New article out (w Marcel R, Ben N, and David S) in @pnas.org. We show that young folks who signal interest in becoming cops hold more conservative views on race, multiculturalism, gender, and sexuality, etc.than their peers intending careers in other fields www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

It takes a long time to get detailed precinct-level data for a presidential election. We're now at 99 percent complete. www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

Our @apsrjournal.bsky.social article is now in print! We develop a theory to explain why the public doesn't become more prosocial toward LGBTQ+ people after illegitimate anti-LGBTQ+ violence and provide causal, externally valid, evidence for the theory across 4 studies doi.org/10.1017/S000...

New today at Science Advances from @kshoub.bsky.social and me. We revisit the question of whether a local tragedy (mass shooting) influences voter behavior. They do, at least at the local level, with some important caveats and implications for policy. Short thread... www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

Engagement-based #algorithms amplify intergroup hostility + moral-emotional content, leading it to be overrepresented in your feed This leads us to falsely perceive that people want to see this kind of content and share more of it. This technology fuels false polarization: osf.io/preprints/os...

This is an excellent review article discussing open questions/challenges in causality and causal inference. arxiv.org/pdf/2508.17099

A few weeks ago I shared a new WP on doing ecological inference—learning individual relationships from aggregate data, such as vote choice by race from precinct data. Excited now to introduce `seine`, our open-source R package for doing EI easily and efficiently! corymccartan.com/seine/

📢 New paper w @mfroman.bsky.social and Ben Newman: Why do some conservative White Americans support abortion? It's not gender or religion. They want to slow the growth of disliked out-groups. bit.ly/4mFYYXd

📢 New paper w @mfroman.bsky.social and Ben Newman: Why do some conservative White Americans support abortion? It's not gender or religion. They want to slow the growth of disliked out-groups. bit.ly/4mFYYXd

🌅📙 64.3 #NostalgicDeprivation in Europe 🇪🇺 These authors (🧵⬇️) look at impact of #NostalgicDeprivation on support for #PopulistParties across both Eastern and Western Europe 🌍 linking populist attitudes and voting. 🔗 buff.ly/HuJNAqL

My coauthor on this project, Marcel, has a much more comprehensive thread on our new paper if you want to read through!

🚨NEW PAPER 🚨 Are police more right-wing and biased against marginalized groups than the general public? If so, why? My new article in @pnas.org w/ @tylerreny.bsky.social, Newman, and Sears provides some answers. 🧵1/n

New article out (w Marcel R, Ben N, and David S) in @pnas.org. We show that young folks who signal interest in becoming cops hold more conservative views on race, multiculturalism, gender, and sexuality, etc.than their peers intending careers in other fields www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

The impossible has become possible: we've passed a clean CEQA infill exemption. This is probably the most important thing California has done on housing in the present YIMBY moment.

illegal war started by a man constitutionally ineligible to be president

i'm not at all qualified to evaluate this study but i am absolutely going to share it with my students, scared straight style

Excited and honored to be chosen for an emerging scholar award from @apsa.bsky.social Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behavior (EPOVB) section this year!

If you haven't gotten around to it, please call your state Senator today and urge them to vote yes on SB 79. This could be transformative for California if it passes and should've been passed back in 2018 when it was first brought up. Don't let the segregationists keep you poor any longer.

I see a lot of confusion about what it means for Republicans to "own" immigration. Does this mean increasing immigration salience helps Rs on average? Yes. But does that mean anything Rs do on immigration is popular? Absolutely not. Folks should remember: issue ownership can be lost.

Stanford’s president and provost release a statement supporting Harvard. stanforddaily.com/2025/04/15/l...

every day I wake up and check the news and am madder about the Trump administration than I have ever been and then I have to meet the obligations of my daily life and them the next morning I wake up and check the news and am madder about the Trump administration than I have ever been and then I have

@tylerreny.bsky.social & B. Newman find “Floyd protests swiftly decreased favorability toward police and increased perceived anti-Black discrimination among low-prejudice & politically liberal Americans” but barely among “high-prejudice & politically conservative…” www.benjnewman.com/uploads/1/2/...

From 2010 to 2016 (latest data I have ), NIH research contributed to EVERY drug approved by the FDA

To give a sense of how much money this is: according to CBO in 2023, non-defense discretionary spending was $917B. So the cost of running the entire federal govt, aside from SocSec, Medicare, Medicaid & defense was $917B. And in six weeks DOGE lit $500B on fire.

