Something a brilliant colleague said that I think has gotten lost in the Kirk conversation is that part of how he was able to build a following and inspire young conservatives was precisely *because* of the free speech tradition that IS honored on most college campuses. I recall back in …

Two years ago, @nber.org asked me to talk about my research on political violence during Reconstruction. Political violence is not just about intimidation, it is also related to thwarting and violently penalizing political success. Seems appropriate to revisit that today. youtu.be/Wrdj4oLq4wk

Fargo is a hospital and university town, serving a wide swath of the surrounding rural area. A ton of folks in this town are on H1Bs. The health systems also already pay a massive premium to attract talent, even with a strong immigrant pool. This is going to be so bad for this place.

i don’t think people on bluesky understand the severity of this situation. i woke up to literally hundreds of texts from friends and family thinking about either moving back home to india or applying to other countries for jobs. this includes me.

Anyone have a good custom mod/filtering solution to the problem of wanting to both follow accounts that talk about your favorite sports team, but also not see spoiler posts from those accounts before that team's latest match is available to stream in your market?

excited to share that we are following through on our earlier commitments and putting together an independent+neutral organization to house the DID PLC system, includes the directory service

I think what is important is that it *is* an LLM problem *too*. This seems obvious to people who work in this domain, but we're at the point in the hype cycle where this is valuable to a broad readership.

wrote on charlie kirk for the newsletter this weekend

Perhaps every A&M prof should teach the fired Prof's course, in every classroom on campus, until they are reinstated.

Did chatgpt write this?

No, seriously, does anyone know if we are going to be able to rain down vengeance/extract extremely insufficient compensation for all the extra work we've had to do re chatbots? Cause that would be a bit cathartic.

Just books, or articles? Or, in other words, are academics (who generally hold the copyright to their published papers) in for a payday (my name is in this database 32 times)?

Figured I'd watch Death of Stalin this weekend. youtu.be/bP892a6Ltv8?...

📊 New dataset and paper alert! We’re proud to launch the Opposition Movements and Groups (OMG) Dataset, 1789–2019: a global dataset covering 1,452 mass mobilization movements. It was just published in Comparative Political Studies. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... Below follows a 🧵

A new piece I wrote appearing in FOREIGN AFFAIRS today www.foreignaffairs.com/germany/warn...

Excited to introduce a new working paper with @danpemstein.com, @chknutsen.bsky.social and other colleagues not on Bluesky! We use experimental and observational data to investigate the degree to which general biases affect expert perceptions of specific cases. 🧵 1/17 v-dem.net/media/public...

Sidenote: Elsewhere colleagues (incl @acrowinghen.bsky.social , @medzihorsky.bsky.social, @danpemstein.com, @chknutsen.bsky.social, @silindberg.bsky.social) and I find little evidence that bad-vibes among V-Dem’s country experts drive the recent global democratic decline. doi.org/10.1017/S104...

It amuses me that the topic becomes economics by dint of an economist doing it ("Be economics-related, as evidenced by the inclusion of the CV of at least one practicing PhD economist in the original NSF funding application").

Garnet Lake on the JMT

I got an exciting box in the mail today! Looks like The Effect: Second Edition is live! I've updated the website as well, so you can check out the changes and the new Partial Identification chapter (+ a new mini-chapter on finding material in the book) at theeffectbook.net

Return to society or walk back into the high Sierra to find the guy who hot-boxed the Muir Hut maybe an hour before I got there at 9am Saturday?

📢 The APSR is opening a new Research Notes track! Authors may now submit directly as Notes—or, with editor agreement, have papers reclassified during review. Notes should be ≤7,000 words (excl. refs/appendices).

Version 2.0 of the National Elections Database is online! nationalelectionsdatabase.com We cover presidential and parliamentary elections 1789–2023, extending the post-1945 data of Electoral Turnovers @reveconstudies.bsky.social (academic.oup.com/restud/advan...) w/ Benjamin Marx and Vincent Rollet

Never remember hashtags: #polisky #cpesky #comparativepolitics

This earlier paper is part of the same project as our recent AJPS article. It provides a descriptive overview of vote-buying in Nepali elections, using a multi-methods approach combining a survey experiments, semi-structured interviews, and focus group discussions. doi.org/10.1016/j.el...

Happy to share this paper with Jeevan Baniya, @smeserve.bsky.social‬, and Brigitte Seim. We used multiple survey experiments to see how Nepali voters think about the trade-off between vote-buying and candidate provision of local public goods (schools, plumbing) in office. doi.org/10.1111/ajps... 1/

And this morning

Catalinas looked quite different in the morning and evening today.

Need a measure of #democraticstock for your analyses? @acrowinghen.bsky.social Matthew Wilson & I just published the demstock R package & @vdeminstitute.bsky.social working paper It lets you create stock measures of most of the variables included in the V-Dem dataset 😃 🥳 Try it out!🙃

Strongly recommend the Loons supporters' section, as long as you don't mind standing for extended periods of time (and even if you aren't an ardent supporter).

My paper, A Global, Historical Rule of Law Index, offering a description and evaluation of the V-Dem Rule of Law Index, has now been published: link.springer.com/article/10.1...

A few years ago, @danweitzel.net, John Gerring, @skaaning.bsky.social and I were curious how well one could predict subjective democracy measures using easy(ish) to code observables. Turns out, *quite* well, even out of sample. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

A few years ago, @danweitzel.net, John Gerring, @skaaning.bsky.social and I were curious how well one could predict subjective democracy measures using easy(ish) to code observables. Turns out, *quite* well, even out of sample. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...