In June, Switzerland will vote on what is so far the most radical far-right popular initiative launched by the Swiss People‘s Party SVP: capping the population at 10M (currently ≈9.1M). In this thread, I’ll break down what it’s about and how it fits into broader findings on Swiss direct democracy

To understand what the Supreme Court is doing, you have to recognize that this is how authoritarians in Hungary, Turkey, and Venezuela consolidated power. Scholars call it autocratic legalism. The Court isn’t complicit. It’s an active participant. Roberts is following a script.

We're excited that @nschwitter.bsky.social will join us for the next session of the TADA Spring Speaker Series to present work on AI-generated images as experimental treatments. When? **Thursday**, April 30, 17:00 (Berlin time) Sign up for our newsletter at tada.cool for the Zoom link!

Join us in 5 minutes!

"Magyar noted that his government will be investigating Orbán’s expenditures, and will no longer finance CPAC or other right-wing institutions abroad." nice newrepublic.com/post/209035/...

📢 We are very happy to have Jana Jung for our third session of the TADA Spring Speaker Series. Jana will present recently published work on whether psychometric tests work for LLMs. When? 15th of April, 5pm (Berlin time) Where? Online (Sign up for the newsletter at tada.cool) See you there!

In ihrem aktuellen FAZ-Gastbeitrag beklagt Katherina Reiche eine "Selbsttäuschunug" in der Energiepolitik. Tatsächlich fällt der Täuschungsvorwurf aber teilweise auf sie selbst zurück, denn der Text enthält diverse falsche oder irreführende Zahlen. Ein Thread. (1/17) www.faz.net/aktuell/wirt...

You know I do think it's important to note that — if it is indeed over — this meaningless war killed: -Iranians: ~3,500 -Lebanese: ~1,500 -Iraqis: ~100 -Israelis: 39 -GCC residents: 31 -Americans: 15 -Palestinians: 14 -Syrians: 1 -French: 1

🎓️ We're hiring an LSE Fellow in Qualitative Methods We are seeking to appoint an individual with established research interests and teaching experience in qualitative methods🧑‍🤝‍🧑 Applications close👉️ jobs.lse.ac.uk/Vacancies/W/...

Second session of this term's TADA coming up! Christopher Klamm will explain the use of Multimodal Conversational AI for survey research to us! Tuesday, 1 April 2026 | 17:00 CEST | Online Signup for the newsletter & survey link at tada.cool

We are hiring a tenure track (!) senior researcher in political economy! This is obviously a great job (permanent without teaching obligation) and I hope you all apply. However, I would like to take a moment to share just how significant this is in the German academic context ⬇️

Einmal mehr: Keine Altersgruppe wählte *SO LINKS WIE DIE 18-24 JÄHRIGEN*. Die AfD war bei den Jüngsten *SCHWÄCHER als bei den 35-60 Jährigen*.

Kann dieser Einschätzung gar nicht ausreichend applaudieren - wir müssen schnellstens soziale Sicherungsnetze schaffen, um die extremen Arbeitsmarkteffekte durch KI abzufedern. Sonst werden wir mit den politischen Effekten nicht umgehen können. www.zeit.de/politik/deut...

Please note: the 18th is Wednesday, not Tuesday!

Join us next week for an exciting grand opening w/ Max in the TADA.cool spring 🌱 speaker series on LLMs in survey research ⬇️

Very excited for the first session of our TADA spring speaker series on LLMs in survey research! **Telephone Surveys Meet Conversational AI** With Max Lang Tuesday, 18 March 2026 | 17:00 CEST | Online Sign up to our newsletter for more info or send me a DM: tada.cool

Please join us this spring for this exciting series of talks!👇

🚨 TADA Speaker Series Spring 2026 schedule is here! 🚨 We've assembled a fantastic lineup of researchers exploring the future of survey research in the age of LLMs. Mar 18 - May 27, online at 17:00 CEST. Join us! More info & signup: tada.cool

Put simply: Humans: weak, multi-dimensional, cross-cutting belief systems. LLM personas: concentrated, low-dimensional, highly predictable. Not just stronger ideology—flattened geometry.

🧵on my new paper "Synthetic personas distort the structure of human belief systems" w Roberto Cerina I'm v excited about... 🚨 Do synthetic samples look like human samples? We compare 28 LLMs to the 2024 General Social Survey (GSS) to find out + develop host of diagnostics...

Don't forget to apply until the end of the week! 🚨

NYU is hiring two postdocs at the Center for Social Media, AI & Politics: csmapnyu.org/jobs And a grant manager in Sociology with the Social Science Research Hub: uscareers-nyu.icims.com/jobs/15327/g... I'm part of both groups--please share with anyone who is interested!

