Jonas W. Schmid
@jonaswschmid.bsky.social
📤 1307
📥 1473
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Researching autocratic politics, ministers & international cooperation at the University of Oslo.
Happy to be back in Oslo and to join this great company!
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20 days ago
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Roman Senninger
21 days ago
⚽📚 The Ultimate World Cup Research Thread I've set up a little automated thread: every day of the 2026 World Cup (11 Jun–19 Jul) it shares one study on what football does to society: politics, economics, migration, health, crime & more. One paper a day. Kickoff below 👇
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The WhoGov project
23 days ago
We are happy to release Version 4 of WhoGov, which expands WhoGov to 2025. It now contains data on cabinet members from 1966-2025. The update is supported by UiO:Democracy and can be downloaded through GETGOV's page or through Nuffield College:
politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/whogov-datas...
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Governing elites since the dawn of modern democracy (GETGOV) - Department of Political Science
Ever since humans settled into communities, there have been political classes. A small elite governs, while the majority are governed. Yet, who are the people in the governing elite? GETGOV will answe...
https://www.sv.uio.no/isv/english/research/projects/getgov/
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How will the rise of autocracies in international relations reshape global governance and what can democratic policy-makers do to counter this? I wrote a blogpost on this based on a policy brief with
@jonastallberg.bsky.social
and
@faradj.bsky.social
:
www.democracywithoutborders.org/43349/how-th...
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How the rise of autocracies is reshaping global governance
This article explains how autocracies are reshaping global governance through institutional drift, informal cooperation and domestic backlash, and how democracies can react to defend liberal norms and...
https://www.democracywithoutborders.org/43349/how-the-rise-of-autocracies-is-reshaping-global-governance/
24 days ago
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Authoritarian Political Systems Group
about 1 month ago
New publication! "Governing for Growth? Economic Performance and Finance Minister Survival in Democracies and Autocracies" by
@jonaswschmid.bsky.social
and
@jacobnyrup.bsky.social
now out in Political Research Quarterly.
doi.org/10.1177/1065...
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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
https://doi.org/10.1177/10659129261445888
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Michael Clemens
about 1 month ago
Remember that recent paper claiming to show that "ideological bias" determined the results obtained by immigration policy research teams? A careful, open-code reanalysis by
@kauspurg.bsky.social
& Josef Brüderl finds that the result arises from a coding error. —>
doi.org/10.31222/osf...
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Jonas W. Schmid
Department of Political Science, University of Oslo
about 1 month ago
📢 New article 🌟 👥 Jonas W. Schmid
@jonaswschmid.bsky.social
& Jacob Nyrup
@jacobnyrup.bsky.social
(ISV) 👉 Governing for Growth? Economic Performance and Finance Minister Survival in Democracies and Autocracies 📗 Open Access in Political Research Quarterly 🔗
doi.org/10.1177/1065...
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Governing for Growth? Economic Performance and Finance Minister Survival in Democracies and Autocracies - Jonas Willibald Schmid, Jacob Nyrup, 2026
Are the highest-ranking public officials rewarded for good performance? Using the case of finance ministers, we argue that this depends on the type of regime. D...
https://doi.org/10.1177/10659129261445888
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Lee Morgenbesser
about 2 months ago
Equally insane is the complete lack of both condemnation from political elites and spontaneous mass protests from citizens. Indeed, grand corruption is already a fully normalised feature of authoritarian rule in the United States.
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Joshua Tucker
about 2 months ago
1/ Excited to report we have a new paper out
@nature.com
today! The bottom line: training data for LLMs does not just fall from the sky - it is created in the context of existing social political institutions - and that has consequences for LLM output.
nature.com/articles/s41...
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State media control influences large language models - Nature
Government-controlled media influences the output of large language models via their training data, and models queried in the languages of countries with lower media freedom show a stronger ...
https://nature.com/articles/s41586-026-10506-7
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Sol Messing
about 2 months ago
New in Nature: LLMs give "the party line" in the languages of authoritarian regimes. This works when they control the media, which feeds pretraining data. We show more state control over the media means less critical LLMs. 6 studies spanning 38 languages & 13 models. Details ↓
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Max Alyukov
about 2 months ago
My new paper with Margarita Zavadskaya is out in
@poppublicsphere.bsky.social
! Since 2022, the Kremlin has turned pseudo fact checking into a key propaganda strategy. But how does it affect citizens? We run an experiment to answer this Q (10/):
doi.org/10.1017/S153...
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Joe Noonan
5 months ago
Senior professors with good funding and armies of research assistants should share what they delegate to their RAs without giving them authorial credit. This will help us without such resources understand the ethical boundaries of using Claude Code and other LLMs for our own work.
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Are top public officials rewarded for good performance? In our new paper "Governing for growth?" (
doi.org/10.1177/1065...
).
@jacobnyrup.bsky.social
and I study how economic performance affects the political survival of finance ministers to show that this depends on the regime they work in. Thread ⬇️
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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
https://doi.org/10.1177/10659129261445888
about 2 months ago
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Haakon Gjerløw
2 months ago
PRIO is hiring a new Executive Assistant, This is a role that sits at the heart of our leadership, and is involved with most aspects of management. You will work closely with me - not sure if that is a boon or a curse - but there is room to shape how the role evolves
www.prio.org/about/career...