NEW: Bari Weiss’s University of Austin, touted as a haven for free academic inquiry, has a dozen scholars and officials with ties to Hungary’s speech-suppressing regime. www.thenation.com/article/soci...

I guess I'm an unwitting member of the "abundance agenda" coalition, and tying Trump's tariffs to the unpopularity of housing costs/inflation could really make hay for these arguments in the near future. (story via GlobeNH: view.email.bostonglobe.com?qs=ec3226b93...)

In addition to other legal flaws, Trump Admin. use of Alien Enemies Act to deport Venezuelans to imprisonment in El Salvador (without any due process whatsoever) violates the Due Process Clause of the 5th Amendment: reason.com/volokh/2025/...

This breaks my heart. My salary at St. Jude was paid through our comprehensive cancer center grant. My wife's oncologist is at a comprehensive cancer center. Millions of children and adults with cancer get treatment in these 57 centers around the country. These are essential locations for research.🧪

"Columbia will remain the college of no king." Sensible, sober, and wise counsel on how universities should respond to the Trump administration. By Carnegie, @pagefortna.bsky.social, Isiksel, Murillo, and @profsaunders.bsky.social, and courtesy of @dandrezner.bsky.social

Germany did destroy itself almost a century ago. It wasn’t because it took in too many migrants. It was because it fell for arguments uncomfortably close to Vance’s.

Stop pretending that the authoritarian repression is BECAUSE of the problems in {higher education, the media, the law, government, immigration policy, etc.}. This is what authoritarians do. If they didn't focus on these justifications, they'd come up with other ones.

NEWS: After an emergency meeting of Indivisible groups across the country, Indivisible is officially calling on Senate Minority Leader Schumer to step down from his leadership position. indivisible.org/statements/i...

Chuck Schumer has a book tour starting this week. It would be a damn shame if people showed up to let him know how they feel about his capitulation on the short-term spending bill passed by the Senate Friday afternoon. @schumer.senate.gov

Real shame

Great job alert: ProPublica is hiring a computational journalist, "someone who will use technology and data to identify and unlock stories that would otherwise be out of reach." Salary: $120K-$140K Remote: ✅ Come join us!

As another Trump-induced market crisis unfolds from tariffs, it's time we ask "What's the Matter with Billionaires?" I've run the numbers. Billionaires do better under Dems. So why do billionaires keep supporting GOP policies against their economic interests? See my latest piece on why. (TLDR 🧵⬇️)

What an odd fucking framing for a bipartisan majority gently explaining an extremely uncontroversial element of Constitutional procedure to a delusional lunatic who hates the country he's in charge of

18F was doing exactly the type of work that DOGE claims to want – yet we were eliminated shortly after midnight. Read our letter to the American people: 18f.org

it's still just striking to me that we're five weeks into this, and neither trump nor musk are offering up any treats, to anyone. everything is bad news. everything makes life harder. the only thing they're offering is a tax cut for *extremely* wealthy people, at the expense of *everyone* else.

This scrum of pot-bellied, sunken-chested betas trying to bully an all-black clad badass Eastern European wasteland survivor while dressed like Men’s Wearhouse mannequins is peak cinema.

From some slides I made on #difference-in-differences: I came up with a checklist (geared towards people seeing DID for the first time). I know @pedrosantanna.bsky.social has a great checklist already (which I have fully adopted). This is meant to be an intro to that type of thinking.

When gauging public reactions to the latest controversy, it's important not to conduct or share misleading polls. Our new paper in Public Opinion Quarterly is a template for how to (and how not to) poll about the effect of political developments. Gift link: academic.oup.com/poq/advance-...

Hey, I'm going to do this, and I hope you will too. Not because I think a one day pause will be a devastating blow, but because coordinated action takes practice, and if you don't do the small stuff, you will have a harder time gearing up for the big stuff.

We streamlined six new DID-like estimators and created this tutorial for implementation in R. yiqingxu.org/packages/fec... Hope you no longer need to spend months figuring out what these estimators are and how to use them.

the richest man in the world has decided that your kids don't deserve special education programs

Trumps comment simply drives home his alienness. Standing against his degeneracy is standing with America. We don’t have masters. We don’t bow to tyrants. Americas civic tradition is complex, democratic, libertarian, raucous, conflicted. It abhors tyrants.

“In any other administration, at any other time in American history, this would be grounds for impeachment.” www.pajiba.com/news/why-is-...