In any case, I've tried to make sense of how the country arrived at the current moment and what might be in store in this essay for
@jodemocracy.bsky.social
👇
add a skeleton here at some point
0
10
2
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Faroe Islands, late September 2025
4 months ago
0
7
1
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Turkey, 26.10-06.11.25
3 months ago
0
7
1
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Vancouver Island, September 2025
3 months ago
0
15
1
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Atyrau, 06.25
2 months ago
0
1
1
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Tore Wig
2 months ago
Happy to announce that I have received an
@erc.europa.eu
Consolidator grant for the project "Authoritarian Threats to Scientific Knowledge". AutoKnow will study how authoritarian regimes and politics affect scientific progress, contents and topics in different fields.
www.sv.uio.no/isv/english/...
loading . . .
Large EU-grant to Tore Wig to study the state of science in autocracies - Department of Political Science
Will scientific progress slow down if more countries in the world become autocratic? That is one of the questions political science professor Tore Wig will seek to answer with two million euros from t...
https://www.sv.uio.no/isv/english/about/news-and-events/news/2025/erc-grant-to-tore-wig.html
21
160
15
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Gerald Roche
2 months ago
everyone time I wade into the autism literature a little John Ruskin pops up inside my head to say this
0
3
2
Atyrau, 06.25
2 months ago
0
1
1
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Paul Goode
3 months ago
Great to see this issue is finally online. We're getting a lot of excellent research so we tried to cram as many articles as we could into the last issue before the holidays. Check it out:
online.ucpress.edu/cpcs/issue/5...
add a skeleton here at some point
0
6
2
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
V-Dem Institute
3 months ago
The December edition of the V-Dem Institute Newsletter is out! 📬 To find out about new publications, research and more, you can access the newsletter here:
mailchi.mp/v-dem/newsle...
Not subscribed yet? Here is the subscription link:
v-dem.us8.list-manage.com/subscribe?u=...
#Polisky
#PolDataSky
0
4
1
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Dan de Kadt
3 months ago
If we pitch "credible" research as necessarily using complicated designs, clever falsification tests, and technically challenging estimators, we risk losing the message. *Credible* research has just 4 things: 1. A well-posed Q 2. A plausible theory 3. Appropriate data 4. Appropriate analysis
1
9
1
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Carolina Torreblanca
3 months ago
New paper!
@william-dinneen.bsky.social
@guygrossman.bsky.social
Yiqing Xu and I use GPT to code 91k articles from 174 polisci journals (2003–2023)and track research designs, transparency practices, and citations. How has the credibility revolution reshaped the discipline?
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
🧵
1
127
66
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Magnus B Rasmussen
3 months ago
Kjære alle, USN lyser nå ut en 100 % fast stilling som førsteamanuensis. Spre gjerne utlysningen til alle dere tenker kan være aktuelle. Dersom dere har spørsmål om stillingen eller om USN, er det bare å ta kontakt med meg.
loading . . .
Førsteamanuensis i statsvitenskap (290803) | Universitetet i Sørøst-Norge
Stillingstittel: Førsteamanuensis i statsvitenskap (290803), Arbeidsgiver: Universitetet i Sørøst-Norge, Søknadsfrist: søndag 1. februar 2026
https://www.jobbnorge.no/ledige-stillinger/stilling/290803/foersteamanuensis-i-statsvitenskap?fbclid=IwY2xjawOaSb9leHRuA2FlbQIxMABzcnRjBmFwcF9pZBAyMjIwMzkxNzg4MjAwODkyAAEesbeATeP8A1kZQnYn-O4JDlXp2oiHuiI1TFea7MjHuovJky4JrF3IDeLxx64_aem_XfRr--3A0l7gpkqB2uS3Jg
0
7
3
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
jamelle
3 months ago
this is just gutter racism
add a skeleton here at some point
826
18403
3867
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Demscore
3 months ago
Save the Date:
#DEMSCORE
Conference 2026 The fourth DEMSCORE Conference will take place in Gothenburg on June 8–9, 2026. More information:
www.demscore.se/events/demsc...