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Executive Assistant to the Director – Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO)
Are you interested in academic research and enjoy working in an international environment? If you are also committed to quality and are a service minde ...
https://www.prio.org/about/careers/34
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Howard Eissenstat
2 months ago
"Trumpmenbaşy" LOL. Excellent
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Philipp Lutscher
2 months ago
Delighted to share a short blog post on the dark logic of visual "strongman" propaganda — drawing on survey experiments in Venezuela, Türkiye and the US!
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Maarten Schenk
2 months ago
The best indication so far the WHCD Trump shooting wasn't staged? No evidence yet of huge insider bets just before it happened on Polymarket or Kalshi :-)
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PSA Autocracy & Regime Change Specialist Group
2 months ago
We are excited to have won
@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social
's joint prize for Specialist Group of the Year! If you are a researcher studying autocracies, come join this great community!
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Xavier Marquez
2 months ago
New version of my R package {democracyData} available:
github.com/xmarquez/dem...
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GitHub - xmarquez/democracyData: Access and manipulate most standard scholarly measures of democracy
Access and manipulate most standard scholarly measures of democracy - xmarquez/democracyData
https://github.com/xmarquez/democracyData
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Jonas W. Schmid
2 months ago
Scheidel's "Great Leveler" argued equality has historically come from violence. Can peaceful redistribution do the same? In our lab experiment, redistribution doesn't reduce punishment — it shifts it from 'punish the rich' to 'punish free-riders.' 🧵
journals.plos.org/plosone/arti...
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Inequality aversion and prosocial punishment: Evidence from a one-shot public goods game
The willingness to engage in costly punishment of free riders (prosocial punishment) is crucial to foster group cooperation and understand public goods provision. While prosocial punishment is common ...
https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0337425
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Very happy that my article "Electoral autocracies, hybrid regimes, and multiparty autocracies: same, same but different?" won the Frank Cass Prize for the best young scholar article in
@democratization.bsky.social
in 2025! Read it here or check the thread below:
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
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3 months ago
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Carl Henrik Knutsen
3 months ago
Why I don't expect liberal democracy to go away any time soon: My article on the resilience of liberal democracy, published in
@jeppjournal.bsky.social
. Perfectly timed to the day after Orbáns defeat and a small spike in "democracy-optimism". There are, I argue, good reasons for such optimism.
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Lee Morgenbesser
3 months ago
With Hungary’s crucial election a few days away, its National Election Office has published a list of accredited international observers (n. 859). Having spent nearly a decade researching the behavior of international observers, I decided to take a closer look 😊
www.valasztas.hu/en/internati...
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International observers registered for the parliamentary elections to be held in 2026
https://www.valasztas.hu/en/international-observers-registered-2026-p-elections
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥
3 months ago
Three days left to apply for our mini-conference on political elites - deadline is April 1st! It will be held August 20-21st, 2026 in Oslo. We promise good food (maybe brown cheese), beautiful scenery, & great work on political elites Call for papers w. submission link here:
bit.ly/whogovminico...
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Toni Rodon
4 months ago
Foreign influencers help authoritarian regimes: while they may not sway domestic audiences already saturated with propaganda, they can reshape the perceptions of more credulous foreign publics
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
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Authoritarian Persuasion at Home and Abroad: The Partial Effectiveness of Foreign Influencers in Propaganda Work - Siyu Liang, Lachlan McNamee, 2026
How do authoritarian regimes make propaganda persuasive? This study evaluates the impact of foreign influencers in propaganda. Social media videos and state bro...
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/00104140261431834?mi=ehikzz
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V-Dem Institute
4 months ago
📢 We are hiring: Combined Postdoc position at V-Dem Institute and GLD! Applications are open for a Postdoctoral Research Fellowship in Cross-National Survey Methodology in Political Science. Application:
web103.reachmee.com/ext/I005/103...
🧵1(4)
#Polisky
#PoliSciSky
#PoliticalScienceJobs
#PostDoc
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Nate Schenkkan
4 months ago
The gap that's opened up between the military capacity of the United States (unmatched in human history) and its political and diplomatic capacity (none) is frightening
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Lee Crawfurd
4 months ago
The Nazis stopped Jewish doctors from practising, so thousands of them left the country (my great grandfather was one of them). So many left that this was a good natural experiment for estimating the causal effect of losing doctors on infant mortality (& thousands died)
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥
4 months ago
There is still one month left to apply to the WhoGov Mini-Conference on Political Elites. The deadline is the 1st of April. It takes place in Oslo, August 20-21st, 2026. We welcome research on political elites broadly understood. Call is found here :
bit.ly/whogovminico...
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NY Times Pitchbot
4 months ago
I just learned that Ayatollah Khamenei and Ayatollah Khomenei are not the same person. Here's my plan for regime change in Iran....(1/23)
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Lisa Dellmuth
4 months ago
📚 2 PhD positions in International Relations at
@stockholm-uni.bsky.social
! The positions are linked to my ERC-project about local change and public support for protectionism
#academicsky
#polisky
Deadline April 10, 2026, apply here! 👇
su.varbi.com/en/what:job/...
