From paper-picnic today - one of my favorite scholars, Andrew McCall! I can't wait to read this! onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

Lesbian and gay party leaders receive lower leadership evaluations than straight leaders in the UK, and the effects are consistent across genders. Interesting yet discouraging findings in our BJPS paper. @josephfcozza.bsky.social @gdilandro.bsky.social Andrea Aldrich @utgovernment.bsky.social

Passaic County, NJ, precinct-level results. A huge shift toward the Democratic gubernatorial candidate, relative to 2024, in Latino-dominant precincts

Yes. In before times, V. Cruz Nichols, A. LeBron, & I found living where more secure communities targets are misdemeanor offenders wrecked trust in gov sources of health info. But only for Latinos. And, trust in non-gov sources of health info not impacted www.franciscoipedraza.com/wp-content/u...

remember all those hot takes during the primary about how Mamdani was the candidate for rich white liberals? a "champagne socialist" ? yeah, about that

After all the talk about Black voters in this election in NYC, it was really *white* voters (or, I should say, precincts) that broke for Cuomo

Generally, when a party is trying to appeal to a new cohort of voters, they don’t send masked men to publicly kidnap and disappear thousands of members of that cohort.

(1/5) Do undocumented immigrants matter as constituents to state legislators? Check out this article, “¿Quién Importa? State Legislators and Their Responsiveness to Undocumented Immigrants” in Political Research Quarterly by Matthew Mendez Garcia & Sara Sadhwani 👇doi.org/10.1177/10659129221137825

👥How do Americans think about Native American issues, and what shapes their attitudes toward these issues? Check out a recent @3streamsblog.bsky.social by @jieun-lee.bsky.social, which highlights new research published in Political Research Quarterly. #polisky medium.com/3streams/wha...

New paper with @mhamjediers.bsky.social German judges have discretion to apply rehabilitative juvenile criminal law (Jugendstrafrecht) or punitive adult criminal law to 18–20-year-old offenders. We show that immigrant youths are ~10 percentage points less likely to be sentenced under juvenile law

Interesting. "Grokipedia’s generation process elaborates on existing material...rather than producing substantively new or more rigorously sourced knowledge" "[Grokipedia] mirrors Wikipedia’s informational scope but... favor[s] narrative expansion over citation-based verification"

Political inexperience in Congress has measurable effects on legislative outcomes. Our research finds that when districts elect political newcomers over career politicians, congressional dysfunction tends to increase. New explainer of our PNAS study: theconversation.com/amateur-hour...

And here's the paper, led by the incredible Silvia Mari, in which we find that stronger beliefs in traditional gender roles is associated with less voting intention across 18 countries. link.springer.com/article/10.1...

Me: “The fixation on causal estimates is not the appropriate direction social science…What descriptive analysis provides us with are facts. Facts are nouns. Causal analysis gives us contextual estimates. They are adjectives. In the grammar of social science, we should prefer nouns to adjectives.”

ANES Data Release! electionstudies.org/data-center/... The 3-wave ANES panel is now available. It merges data from 3 election studies (2016-2020-2024), the first time the ANES has collected interviews of the same respondents across 3 presidential elections.

This graph never fails to be shocking: "The US has experienced the earliest and greatest slowdown in life expectancy improvements among higher-income countries, reported Eileen Crimmins. “We have horrible life expectancy—and it’s getting worse and worse”" www.prb.org/resources/se...

Sam Zacher & I have a paper under review basically to this effect. Among Democrats, renters have distinct left preferences in candidates (e.g. Sanders) and housing reforms (broadly YIMBYism). We find less distinction among Dem renters and homeowners with national social policy prefs.

#OpenAccess from @journalrep.bsky.social#OpenAccess- Mothers and Monsters: How Black Mothers’ Encounters with Police Influence Their Community-Based Political Activity - https://cup.org/3JzjM58 - Ayana Best #FirstView #JREP10

More important upcoming work on political socialization. Bit of a longer wait, though, for @robertocarlos.bsky.social's book. press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...

Excited to share my new publication in Comparative Political Studies📝 "Gendered Xenophobia? Gendered Interpretation of Immigration and Labor Market Vulnerability" +Grateful to my advisors, colleagues, grant fellowships, editors and reviewers for their support and feedback! doi.org/10.1177/0010...

Polls have a harder time making vote proportion estimates for racial minority groups than for white voters. See the higher variation in the figure. E.g., polls mostly agree that Hispanic voters reduced their support for the Democratic candidate from 2020 to 2024, but disagree widely on how much.

Happy to share that my new book with Jeff Berry and Jim Glaser is now available from @uchicagopress.bsky.social! (preorder elsewhere til 12/2, but available now through Chicago) 🧵 press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...

Most (but not all) Black economists come to economics with a worldview that is outside of the mainstream of the profession. This typically includes insights from sociology since inequality, identity, and networks are areas with a longer history there. For an introduction to this, see the 🧵 below 👇

Thinking a lot about @michaelsierraa.bsky.social book "The Danger Imperative" about how police are trained to constantly think the entire world is out to get them (even if it is not)

This is not specific to Chicago. This is everywhere that ICE & co. are operating en masse, which is a lot of places, including the DC area. The feds are acting out a long-standing white-nationalist fantasy of terrorizing migrant communities in the quixotic hope of preserving racial dominance.

