I told @brookings.edu that Trump will be further emboldened after Maduro's capture and Khamenei's killing to go after heads of state. "Trump has proven to be even more hawkish than his predecessors, leaving future generations to face the eventual blowback." www.brookings.edu/articles/aft...

Fascinating paper by Sean Paul Ashley on "The Dark Side of Defection" in @jpeaceresearch.bsky.social: "I find that where nonviolent revolutions involved security force defection, coups and civil wars were significantly more likely to ensue." academic.oup.com/jpr/advance-...

What should military leaders do when a president orders something illegal? History offers a guide. @kschake.bsky.social on how Ulysses S. Grant navigated the most dangerous civil-military crisis in American history.

Exciting news! We just posted an opening for a Survey Associate on @pewresearch.org's Methods team! This is an amazing opportunity for someone relatively early in their career to join what is, IMO, the most fun methods team in the business. Full description at the link below.

Happening today! @au-spa.bsky.social @ausis.bsky.social

Friends in DC: The former Prime Minister of #Tunisia, Youssef Chahed, will be speaking at American University on Monday. Register here for an interesting conversation on building democracy in the Arab world: @au-spa.bsky.social @ausis.bsky.social www.eventbrite.com/e/building-d...

Breaking News: Prosecutors failed to secure an indictment against six Democrats who posted a video reminding members of the military to refuse illegal orders.

Join SPA Asst. Prof. @sharangrewal.bsky.social and @discoveringaub.bsky.social as he examines how elite bargains have slowed reform and deepened public frustration. With his expertise on revolutions and democratic transitions, it’s a must‑listen. Register: https://bit.ly/4bGJUHe

Own goal, so much winning, what are we even doing

Join SPA Asst. Prof. Sharan Grewal at the first Farsi Lecture in Islamic Peace this spring! He will lead a conversation with Dr. Youssef Chahed, former Prime Minister of Tunisia, on the path to democracy in the Arab world. Reserve your spot now 👉: https://bit.ly/4tjqcaD

"A large share of Iranians today personally knew someone murdered by authorities this month. Thus even people who did not themselves participate in the demonstrations now have a personal grievance with the regime."

"Through intense repression, the Islamic Republic has managed to survive another day, but at a significant cost. The massacres have deepened antiregime sentiment across society in powerful ways, even if the long-term political consequences remain uncertain."

"By further delegitimizing the system, the massacres in Iran will make it even more difficult for the regime to win back support through reforms or concessions." Wrote about the deadly repression in Iran with a brilliant PhD student, Ehsan Habibpour: www.journalofdemocracy.org/online-exclu...

"Earlier this month, Iranian authorities killed thousands of protesters, potentially tens of thousands — most of them over the course of just two days, January 8–9."

🚨 Job Alert! We are looking for a Senior Scientist (40h/week) to develop, establish, and organize the research network “Democracy and Human Rights”. Start: March 1, 2026 Application deadline: February 2, 2026 Find out more👇 jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Senior-S...

Especially worrisome that it is Fort Bragg, where last summer troops cheered and applauded Trump and purchased MAGA gear... www.military.com/daily-news/2...

@sharangrewal.bsky.social: while "grievances for revolution have returned, the factors that had facilitated Tunisia’s revolution and transition to democracy—a supportive military, a strong civil society, and a cooperative political class—have largely disappeared." www.brookings.edu/articles/15-...

Today marks 15 years since Tunisia kickstarted the Arab Spring. Is a new revolution possible in Tunisia today? Yes, but it will be more difficult than in 2011. My latest for @brookings.edu: www.brookings.edu/articles/15-...

This poll shows that 74% of Democrats support abolishing ICE, with 53% *strongly* supporting getting rid of the agency. Any elected Democrat who wants ICE to exist is outside the mainstream of their party and the people they purport to represent.

A George Floyd or Mohamed Bouazizi type of moment. Hopefully, the beginning of the end...

Postdoctoral research position at the School of Public and International Affairs at Princeton University. Applications are due next month. I’m happy to answer any questions about the position! puwebp.princeton.edu/AcadHire/app...

New post-doc position working with me in a new lab at @snfagora.bsky.social ! It's one year appointment, renewable for up to 5 years. The position includes data analysis and independent research, mentorship of lab members, and participation in SNF Agora Institute life. apply.interfolio.com/178796

Early version of the network based sampling method I use in my dissertation field research is out in the new issue of QMMR. Many thanks to the Emerging Methodologist Workshop team for making this possible. www.mohameddhiahammami.com/working-papers doi.org/10.5281/zeno...

The U.S. military is being used inside the United States. There's a lot we don't know about how, why, and under what authorities. Today, Lawfare is launching a new project–which includes a tracker and a map–to follow where and how the military is being domestically deployed.

