Lukas Warode
@lwarode.bsky.social
📤 319
📥 376
📝 33
Political Science PhD Student, University of Mannheim. lwarode.github.io
reposted by
Lukas Warode
The COMPTEXT Association
19 days ago
The Call for Papers and Panels for
#COMPTEXT2026
in Birmingham (23-25 April) is out; feel free to circulate:
shorturl.at/gRg0p
! Deadline: January 16!
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reposted by
Lukas Warode
Richard McElreath 🐈⬛
about 2 months ago
“You see, the endless renovation of the Stuttgart train station is a symbol of our late-capitalist condition: the project is always ‘in progress,’ yet nothing ever progresses. The construction site itself becomes the true destination.”
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reposted by
Lukas Warode
Marius Sältzer
3 months ago
Job Alert! We are hiring two post-docs (full time, 4+ years) in our project SCEPTIC - Social, Computational and Ethical Premises of Trust and Informational Cohesion with
@annanosthoff.bsky.social
@guzoch.bsky.social
and Prof. Andreas Peters (
uol.de/informatik/s...
)
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reposted by
Lukas Warode
Tanise Ceron
3 months ago
📣 New Preprint! Have you ever wondered what the political content in LLM's training data is? What are the political opinions expressed? What is the proportion of left- vs right-leaning documents in the pre- and post-training data? Do they correlate with the political biases reflected in models?
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reposted by
Lukas Warode
Jamie Cummins
4 months ago
Can large language models stand in for human participants? Many social scientists seem to think so, and are already using "silicon samples" in research. One problem: depending on the analytic decisions made, you can basically get these samples to show any effect you want. THREAD 🧵
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The threat of analytic flexibility in using large language models to simulate human data: A call to attention
Social scientists are now using large language models to create "silicon samples" - synthetic datasets intended to stand in for human respondents, aimed at revolutionising human subjects research. How...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.13397
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reposted by
Lukas Warode
Joachim Baumann
4 months ago
🚨 New paper alert 🚨 Using LLMs as data annotators, you can produce any scientific result you want. We call this **LLM Hacking**. Paper:
arxiv.org/pdf/2509.08825
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My 2nd dissertation paper is out in
@nature.com
Humanities and Social Sciences Communications:
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
I study and explore how associations with 'left' and 'right' vary systematically by semantic and political position.
4 months ago
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Lukas Warode
Constantin Wurthmann
5 months ago
📢 New Publication Alert! Our (
@msaeltzer.bsky.social
) latest article, "Issue congruence between candidates' Twitter communication and constituencies in an MMES: Migration as an exemplary case", has just been published in Parliamentary Affairs.
academic.oup.com/pa/advance-a...
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reposted by
Lukas Warode
Oscar Stuhler
5 months ago
Now out in Social Networks Network analysis aspires to be “anticategorical,” yet its basic units—relationships—are usually readily categorized ('friendship,' 'love'). Thus, a nontrivial cultural typification is asserted in the very building blocks of most network analyses.
doi.org/10.1016/j.so...
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Lukas Warode
Or Tuttnauer
6 months ago
Calling all parliaments experts! Say there's a debate in parliament, and a related vote. How frequently would these be on different days? different weeks? I don't mean different readings of bills, because these will also have different debates.
@sgparliaments.bsky.social
#polisky
#parlisky
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Lukas Warode
Danbischof
6 months ago
Can banning political ideologies protect democracy? 🛡️🆚🗣️ Our (w.
@valentimvicente.bsky.social
) paper finds: punishing individuals might backfire. We study a West German policy banning "extreme left" individuals from working for the state.
#Democracy
#PoliticalScience
🧵 url:
osf.io/usqdb_v2
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reposted by
Lukas Warode
Claire Burchett
6 months ago
Happy to share my first published article based on my PhD in Party Politics with
@journals.sagepub.com
in open access!
doi.org/10.1177/1354...
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Lukas Warode
Toni Rodon
6 months ago
Local reactions to wolf attacks in Germany are not powerful enough to influence the election decisions of many voters
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
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The East in wolf’s clothing. Wolf attacks correlate with but do not cause far-right voting
The resurgence of wolves in Germany has sparked intense debate, particularly in rural areas where wolf attacks on livestock are frequent. Prior resear…
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379425000630
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reposted by
Lukas Warode
Reto Mitteregger
6 months ago
Quite a strong final statement: "Descriptive research is important and it is a pity that the general obsession with causal estimates disincentivizes researchers from attempting to publish careful and detailed description."
add a skeleton here at some point
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1/2 Another year, another
@epsanet.bsky.social
This year I had two papers accepted, but no visual proof that I presented joint work with Thomas Bräuninger on (the problems of) dynamic scale usage. I hope some nice people will capture 📸 me again next year in the Post-EPSA era
@epssnet.bsky.social
6 months ago
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reposted by
Lukas Warode
Nicolai Berk
6 months ago
So is it pronounced EPSS or EPSS?
