¿Ha aumentado la preocupación por el cambio climático tras la sequía, la DANA o los incendios? SPOILER: sí, pero brevemente… y depende de quién. Primera pieza que escribo para nuestro estreno en Substack: un mix de literatura académica, datos y gráficos curiosos 🌡️📊 Echadle un ojo 👇

After 4 years calling on #FIFA for the right to play, since fleeing the Taliban takeover in 2021, the Afghan footballers have just competed in their first international tournament. 👏 🔗 Learn more: sportandrightsalliance.org/fifa-recogni... #AfghanWomenUnited

Last chance to turn it off. On Monday, November 3rd, Microsoft will start using your LinkedIn data for AI training. And remember, you're opted in by default. To toggle it off 👉 Account - Settings & Privacy > Data privacy > Data for Generative AI Improvement.

Just reposting this: Wilders (PVV) may have lost seats, but combined the Dutch far right is still as big as ever. Only down by ~1 percentage point since last elections.

It's Monday morning, so time to share my new Substack: open.substack.com/pub/laurenle... (caution: I'm very far from being a sociologist so pls do provide feedback)

Here I am again to witness my academic funeral.As I did some years ago with my job at Oxford, here I come to advertise my EUI chair. It has been a great job and I am happy to answer Q's. Also, fyi, I am not (yet) leaving the EUI. I do need, however a new name for my chair:suggestions very welcome.

We have just advertised a Full Prof position in the Political and Social Sciences department at the EUI (@eui-sps.bsky.social). Here are the details. Please spread the word, and get in touch if you have any questions. www.eui.eu/Documents/Se...

Great write-up of an important study by @tevoelker.bsky.social and @dasalgon.bsky.social. Far-right actors have been very successful in setting the political agenda. Many in politics and media still ignore this. They argue "immigration is important to people, hence we need to talk about immigration"

🚨 New paper out! Very happy to see our (Tom Arend, @fabioellger.bsky.social and mine) paper out at the @bjpols.bsky.social. We explore how voters react to new, disruptive political actors. 1/3

🆕💼 Today marks a new chapter: I'm starting as a Researcher at @moreincommonuk.bsky.social in Spain! After 4 years working on my PhD, it was time for the next step. Grateful to my supervisors and colleagues, I learned so much and will miss working alongside them.

The AfD qualified for three mayoral run-offs in cities in North Rhine-Westphalia today, and lost all by big margins. The lesson is not that we have overdone the AfD's rise, but that we do perhaps sometimes underestimate the counter-mobilisation effects - including in east Germany, incidentally.

For the Guardian, @turnbulldugarte.com and I discuss our research that clearly shows one thing: Labour's anti-immigration strategy will only strengthen Reform and weaken its own electoral prospects. It won't win voters back but ultimately normalizes the far right www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

Trains are being nationalised in the UK. Didn't know that would also apply to airport trains. This whole process flying a bit under the radar it seems? This should be a major policy win for the left, but the government is mostly busy talking about something else.

In light of Keir Starmer's turn on immigration & debates in the UK about Denmark as an example to follow, I was invited by @ukandeu.bsky.social to reflect on what the research tells us about lessons to draw from Danish migration policy. Here's my take on the pitfalls: ukandeu.ac.uk/denmarks-mig...

Worrying development in the Netherlands.

I got stuck measuring local UK inequality, so I wrote a Substack about it: "The UK's Local Inequality Problem: Big Debates, Bad Data" Do share your data and thoughts! open.substack.com/pub/laurenle...

Spain's La Vuelta halted in Madrid as police clash with pro-Palestinian protesters reut.rs/4mf5i7O

1/ How does migration affect political attitudes? Using 380k obs from 104 sending & 28 receiving countries, @filipkostelka.bsky.social, Nicolas Sauger & I find some migrants’ attitudes align with locals, while others exceed origin-host context, reshaping ideological space. 👉 doi.org/10.1111/ajps...

Really good and really really interesting. To a large extent, it goes against my expectations, and yet it does cover it's bases well enough that I may have to accept that maybe norms are a bigger part of the far right story than what I initially thought.

Cool work! The League in Italy has historically been the party of small-to-medium Norther Italian businesses so annecdotally the argument checks out. Also speaks to the evidence of this recent paper: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Radical-right parties are often linked to the “left-behind”. But supporting them when stigma is strong is costly. So who is willing to pay that cost early on, before it’s normalized? In my new WP, I argue that breaking political norms is socially stratified. 🧵👇

Radical right accommodation really does not work. New paper out with this exceptionally talented team @katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk doi.org/10.31235/osf...

Desgraciadamente, importantes partidos y medios de comunicación continúan dando eco y espacio a la idea de que la inmigración trae crimen. ¿Pero qué dice la evidencia? A esto respondo en mi nueva entrada en @nadaesgratis.bsky.social nadaesgratis.es/santiago-san...

It’s striking how much these patterns are similar across many European counties (both the center left one and the radical right one). And yet there’s much work to be done in shifting the discourse from competing narratives that have little empirical backing.