🚨 New WP w/ @leonardocarella.bsky.social on OSF doi.org/10.31235/osf... We usually think that social identities precede preferences We show the reverse is also true: people update their social identities to match their immigration preferences Focus: class identity in 🇬🇧 + Christian identity in 🇮🇹

Is online discourse getting worse? To bring actual data to bear on this question, we launched the Public Discourse Indicator, a dashboard tracking online comments submitted to several major Swiss newspapers. Our aim here is twofold: www.public-discourse.org/en/public-di...

Now in print (and open access): What happens when voters learn their party disagrees with them? I ran a pre-registered experiment with a representative sample of ~3,000 German voters to find out. link.springer.com/article/10.1... 🧵

Join us later *today* if you're interested in how to create trustworthy text measures with supervised machine learning!

Happening Tomorrow! 👇

Our next #TADA session is just around the corner! 🚨 We are absolutely delighted to welcome Ju Yeon (Julia) Park, who will present her paper: "Toward a framework for creating trustworthy measures with supervised machine learning for text." 📅 Wed., Dec. 10, 17:00-18:00 (Berlin) More info: tada.cool

An English translation of our book "Trigger Points. Inequality and Political Polarization in Contemporary Society" will come out @brisunipress.bsky.social: bristoluniversitypress.co.uk/triggerpoints It studies the social bases of political divides over migration, climate, diversity & redistribution

Join us now!

🚨 Join us next Wednesday (🗓️ Nov 26, 🕔 5pm Berlin time) for an exciting session 🥳. @khaoulache.bsky.social will present co-authored work on "Beyond the Safety Bundle: Auditing the Helpful and Harmless Dataset". If you'd like to join, please sign up for the mailing TADA.cool or send us a message.

Labour is desperately trying to appeal to Reform supporters. In October, we asked people in the UK if they perceive a party as a "party for someone like them". Only very few people say this for both Labour and Reform. The correlation is negative. Labour is chasing an electorate that does not exist.

This! 👇 It is also a good reminder that we are not experiencing polarization but right-wing radicalization!

Here I am again to witness my academic funeral.As I did some years ago with my job at Oxford, here I come to advertise my EUI chair. It has been a great job and I am happy to answer Q's. Also, fyi, I am not (yet) leaving the EUI. I do need, however a new name for my chair:suggestions very welcome.

Die Frageformulierung ist so natürlich schon komplett bodenlos. Aber es dann so verkürzt darzustellen ist schlicht Irreführung. Vollkommen inakzeptabel.

What are best practices for to replicate your research involving LLMs? Find out next week! 👇

"normies do not care about this thing and so it is no use raising a stink" is imho just an excuse for not doing politics, which is the job of making normies care about something

Literally: This. Is. How. It. Happens. Especially pernicious because the effects are largely invisible even as they accumulate. It just seems like the opposition is weak and ineffectual; you never see what people would have said and done if they weren't threatened and intimidated.

Again, it is a full-blown federal felony crime for anyone in the White House or Executive Office of the President to order tax investigations into anyone. And it's not just a crime to DO it, it's even a federal crime for an employee not to REPORT such an order to the Treasury Inspector General.

🚨 Today!! 🚨 Learn about efficient sampling strategies 👇

Join us for the first session this week! You'll learn ho to draw more efficient test sets!

Nothing says noble peace price like sending the troops to opposition governed cities

NEU: Die Wirtschaftsministerin persönlich hat der Stiftung Familienunternehmen Lobby-Tipps gegeben. Ihr Ministerium könne das Vorhaben dann "flankieren". Und ihr Staatssekretär hat die Milliardärslobby gebeten, Druck auf die SPD auszuüben. @fragdenstaat.de: fragdenstaat.de/artikel/exkl...

🎓 Join us for our Autumn 2025 Webinar Series: “Using Social Media as a Research Tool”, co-organised with @aykutozturk.bsky.social! We explore how social media data can help study democracy, political communication & public engagement. 🧵👇

Now available open access in the current issue of Political Communication 👇 The Impact of Media Framing in Complex Information Environments www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Reading term papers, it occurs to me that there is a massive disconnect between everyone being worried that all student submissions are written by AI and the quality of the papers that I get to read... If students are using AI, I wish they would use it better...

This is so surreal

🔊 🔊 🚨 🚨

Very excited to announce the next term of the TADA speaker series! This term revolves around the validity of LLM generated data in the Social Sciences. We have a set of four great speakers to enlighten us on different aspects of this issue. If you'd like to join, sign up here: TADA.cool