#epsa2025
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reposted by
Lukas Warode
Or Tuttnauer
6 months ago
In 1/2 an hour at
#epsa2025
, I’ll explain
@lwarode.bsky.social
and my approach to measuring divergence in gov-opp relations measurement based on parliamentary votes and speeches. The panel’s hidden at -1.A.05, so I hope you’ll find your way there (as will I)
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reposted by
Lukas Warode
Nature Human Behaviour
7 months ago
A large-scale study of academics’ tweets shows disparities in who shapes academic discourse and how it reaches the public.
@prashantgarg.bsky.social
@trfetzer.com
@imperialcollegeldn.bsky.social
@uni-of-warwick.bsky.social
#AcademicTwitter
#ClimateAction
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
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Political expression of academics on Twitter - Nature Human Behaviour
An analysis of nearly 100,000 academics on Twitter reveals strong progressive stances on climate and social issues, driven by a small, vocal subset. The study highlights potential gaps between academi...
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-025-02199-1
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reposted by
Lukas Warode
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
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How do elites view ideology? Analysing candidates’ associations of left and right
Political ideology is a fundamental aspect of politics and a well-researched area of political science, but difficult to measure. By examining the sentiment of political elites’ associations with ‘...
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/01402382.2025.2490886
8 months ago
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Lukas Warode
Andreu Casas
9 months ago
🚨New publication @The_JOP on human biases in data annotation (w. Nora Webb Williams,
@kevinaslett.bsky.social
, John Wilkerson). Extremely important given the increasing societal reliance on AI tools often trained on human coders
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
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Lukas Warode
Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte
8 months ago
A Tinder Test of Democratic Norms💋 New paper in
@thejop.bsky.social
with
@bertous.bsky.social
We rely on a visual conjoint experiment, cross-sectional data, & panel data to show that affective polarization drives the normalisation of the far right among the centre-right 🇬🇧🇪🇸
doi.org/10.1086/736698
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reposted by
Lukas Warode
Graduate School of Economic and Social Sciences - GESS
8 months ago
📣 New article alert 📣 Great insights shared by CDSS doctoral candidate Lukas Warode on elite attitudes towards political ideology. Check out the thread and his article for a deeper dive into the research area. Congrats
@lwarode.bsky.social
!👏
add a skeleton here at some point
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reposted by
Lukas Warode
WEP Journal
8 months ago
Analysing the associations of 🇩🇪 candidates toward ideology,
@lwarode.bsky.social
shows that left-leaning elites view 'left' positively & 'right' negatively. This pattern is not mirrored by right-leaning elites, who on average have less positive attitudes towards 'right'.
doi.org/10.1080/0140...
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The first paper of my dissertation has been published in West European Politics!
@wepsocial.bsky.social
See the thread below:
8 months ago
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reposted by
Lukas Warode
Will Lowe
about 4 years ago
Everything required to explain IV estimation, in one picture.
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Lukas Warode
sergio tahini
8 months ago
quantitative forscher:innen: fuck ich sitze seit 10 stunden im büro kriege mein fuzzy regression discontinuity design nicht in R implementiert qualitative forscher:innen mit ihrer fokusgruppe:
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reposted by
Lukas Warode
John Holbein
9 months ago
Who's the most liberal or conservative cardinal? Here are the cardinals' ideal point estimates. credit:
@adamramey.bsky.social
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Can Bluesky also replace Instagram?
9 months ago
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Lukas Warode
Andreas Küpfer
9 months ago
🚀 Our paper (with
@eliaskoch.bsky.social
) on ‘The Politics of Seeking and Avoiding Discourse in Parliament’ is finally out as EarlyView at the EJPR!
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reposted by
Lukas Warode
Kai Arzheimer
9 months ago
History is overrated.
#OpenAccess
📝
#Germany
#Prussia
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Oppression of Catholics in Prussia does not explain spatial differences in support for the radical right in Germany. A critique of Haffert (2022)
A growing literature links contemporary far-right mobilization to the “legacies” of events in the distant past, but often, the effects are small, and …
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379424000477
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reposted by
Lukas Warode
John Holbein
9 months ago
Wow! Three scholars at Columbia, Michigan, & Maryland just introduced a measure of the partisan leanings of employers in the U.S. The data is constructed by linking voter registrations to online worker profiles. VRscores capture the political affiliations of 21.8M workers across 2.6M employers.
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Feeling funny, might delete later
about 2 years ago
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Shameless repost from evil X: I finally found some time to finish the introduction for @OpenDiscourseDE 's R package:
open-discourse.github.io/opendiscouRs...
The package is technically still under (final) development, while a majority of functions are working consistently.
over 2 years ago
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