#UNGA80 🧵 1/ Today, Mahmoud Abbas virtually joins #UNGA80. On Sunday, Australia, Britain, Canada and Portugal recognized a Palestinian state. What can we expect from Germany? 🔗https://www.dw.com/en/germany-uk-france-say-gaza-humanitarian-crisis-must-end/live-73407430

📰 "[Recognition of a Palestinian state] should be seen as the trajectory of travel. We may not get there tomorrow, but the trajectory is clear" commented @hlovatt.bsky.social for Deutsche Welle 👇 buff.ly/rApxpIO

✍️ Israel's strike on Doha is a sobering recalibration for Gulf rulers. If they once viewed US influence over Israel as stabilising, they now face the possibility that Netanyahu pursues a unilateral vision free from US constraints, writes @cinziabianco.bsky.social 👇 buff.ly/03Iba63

✍️ NEW @ecfr.eu commentary by @cinziabianco.bsky.social: The Israeli attacks on Doha, and America’s support of them, has caused #Gulf leaders to majorly rethink their security. This could lead to a new Gulf-led security format 👇 buff.ly/03Iba63

📰 Ellie Geranmayeh comments on snapback & Iranian-US nuclear talks for @foreignpolicy.com 👇 buff.ly/pZN9Ps9

📰 “A far more significant shift is happening among long-standing supporters of Israel, predominantly on the political Right, who are also becoming increasingly critical." comments @hlovatt.bsky.social for @telegraphnews.bsky.social. For more 👇 buff.ly/vAddSsv

📰 “Iran is trying to preserve ambiguity over its nuclear programme — both to keep its options open over weaponisation, but more likely to draw Trump back into talks.” comments Ellie Geranmayeh for @financialtimes.com buff.ly/k3SfjhF

📰 @cinziabianco.bsky.social speaks to La Repubblica about Israel's strike on Qatar and its wider regional ramifications 👇 buff.ly/00rix70

The Israeli government has broken another taboo. Not only did it bomb a major Western ally, but it also struck Hamas’s negotiators as they discussed a proposal for a Gaza ceasefire, write @jbdacey.bsky.social, @hlovatt.bsky.social and Ellie Geranmayeh @ecfrmena.bsky.social https://bit.ly/3IhltUe

📰 In the wake of Israel's strike on Doha, Qatar is unlikely to strike back militarily, but might exert economic pressure e.g. through its sovereign wealth fund, comments @hlovatt.bsky.social for Deutsche Welle👇 buff.ly/xMhuI32

📰 “If you are an Arab country that hosts US bases, or a NATO member like Turkey, and then a major US ally attacks Qatar, you are going to deeply question that American security umbrella you’ve paid top dollar for” comments Ellie Geranmayeh for @bloomberg.com buff.ly/J5JzATn

✍️ The Doha strike risks deepening regional scepticism of Western security partnerships in the region. Europe must do more to pressure Israel into ending the Gaza war & curbing its regional belligerence. @jbdacey.bsky.social Ellie Geranmayeh @hlovatt.bsky.social buff.ly/UlCO2vA

Qatar is at least the sixth country bombed by Israel in recent months. Europe must finally impose tangible pressure on Israel to end the Gaza war & its regional belligerence, doing far more to ensure its ties to Israel don't make it complicit in violations - new from @ecfr.eu ecfr.eu/article/qata...

🧵 NEW commentary by @jbdacey.bsky.social, Ellie Geranmayeh, @hlovatt.bsky.social: The Doha strike risks deepening regional scepticism of Western security partnerships in the region. Europe must do more to pressure Israel into ending the Gaza war & curbing its regional belligerence👇

📰 “The GCC response may be a realisation that US security guarantees are no longer as valuable as they have been thought to be for so long.” comments @cinziabianco.bsky.social on yesterday's Israeli strikes on Qatar for @aljazeera.com 👇 buff.ly/A35REvw

Israel has now bombed Gaza, Syria, Lebanon, Iran, Yemen & Qatar this year. As we wrote recently Israel has become the Middle East’s leading destabiliser - its beyond time for Europeans to reject Israel’s embrace of war over diplomacy & apply real pressure ecfr.eu/article/enou...

