What can surveys miss when respondents choose the same answer option? In this pre-print, we argue that public opinion research needs not only to know where respondents stand, but how they think. AI Conversational Interviewing is one way to make that observable at scale

New paper out in the @thejop.bsky.social (w/ @christinagahn.bsky.social) Do opinion polls shape election results? Using both cross-national data and a survey experiment, the answer we find is yes - though it depends on how we communicate polling results. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

My first paper is out! Co-authored with @falkscheidig.bsky.social doi.org/10.1093/pa/g...

What drives legislators' emotional engagement with climate issues? I explore the role of their age and party affiliation and over-time developments in a new research note in European Journal of Political Research. (a thread)

The German public is more approving of police violence when victims are immigrants, and this bias is highly resistant to new information. This shows our new study published in Science Advances. www.science.org/doi/10.1126/... (1/3)

Are you a policymaker, teacher, practitioner, academic in political science, psychology, education or related field? We’re inviting experts to complete a short survey on youth political participation: tinyurl.com/ywnseae3 For every completion, we’ll donate €1.20 to UNICEF. Please share!

📢 My first dissertation paper is out in the BJPIR! 📢 Why do ethnic majorities support the radical right? I show that feeling deprived compared to ethnic minorities increases support for hierarchical societies - which in turn fuels radical right support. doi.org/10.1177/1369... A short 🧵:

Very happy to share that our paper "Political socialization and immigrants' support for progressive politics: the case of green parties" with @antvalentim.bsky.social is now published in @psrm.bsky.social! Link to paper: doi.org/10.1017/psrm... Short summary in 🧵below: (1/5)

🚨 Happy to see this article with the wonderful David Schweizer out online first at European Union Politics! We examine who is aware of European funding and how citizens prefer these funds to be allocated. The article is available open access here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

📢 New in IMR. We often ask whether #refugees “integrate.” But what happens when the host society becomes hostile? I develop the concept of social marginalization and show that refugees in more #violent German counties report stronger feelings of exclusion and discrimination. doi.org/10.1177/0197...

Very glad that our first DEMNORM paper found such a great home at @thejop.bsky.social. If you’re interested in the role of social desirability in online surveys, check out the thread and paper below ⬇️

I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.

🎉 New paper out in Political Behavior (with @gijsschumacher.bsky.social & @mrooduijn.bsky.social) Why do some people feel stronger emotions about politics than others? 💡Not political knowledge, but interest and confidence-in-knowledge drive emotional engagement. link.springer.com/article/10.1... 🧵

Do ordinary Republicans and Democrats really avoid each other in everyday life? In a new working paper with Delia Baldassarri, we present descriptive and experimental evidence to challenge the view that partisanship drives the formation of social relationships. osf.io/preprints/so... 1/15

🚨 Join us for the next edition Summer School for Women* in Political Methodology in Mannheim 🚨 7 days of hands-on advanced methods + networking for PhDs, postdocs & early-career researchers. Free of charge (limited travel support). Deadline 1 March 2026: summerschoolwpm.org #methodsky #polisky

partycoloR is now on CRAN! Started as a simple idea 6 years ago, now it's a full-featured package. Extract party colors and logos from Wikipedia with one line of code. It's already powering ParlGov Dashboard. install.packages("partycoloR")

Just published in @bjpols.bsky.social: @sergipardos.bsky.social and I show that inter-regional moves in pursuit of employment security reduce individual worries about immigration—a mobility pattern that, in the aggregate, reinforces spatial polarization in anti-immigration sentiment. cup.org/3XiB6yD

To be clear: deportations to increase cultural homogeneity is the text book definition of ethnic cleansing. Demands that come even close to this are so far outside any democratic norm and the rule of law. What has happened to a country when this is not condemned in the strongest possible terms?

How common are “survey professionals” - people who take dozens of online surveys for pay - across online panels, and do they harm data quality? Our paper, FirstView at @politicalanalysis.bsky.social, tackles this question using browsing data from three U.S. samples (Facebook, YouGov, and Lucid):

In our new publication to @nature.com Humanities & Social Sciences Communications @muhx2.bsky.social and I explore if the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine increased support for European integration among Europeans. The answer is yes! A short 🧵: www.nature.com/articles/s41...

🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨 We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community. 🔗 epssnet.org Here’s a thread with everything you need to know. 🧵

🚨 Excited to see my first solo-authored paper now published in IJPOR! 🚨 Do election outcomes affect participation in post-election surveys? And specifically, do election winners respond more than losers? The short answer: not really. The slightly longer answer: 🧵👇 academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...

🚨🚨 NEW PRE-PRINT 🚨🚨 Prominent theories in political psychology argue that threat causes increases in conservatism. Early experimental work supported this idea, but many of these studies were (severely) underpowered, and examined only a few threats and ideological DVs. 1/n osf.io/preprints/ps...

Thrilled to see my 1st PhD paper out in #PartyPolitics! Based on ~15000 posts by 86 German subnat. parties (2015-2019), Simon Franzmann & I show that dominant & challenger parties differ in the use of policy-based vs symbolic & positive vs negative appeals. 🔓: doi.org/10.1177/1354...

The first paper of my dissertation has been published in West European Politics! @wepsocial.bsky.social See the thread below:

Our article w/Justin Robinson on authoritarianism in 🇬🇧 is published in the new issue of @polbehavior.bsky.social We employ a longitudinal analysis using the @britishelectionstudy.com to investigate the causal effect of the psychological trait of authoritarianism on political attitudes and voting 🧵

New paper on misperceptions out in PNAS @pnas.org www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/... Why do people overestimate the size of politically relevant groups (immigrant, LGBTQ, Jewish) and quantities (% of budget spent on foreign aid, % of refugees that are criminals)?🧵👇

Published Today in PSRM: Based on a novel “Multiple Unexpected Events during Survey Design” (MUESD), I contextualize previous findings suggesting that Europeans become more empathetic toward migrants when exposed to migrant suffering. www.cambridge.org/core/journal... A Summary Thread: 1/15

..und noch ein Fall, in dem ein rechsextremer Vierfachmord unter dem medialen Radar läuft. Am 25. März 2024 starben die Eltern und ihre beiden drei Jahre und wenige Monate alten Töchter bei einem Brandanschlag. Erinnert an die Toten. Und die Medien an ihre verdammte demokratische Verantwortung.

I wrote about what I call the "everyone is biased" bias and the problems with excessive cynicism: www.conspicuouscognition.com/p/the-everyo...

I recently published a review article on how social norms regulating the expression of prejudice change. I guess we will be seeing many of these mechanisms in action in the near future. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Our research on Need for Chaos was focused on how some voters wanted to watch the world burn: www.cambridge.org/core/journal... With DOGE it now seems to be official government strategy from Trump & Musk But the goal seems the same: Burning down existing structures for selfish status gain

Wir haben gestern lange darüber gesprochen was wir tun würden wenn Autoritäre und Faschisten die Macht übernehmen. Behält man Stellen in Bürokratie und Wissenschaft, wandert man aus, wie würde man Widerstand organisieren? Als Deutscher kennt man diese Fragen. Man hat sie häufig rückblickend ... 1/

Wir bei zweitstimme.org haben in den letzten Tagen über 20.000 Menschen gefragt, was Sie denken, wie die Wahl ausgeht. Und auch, was sie erwarten, wer ihren Walkreis gewinnt. zweitstimme.org/posts/blog/c... #citizenforecasting #btw25

Do citizens stereotype Muslims as inherently homophobic? In a new @bjpols.bsky.social paper w/ @bertous.bsky.social & @michaelhunklinger.bsky.social we answer this question using a double-list experiment across 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 🇩🇪 🇳🇱 doi.org/10.1017/S000... Spoiler: Yes. 🧵

Ok, thread time. Closed-ended survey responses are efficient and easy to analyze, but limit what respondents can say. Open-ended responses are useful for letting respondents answer with more depth in their own words (as opposed to yours).

29. Januar 2025 Der Tag beginnt im Bundestag damit, dass man der Shoah gedenkt und er endet damit, dass Nazis jubeln.

In #Germany, a watershed moment: Just hours after commemorating the Holocaust, the centre-right has accepted the support of the #farright #AfD to pass a (largely symbolic) motion against immigration, tearing a massive hole into the so-called 'firewall', Germany's variety of the cordon sanitaire.

“Women leave or consider leaving [faculty positions] because of workplace climate more often than work-life balance.” www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...