Today, the Nationa Hurricane Center issued an upgraded max wind for Hurricane Melissa: 190MPH!!! Here’s a breakdown of some of the findings in their Tropical Cyclone Report. (I condensed as much as I could to just under 6 minutes)

I’m ready for later sunsets! Spring is just around the corner in Memphis.

This sleet has cemented into glaciers on most roads since we haven’t seen temps much above freezing but three days in the last week. Soon we’ll melt down, but it may take til midweek!

CW: Shooting, murder. This is an execution in the street by ICE.

I am calling for a complete and total boycott of the Mercator projection in all news stories about Greenland until every member of the American public has seen this

This is one of my favorite ways to visualize #SeaLevelRise... With another year of verified water levels at Key West behind us now (as of today), here's the updated version of this chart I've been making for the past decade or so. 🧪🌊 [1/3]

It's called climate change denial for a reason. “The National Science Foundation will be breaking up the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder, Colorado," Russ Vought...said in a statement..."This facility is one of the largest sources of climate alarmism in the country."

As James says, this isn't even about climate. It's about all the tools, platforms, models, datasets we use to study and forecast weather and understand how it impacts people, too.

Given tonight’s news the admin wants to disband NCAR, resharing my post from earlier today about the successful reduction of flooding on the Skagit R in WA state. NCAR does foundational R&D that enables my community to do the kinds of important work I talk about here. tinyurl.com/bdebat4m

Before the 1990s, plane crashes caused by microbursts used to kill planeloads of people fairly regularly. Dr. Ted Fujita and NCAR scientists figured out how to detect microbursts and warn pilots about them. Since then? Zero airliner crashes from microbursts.

I'm not sure most folks are aware of the immense magnitude of loss this would entail for the global weather and climate community, and beyond. NCAR has played a greater cumulative role in advancing weather prediction and atmospheric modeling than perhaps any other single entity in the world.

NCAR is crucial to cutting-edge meteorology and improvements in weather forecasting. As others have noted, it's far, far bigger than a "climate" research lab. This is self-sabotage by a wildly ignorant and malicious administration cutting off their nose to spite their face. Find a better scapegoat.

Unbelievable. This would be a terrible blow to American science, writ large. It would decimate not only climate research, but also the kind of weather, wildfire, and disaster research that has underpinned half a century of progress in prediction, early warning, and increased resilience.

Oh no... Seeing the direct tweet is even more frightening. Every day is a new crisis, and the repercussions are unimaginable.

NCAR is quite literally our global mothership. Everyone who works in climate and weather has passed through its doors and benefited from its incredible resources. Dismantling NCAR is like taking a sledgehammer to the keystone holding up our scientific understanding of the planet. Unbelievable.

These people are nuts. NCAR developed the GPS dropsonde, which revolutionized the understanding of TC structure, improved forecasts, and validated remote sensing platforms, as documented in over 400 peer-reviewed publications in the last 25 years. And that’s just one of NCAR’s countless advances.

It will take many years to recover from the damage to essential research structures being frivolously eliminated. Climate Science is important. It's not just a far-off issue, your insurance is affected by these data, your energy bill is affected by these data, even your future medical bills!!!

Some models are pointing towards a big warm-up for Memphis the days around Christmas! While it's still at the long-range of the models, prone to large error, I wanted to see how likely it was for us to see highs 70+ the week of Christmas. This is the 30-yr Dec 25 centered average probability.

Check out our new paper about phreatic eruptions at Whakaari volcano in New Zealand! 🌋🇳🇿

Space station flying in front of the moon. Crozet VA. Thanksgiving evening 8:15 pm

🧪 If this observation holds up, I think it’s the first direct signal we’ve detected of a dark matter particle (rather than indirectly inferring their existence from gravitational effects. Exciting! I wonder if it’s consistent with what we (haven’t) seen at the LHC… phys.org/news/2025-11-y…

Tonight I dove into the diverging solutions for early next week. Some models bring a cold plunge fast, others delay it to late week and are warmer. We are certain though that Thanksgiving will remain clear and chilly in the Mid-South, so that's good news!

As a follow-up to yesterday's post about next week's uncertainty: The Euro Ensemble's weekly temp anomaly is cutting the mid-south down the middle for above/below average temps. The ensembles are so spread it's basically outputting climatology for us.

BREAKING: This is huge news, the EU's equivalent of the 🇺🇸Supreme Court's 2015 Obergefell v. Hodges ruling. 🇪🇺Court of Justice just ruled all 🇪🇺countries must recognise same-sex marriages granted in other member states. This effectively legalises gay marriage across 🇪🇺

History’s “most successful international agreement to date”, the Montreal Protocol, continues to pave the way for complete ozone hole recovery within our lifetimes

All latitude bands were warmer than average over the last 6 months. This was particularly visible across the Arctic and Antarctic regions. 🔥 Plot shows zonal-mean temperature anomalies, where latitude = y-axis (not scaled by distance). GISTEMPv4 data using their 1951-1980 baseline.

