Here's where we stand (via @climateactiontracker.org): climateactiontracker.org No longer headed towards 4C thanks to global decarbonization efforts. But current policies could give >3C-that's truly catastrophic, civilization-threatening levels of warming. That's why we need additional action.

Yep, as expected. Slightly surprised myself on some of the liberty/privacy questions

At Labour’s conference, Keir Starmer promised his government would “fight with everything we have” against those pushing racism and the idea of two-tier Britishness. Now it is the clear and stated policy rationale of his government that the racists were correct and must be appeased.

VERY funny that Labour are being pointlessly cruel and haemorrhaging support from their base and yet none of what they're offering is ever going to be enough for the people whose approval they're seeking, WHO could have predicted it

My greatest disappointment with Starmer is the continuation of this same old game. Half-arsed policy with focus on electoral dynamics over effectiveness. Underlying situation gets worse. Then you complain the border is out of control, when in fact it is your policymaking which has failed.

The basic problem with the temporary refugee status policy - especially one lasting up to 20 years - is it leads to very few removals (based on Denmark's experience) but does significantly worsen integration.

The Greens' next attack line, probably: "Labour would rather steal jewellry and bikes from refugees fleeing war than tax the rich" God I'm so angry. Incompetent and cruel.

The idea of the Home Office selling off the confiscated jewellery of those who have fled war and persecution should, in an ideal world, be the death knell for this government.

🧵/ How far does the public support net zero? Support: 60% Oppose: 25% Net support by party Green: +81 Lib Dem: +67 Lab: +64 Con: +11 Reform: -44 yougov.co.uk/politics/art...

Generative AI being 'wrong' in the information it produces, and being unethical in how it steals human labor are both overlapping issues and it's important to show a bit of damn solidarity even if you're not a scientist, or information worker, or a writer, or an artist, or a photographer

Flow of the vote in the average Lab gain from Con seat, i.e. somewhere like Southend E, Carlisle or Rugby. The largest dynamics here are Con -> Ref and Lab -> DK, tho Lab's wider splintering is costing them and allowing Reform a clear lead in such seats.

This is why these kinds of takes don't really grasp what is happening in what are currently Reform-facing Labour seats. The actual Lab -> Ref movement is small (and the least likely to reverse). Labour's key to remaining competitive is reuniting their losses to don't knows, LDs and Greens.

Yay. Priceless. The right column at the right time. And a gleefully English two fingers to the haters.

These are particularly critical points that should be much better understood, not just by the government but also by political commentators, journalists, and broadcast bookers.

Just a reminder that Starmer's accommodation of the radical right has not paid any electoral dividends to date. It's difficult to imagine circumstances in which it would...

Most political punditry misses this fundamental insight from political science.

Here's a figure from IPCC AR6 Summary for Policymakers showing the linear relationship between fucking around and finding out. Every tonne of CO₂ we add to the atmosphere makes things worse for us and all other living things.

A useful counter to the celebration of Reform as a "working-class insurrection". It suits both Farage and Maurice Glasman to present the party in this way, but that rests heavily on a particular idea of "the working class" as old, white and male, rather than (for example) young, black and female.

This is why mooting 'ditching net-zero' as the solution to Labour's woes is so silly. It's a policy that is popular with their core voters, critical to progressive voters they need to woo back, and Reform voters are sceptical but it's way down their priority list.

I’m all for expanding the social democratic coalition beyond liberals and progressives. But the idea that you can do social democratic politics *in opposition* to liberals and progressives is a nostalgic, self-indulgent fantasy.

As the article (in thread) says, outsize SUVs cost the public purse more in terms of strain on the infrastructure & pollution, and are far more dangerous for pedestrians & cyclists. Yes, we should tax them and their usage heavily. Why on Earth should the rest of us subsidise this obnoxious trend?

A quick linkedin re-post of my thread here about what seems to be a detectable rise in "WELL WE DIDN'T STOP 1.5C MIGHT AS WELL GIVE UP ON EVERYTHING AND JUST ADAPT TO CLIMATE CHANGE WHICH I'M SURE IS POSSIBLE HAVEN'T CHECKED THIS BUT SURE ITS FINE" vibes www.linkedin.com/pulse/fossil...