@ucdp.bsky.social
@qoginstitute.bsky.social
@vdeminstitute.bsky.social
@viewsforecasting.org
@repdem-org.bsky.social
1(3)
1
3
2
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Rachel Schwartz
3 months ago
Good news—Dr. Abedini has been released!!! Thanks to everyone who shared and mobilized 🙏🏼🙏🏼🙏🏼
add a skeleton here at some point
2
296
81
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Rachel Schwartz
3 months ago
My colleague, Dr. Vahid Abedini, was illegally detained by ICE on Saturday. He is currently being held without a court date in sight, despite being in the country legally. Please spread the word! We must ensure his due process rights are upheld.
www.oudaily.com/news/ou-prof...
loading . . .
OU College of International Studies professor reportedly arrested by ICE
U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement reportedly arrested an OU professor at Will Rogers International Airport Saturday.
https://www.oudaily.com/news/ou-professor-arrest-ice-immigration-and-customs-enforcement/article_22f9ca06-9ed3-4df2-8f3d-08a5464d017f.html
6
395
288
Vancouver Island, September 2025
3 months ago
0
15
1
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Brian Taylor
3 months ago
Looking at this photo of the US-Ukraine Geneva meeting, I wondered who was in the delegation. ABC has the list:
abcnews.go.com/Internationa...
No Russia or Ukraine experts (although US Ambassador to Ukraine Davis & SACEUR Grynkewich were there). Who is the guy with the notebook? Andy Baker. 1/2
3
43
20
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Brendan Nyhan
3 months ago
My
@nytimes.com
op-ed: The Boomers Are Protesting Trump. Where Is Gen Z?
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/24/o...
(gift link) The key point: "The absence of young people from conventional protests is both a problem and a warning."
loading . . .
Opinion | The Boomers Are Protesting Trump. Where Is Gen Z?
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/24/opinion/boomers-protest-trump-gen-z.html?unlocked_article_code=1.3k8.ui6r.Ag1dMthOacrp&smid=url-share
105
257
162
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Grigore Pop-Eleches
3 months ago
Trump's "peace' plan for Ukraine is not only morally unacceptable but myopic and no basis for a lasting peace.
goodauthority.org/news/ukraini...
loading . . .
Ukrainians don’t think much of Putin’s ‘peace’ plan.
Our surveys from earlier this summer show overwhelming opposition to a Russian land grab.
https://goodauthority.org/news/ukrainians-dont-think-much-of-putins-peace-plan/
1
6
2
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Maria Popova
3 months ago
A few experts going right now: "hear me out, Budapest Memorandum, keeping Ukraine out of NATO, telling it to accept loss of Crimea, and pretending the Minsk Accords meant to save Ukraine's sovereignty were all mistakes, but if we now combine all this idiocy into a 28-point plan, it might work!"
16
458
111
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
V-Dem Institute
3 months ago
🎓New Research Projects on Democratic Resilience! Today we congratulate the V-Dem researchers involved in two new research projects that will tackle the issue of democratic resilience, in different ways. Read more :
v-dem.net/news/new-res...
#Polisky
#PoliticalScience
#DemocraticResilience
🧵1(4)
1
7
1
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Gabriela Greilinger
3 months ago
Yes. But also, Orbán was in power for 14 years until finally a successful challenger emerged and Orbán's popularity drastically declined. So the interesting question to ask is: Why now? And why was Magyar so much more successful in his anti-corruption messaging than others before him?
add a skeleton here at some point
4
44
11
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Sarah Bush
3 months ago
New article out today in
@iojournal.bsky.social
that tackles a pressing question: As the US retreats from democracy promotion, will autocracies abandon liberal norms and return to overt repression? Our
@danieladonno.bsky.social
Jon Pevehouse and
@cjschneider.bsky.social
answer: not so fast.🧵1/
2
28
12
reposted by
Kyle Marquardt
Yoshiko Herrera
3 months ago
Student journalists getting the job done!
add a skeleton here at some point
0
9
3
Load more
feeds!
log in