OK Sunday 8 am is not the best panel time. I get it. BUT tomorrow I'm presenting idealstan alongside 3 other banger papers on ideal points & measurement modeling. You want to know the latest & greatest in quantitative measurement, this is it. West 120 @ 8 am 🫡 #apsa2025

It was my great pleasure to celebrate @natalie-letsa.bsky.social's "The Autocratic Voter: Partisanship and Political Socialization under Dictatorship" today at @apsa.bsky.social. Buy, read, and cite this incredibly important book! www.cambridge.org/core/books/a...

For those in Vancouver, the Democracy and Autocracy Section will be holding our business meeting tomorrow (9/11) from 6:30-7:30pm at the Convention Center (West) Room 115. Our reception will be right after from 7:30-9:30pm at Steamworks Brewpub (375 Water Street). Come join us!

The Department of Political Science at Penn State is hiring in CP/IR, for a position focused on non-democratic politics. Link to apply: psu.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/PSU_Ac...

Vicente Valentim, Elias Dinas, & I came together to do this paper because we have all long shared an intution: mainstream center-right rhetoric shapes democratic norms. The hard part? Showing it empirically. We make some headway in this new paper. Grateful to @bjpols.bsky.social for publishing.

I really want to believe that American public opinion still matters. It makes me feel better that most Americans don’t support these policies. But other non-democracies demonstrate that once institutions have been politically weaponized, public opinion matters significantly less.

"Political brokers use social networks to identify & target reciprocal non-copartisans for vote buying. Parties recruit brokers central in networks to sway persuadable voters." From @rduartegonzalez.bsky.social, Finan, @hlarreguy.bsky.social and Schechter: www.restud.com/brokering-vo... #Econsky

I had the fortune to help organize, speak at, and participate in, the second Open Scholarship Bootcamp at Penn State. The sessions emphasize resources that are helpful to maintaining open scientific workflows. Materials are openly available here! penn-state-open-science.github.io/bootcamp-202...

Apply to EuroWEPS 12/13! We're organizing the next EuroWEPS workshops at Bocconi (Nov 14) and EUI (Dec 15) to discuss designs/papers focusing on causal inference. No presentations, just constructive discussions. Early career scholars are especially welcome to apply! Submission deadline is Sep 30

Call for applications now open! @apsamena.bsky.social Methods Workshop on Engaged Research in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) web.apsanet.org/mena/

New preprint with @cmparreira.bsky.social and Lindsay Walsh posted to @socarxiv.bsky.social: "From Protest to Parliament: Lebanon’s October Revolution and the Rise of Movement Parties." Link: osf.io/preprints/so...

New preprint with @cmparreira.bsky.social and Lindsay Walsh posted to @socarxiv.bsky.social: "From Protest to Parliament: Lebanon’s October Revolution and the Rise of Movement Parties." Link: osf.io/preprints/so...

From May 2025 - Legislative Cooptation in Authoritarian Regimes: Policy Cooperation in the Kuwait National Assembly - cup.org/4iVKa4R - @danieltavana.bsky.social & Erin York #OpenAccess

If you’re curious the assassination of the IRGC commanders creates a rally around the flag. I suggest reading my recent coauthored article. #IRGC is not a liked in #Iran due to its participation in repression of oppositions. Some of Iranians actually celebrating it. academic.oup.com/fpa/article/...

A scary development in world politics is that dictators tend to stick around for longer

Last month, Lebanon held its first local elections since 2016. Over the past nine years, the country has experienced a series of upheavals and crises - yet the most remarkable feature of these elections was (mostly) how much they resembled previous ones. Some key takeaways /1

OPM memo: Fed job applicants must now pledge in writing to implement Trump's political agenda. The final step in the Authoritarian playbook on the civil service: ✅ Purges disguised as "efficiency" ✅ Gut oversight agencies ✅ Weaken regulatory enforcement ➡️ Replace experts with loyalists ← UNDERWAY

*DEADLINE TOMORROW!* ⚠️

Please circulate! @wpmarble and I are looking for a part-time RA to help with various data tasks. This is a remote-work position that is ideal for recent graduates who are considering applying for a social science PhD. Apply here: forms.gle/EN3JLUiNm8m4...

New Article from our latest issue (Issue 7, 2025): "Mobilization Capacity and Violence Against Local Leaders: Anticlerical Violence During the Spanish Civil War" by Paloma Aguilar, @fdelacuesta.bsky.social, Ignacio Sánchez-Cuenca, and @franvillamil.bsky.social journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

In our new article, we show that groups that claim credit for attacks have shorter lifespans. Not because of government crackdowns, but likely from internal breakdowns. These findings raise questions about how state threats shape terrorist behavior and whether the logic of deterrence really holds.

For those interested in fieldwork and research ethics, this is a must-read by @separkinson.bsky.social: "Indiana Jones & the Institutional Review Board: Disciplinary Incentives, Researcher Archetypes & the Pathologies of Knowledge Production." Link: doi.org/10.1162/daed...

The Doha Institute is hiring a post-doc with experience in network analysis, statistics, and information technology. Link: www.dohainstitute.edu.qa/en/Careers/P...

