✍️ A brief momentum for a Gulf front collapsed as strained Saudi-Emirati relations gave way to open rivalry, driven by mistrust and suspicions of parallel agendas. @cinziabianco.bsky.social for @ecfr.eu on the Saudi–UAE rupture and the European angle 👇 buff.ly/TUk8Evm

It took me years and dozens of interviews to write this book with the goal to unpack what is really at the core of Gulf states’ behavior/thinking anyday. Now it’s yours. OUT TODAY in very affordable format (offer ends in 10 days!) for @manchesterup.bsky.social Info & buy: tinyurl.com/mph2dp6u

The years-long Saudi-Emirati divergence has erupted under the pressure of rapidly shifting geopolitical conditions. Europeans need to remain alert to this constantly changing environment, while being flexible enough to adapt, writes @cinziabianco.bsky.social ecfr.eu/article/from...

Analysis from @cinziabianco.bsky.social on KSA-UAE issues, which refers briefly to AI

Sober analysis from @cinziabianco.bsky.social: the UAE-Saudi rupture has destroyed momentum to develop a “Gulf vision” across the wider region - their strategic alliance has collapsed. From partners to rivals: What the Saudi-UAE rupture means for Europeans : ecfr.eu/article/from...

1/ Read my @ecfrmena.bsky.social analysis of the big Saudi-UAE rupture. Yemen was the spark, as Riyadh really felt the Emiratis were taking them for a ride. But this is much bigger than Yemen. Even bigger than the Red Sea. It is about Israel. 👉 Full piece: ecfr.eu/article/from...

📑 NEW @ecfr.eu commentary by @cinziabianco.bsky.social: Saudi Arabia & UAE are experiencing a fracture in their diplomatic relationship. Europeans need to understand the potential impact on their economic & political interests. Read the piece here 👇 ecfr.eu/article/from...

I am keeping quiet about the events in South Yemen as I am really really not convinced of the dominant mainstream narrative that the UAE turned against Saudi Arabia so brazenly.

Speaking to both Saudi and Emirati friends, striking how they said the same thing: “This is a divorce.” With Iran weakened and after the Israeli strike on Doha there was an opportunity for a Gulf vision for the MENA region. This is now gone. Once again, competition prevailed.

Of course Venezuela being fully under US Influence has implications for oil monarchies of the Gulf! Trump will no longer need Saudi cooperation to control oil prices Riyadh - and others - will have to find other ways to make themselves indispensable

Pero la operación tiene otros efectos para #OrientePróximo. Con el #petróleo venezolano bajo su férula, #Trump ya no necesitará la ayuda de #ArabiaSaudí para controlar el precio del crudo, tal como ha señalado @cinziabianco.bsky.social /y 4

We have been hearing this for decades: can the Middle East steal Europe’s model of economic integration to achieve peace? Join this MENA2050 crucial conversation on Friday! Register here and see you soon: us02web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...

Iran is literally running out of water - a major emergency. My @ecfrmena.bsky.social paper says how European actors can actively and operationally support effective environmental cooperation between Iran and Gulf Arab states — linking climate adaptation with regional stability: tinyurl.com/3z7v5sey

📰 For Formiche, @cinziabianco.bsky.social comments that Italian PM Melon's invitation to the GCC Summit should be read a strategic gesture from the Gulf aimed at encouraging more Italian involvement in the region 👇 formiche.net/2025/12/il-g...

✍️ The EU’s Artificial Intelligence Act could offer a useful framework for Europeans and Gulf partners to work together on AI development, write @cinziabianco.bsky.social & Herman Quarles for @ecfrpower.bsky.social buff.ly/fZmFYEq

✍️ The EU’s Artificial Intelligence Act could offer a useful framework for Europeans and Gulf partners to work together, argue @cinziabianco.bsky.social & Herman Quarles for @ECFRPower ecfr.eu/article/trum...

The EU’s Artificial Intelligence Act could offer a useful framework for Europeans and Gulf partners to work together, write @cinziabianco.bsky.social and Herman Quarles @ecfrmena.bsky.social @ecfrpower.bsky.social https://bit.ly/3MdxkEk

💻 Il regolamento UE sull’IA può diventare un ponte tra Europa e partner del Golfo, aprendo nuove opportunità di collaborazione ✍️ @cinziabianco.bsky.social e Herman Quarles x @ecfrmena.bsky.social @ecfrpower.bsky.social

[Commentary] #AI - #Trump’s AI thaw: How #Europe and the #Gulf can protect against #American and #Chinese tech pressure, by @cinziabianco.bsky.social & Herman Quarles van Ufford | @ecfr.eu www.pubaffairsbruxelles.eu/opinion-anal...

