Mercosur : "En cas d’échec, beaucoup estimeront que l’UE n’est pas un partenaire fiable" @alberto-rizzi.bsky.social, chercheur au @ecfr.eu, analyse les enjeux de l'accord. 👇 1/7 🧵

What are Trump's plans in the trade (tariffs), investment (decoupling) and financial (US dollar depreciation) spheres, and what do US policies mean for Europe? Join us next Tuesday in Berlin @ecfrberlin.bsky.social to discuss these topics - more info and registration 👇

Volodymyr Zelensky has struck a deal to strengthen Ukraine’s winter energy reserves. Europe should now help Kyiv diversify its imports and guard its domestic gas fields with a robust air defence, writes @alberto-rizzi.bsky.social @ecfrpower.bsky.social https://bit.ly/4pbu1vQ

The EU’s Artificial Intelligence Act could offer a useful framework for Europeans and Gulf partners to work together, write @cinziabianco.bsky.social and Herman Quarles @ecfrmena.bsky.social @ecfrpower.bsky.social https://bit.ly/3MdxkEk

Volodymyr Zelensky has struck a deal to strengthen Ukraine’s winter energy reserves. Europe should now help Kyiv diversify its imports and guard its domestic gas fields with a robust air defence, writes @alberto-rizzi.bsky.social @ecfrpower.bsky.social https://bit.ly/4pbu1vQ

🇺🇦 Zelensky chiude un accordo chiave per rafforzare le riserve energetiche dell’Ucraina in vista dell’inverno. L’Europa deve aiutare Kyiv a proteggere i giacimenti di gas con una difesa aerea efficace. ✍️ @alberto-rizzi.bsky.social x @ecfreuropeansec.bsky.social

I spoke yesterday with @deutschewellerss.newsmast.social.ap.brid.gy about Zelenskyy's visit to Greece: more gas supplies are crucial to compensate for Ukraine's lower production due to attacks by Russia. And defending Ukrainian infrastructure is equally important. www.youtube.com/watch?v=mAnh...

I have a very bad feeling about this...

My take on incoming EU steel tariffs in this Deutsche Welle piece: the move aims at obtaining concessions form the US, most likely a tariff-free quota for European producers, but at the cost of worsening trade relations with other suppliers to the bloc www.dw.com/en/eu-seeks-...

And people forget that despite all the anti-German sentiment the German car industry is a primary driver of (economic) integration, employment, and export growth for CEE MS. If it doesn't modernize with an eye to the marketplace of the 21stC it will be one giant multinational Nokia

There's a fascinating case study to be done on the different strategies of Macron and Sánchez. Both emerged, against the odds, from centrist milieux in the mid-2010s to lead their countries since 2017/18. But their fates are totally different.

In Brazil, if you plot a coup to subvert the result of democratic elections, you end up in jail. In the US, if you actually execute one, you end up in the White House. www.ft.com/content/f07c...

Looks like North Korea with stars and stripes

My take on the US-EU trade deal in this @ecfr.eu policy alert: - EU preferred an unequal deal rather than retaliating to maybe get a better one - Some economic silver linings don't cancel the political capitulation - EU needs credible retribution to prevent further US demands ecfr.eu/article/scot...

Even during wartime, and perhaps ESPECIALLY during wartime, it's crucial to hold leaders accountable. Please consider signing this letter and share with your network.

My views of a no deal scenario in EU-US trade negotiations for @cnbc.com - ACI does allows for flexibility in the response - If no deal, EU would want swift and substantial retaliation - ACI likely to be kept in reserve after retaliatory EU tariffs come into force www.cnbc.com/2025/07/25/w...

Bernd Lange stressing an important point that still sometimes gets lost: For the EU, sectoral tariffs are much more important than a general baseline - most of the EU exports into the US are concentrated in few key sectors.

It seems Hungary will keep on waiting for the €18 billion in cohesion and recovery funds that the European Commission has frozen. The latest edition of the Rule of Law report shows the country made "no progress" in seven of the eight recommendations.

Thoughts (not sure about prayers) work so much better in advance.

Independence Day @thetimes.com cartoon times.newsprints.co.uk/morten-morla...

The perfect description of Trump by Bruce Springsteen on Monday in Milan: Rainmaker says white's black and black's white Says night's day and day's night 'Cause they don't care or understand How easy it is to let freedom slip through your hands www.youtube.com/watch?v=fIhq...

MY @france24.com interview on Meloni's new visa scheme for non-EU migrants: Italy's awful demographics require large inflows of foreign workers to keep the economy running, even if this runs counter to the anti-migration agenda on which the government got elected. www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/...

Den aktuellen Policy Brief von @alberto-rizzi.bsky.social (@ecfrgeotech.bsky.social) zu den demographischen Herausforderungen, vor denen Europa steht, gibt es hier👇 ecfr.eu/publication/...

