Wrote a short article for @voxdev.bsky.social using results from my primary data collection. This article is based on a forthcoming @thejop.bsky.social piece where I argue that male migration is an under-examined pathway for female political engagement. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

This is an excellent review article discussing open questions/challenges in causality and causal inference. arxiv.org/pdf/2508.17099

This is an excellent review article discussing open questions/challenges in causality and causal inference. arxiv.org/pdf/2508.17099

Congrats to @daniel-a-n-goldstein.com and @drewstommes.bsky.social for showing how an information treatment that US wars are fought predominantly by the poor increases preferences for recruiting from the rich. No effect on tax policy tho! here again we see fx on "target attitudes" not "nontarget"

I have a new paper with Daniel Goldstein evaluating whether and how citizens want to address the differential burdens of public goods provision, focusing on the physical costs of US military conflict disproportionately borne by less affluent Americans.

1/ 🚨 What if intro political science textbooks were better and cheaper? We built one: ✅ $1/chapter ✅ Modular & flexible ✅ Written by top scholars ✅ Full (free!) instructor resources 🌐 www.politicsexperiment.com Help us spread the word! @rudalev.bsky.social & I are the editors!

“Modi Wants More Indians to Speak Hindi. Some States Are Shouting ‘No.’” “States worry that the imposition of Hindi, the main language of northern India, would wipe out their cultural heritage.” www.nytimes.com/2025/07/13/w...

Really wonderful to see this. My USIP-Minerva Dissertation Fellowship was absolutely critical for helping me push my doctoral dissertation across the finish line.

I spoke with @dkthomp.bsky.social about scientific consensus on the potential harms of #socialmedia and why it's really, really hard to figure out the consensus about polarized topics based on how they are discussed on social media You can listen here: www.theringer.com/podcasts/pla...

Excited to have a new paper forthcoming @cpsjournal.bsky.social – Indigenous Community Recognition and Identity: Evidence from Peru. A first individual-level analysis of a key, widespread public policy, based on years of mapping, data & conversation with colleagues papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

“[Yunus’s] aides say he feels thwarted by an emerging alliance between the country’s largest remaining political party and the army, which have criticized his policies and say he is being too slow to plan elections.”

Bangladesh’s Leader Threatens to Resign Over Election Pressure www.nytimes.com/2025/05/23/w...

I’m very much looking forward to this soon-to-be-released South Asian history book—titled Apostles of Development: Six Economists and the World They Made—by Prof. David Engerman at Yale. global.oup.com/academic/pro...

I’m very much looking forward to this soon-to-be-released South Asian history book—titled Apostles of Development: Six Economists and the World They Made—by Prof. David Engerman at Yale. global.oup.com/academic/pro...

So excited to see this out. Stathis and I presented a first version of this paper at APSA in 2010.

I am hiring a new Lab Manager to help run the NYU Center for Conflict & Cooperation. We start reviewing apps on MAY 1st and it pays over $58,000. Please share with anyone who might be interested! Please apply here: apply.interfolio.com/166620 See more details below:

New paper alert (hey, I can't doom scroll all the time): This one's on doing causal inference with "microlevel data" where we suspect that the treatment has spatial spillover & temporal carryover effects. We illustrate our new approach + package w/ application to US counterinsurgency efforts in Iraq

If your research involves RD designs, check out this important new working paper from Ghosh, Imbens, and Wager: "PLRD: Partially Linear Regression Discontinuity Inference" arxiv.org/pdf/2503.09907

If your research involves RD designs, check out this important new working paper from Ghosh, Imbens, and Wager: "PLRD: Partially Linear Regression Discontinuity Inference" arxiv.org/pdf/2503.09907

Piet Mondrian’s Broadway Boogie-Woogie (one of my favorites)

🚨New pre-print! It builds on the State Formation seminar that I teach at Yale, benefiting from rich conversations with brilliant students. The piece tackles state formation, state building, and outlines 3 paths of future research: civil wars, international constraints, and bureaucratic capacity.

New Broadstreet post up! Highlighting some great work rethinking common assumptions about African borders! @ricarthuguet.bsky.social @jackpaine.bsky.social and Christy Qiu www.broadstreet.blog/p/african-bo...

#3 Stommes et al (2023) show that RDDs in political science, many of which are close election RDDs, are "underpowered to detect all but large effects." As with all low power tests, we should be wary not only about large standard errors, but also type M/S errors! journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Very happy that my paper has just been published at @apsrjournal.bsky.social! Do insurgents help or hurt genocide targets? Contrary to common belief, I find that insurgent presence reduced Jewish victimisation during the Holocaust in France. Here's what I discovered 👇 1/6

I have a new working paper with @aidanmilliff.com and Varun KR which is now available on SocArXiv: osf.io/preprints/so...

I have a new working paper with @aidanmilliff.com and Varun KR which is now available on SocArXiv: osf.io/preprints/so...

🚨🚨🚨🚨 New WP (with @benckrick.bsky.social @austinlw.bsky.social) available at the ESOC working paper series: esoc.princeton.edu/wp39

Some paintings that caught my eye today at the Met.

Some paintings that caught my eye today at the Met.

Excited to share my new article in the American Journal of Political Science (@ajpseditor.bsky.social)! "Endogenous Opposition: Identity and Ideology in Kuwaiti Electoral Politics" explores how authoritarian elections generate opposition to incumbent autocrats. Link: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/ukrer...

How do you know when a mechanism is externally valid? In“ Sign-Congruence, External Validity, and Replication,” @tara-slough.bsky.social and @scottatyson.bsky.social develop a framework for accumulating evidence across multiple studies and develop theoretical foundations for replication.

"Ancient Epics in the Television Age: Mass Media, Identity, and the Rise of Hindu Nationalism in India" Fascinating working paper on mass media and the rise of Hindu nationalism in India. www.nber.org/papers/w33417

Notably, the party is intensifying grassroots organizing to mobilize women into politics at local levels. For more on how this sort of organizing can promote equal political participation, check out Tanushree Goyal’s excellent APSR article. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

“A leftist movement in Sri Lanka that took power after an economic collapse is seizing a rare opportunity to rally more women into politics.” www.nytimes.com/2025/02/04/w...

“A leftist movement in Sri Lanka that took power after an economic collapse is seizing a rare opportunity to rally more women into politics.” www.nytimes.com/2025/02/04/w...

Baral, Nellis, and Weaver study this systematically and find that the Kumbh indeed raises Hindu nationalists’ vote shares, primarily by increasing religious orthodoxy and boosting party infrastructure (paper forthcoming in AJPS). escholarship.org/content/qt1g...

“The Maha Kumbh Mela, a Hindu festival in India that is drawing hundreds of millions of pilgrims, is a powerful marketing tool for Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his allies.” www.nytimes.com/2025/02/02/w...

“The Maha Kumbh Mela, a Hindu festival in India that is drawing hundreds of millions of pilgrims, is a powerful marketing tool for Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his allies.” www.nytimes.com/2025/02/02/w...

This week has been a long year.

This week has been a long year.

New article: We examine the battlefield effects of forcing your own soldiers to fight ("fratricidal coercion") using 8 million Red Army soldier records, the Battle of Leningrad, and cross-nat analysis of 526 battles (1939-2011) Now Open Access in International Organization: doi.org/10.1017/S002...

📢 Workshop Call 📢 3d Edition of the Yale-UB Historical Political Economy Workshop Keynote: "Revolutionary Contagion" by Saumitra Jha and Steven Wilkinson At University of Barcelona @ub.edu on June 30 and July 1, 2025 Send us your papers by Febr 28: shorturl.at/w96jk @didacqueralt.bsky.social