Israel - surely with a US greenlight - bombs Hamas negotiators in Qatar, the US-backed mediating state with whom Washington has a security partnership. Tells you everything about ceasefire intentions…

🧵 Israel has carried out unprecedented strikes in Qatar - a key European partner in the Middle East - following attacks across the region. @ecfr.eu policy fellows warned in June "it's time the West rejected Israel’s preference for war over diplomacy".

📰 For Formiche, @cinziabianco.bsky.social comments on the meeting between Mohammed bin Salman and Mohammed bin Zayed and the opportunity for regional/international leadership for the Gulf countries 👇 buff.ly/7M5R07P

🧵 With E3 triggering "snapback" against Iran, short window remains till UN sanctions return. In @foreignpolicy.com, Ellie Geranmayeh unpacks why E3 extension offer hit dead-end & proposes how to use upcoming UNGA to get Trump/Tehran re-invested in a deal buff.ly/UTpM7RH

As Gulf investment in Africa booms, Europeans must move faster, scale up smarter and align engagement with #African priorities. Otherwise, they risk ceding both economic and political ground to powerful Gulf actors @ecfrafrica.bsky.social ecfr.eu/article/the-...

📰 Western nations showing support for a two-state solution “shatters the illusion that Netanyahu is trying to sell that mass population transfer or depopulation is the only way to solve the Palestinian issue" @muhammadshehada.bsky.social @apnews.com 👇 buff.ly/UyM2PhZ

🎥 What would the UN Security Council resolutions triggered by the snapback mechanism mean in practical terms for #Iran's nuclear capabilities & Iran's economy? Watch Ellie Geranmayeh's interview with @aljazeera.com mediaview.aljazeera.com/video/XGXMRZ...

E3 countries are reportedly set to trigger the 30 day process for snapback of UN nuclear sanctions against Iran. ECFR’s Ellie Geranmayeh argues there’s still a short window for negotiations to avert snapback coming into force through an extension agreement 🧵 ecfr.eu/article/snap...

"By acting against Israeli violations of international norms, the EU could begin to fulfil its ambitions to be a geopolitical actor capable of asserting its economic leverage and political influence on the global stage" writes @tahanimustafa.bsky.social for @ecfr.eu buff.ly/Gq18Rgi

✍️ By seizing on the shifts within both #Hamas and #Israel’s security establishment, Europeans can persuade their Israeli counterparts that there is potential to begin an earnest dialogue if they climb down from their maximalist demands. @muhammadshehada.bsky.social buff.ly/RsmPacx

As Israel approves new plans to build a illegal settlements in the West Bank, read @tahanimustafa.bsky.social's piece on how these actions deliberately & permanently obstruct the pathway to a two-state solution and complicate any resolution to the conflict 👇 buff.ly/LIDEFSc

📖 As Iraq begins exhuming mass graves in Al-Khasfa, read @raniaab.bsky.social's latest policy brief on UNITAD's mandate ending and the lessons learnt from mass grave exploration 👇 buff.ly/tCsGlpa

📰 "Without fundamental improvements in Syria, Europe will find it difficult to convince Syrians to leave the relative safety of the EU and return home", comments @kellyp90.bsky.social for @azaugsburg.bsky.social buff.ly/16J22HE

✍️ As Israel continues its expansionist project in the West Bank, it jeopardises any solution to the conflict. The EU should finally act against these violations as it reviews its Association Agreement with Israel, writes @tahanimustafa.bsky.social for @ecfr.eu 👇 buff.ly/LIDEFSc

📰 "He’s been the face of Israel’s hunger campaign while giving Israel full deniability of it and outsourcing the thing.” @muhammadshehada.bsky.social comments for @aljazeera.com on Abu Shabab, the gang leader backed by Israel who is at the frontlines of aid looting buff.ly/slBcAcb

📰 "Italy is keen for recognition to have an impact but is aware that if Washington doesn’t change tack, then Israel will not either and to Italy this means recognising Palestine will not have impact" @kellyp90.bsky.social for The National 👇 buff.ly/bhgjP09