“…the construction of class and race, and racial prejudice, have created a system that keeps members of the lower classes precisely where they are.” www.theatlantic.com/business/arc...

Check out this smart post by Dr. Kim Cárdenas on the role of religion on Latino support for Trump open.substack.com/pub/hitstrat...

signs like these are up all over Chicago cafes and storefronts (here, cafes in Brighton Park and Back of the Yards) warning ICE not to enter without a judicial warrant

When ICE abducts people from Belmont Ave and Broadway no one anywhere in Chicago is safe. This area, E Lakeview, is predominantly white and relatively affluent.

NYT pushed its “Dems must go moderate” take again yesterday. In a new piece out today, @adambonica.bsky.social shows even more clearly why the data don’t support it. It also shows what a skilled empiricist and teacher Adam is. Very proud of my pal’s public work. open.substack.com/pub/data4dem...

Wow, good thing he's running for mayor of New York City and not the mayor of America

Racial Context(s) in American Political Behavior Racial Context(s) in American Political Behavior By Allison P. Anoll, Vanderbilt University, Lauren D. Davenport, Stanford University, and Rachel Lienesch, Vanderbilt University Since Key and Allport, scholars have argued that racial context affects…

Look I am just saying that if we simply threw women, Black folks, immigrants, LGBTQ people, Muslims and other minorities under the bus we could go back to discussing the class-based white people politics that I, a white male pundit, am most comfortable discussing. Is that so hard?

Published today! We evaluate #SystemJustification's role in upending Asian American solidarity w/PoC. Produced w/ Kash Rogbeer, Sydney Tran, Tricia Huynh, Emily Ortiz (Psych, POLI PhD students) and talented UCLA undergrads from my #ExperimentsInREP course. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

One thing I like to do is to create a fun page in my research notebook after a project has been published. Definitely used my fave materials for this one 😅🪬 (The cat stickies are how I track my pipeline progress. They get their permanent home on this page!)

#OpenAccess from the Journal of Race, Ethnicity, and Politics - Many of Us Are Not Like the Others: Country of Origin and Latino Voting Behavior in the United States - https://cup.org/3WSTCxe - Francesco Bromo, Lindsey P. González, @manuelamunoz.bsky.social#OpenAccess& Kristy M. Pathakis #FirstView #JREP10

To be clear: deportations to increase cultural homogeneity is the text book definition of ethnic cleansing. Demands that come even close to this are so far outside any democratic norm and the rule of law. What has happened to a country when this is not condemned in the strongest possible terms?

@adambonica.bsky.social doing incredible work in this space: open.substack.com/pub/data4dem...

🔍︎Take a look at this recent article, “Spanish and American colonialism and Filipino American political commonality with Latinos,” published in @pgi-wpsa.bsky.social by Danielle Casarez Lemi and Gabriel R. Sanchez 👇 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... #polisky

Better late than never! NCSU Dept of Political Science is hiring in political behavior at the assistant level. We are particularly interested in scholars who specialize in group or identity politics but are also open to other areas. I am on the committee and happy to answer any questions!

30 people disappeared in this shaded area today.

this is an important trend. and will become more important since Latinos are increasingly less foreign-born over time due to less immigration from Latin America. however, if Trump succeeds in expanding the scope of immigration enforcement, this trend may reverse (see tinyurl.com/bbapxu94)

Was talking to my students about this trend just this week. As Hispanics/Latinos become generationally removed from the immigrant experience, they start to identify with White America in literal identity & on various political views concerning ethnic minorities. tufts-pol.medium.com/qu%C3%A9-est...

New work by @chenoweth.bsky.social & co-authors: "protest events now occur across a wider range of U.S. counties than we have observed since January 2017 [...] And the [...] movement has already reached deeper into Trump country than at almost any point during the 1st Trump administration."

#OpenAccess from the Journal of Race, Ethnicity, and Politics - Reconciling Theories and Patterns in Black-White Voter Turnout Through a Mini Meta-Analysis - https://cup.org/46V5yon - Alexandria J. Davis #FirstView

"It's not disenfranchising Black people, it's disenfranchising Democrats (who in this state are mostly Black), which is totally legal" is an argument you actually do see a lot in the biz

New from me: I’ll be giving a talk on this topic (though under a different title) at SAIS in D.C. this Wednesday. open.substack.com/pub/jaeyeonk...

NOW OUT ON FIRSTVIEW!! #Religion Is Sometimes Raced: #Christian #Nationalism as In-Group #Protection By @brooklynwalker.bsky.social, @pauldjupe.bsky.social, Brian R. Calfano, Andrew R. Lewis & @aesokhey.bsky.social doi.org/10.1017/S153...

How does proximity to injustice affect Native American political behavior? In POQ, Sanchez & Foxworth examined Native American political behavior in the 2020 presidential election. They found that proximity was a strong mobilizing factor. Read more: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...