🌎 I recenti cambiamenti nella politica USA hanno riallineato Washington e gli Stati del Golfo sull’IA. Una finestra strategica si apre ora per l’Europa: saprà coglierla? ✍️ @cinziabianco.bsky.social e Herman Quarles X @ecfrmena.bsky.social @ecfrpower.bsky.social

I have joined forces with our AI expert to see how Europeans can play the AI game in the Gulf - seize opportunities and minimize risks. AI is at the top of everyone’s agenda (as transpired from MbS visit to DC) and it is a very geopolitical as well as technological play! ecfr.eu/article/trum...

The EU’s Artificial Intelligence Act could offer a useful framework for Europeans and Gulf partners to work together, write @cinziabianco.bsky.social and Herman Quarles @ecfrmena.bsky.social @ecfrpower.bsky.social https://bit.ly/3MdxkEk

🇸🇦 “L’attacco israeliano a Doha ha scompigliato la situazione, accelerando le trattative tra USA e Arabia Saudita su nucleare e IA" Ne ha parlato @cinziabianco.bsky.social, Visiting Fellow di @ecfrmena.bsky.social, a @sole24ore.bsky.social 🎧 Se te lo sei perso:

Se l’UE vuole continuare a invocare il diritto internazionale in Ucraina, Gaza o altrove, non può chiudere gli occhi sulle atrocità in Sudan. ✍️ @willbrownecfr.bsky.social @cinziabianco.bsky.social x @ecfrafrica.bsky.social Leggi l'analisi completa ⬇️

📰 @cinziabianco.bsky.social speaks to La Repubblica about the role Saudi Arabia can play on the global stage in a post-oil era 👇 www.repubblica.it/esteri/2025/...

🧵 Ahead of MbS White House visit, @ecfr.eu's Ellie Geranmayeh, @camillelons.bsky.social & @cinziabianco.bsky.social unpack how 12-day war, backfiring of Iran's nuclear threshold status & Israel's Doha strikes impact Saudi nuclear calculus for @warontherocks.bsky.social

If Europe wants to maintain credibility when invoking international law in Ukraine, Gaza, or elsewhere, it cannot ignore the atrocities happening in Sudan, writes @willbrownecfr.bsky.social and @cinziabianco.bsky.social @ecfrafrica.bsky.social https://bit.ly/47DGv8r

If Europe wants to maintain credibility when invoking international law in Ukraine, Gaza, or elsewhere, it cannot ignore the atrocities happening in Sudan, write @willbrownecfr.bsky.social and @cinziabianco.bsky.social @ecfrafrica.bsky.social https://bit.ly/47DGv8r

‼️El-Fasher in North Darfur is now the epicentre of the world’s greatest humanitarian catastrophe. #Europe’s options are limited, but there are still ways to hold the responsible accountable, argue @willbrownecfr.bsky.social and @cinziabianco.bsky.social. 👇📑 @ecfrmena.bsky.social

Saudi Arabia watching elections in Iraq and eager to work with Iraqi and Kurdish political actors to strengthen ability to absorb external shocks from Iran, Israel, US. Read my short take for MEPSForum. Looking forward to continuing conversation in Iraq next week: www.mepsforum.org/post/riyadh-...

If Europe wants to maintain credibility when invoking international law in Ukraine, Gaza, or elsewhere, it cannot ignore the atrocities happening in Sudan, write @willbrownecfr.bsky.social and @cinziabianco.bsky.social @ecfrasia.bsky.social https://bit.ly/47DGv8r

If Europe wants to maintain credibility when invoking international law in Ukraine, Gaza, or elsewhere, it cannot ignore the atrocities happening in Sudan, write @willbrownecfr.bsky.social and @cinziabianco.bsky.social @ecfrafrica.bsky.social https://bit.ly/47DGv8r

Se l’UE vuole continuare a invocare il diritto internazionale in Ucraina, Gaza o altrove, non può chiudere gli occhi sulle atrocità in Sudan. ✍️ @willbrownecfr.bsky.social @cinziabianco.bsky.social x @ecfrafrica.bsky.social Leggi l'analisi completa ⬇️

