Andrew Mercer
@awmercer.bsky.social
📤 7348
📥 1363
📝 4565
Principal methodologist at Pew Research Center. He/him
Peak 2026 is when you choose your preferred burrito taxi according to who has the less terrible customer service chatbot.
about 8 hours ago
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Mondays, amirite?
about 15 hours ago
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1 day ago
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Dan Hon
3 days ago
butlerian community planning hearing
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Jonathan Schulman
6 days ago
Two new posts from us at
@pewresearch.org
today (links in replies). First, it is generally the case that higher income countries are less likely to say their political system needs big changes. But the U.S. is an exception. This post shows how the U.S. both does and does not stand out on this.
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Campaign people. If one (or perhaps several) of the national voter files incorrectly have my phone number associated with someone else's record, is there a way to get that fixed? Asking for a friend who's really tired of getting all these texts...
7 days ago
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Mark Rubin
7 days ago
Is a 55% replication rate too low, too high, or just right? Some thoughts on Tyner et al.’s (2026) recent study.
#MetaSci
#PhilSci
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Is a 55% Replication Rate Too Low, Too High, or Just Right?
Tyner et al.
https://markrubin.substack.com/p/is-a-55-replication-rate-too-low
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I had been planning to skip this one but now maybe not.
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7 days ago
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Sam Rickards
10 days ago
#30daychartchallenge
Day 11: Physical Based on Royal Kennel Club registration data from 2016 to 2025, I give you 10 years of the most popular dog breeds in the UK, a crocheted slope chart. We have Year on the X- and popularity ranking on the Y-axis, as well as a handmade legend.
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There a no better sign that a track is an absolute banger than “Feat. Busta Rhymes”.
10 days ago
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So how does one get an invite code for
@attie.ai
?
12 days ago
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This is really, really good.
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15 days ago
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Eddie Clark
17 days ago
Presenting: The Queersar Not An Award for 2021! 10 (+1) examples of top-quality queer SFF. Brilliant fantasy cities, some great SFF romance, anti-Brexit Epic Fantasy, dark fantasy mystery, space opera, gonzo slipstream, a great spin-off with a particular spotlight on a throwback of the best sort.
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The Queersar Not An Award 2021
For excellence in queer SFF and SFF with queers released in 2021
https://borrowed-and-blue.beehiiv.com/p/the-queersar-not-an-award-2021
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Andrew Mercer
Comfortably Numb
18 days ago
I found function similar to human feeling in my calculator.
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Ryan Briggs
20 days ago
You guys
@carlislerainey.bsky.social
has a free textbook online and it seems really useful
pos5747.github.io/notes/
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John Bull
19 days ago
"i have two Microsoft Outlooks, and neither one of those are working." The Astronauts truly representing us all up there.
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It’s not too late
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21 days ago
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Jake Berg
22 days ago
Is this anyone’s dog? Found in Brookland, DC, 17th and Hamlin
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For anyone else who needs some hand-holding to experiment with AI coding for the kind of data work that I do, this series of posts is *incredibly* helpful.
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23 days ago
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If you see this, post a concert photo you took.
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23 days ago
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Andrew Mercer
Stephen Wild
23 days ago
This is a fantastic paper
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Going to start recommending this to my friends with kids.
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27 days ago
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While we’re doing this, it’s pronounced “lick-ert”. Not “like-ert”.
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28 days ago
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Darren Dahly
29 days ago
Cool little package on CRAN for adding a download data button into html files created from your Rmd.
cran.r-project.org/web/packages...
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Was just informed that the only food our 19 year old cat will eat has been discontinued so I’m over here planning my own rice truck saga but with whatever leftover stock I can get my hands on.
29 days ago
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This seems like a very good heuristic. Honestly, I need to do this for every room in the house.
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30 days ago
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Richard McElreath 🐈⬛
about 1 month ago
Statistical Rethinking 2026 is done: 20 new lectures emphasizing logical and critical statistical workflow, from basics of probability theory to causal inference to reliable computation to sensitivity. It's all free, made just for you. Lecture list and links:
github.com/rmcelreath/s...
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Ana Marie Cox
about 1 month ago
NEW JENNY NICHOLSON I REPEAT THERE IS A JENNY NICHOLSON DROP
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Guido Imbens
about 1 month ago
Don’t Do Difference In Differences (DDDID), cheers, guido
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Lazy
#caturday
playing some video games with Charlie.
about 1 month ago
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Andrew Mercer
Lars van der Laan
about 1 month ago
A very nice overview of PPI, which is closely related to the AIPW estimator from missing data and the even older model-assisted estimators from survey sampling.
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Kagi is hands down the best $10 I spend every month.
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about 1 month ago
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Andrew Mercer
Andy Famiglietti
about 1 month ago
This is amazing but also perhaps too subtle for 2026. OP is going to get yelled at by Butlerian Jihadis and also sincerely offered VC funding (which she should accept)
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Stephen Wild
about 1 month ago
Nice list of papers on survey response rates over time.
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tweety fish
11 months ago
Glastonbury, 1994. General Levy, backed by M-Beat, has the crowd in the palm of his hand. All of a sudden, is that... PETER FRAMPTON?!?
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do u incredible like we do
YouTube video by Sifu Tweety
https://youtu.be/r421FFFdNPc
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Every single one of these was burned into my psyche in middle school
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about 1 month ago
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Andrew Mercer
Science Fiction and Fantasy Writers Association
about 1 month ago
Congratulations to our Nebula Finalists for the 61st Nebula Award for Best Novel!
#SFWA
#Nebulas
#61stNebulaAwards
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Andrew Mercer
Nick Huntington-Klein
about 1 month ago
Saw
@gavinverhey.bsky.social
in drag on Spell Slayers which was v fun and also learned about this card which is a great demonstration of the St. Petersburg Paradox! This creature has an average power equal to infinity, and yet is realistically much smaller than measly 10k-power Jumbo Cactuar
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Remember Labubus? That was a weird couple of weeks…
about 1 month ago
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I had avoided Marathon after reading some of the early reaction but this review has me thinking I should pick it up.
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about 1 month ago
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Andrew Mercer
Brady West
about 1 month ago
We are now recruiting participants for a series of upcoming focus groups that will discuss the impacts of AI on health and well-being. If you or any friends/colleagues are interested, please visit the study site:
umhealthresearch.org/study-team/s...
All focus groups will be 100% online (via Zoom).
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UMHealthResearch
https://umhealthresearch.org/study-team/studies/HUM00289333
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Andrew Mercer
Kevin Collins
about 1 month ago
Live and lapply()
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The sapply() who loved me
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about 1 month ago
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Andrew Mercer
Stephen Wild
about 1 month ago
You know what I'm gonna give this one to her. 10/10
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Watching S1E1 of The Pitt. It’s gotta get better right? Is this just the usual crappy pilot after which they bring in a showrunner that knows what they’re doing?
about 2 months ago
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One of those legendary pieces of online statistical lore that everyone needs be aware of.
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about 2 months ago
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Andrew Mercer
Thom Volker
about 2 months ago
With very large numbers of n’s you don’t need randomization, and with LLM’s we can generate very large numbers of n’s, so I think all of science is solved by now. I don’t see any problems with this.
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Can. Not. Wait.
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about 2 months ago
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Andrew Mercer
Sarah Colonthree (oof ouch my pussy)
about 2 months ago
“average monkey asks 3 questions a day" factoid actualy just statistical error. average monkey asks 0 questions per year. Curious georg, who lives in cave & asks over 10,000 each day, is an outlier adn should not have been counted
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