Max Kagan
@maxkagan.bsky.social
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Postdoc at Columbia Business School studying partisan sorting at work.
https://www.maxkagan.com/
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Max Kagan
Seo-young Silvia Kim
9 days ago
Super happy to see this paper finally formatted. While this paper might seem about political fundraising, it's really about the theory of *parties*: is it a broader network (UCLA school, i.e., Bawn et al. 2012) or elite/institutions-driven (re: Aldrich)?
doi.org/10.1086/735435
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Keep Winning with WinRed? Online Fundraising Platform as the Party’s Public Good | The Journal of Politics: Vol 88, No 2
What determines the relative importance of extended party networks versus party leaders in parties’ campaign strategies? We synthesize theories of party organizations by highlighting the interplay bet...
https://doi.org/10.1086/735435
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Max Kagan
Yiqing Xu
13 days ago
1/🧵 A major update to our paper: "Scaling Reproducibility" w/ Leo Yang [Cross-posted from X] We move beyond reanalyzing a single design to (almost) full-paper replication! Paper:
bit.ly/repro-ai
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Max Kagan
Brian Schaffner
15 days ago
in conjunction with this report, we are also today releasing the data for the 2025 CES common content. includes interviews with 17,000 American adults conducted in late 2025. dig in!
doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
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Max Kagan
Vincent Pons
about 1 month ago
What explains the rise in geographic partisan segregation in the U.S.? While most studies focus on residential mobility, generational change and Democrats leaving their party explain a much larger share of that trend. See our
@voxeu.org
column 👇👇 and our paper:
www.vincentpons.org/partisan-seg...
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Just now noticing a very interesting write-up by
@ryanburge.bsky.social
which makes use of our
#VRscores
data from the Politics at Work project with Justin Frake and
@reubenhurst.bsky.social
. Tremendously exciting to see how people are making use of the data to uncover new insights!
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The Most Republican Jobs in America? Start with the Church.
An incredibly new databases opens up all kinds of possibilities for analysis.
https://www.graphsaboutreligion.com/p/the-most-republican-jobs-in-america
about 1 month ago
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Henry Farrell
about 1 month ago
8. But insisting in the face of the evidence that LLMs are useless and that everyone who says otherwise is a dead-eyed cultist - well, it _absolutely_ does provide evidence of who is clinging to a cult's organizing prophecies after the eschaton was supposed to happen but didn't, and who is not.
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Meanwhile, Wiley journals do not allow peer reviewers to use AI to evaluate manuscripts.
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about 2 months ago
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Max Kagan
Brendan Nyhan
7 months ago
Just made a manuscript/PAP feedback GPT built from 150+ previous peer reviews - identifies problems and provides actionable feedback on the points that I raise most frequently
chatgpt.com/g/g-68af4d19...
Anyone can use - try it out! (Editors/authors: feel free to cut me out of the loop 😉.)
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ChatGPT - Manuscript review assistant
A conversational AI system that listens, learns, and challenges
https://chatgpt.com/g/g-68af4d1939d08191ac5d4a17f81f208d-manuscript-review-assistant
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Max Kagan
Ryan Briggs
about 2 months ago
When I pitch academics on my paper on nulls one common and understandable reaction is "but they're probably noisy and thus uninformative nulls." This is true, but it misses the key realization that WE PUBLISH THE RESULT WHEN THE NOISY TEST IS P<0.05.
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Vincent Arel-Bundock
about 2 months ago
Also see Jon's comment, which expresses my feelings about this really well. If you look at the paper and think about what *kinds* of tasks RAs would be asked to do for this, you'll see there are much better uses of their time (for both learning and productivity objectives).
bsky.app/profile/jonm...
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Max Kagan
Alexander Wuttke
about 2 months ago
There are solutions to the problem of null results and we know them. One of them is the widespread introduction of Registered Reports across journals. It is not that we lack solutions but that we lack the will to change things (and accept a potential decline in the IF that we all love so much)
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Max Kagan
Ryan Briggs
about 2 months ago
I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.
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Max Kagan
Vincent Arel-Bundock
about 2 months ago
Check out the new paper! And please please please send us both gut reactions and harsh criticism.