✍️ If Europe wants credibility when invoking international law in Ukraine, Gaza or elsewhere, it cannot ignore the atrocities happening in Sudan. Though the options are limited, there are ways to hold the responsible accountable @cinziabianco.bsky.social @willbrownecfr.bsky.social buff.ly/B7uIpW9

If Europe wants to maintain credibility when invoking international law in Ukraine, Gaza, or elsewhere, it cannot ignore the atrocities happening in Sudan, write @willbrownecfr.bsky.social @cinziabianco.bsky.social @ecfrafrica.bsky.social https://bit.ly/47DGv8r

Finally, and just published tonight: a European perspective on the humanitarian nightmare in Sudan. Europe can't do much. But @willbrownecfr.bsky.social and @cinziabianco.bsky.social make the case for it doing what it can: ecfr.eu/article/suda...

📰 The aftermath of Israel's attack on Doha could see a joint security alliance emerge in a "6+2 format", consisting of the six GCC states, Turkey, & Egypt, comments @cinziabianco.bsky.social for Deutsche Welle👇 buff.ly/Lchp3z2

'[...] it is highly unlikely that the #Gulf states will turn away from the #US, but their leaders will almost certainly resume the strategic hedging that characterised the end of Biden’s presidency.' @cinziabianco.bsky.social for @ecfr.eu ecfr.eu/article/out-...

#UNGA80 🧵 1/ Today, Mahmoud Abbas virtually joins #UNGA80. On Sunday, Australia, Britain, Canada and Portugal recognized a Palestinian state. What can we expect from Germany? 🔗https://www.dw.com/en/germany-uk-france-say-gaza-humanitarian-crisis-must-end/live-73407430

✍️ Israel's strike on Doha is a sobering recalibration for Gulf rulers. If they once viewed US influence over Israel as stabilising, they now face the possibility that Netanyahu pursues a unilateral vision free from US constraints, writes @cinziabianco.bsky.social 👇 buff.ly/03Iba63

Israel’s initial response to Oct 7 helped Gulf states by weakening Iran but it is now entrenching conflict, fragmenting Arab states & pulling Gulf states towards escalation, all of which also threatens Euro interests. @cinziabianco.bsky.social on post-Doha dynamics ecfr.eu/article/out-...

The Israeli attacks on Doha, and America’s support of them, has caused Gulf leaders to majorly rethink their security, writes @cinziabianco.bsky.social @ecfrmena.bsky.social https://bit.ly/4puZHx8

✍️ NEW @ecfr.eu commentary by @cinziabianco.bsky.social: The Israeli attacks on Doha, and America’s support of them, has caused #Gulf leaders to majorly rethink their security. This could lead to a new Gulf-led security format 👇 buff.ly/03Iba63

The Israeli strike in Doha has forced a rethink of Gulf security and pushed leaders to deploy a new vision in response. What is this vision? How should we look at the whole picture? My analysis for @ecfrmena.bsky.social ecfr.eu/article/out-...

Se prima i leader del Golfo consideravano l'influenza 🇺🇸 su Israele come un fattore di stabilità, ora devono affrontare la possibilità che Netanyahu persegua una visione unilaterale libera dai vincoli americani. ✍️ @cinziabianco.bsky.social x @ecfrmena.bsky.social

This is a sobering recalibration for Gulf rulers. If they once viewed US influence over Israel as stabilising, they now face the possibility that Netanyahu pursues a unilateral vision free from American constraints, writes @cinziabianco.bsky.social @ecfrmena.bsky.social https://bit.ly/4puZHx8

📰 @cinziabianco.bsky.social speaks to La Repubblica about Israel's strike on Qatar and its wider regional ramifications 👇 buff.ly/00rix70

UAE leadership in Doha. This was not arranged yesterday. Like I said when MbZ visited MbS goal is to coordinate an Arab front vs Iranian weakness and Israeli recklessness, and it looks like the Emiratis took the lead in shaping a tripartite leadership (Saudi, UAE, Qatar) for such front.

📰 “The GCC response may be a realisation that US security guarantees are no longer as valuable as they have been thought to be for so long.” comments @cinziabianco.bsky.social on yesterday's Israeli strikes on Qatar for @aljazeera.com 👇 buff.ly/A35REvw

We are no longer in a situation of red lines. Israel will keep on attacking whatever they deem appropriate, and it will be stopped, or not. The time frame within which this all plays out will be decades, I suspect.