Please join us this spring for this exciting series of talks!👇

🚨 TADA Speaker Series Spring 2026 schedule is here! 🚨 We've assembled a fantastic lineup of researchers exploring the future of survey research in the age of LLMs. Mar 18 - May 27, online at 17:00 CEST. Join us! More info & signup: tada.cool

Put simply: Humans: weak, multi-dimensional, cross-cutting belief systems. LLM personas: concentrated, low-dimensional, highly predictable. Not just stronger ideology—flattened geometry.

🧵on my new paper "Synthetic personas distort the structure of human belief systems" w Roberto Cerina I'm v excited about... 🚨 Do synthetic samples look like human samples? We compare 28 LLMs to the 2024 General Social Survey (GSS) to find out + develop host of diagnostics...

Don't forget to apply until the end of the week! 🚨

NYU is hiring two postdocs at the Center for Social Media, AI & Politics: csmapnyu.org/jobs And a grant manager in Sociology with the Social Science Research Hub: uscareers-nyu.icims.com/jobs/15327/g... I'm part of both groups--please share with anyone who is interested!

🚨 New WP w/ @leonardocarella.bsky.social on OSF doi.org/10.31235/osf... We usually think that social identities precede preferences We show the reverse is also true: people update their social identities to match their immigration preferences Focus: class identity in 🇬🇧 + Christian identity in 🇮🇹

Is online discourse getting worse? To bring actual data to bear on this question, we launched the Public Discourse Indicator, a dashboard tracking online comments submitted to several major Swiss newspapers. Our aim here is twofold: www.public-discourse.org/en/public-di...

Now in print (and open access): What happens when voters learn their party disagrees with them? I ran a pre-registered experiment with a representative sample of ~3,000 German voters to find out. link.springer.com/article/10.1... 🧵

Join us later *today* if you're interested in how to create trustworthy text measures with supervised machine learning!

Happening Tomorrow! 👇

Our next #TADA session is just around the corner! 🚨 We are absolutely delighted to welcome Ju Yeon (Julia) Park, who will present her paper: "Toward a framework for creating trustworthy measures with supervised machine learning for text." 📅 Wed., Dec. 10, 17:00-18:00 (Berlin) More info: tada.cool

An English translation of our book "Trigger Points. Inequality and Political Polarization in Contemporary Society" will come out @brisunipress.bsky.social: bristoluniversitypress.co.uk/triggerpoints It studies the social bases of political divides over migration, climate, diversity & redistribution

Join us now!

🚨 Join us next Wednesday (🗓️ Nov 26, 🕔 5pm Berlin time) for an exciting session 🥳. @khaoulache.bsky.social will present co-authored work on "Beyond the Safety Bundle: Auditing the Helpful and Harmless Dataset". If you'd like to join, please sign up for the mailing TADA.cool or send us a message.

Labour is desperately trying to appeal to Reform supporters. In October, we asked people in the UK if they perceive a party as a "party for someone like them". Only very few people say this for both Labour and Reform. The correlation is negative. Labour is chasing an electorate that does not exist.

This! 👇 It is also a good reminder that we are not experiencing polarization but right-wing radicalization!

Here I am again to witness my academic funeral.As I did some years ago with my job at Oxford, here I come to advertise my EUI chair. It has been a great job and I am happy to answer Q's. Also, fyi, I am not (yet) leaving the EUI. I do need, however a new name for my chair:suggestions very welcome.

Die Frageformulierung ist so natürlich schon komplett bodenlos. Aber es dann so verkürzt darzustellen ist schlicht Irreführung. Vollkommen inakzeptabel.

What are best practices for to replicate your research involving LLMs? Find out next week! 👇

"normies do not care about this thing and so it is no use raising a stink" is imho just an excuse for not doing politics, which is the job of making normies care about something

Literally: This. Is. How. It. Happens. Especially pernicious because the effects are largely invisible even as they accumulate. It just seems like the opposition is weak and ineffectual; you never see what people would have said and done if they weren't threatened and intimidated.

Again, it is a full-blown federal felony crime for anyone in the White House or Executive Office of the President to order tax investigations into anyone. And it's not just a crime to DO it, it's even a federal crime for an employee not to REPORT such an order to the Treasury Inspector General.