📰 @muhammadshehada.bsky.social speaks to @aljazeera.com about Israel's targeting of journalists in Gaza 👇 buff.ly/ol3MiPN

🎙️"It's effectively distracting the international community, forcing them to focus on this plan regarding Gaza City and distracting from Israel's broader practices in the Gaza Strip" @tahanimustafa.bsky.social for RTE on Israel's plan to take over Gaza City buff.ly/Jeeo4eP

🎤 "Words cost lives if they're not accompanied by action" - Sigrid Kaag, UN Special Coordinator for the Middle East Process, on the urgent need for international political action on Gaza at @ecfr.eu's #ACM25 👇

The United Nations Investigative Team to Promote Accountability for Crimes Committed by Daesh/ISIL, explored mass graves in Iraq between 2018 and 2024. Visiting fellow @ecfrmena.bsky.social, @raniaab.bsky.social's policy brief explores what can be learned from UNITAD's mistakes: bit.ly/45jJRfB

The degree to which #Africa and the West can push for a more conciliatory #Gulf approach to #Sudan will go a long way towards dictating the future trajectory of the conflict, says visiting fellow Jonas Horner in his new @ecfr.eu policy brief. 📢🤝

📖 Despite obstacles, Iraq has not given up its decades-long efforts to deal with a painful legacy of violence, but its domestic directorates need financial help & technical opportunities to enhance their capabilities, writes @raniaab.bsky.social 👇 buff.ly/5WCbMVj

My latest for @ecfr looks at efforts to find 100s of 1000s of Iraqis who are missing.Many are believed to be in mass graves. #Iraq has so many mass graves it has a specialized directorate. It even has a Mass Graves Day.Every number is a person who was part of a family that is integral to a community

📖 NEW @ecfr.eu policy brief by @raniaab.bsky.social on lessons learnt from mass grave exploration in Iraq and how Europeans can better back efforts towards justice and reconciliation in war-ravaged zones, such as in post-regime Syria 🧵 buff.ly/LnqPivf

In this new @ecfrafrica.bsky.social paper, Jonas Horner looks at the Arab Gulf states' entanglement in the conflict in #Sudan. To support long-term stability, European policymakers can encourage Gulf states to move towards peace. buff.ly/bI14txl

📰 @hlovatt.bsky.social speaks to Deutsche Welle about France's decision to recognise the State of Palestine and what this means about other states' approach to recognition buff.ly/PPtEX3z

🎤 We need to find "a zone of agreement between Washington and Tehran on how they can avert war and have a political off-ramp" - Ellie Geranmayeh at @ecfr.eu's #ACM25

📰 "The E3 understands that even when they use the [snapback] mechanism, they lose all the last-remaining leverage that they have with the Iranians" comments Ellie Geranmayeh on the looming snapback deadline for @al-monitor.bsky.social 👇 buff.ly/M5EoWyx

📰 Without progress in negotiations to extend the deadline on restoring sanctions, any UN restrictions could vanish for decades thanks to the difficulty of achieving unanimity in a Security Council, comments Ellie Geranmayeh for @nytimes.com buff.ly/cfkNqqZ

🎧Tune in to this @ecfr.eu podcast episode where Mark Leonard welcomes @hlovatt.bsky.social and Tahani Mustafa to discuss Israel’s military action in Gaza and the West Bank, the humanitarian crisis, and the political dynamics of the different actors 👇 bit.ly/44Z7ZnC

📰 For @projectsyndicate.bsky.social, @tmegrisi.bsky.social explores how Russia's alliance with Libya's Haftar family has created a criminal network which enables Russia to weaponise migration against Europe and sow political discord across the continent 👇 buff.ly/hgd0FO5

The deadline is looming for the E3 to decide whether to reimpose sanctions on Iran. Extending "snapback" remains a difficult means to securing new US-Iran negotiations and a new nuclear deal. But Europeans need to be fully invested in this process. bit.ly/3TLY4wu

✍️ "Hamas leaders envisage decommissioning as a gradual, negotiated process coupled with a genuine political track leading to an end of the broader Israeli-Palestinian conflict", writes @muhammadshehada.bsky.social on prospects for the future of Hamas buff.ly/wQEzyjz