NEW - Legislative Cooptation in Authoritarian Regimes: Policy Cooperation in the Kuwait National Assembly - cup.org/4iVKa4R - @danieltavana.bsky.social & Erin York #OpenAccess

Our article on legislative cooptation and opposition in the Kuwait National Assembly is finally out at @bjpols.bsky.social! Key findings: bsky.app/profile/dani... Article link: doi.org/10.1017/S000...

Kicking off my time at @harvardash.bsky.social, @sharangrewal.bsky.social and I reflect on how the Trump administration's open embrace of illiberalism could fuel increased global repression -- but also protest -- during Trump's second term.

Our article on legislative cooptation and opposition in the Kuwait National Assembly is finally out at @bjpols.bsky.social! Key findings: bsky.app/profile/dani... Article link: doi.org/10.1017/S000...

Looking forward to presenting Iran-focused survey work at Princeton's Sharmin and Bijan Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Iran and Persian Gulf Studies next week. Wednesday, 4/16, at 12:30 in Robertson 16. Come if you are around campus!

🚨New paper out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social with Torben Iversen: doi.org/10.1177/0010... We empirically separate economic factors from cultural backlash as competing explanations for right-wing populism, and find evidence for the former. We define the concept of “unfunded public goods.” 🧵

New Publication Alert! Read "Endogenous opposition: Identity and ideology in Kuwaiti electoral politics" by @danieltavana.bsky.social doi.org/10.1111/ajps...

Officially out at @ajpseditor.bsky.social! Link: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

Our data paper on the Regime Support and Opposition Groups data was just published in @bjpols.bsky.social ! Co-authored with @sirianned.bsky.social , @magnusrasmussen.bsky.social and @torewig.bsky.social Here comes a relatively long thread (as is appropriate for a long-term project)

🚨New paper alert!🚨 @anthlittle.bsky.social and I are excited to share “Presidential Election Concessions.” We present a new global dataset on concessions in presidential elections in all countries worldwide from 1980 to 2024 /1

Very excited to welcome Melani Cammett to PSU next week! Join us if you're on campus!

Excited to share my new article in the American Journal of Political Science (@ajpseditor.bsky.social)! "Endogenous Opposition: Identity and Ideology in Kuwaiti Electoral Politics" explores how authoritarian elections generate opposition to incumbent autocrats. Link: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/ukrer...

I'm putting together an APSA panel focused on legislative behavior / ideology in authoritarian regimes. If you have something that uses evidence from legislatures in these contexts, shoot me an email: [email protected].

The Oxford Authoritarian Politics Network is organising a new conference 👇👇 ENGAGING DEMOCRATIC AND AUTHORITARIAN POLITICS SCHOLARSHIP IN CONVERSATION Please spread the word and circulate our call for papers widely!

Polisky Dictatorsky Join us next week, November 19! Rabia Kutlu Karasu (Stanford) will present "Seats of Loyalty: The Parliamentary Pathway to Democratic Backsliding" and @danieltavana.bsky.social (Penn State) and @orcunselcuk.bsky.social (Luther College) will discuss

Deadline Sunday! Apply!

My article on preference falsification on surveys is now out in @PSRMJournal. Nonresponse rates are often used as a proxy for the sensitivity bias associated with PF. This article casts doubt on the utility of such measures. dictatorsky, polisky www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

New publication at Nations and Nationalism [open access]: "Social costs and policy preferences: Evidence from territorial strategies in Catalonia" onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

نظر من در مورد اوضاع واحوال در کویت - برای ایرانیان سیاست، دموکراسی و آزادی ‌بیان در کویت - در گفت‌وگو با فرناز سیفی t.co/hiW1jhqKy0

Accepted at @bjpols.bsky.social: "Legislative Cooptation in Authoritarian Regimes: Policy Cooperation in the Kuwait National Assembly" with Erin York. A link to the submitted version can be found here: t.co/Iuc1jqxbvM

First week of classes in the books! This semester, I'm teaching our department's intro methods / research design course. Link to the syllabus for those interested: comments, questions, feedback welcome: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/faqme...

November 19 will be the turn of Rabia Kutlu Karasu (Stanford) to present "Between Democracy and Autocracy: The Shifting Landscape of Party Cohesion and Polarization in Turkey" @danieltavana.bsky.social (Penn State) and @orcunselcuk.bsky.social (Luther College) will discuss.

APSA MENA CFA for early-career scholars who would like to participate in a 1-week workshop on identity politics in the MENA region, organized in partnership with the Center for the Gulf and Arabian Peninsula Studies at Kuwait University. Details here: t.co/hZLLk0JLF8

APSA MENA CFA for early-career scholars who would like to participate in a 1-week workshop on identity politics in the MENA region, organized in partnership with the Center for the Gulf and Arabian Peninsula Studies at Kuwait University. Details here: t.co/hZLLk0JLF8

Excited to welcome Penn's @guygrossman.bsky.social to State College this week! Join us Wednesday (4/17) at noon in Pond Lab if you're on campus.

Wonder what’s going on with Kuwait’s fourth election in four years? My new post and podcast on Courtney Freer’s excellent new book about Kuwait’s parliament and its (until now) resilience abuaardvark.substack.com/p/the-resili...

My thoughts to @nytimes.com : “The semi-democratic mechanisms that provide citizens input into how they are governed have atrophied. The abuse and decay of these mechanisms could, in the long term, render them permanently unusable, irrelevant or dysfunctional.” www.nytimes.com/2024/04/04/w...