🤔 Thinking twice about a career in research? Check this out: 📊 By the end of Year 2 in SPA’s PhD programs… ✅ 93% present their work ✅ 87% publish or have a project under review ✅ 73% gain teaching experience 🎓 85% land research jobs within 6 months of graduation Learn more: https://bit.ly/3IJgHz2

I am delighted to share the fall issue of the APSA MENA section newsletter, co-edited by @sebnemgumuscu.bsky.social, @samershehata.bsky.social, and me, available for download here: zenodo.org/records/1745...

POMEPS is pleased to announce a Call for Papers: Political Movements in North Africa and the Sahel after the Arab Uprisings. The deadline to apply is Monday, Nov. 3rd. For more information on how to apply: pomeps.org/call-for-pap...

BREAKING: Over ‘7 million people’ have protested on this “No Kings Day”…👇 Good job! 😎✨

"a memorandum expanding his administration’s authority" The phrasing you're looking for is that he's suspending parts of the Constitution by decree.

Another one bites the dust -- mass protests and military defection lead Madagascar's Andry Rajoelina to flee www.theguardian.com/world/2025/o...

Trump's favorite dictator

Affected by the Government Shutdown*? Join SPA for a day of free classes covering career development strategies, current events, AI, & networking opportunities. 🗓️ Friday, 10/10 🕑 9:30 AM - 3 PM 📍Kerwin Hall 👉 Reserve your spot: american-spa.swoogo.com/classeswithoutquizzes

Call for Proposals! APSA R&P is accepting proposals for small grant awards of up to $2,500 for research on R&P. Proposals may address any topic of theoretical, empirical, and practical significance for the study of religion and politics. Apply here: bit.ly/4gRt4py

Can’t wait for our panel with @lisablaydes.bsky.social, @sharangrewal.bsky.social, @shalaby12.bsky.social, @aasiegel.bsky.social, Neil Ketchley, and me. We’ll discuss data scarcity in MENA and how to overcome it. 📅 Today, 2:00–3:30pm PDT 📍 VCC, West Level 1, Room 113 (or Zoom) tinyurl.com/ymnyafts

Are you looking for a tenure-track assistant professor job in international studies? If so, please apply to Kenyon College (see details below)! I am on the search committee and happy to answer any questions.

PSU poli sci is hiring in APB and non-democratic politics (CP/IR)! Apply! psu.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/PSU_Ac... psu.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/PSU_Ac...

The We Are All DC march to protest against Trump admin’s takeover of DC is currently heading toward the White House: Via @benjalvarez1.bsky.social

Just a reminder that we're advertising for three faculty positions in the University of South Carolina's Department of Political Science this year. They're a department cluster hire on Problems of Democracy. All three have deadlines of September 15th. The first is an open-rank position in IR: 1/

William & Mary is conducting a search for a tenure track assistant professor in comparative politics, with a focus on Europe. Deadline for applications is early October, although there's some flexibility. Reposts appreciated. williammary.wd12.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/WM/det... .

William & Mary’s government department is hiring in comparative politics (Europe focus). I’m on the search committee and attending APSA next week. Feel free to reach out to set up an informational meeting. Apply here: williammary.wd12.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/WM/job...

The National Guard was built for disasters and emergencies. Now it’s being turned into a domestic police force. I wrote about it in The Atlantic: www.theatlantic.com/politics/arc...

This interview, which is also available to listen to as a podcast, provides a useful overview of some of the dangerous trends we’ve been seeing in recent months regarding federalization and militarization of state and local police functions.

We are hiring in American Politics at Hamilton College this year! We're seeking a scholar of political institutions, broadly understood. Hamilton's been a wonderful place to work, & I'm happy to answer any questions about the position, department, life in upstate NY, etc. apply.interfolio.com/171832

For the dudes in uniform:

Comparative Politics Folks, we have a position at the University of Tennessee, Knoxville. If y'all have any questions, send word. Great collegial department in an affordable urban location, plus there's the Smokies and outdoors. jobs.chronicle.com/job/37867857...

University of South Carolina is hiring 3 #polisky lines: American Judicial/TT uscjobs.sc.edu/postings/192... Open field/TT uscjobs.sc.edu/postings/192... IR/Open Rank uscjobs.sc.edu/postings/192... Happy to chat about the department/life here in Columbia. Please apply!

🧵NEW: This is an unprecedented intervention. Almost every single living, former head of the IDF, Mossad (Israeli foreign intelligence), Shin Bet (domestic intelligence) & Police Commissioner urges an end to Israel’s war in Gaza. “This is an extremist government. It has taken us all hostage.” 1/

Join us in 2026-27 at the Kellogg Institute! kellogg.nd.edu/opportunitie...