Dylan Difford (@dylandifford.bsky.social)

Written a short explainer on one of the most common and avoidable errors in election analysis at the moment: building conclusions on how voters are moving from vote change. Share it with anyone who needs to see it, which includes an alarming number of people in Westminster.

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Avoid a basic election analysis error with this one neat trick… Don't build conclusions on voter movements from change in aggregate vote share https://dylandifford.substack.com/p/avoid-a-basic-election-analysis-error

15 days ago