No hace falta tener hijos para verse afectado, basta con ser humano, pero como padres y madres recientes lloramos especialmente el asesinato masivo de niños. Por @txepeligro.bsky.social en M&P de @elpais.com

What people expect fascism to look like versus what it often looks like in real life

Many UK media are actively contributing to Reform’s rise. The non-stop reporting and exaggeration of anti-migrant protests that don’t get more than a few hundred people on the street, the portrayal of extreme minority opinions as mainstream, the constant obsession with Farage.

📢 I've written the @financialtimes.com Free Lunch newsletter today on the rise of populism & its economic implications 📢 No surprise: populism makes for very bad economics, with clear negative impacts regardless of whether it is left-wing or right wing variety Free-to-read link👉 on.ft.com/4fViP31

✨Very happy to see my paper "Attitudinal ambivalence toward multiculturalism" out on @jeppjournal.bsky.social ! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 1/8 🧵

Once again, PBC is back and calling for your applications! As always, this is a no-budget but heart-rich story — and we can’t wait to see your proposals!

This is quite interesting, suggesting that less (gender) equal nations have higher rates of cross gender friendships

NEW - Media Platforming and the Normalisation of Extreme Right Views - cup.org/4mmVIAL "exposure to uncritical interviews increases agreement with extreme statements and perceptions of broader support in the population" - @dianebolet.bsky.social & @florianfoos.bsky.social #OpenAccess

España y la paradoja de la densidad 🏘️ Decimos que España está 'vacía' y es cierto: gran parte se ve blanca en mapas de población. Pero OJO: en densidad superamos a Finlandia, Suecia, Estonia, Irlanda o Grecia. Estamos casi en media europea de hab/km². ¿Cómo se explica? Hilo:

NEW - How Mainstream Politicians Erode Norms - cup.org/4lfeHvD "we find that statements by mainstream politicians lead to more norm erosion than similar statements by radical-right politicians" - @valentimvicente.bsky.social, Elias Dinas & @dziblatt.bsky.social #OpenAccess

This is a fabulous response by my colleague Kevin Munger to "that" Economist piece about the EUI. Perhaps @spignal.bsky.social and @jhooper.bsky.social might be interested! kevinmunger.substack.com/p/i-guess-th...

Now out @jpube.bsky.social! In Italy, lower spending on immigrants by far-right mayors is met by a growth in social welfare volunteering by progressive citizens. Check it out! 👇 www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

EPSA have announced that they will hold a conference in July 2026. 😵‍💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA. 👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things. A short 🧵

Now in an issue @psrm.bsky.social: I show that the 🇩🇰 Social Democrats could have won policy support for a pro-immigrant platform if their messaging were framed in moral terms. Findings provide a central corrective to the popular notion that the Social Democrats were destined to go anti-immigrant 👇🏻

🚨New publication!! 😶‍🌫️ Wait for a little summary by @bertous.bsky.social in the coming days 👇 ...or just click to learn about the new radical right party -SALF- that shocked Spanish politics in the last EP elections

The @epssnet.bsky.social call for the 2026 conference in Belfast opened today! 😮 epssnet.org/belfast-2026... Deadline: 7 November 2025

¿Deben los jóvenes de 16 y 17 años poder votar? 🤔 Más de 80 expertos y activistas creen que sí, y han firmado un manifiesto que defiende esta idea como un paso hacia una democracia más justa e inclusiva.

The protestors and students were right. They were right, they were brave, and every American institution failed them. America sacrificed itself to enable evil men to cheer for war crimes without having to hear any criticism.

I am so honored, happy, and still a bit in disbelief that my book "The Normalization of the Radical Right" has won APSA's Dahl Award and the best book prize for the Democracy and Autocracy Section. I can't thank enough everyone who has helped out with this project throughout the years.

New publication in @sociologicalsci.bsky.social with Delia Baldassarri. We show that in the US, social relationships remain politically heterogeneous, and that heterogeneous close ties and acquaintances lower partisan animosity through distinct mechanisms. A thread on the main findings:

Shocking, even for their standards, that the Spanish far right is in favor of deporting even legal migrants if they “fail to integrate”—and that, at the same time, the mainstream right refuses to establish a cordon sanitaire. elpais.com/espana/2025-...

New article out in World Politcs. We analyze how different groups react to varying programs of social democratic parties. We find less trade-offs than often assumed. Generally, more left-progressive programs increase support among social democratic potentials muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...

Why are working class people under-represented in legislatures? We propose one potential mechanism: working-class individuals are *perceived* as less likely to achieve political success, and are subsequently 'pragmatically' discriminated against. We provide an experiment in the UK to test it:

Prof Skocpol making a crucial point here. The centralized police. And then the lawless quasipolice who guard the camps. Trump’s death bill moves the US towards those two thresholds, well known from Germany in the 1930s. talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/criti...

Harvard sociologist/polisci Theda Skocpol explains how the vast expansion of ICE in BBB may be Trump's secret weapon to overcome the barriers of federalism and complete his autocratic takeover of the American state. (History from Germany & Hungary in 20s/30s.) talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/criti...