🚨 Today!! 🚨 Learn about efficient sampling strategies 👇

Join us for the first session this week! You'll learn ho to draw more efficient test sets!

Nothing says noble peace price like sending the troops to opposition governed cities

NEU: Die Wirtschaftsministerin persönlich hat der Stiftung Familienunternehmen Lobby-Tipps gegeben. Ihr Ministerium könne das Vorhaben dann "flankieren". Und ihr Staatssekretär hat die Milliardärslobby gebeten, Druck auf die SPD auszuüben. @fragdenstaat.de: fragdenstaat.de/artikel/exkl...

🎓 Join us for our Autumn 2025 Webinar Series: “Using Social Media as a Research Tool”, co-organised with @aykutozturk.bsky.social! We explore how social media data can help study democracy, political communication & public engagement. 🧵👇

Now available open access in the current issue of Political Communication 👇 The Impact of Media Framing in Complex Information Environments www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Reading term papers, it occurs to me that there is a massive disconnect between everyone being worried that all student submissions are written by AI and the quality of the papers that I get to read... If students are using AI, I wish they would use it better...

This is so surreal

🔊 🔊 🚨 🚨

Very excited to announce the next term of the TADA speaker series! This term revolves around the validity of LLM generated data in the Social Sciences. We have a set of four great speakers to enlighten us on different aspects of this issue. If you'd like to join, sign up here: TADA.cool

I had the pleasure to teach a 3-day crash course on #LLMs for PhD students. We covered: 1️⃣ Text Representation and Embeddings 2️⃣ Machine Learning & Transformer Architecture 3️⃣ Generative Models for Social Sciences The 6 slide sets and 10 notebooks are available on github: github.com/nicolaiberk/...

The call for papers for the first ever EPSS conference 2026 in Belfast is open until November 7th 2025. epssnet.org/belfast-2026/ @rdassonneville.bsky.social and I will be chairing the section on Electoral and Voting Behavior. We look forward to your submissions and to a fantastic conference!

currently at record-high search interest for canceling disney plus. pulling kimmel is a bigger deal to the company's bottom line than any of the "woke" scandals of the past 5 years. i think news & entertainment corp execs need put more work into understanding their audience, & get off twitter

That Trump and his chronies would try everything to reshape the media landscape is unsurprising (though problematic!). Surprising is the extra mile media corporations are willing to go to aid the destruction of liberal democracy. #kimmel

🚨 New paper alert 🚨 Using LLMs as data annotators, you can produce any scientific result you want. We call this **LLM Hacking**. Paper: arxiv.org/pdf/2509.08825

Blog post: github.com/sophieehill/... TL;DR: There are a LOT of errors/inconsistencies in the results reported in this paper (estimates outside CIs, sign errors, duplicates, asymmetric CIs). Even in the abstract itself! This suggests manual editing of results tables. Which is not good... 🧵

Time to re-up this to avoid confusion on EPSS and EPSA The @epssnet.bsky.social (nonprofit!) call is here: epssnet.org/belfast-2026... bsky.app/profile/epss...

Yes. Scientists must defend democracy and freedom. The three are linked. We cannot do great science without the other small-l liberal values. From our mission statement at @safa-science.bsky.social : 1/2

I know this is getting some heat but, to add to it, why is it always the 'Left' that gets lectured like this? Why not 'if you don't know anyone voting Green/Labour/Lib Dem...'?

Excited to share my newest quarto revealjs plugin: imagemover Easily reposition and resize images directly in your quarto revealjs slides for a much smoother slidecrafting experience github.com/EmilHvitfeld... #quarto

The lesson here is to litigate, not cower.

So much this. Letter counting and state names are gimmicks, not primary use cases. Frontier models are already remarkably capable for many quite difficult tasks despite still, of course, failing in important ways. We should be able to recognize this fact without uncritically accepting industry hype.

EPSA have announced that they will hold a conference in July 2026. 😵‍💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA. 👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things. A short 🧵

So great to see Voters Under Pressure featured in this @comppol.bsky.social review article by @klingelt.bsky.social! Reviewing the book alongside work of Bartels and Tillman, Tristan's reading is the mandate function of elections is being challenged👇 www.ingentaconnect.com/content/cuny...

Why yes thats a totally normal district shape open.substack.com/pub/gelliott...