-
su.varbi.com/what:job/job...
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PhD student in International Relations
The Department of Economic History and International Relations is a dynamic and strong education and research department at the Faculty of Social Sciences at Stockholm University. Its International Re
https://su.varbi.com/en/what:job/jobID:896722/where:4/
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Adam Scharpf
5 months ago
Russia, Venezuela, Iran, China, the Sahel region, the United States ... Want to know why state agents carry out brutal repression — or participate in illegal coups? Our new book "Making a Career in Dictatorship" provides answers — it just got published by
@academic.oup.com
:
tinyurl.com/ystwm3tf
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James
5 months ago
Beijing watching a completely mentally unstable U.S. President reorient all U.S. foreign policy to coerce Brussels:
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Lee Morgenbesser
5 months ago
In announcing the final makeup of the board, Trump highlighted how Putin will be joined by other distinguished individuals, including Genghis Khan King Leopold II Caligula Pol Pot Lucky Luciano Curtis LeMay Tony Blair Sauron Hernán Cortés Count Dracula Benito Mussolini Henry Kissinger Thanos
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Authoritarian Political Systems Group
5 months ago
Welcome to our Spring 2026 season! To join any or all, remember to join our mailing list:
mailchi.mp/fe045331c9c7...
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Lee Morgenbesser
6 months ago
America is afflicted by a rare combination: early-stage authoritarianism, but with a late-stage dictator. Think El Salvador today ruled by a crazy Papa Doc Duvalier. While chaos is the defining feature of this struggle, pro-democratic forces can still prevail…
www.thebulwark.com/p/crazy-or-c...
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Donald the Dove
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6 months ago
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Authoritarian Political Systems Group
6 months ago
Come join us 15-16 June 2026 in London! The CfP for our 4th Annual Conference, co-organized with
@qmul-sse-cgd.bsky.social
, is open until 1 Feb! We invite scholars of authoritarianism at all career stages to apply here:
forms.gle/5eQ1NHMtK5GS...
For more information:
tinyurl.com/2ap6attd
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https://forms.gle/5eQ1NHMtK5GS..
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Jonas W. Schmid
6 months ago
Seeing people do "here's the savvy take on how and why the US should acquire Greenland" and just feeling so *embarrassed* for them. Have some dignity. You don't need to be an apologist for the world's dumbest autocrat, you're not somehow sophisticated for seeing The Smart Play on imperial vainglory.
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Ina L Kristiansen
6 months ago
Come join the best (mini) conference on political elites in Oslo!!!
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Join us for the 3rd(!) round of our workshop/mini-conference! We promise great research, fun people, and rumor has it that you will also get a chance to eat the best Chinese food in all of Norway if you attend!
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6 months ago
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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥
6 months ago
We are happy to announce the call for papers for the third WhoGov Mini-Conference on Political Elites! It will be held on August 20-21st, 2026 in Oslo. We welcome research on political elites broadly understood and not just papers using WhoGov. You can find the call here:
bit.ly/whogovminico...
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Karsten Donnay
6 months ago
📄 New paper out in
@poppublicsphere.bsky.social
with my amazing co-author
@plutscher.bsky.social
! 💡 Ever wondered if authoritarian strongman messaging also works in democracies? We find that, yes, it did under Trump during the BLM protests in the U.S. in 2020. polisky csssky socsky commsky
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Gabriel Zucman
7 months ago
It has become received wisdom in Brussels and Washington that there is a new “euro-sclerosis”: that the EU economy is lagging the US This view is wrong A little primer on the measurement of productivity – and why reports of the economic death of Europe are greatly exaggerated🧵
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Revan
7 months ago
First time I’ve seen a post complaining about (((Norwegians)))
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Daniel de Kadt
7 months ago
Today I published a replication outlining concerns with "Instrumentally Inclusive" by Turnbull-Dugarte and López Ortega (2024, APSR). I document seemingly idiosyncratic and ad hoc choices made by the authors that create a pattern of statistically significant results consistent with their theory.
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Adam Scharpf
8 months ago
Wie lässt sich das brutale Vorgehen von Trump's ICE Agenten erklären? Und warum erinnert es so sehr an Diktaturen und ihre Geheimpolizei? Unser neues Buch liefert Antworten - wie wir heute in der
@zeit.de
erklären. Buch:
global.oup.com/academic/pro...
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Michael Bang Petersen
8 months ago
Four (!) three-year postdoc positions available at
@au.dk
:
international.au.dk/about/profil...
Join an incredible team & help understand the psychological & political implications of the clash between high-speed society & slow-speed democracy. Please share!
@tboeggild.bsky.social
can help with Qs
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Four three-year postdoctoral positions in the project Slow-Motion Democracy - Vacancy at Aarhus University
Vacancy at Department of Political Science, Aarhus University
https://international.au.dk/about/profile/vacant-positions/job/four-three-year-postdoctoral-positions-in-the-project-slow-motion-democracy
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