Today's Excel adventure: radar graphs! Each thin line shows a single year 1991-2020, with the oval showing the NWS climatological average, and 2025 plotted darkest on top of them all.

I've been nominated for an Emmy Award!!! Along with Trevor Birchett and Mikayla Morris, we were nominated for our work on our one-month-later special of the early April 2025 tornado outbreak across the Mid-South. This event was career-defining for me, and I'm proud of the work we did that week.

The National Hurricane Center has put together a 2025 Verification Preview. Covers a prelim view on seasonal track, intensity, & genesis 🌀forecasts. Also touching on rapid intensification forecasts & Melissa which was the most impactful storm of the year. URL: www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_Veri...

Long-range forecasting is notoriously difficult, but this setup is just horrendous. The spread on temperatures next week in the ensembles is over 30 degrees for some days!!

Nice one today! #NASA's #Mars #Perseverance rover Sol 1693 Nov. 24, 2025: Left Navigation Camera mars.nasa.gov/mars2020/mul... NASA/JPL-Caltech/j. Roger

Wednesday will be interesting as a cold air mass pushes into the Mid-South. The maximum temperature for the day will be set at midnight, with the afternoon high not cresting higher. The morning low will also not be the minimum for the day, as the colder air fully arrives with mid 30s by 11:59pm.

The eruption after thousand of years of #HayliGubbi #volcano in #Ethiopia. According to analyses, part of the eruptive column from the eruption may have reached an altitude between 18 and 20 km. The #Copernicus #Sentinel5p image on Nov. 23 shows the big plume moving eastward.

I've heard of fog thick as pea soup, but never fog so thick it reflects what's behind you!

"Climate shock." New study shows that rising property insurance premiums caused by growing weather extremes are cascading into the real estate market. Homes in the ZIP codes most exposed to hurricanes and wildfires would sell for an average of $43,900 less than they would otherwise.

This is part of our universe. An area of sky about the size of a grain of sand held at arm's length. The spiked features are stars in the Milky Way. EVERYTHING ELSE IS A GALAXY.

Take a look at this... Remarkable "warmth" last month across both polar regions when visualizing temperature departures by latitude. The x-axis is quite stretched out here compared to my usual monthly update of this graphic. GISTEMPv4 using their 1951-1980 baseline (data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/).

In ~40 minutes, I'll be chatting with @jakecarstens.bsky.social and @drkimwood.bsky.social about this year's hurricane season! It's a bit like a forum, so we'll have some Q&A for any specific questions that don't get brought up. discord.gg/9aS7WVJ8qH

I've been playing Minecraft and making the occasional YouTube vid for a few years now and just published my latest episode! I built a version of the Cape Hatteras lighthouse in this episode and I'm quite proud of how it turned out! If you like video game vids, I hope you like this one!

“The diminished ability to study, monitor, forecast, warn for, and recover from more intense hurricanes and other hazards like flooding, heat waves and wildfires was—and continues to be—a source of unease.” www.nbcmiami.com/weather/hurr...

⚒️🧪 Fiery eruption of Otman-Bozdagh mud volcano in Azerbaijan! The Otman-Bozdagh mud volcano erupted at ~8:27am local time today (11/10/25). Three eruption phases of between 4-12 minutes were recorded over an ~40 minute period. Video source: @_yagha_

Nights like this are the best. All the trouble of the world is momentarily set aside while we're collectively marveling at the pretty lights and nature together. This is how it's supposed to be. Life, I mean. Shared joy and all. 🙂

Me liking every post I see about the Northern Lights rn

My feed right now

Y'all this is the best. I'm in rural Oklahoma and there's people stopped on a lot of the exit ramps along the highway watching the aurora. Many have likely never seen it before. One old southern dude stopped beside me asking if I see the "big orange lights" too. We're all just little curious humans.

It looks like the CME's from the two previous X-class flares Sunday and Monday combined into one wave RIGHT on top of us! The CME from today's X5.1 looks to miss us tomorrow slightly ahead of our orbit. In short, WE LUCKED OUT SO GOOD!!!!!

Seeing some beautiful photos of aurorae tonight, so here's a reminder that other planets get them, too! This is Saturn, with aurorae visible at both poles in this UV image from Hubble's Space Telescope Imaging Spectrograph, taken in October 1997 when the planet was 1.3 billion km away.

Aurora color guide! What creates the different shades? Different atoms getting "excited" at different altitudes The bright reds are a sign of a particularly intense event

INCREDIBLE That we got such a brilliant show in Memphis, TN tonight! Even through city lights and looking directly at lights, our East Memphis camera caught some brilliant red waves between 8-10pm tonight!

GULF COAST AURORA?!?!?!