Il nuovo "decreto flussi" approvato ieri dal governo 🇮🇹 si inserisce in una sfida più ampia: attrarre forza lavoro strategica in un’Europa che invecchia. Leggi il policy brief di @alberto-rizzi.bsky.social su 🇪🇺 e cambiamento demografico 👇 buff.ly/5LpeMRL

Tomorrow 📆 online event 16:00–17:00 CEST @agathedemarais.bsky.social, @alberto-rizzi.bsky.social and @johnspringford.bsky.social discuss how Europe can address the problem of shrinking and aging domestic populations. 📲Register here: bit.ly/3Gffa2G

Ain't nothing like Bruce Springsteen playing in San Siro

Is Europe’s demographic decline inevitable – and what does it mean for the EU's global standing? Join us in this @ecfr.eu webinar on Wednesday to discuss these issues with the brilliant @alberto-rizzi.bsky.social‬ and @johnspringford.bsky.social‬ - more details 👇

Europe's demographics are not necessarily a curse for its global standing. Next week, we'll be discussing together with @agathedemarais.bsky.social and @johnspringford.bsky.social what European policymakers can do to tackle this strategic challenge. Register here 👇 ecfr.eu/event/people...

Is Europe’s demographic decline inevitable – and what does it mean for the EU's global standing? Join us in this @ecfr.eu webinar next Wednesday to discuss these issues with the brilliant @alberto-rizzi.bsky.social and @johnspringford.bsky.social - more details 👇 ecfr.eu/event/people...

It was Iraq, who started also the Iran-Iraq War (unprovoked), that started the Tanker War during that conflict. Iran started retaliating only years after the first Iraqi attacks.

Increase the median age to 50 and you have the average think-tank/international politics panel in Italy

Here are some comments of mine in this piece by @cnbc.com about the state of EU-US trade negotiations: taxation and big tech regulation are considered domestic issues by Europe. While a small deal might be possible, a broad and comprehensive one seems out of reach. www.cnbc.com/2025/06/18/t...

My debut on "World in 30 minutes", talking with Mark Leonard about demographics and how global trends will shape Europe's place in the world 👇🏻

Putin's Russia is the closest thing to Third Reich Europe has ever seen since WWII. On the 81st anniversary of the D-Day, it's even worth remembering those that didn't call for a quick and unjust peace or bowed to the tyrant but instead gave all they had and more to liberate Europe! #dday #dday81

DEMOGRAPHICS IS DESTINY. OR NOT? 🧵 The greatest overlooked challenge for Europe's future is demographics. In my @ecfr.eu work I have analyzed the effect of the demographic transition for the continent's role in global geoeconomics and how should Europe respond 1/ ecfr.eu/publication/...

The Trump-Musk fallout is something worth watching with pop-corns. If only they weren't the US President and the world's richest man arguing like elementary school kids.

Why would you, as an international business, invest in the US right now?

UAE cheating OPEC quotas is an open secret, but the scale of it is becoming massive, and in the race against the clock for peak oil demand, Saudis and Emiratis are bound to clash in global energy markets. From @economist.com www.economist.com/finance-and-...

Excluding dairy might speed up the EU-India deal, yet to make it economically meaningful beyond its political value, India has to open up for real in machinery, car part, and industrial goods. As well as a CBAM arrangements. From @financialtimes.com www.ft.com/content/51ce...

Something to be very mindful of when thinking about protection of critical infrastructure

Sweden increases control options of the Russian shadow fleet: a new law comes into effect 1 July, allowing the Swedish coast guard and the Maritime Administration to request insurance information from vessels passing through Swedish territorial waters or EEZ (not only in ports).

The Red Sea’s vulnerability demonstrates why global supply chain resilience remains a priority. Read @alberto-rizzi.bsky.social‬ 's essay on connectivity & economic security in @ecfr.eu 's interactive map on power & conflict in the #RedSea 👇

WHY SPHERES OF INFLUENCE DON'T WORK TODAY 🧵 Trump's research for deals with China and Russia might signal a shift in US foreign policy, abandoning great-power competition to favor a world divided into spheres of influence between major players 1/9

BOOM BABY! mezha.net/eng/bukvy/ex...

The Arctic is no longer a remote frontier—it is emerging as a key arena in European security. Joana Hosa & Mikhail Komin explore how Russia’s growing ambitions in the region reflect shifting geopolitical dynamics. @ecfrwidereurope.bsky.social‬

Migration does provide a boost to economic growth and is even more necessary for a continent is deep demographic decline as Europe. The economics of the Spanish example clearly show how anti-immigration policies are simply a suicide. On @bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...

Trump is now threatening to impose 50% tariff on the EU - a quick thread with thoughts (disclaimer: we do not know much, things could change in a minute and Trump himself may not know what he wants from US-EU trade negotiations) 🧵 [1/10] 👇

Donald Trump is clearly not a bright or clever person, yet the number of times he keeps being fooled by Putin is astonishing. Even a dumb six year old would have realized Russia has no real interest in negotiating a settlement and just wants to keep killing Ukrainians.

This might look trivial but it absolutely isn't: Western sanctions can and should ground almost the entirety of Russian civilian aviation, but they have to be implemented and loopholes have to be closed. From @reuters.com www.reuters.com/business/aer...