Boots adjacent the ground Boots near the ground Boots just off the ground Boots on the water

I would have done it for 2

Viktor Orbán created a new state foundation that forced independent media owners to transfer ownership, changed the state media into a propaganda mouthpiece, and hounded the remaining few free media with tax audits, raids, and surveillance. Over 80% of the media in Hungary is now in his hands.

1/2 Important caveat: Computational reproducibility does not imply credibility, especially w.r.t. to research design. In the scientific literature, *reproducibility* means reproducing results using authors’ code and data, whereas *replication* goes beyond what was originally done or provided.

1/🧵 A major update to our paper: "Scaling Reproducibility" w/ Leo Yang [Cross-posted from X] We move beyond reanalyzing a single design to (almost) full-paper replication! Paper: bit.ly/repro-ai

New working paper: Rethinking Misinformation Interventions. The field has spent years searching for the one intervention that will solve misinformation. This search is the wrong approach — and our disappointment says more about our expectations than our tools. (1/5) osf.io/preprints/so...

Wondering which intern used chatgpt to come up with ”gotta get the Strait of Hormuz *straightened* out”

Zero Americans benefit from this. All of us, every Conservative and every Liberal American, are watching our future hobbled. Shattering a treasured national asset: our former status as the top destination for global talent, hard-wrought by generations of visionary Republicans and Democrats.

My personal rule for IVs is that, if there's really only one reason why Z and Y are correlated, then you should be able to tell me Z and Y, and I'd be able to figure out what X is without you telling me. (1/n)

The widespread trust in and admiration of the United States that we built up worldwide over generations—including through wise leadership and sometimes heroism by earlier Republican leaders—is now being immolated with a sneering flamethrower. The opposite of Conservative.

Mass exclusion of immigrants is an action against US citizens. Necessarily and inherently. People deciding whether or not that's "worth it" must first look directly at what it is.

Gambling should be heavily regulated (maybe out of existence), especially online gambling (including gambling embedded in video games). We should also find a way to properly regulate YouTube videos of people’s gambling, including videos of adults opening Pokémon and other collectible cards.

The grand grift and corruption in this administration is startling and makes all Americans far worse off. Grand corruption on this scale destroys states and societies.

The perversion of the US government into a grift machine for political buddies harms every American. Every Conservative and Liberal American.

Only thing worse in my experience is a reviewer recommending rejection for a paper they clearly did read very closely

This is nuts and everything but it is worth remembering that nothing stops individual authors from publishing their code and data. There were people in polisci and econ doing this in the 90s. If one publishes in the ASR, one should publish a replication archive, whatever the policy.

Beautiful paper, read, set in your classes, think about, cite, extend, etc.

There are moments when you get pulled into the more insane parts of the terminally online world, and it's both scary and funny and a good reminder to log off and go outside and touch grass/feel sunshine.

Waiting by my phone rn

⏳One month left to nominate papers for APSA's Experimental Research Section’s Best Paper Award! We’re excited to read creative experimental work tackling big political questions. Self-nominations welcome (and discussants, please nominate your panelists)!

Agreed. “Let’s one shot a mediocre paper in 15 minutes” is a fun parlor trick but the more exciting thing is the ability to produce higher quality research faster by treating AI like a hyper efficient (if not particularly creative and sometimes mistake-prone) collaborator.

Vaccines are miracles. One of the purest blessings to all humanity. The current war against vaccines, by a cabal of quacks hyperempowered by the US Administration, is abominable. It will ultimately come to harm all Conservative and all Liberal Americans.

i think this is a good clean example of the distinction between gaslighting and lying

Just want to say, this family did not come to the US under the refugee policy. They arrived in the US in 2006, so the kids were likely born there (citizens). Same for the other guy in the article. This is actually just a story about immigrants no longer wanting to live in the USA. Which is sad.

I’m heading troublesome reports that assassinating the leader of the spice rich regions is not working as per plan; since the son has survived and is leading a religious rebellion blocking spice exports. Let’s see what happens if Imperial Sardaukar are deployed.

I’ve given @akoustov.bsky.social a (hopefully respectful) hard time lately. I somehow missed this thread. This is gross behaviour and @emilymbender.bsky.social should be ashamed, should delete it, and should apologise to Alex. Disagree on the merits, leave this personal garbage in your drafts.

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The competition for dumbest Anglophone government remains stiff

Coming up with a post-hoc theory section when your results are weird:

America's status as the top destination for global talent is being shattered. The Administration only just published (!) what happened last summer to international student visa issuances. It's grim. From the indispensable @karinfischer.bsky.social @chronicle.com —> chronicle.com/newsletter/l...

Has anyone asked Claude Code to bring the oil through the Strait of Hormuz

The moment of clarity for liberals and republicans is that their foundational principles are wholly aligned. There is no need for compromise, only certainty of purpose. www.liberalcurrents.com/the-republic...

Your boss buys you oversized $145 shoes, do you: 1. Tell him/her they're the wrong size 2. Buy the same shoe for yourself in the right size and just don't say anything 3. Wear oversized shoes all day like a clown

There is great excitement about the potential for AI to reshape science, but so far very little empirical evidence about how that is (or is not??) happening in real time. I'm excited to share a new working paper with Carolyn Stein about the impact of AlphaFold on science ->

actually think academics (like everyone) should seek self actualization through their work

Five more days to submit nominations for the Margaret Levi Award for the Advancement of Comparative Methodology! A broad and unusual call. Feel free to self-nominate or to submit a nomination on behalf of work that has inspired you.

A few people have asked for the syllabus from my grad seminar on Generative AI for social science -- just posted it here: statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/03/10/n...

OK

Just 🔥🔥🔥 from @davidjbier.bsky.social - incredible work by the principled libertarians at @cato.org

art belongs on university campus. medicine belongs on university campus. so do law, engineering, agriculture. social and life sciences and humanities belong on university campus too. so does business. they all make up the world, culture, society we live in. they're all worth studying and teaching.

I'm sorry man but what's the narrative here? That AI users/boosters are now being persecuted online or something? What? Social media is *full* of free talk about AI. Jnr faculty are *always* anxious about speaking out publicly (and snr faculty often advise them not to, for better or worse).

Conditionally accepted at the APSR (w/ @scottclifford.bsky.social & @patrickpliu.bsky.social): Why does political information so often change beliefs but NOT attitudes? We highlight the role of belief relevance, or the extent to which beliefs bear on attitudes.

Humans putting AI out of work, you love to see it

Absolute self own of the highest order

The US Administration has embarked on a large, unprecedented program of excluding lawful, highly-skilled workers and students from the United States. I talked with the brilliant @gracesegers.bsky.social at @newrepublic.com about the broad economic ripple effects. newrepublic.com/article/2073...

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My life is so mundane that this is an empty set

There is/was a tradition at Wesleyan econ seminars to introduce speakers as trained at [PhD] and educated at [Undergrad]. Easy to be proud of where you were educated when the university prez writes like this

I’m pretty libertarian wrt what people can do with their own bodies, minds, and money, but gambling in general should simply not be allowed .

Not sure what "entirely generated" means, exactly, but I feel we need new norms around this. Here's a blog I like about "etiquette", "consent", and what should be considered "rude" when sharing AI-generated content. Disclosures after the fact do not cut it, IMO. distantprovince.by/posts/its-ru...