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Max Kagan
Hans Hassell
about 2 months ago
This short thread is worth a read, but this stands out to me. I've found that null results often elicit a "yes, but what about..." response. Yes, we don't find any effect of x on y, but obviously (despite previous assertions by others) the real effect of x is on z.
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@causalinf.bsky.social
nails the experience of using Claude Code and how it is so different from what has come before. People want to know "how do I use the AI" and the answer is simple: "just talk to it!"
about 2 months ago
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On the "does ideological moderation help candidates win debate?": - candidates' ideology reflect strategic choices (endogeniety) - perceptions of candidate ideology are related to candidate quality (endogeneity) - favorable race dynamics attract higher-quality candidates (endogeneity) 🤔🤔🤔
2 months ago
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Max Kagan
Florian Hollenbach
2 months ago
🧵 New version of our paper (
@bcegerod.bsky.social
) is finally online: "How Many is Enough? Sample Size in Staggered Difference-in-Differences Designs" We show that even well-identified DiD studies are often underpowered; sample sizes needed are surprisingly large Paper:
osf.io/preprints/os...
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Max Kagan
Grant McDermott
2 months ago
Things are grim. But in more frivolous news...
@jamesbrandecon.bsky.social
and I have been chipping away at `dbreg`, a 📦 for running big regression models on database backends. For the right kinds of problems, the speed-ups are near magical. Website:
grantmcdermott.com/dbreg/
#rstats
[1/2]
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dbreg
https://grantmcdermott.com/dbreg/
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Max Kagan
Alex Coppock
2 months ago
🎺 Call for proposals 🎺 1️⃣ replicate an existing experiment 2️⃣ run a novel experiment on
repdata.com
3️⃣ coauthor with Mary McGrath and me to meta-analyze the replications and existing studies 4️⃣ publish your study details:
alexandercoppock.com/replication_...
applications open Feb 1 please repost!
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SV needs to pick up Polanyi (more of a slog than James C. Scott, but worth it). AI will be disruptive but the idea that it will inescapably accelerate inequality only follows if you assume societal institutions are not themselves likely to be disrupted.
www.wsj.com/tech/ai/why-...
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Why the Tech World Thinks the American Dream Is Dying
Silicon Valley fears this is the last chance to amass generational wealth before AI makes money worthless.
https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/why-the-tech-world-thinks-the-american-dream-is-dying-daf793dc?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=AWEtsqcD30PXrWp4FU-tmJEW9f9HC78n2IK9ygXpUT44Ee3VJbGtsAWl1VzDYvMa7hA%3D&gaa_ts=696ec708&gaa_sig=Z3ckUMqPOPydrJWS98U5J_xOPQB0Ej_AzDJA2fkKVJ2K5P3oKvtwIen2TDY0EXItA9AE7Y7zvBZpIkp-uIGEVw%3D%3D
3 months ago
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Max Kagan
John Holbein
3 months ago
“These findings provide clear evidence that data collected on MTurk simply cannot be trusted.”
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Bookmarking this for the next time I someone cites Ansolobehere et al. 2003 to claim that FEC donation records reflect ideological consumption and are thus a good measure of ideology for corporate elites
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
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Hundreds of Big Post-Election Donors Have Benefited From Trump’s Return to Office
Well into his second term, the president and his allies have continued aggressively raising money. Many donors have interests before his administration, The Times found.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/12/22/us/politics/trump-donors-fundraising-benefits.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share
4 months ago
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Max Kagan
Brendan Nyhan
5 months ago
Measuring the Ideology of Political Parties Worldwide
vrollet.github.io/files/Ideolo...
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🎉 Tremendously excited to announce the release of VRscores—an open-source dataset for researchers and journalists interested in studying the political lean of different employers.
5 months ago
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Max Kagan
Matt Grossmann
6 months ago
Companies are hiring many more internal policy specialists than lobbyists; it is a much larger investment in politics and internal expertise
www.andrewbenjaminhall.com/HallSun25.pdf
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Max Kagan
Ian Hussey
7 months ago
Proposal for how to fix family wise error rates. For every uncorrected p value you must add an extra letter to the claim. “Eating chocolate maaaaaaaaay be associated with lower rates of stroke”
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New York City is the Riyadh of America
www.nytimes.com/2025/09/05/n...
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Talks Between Adams and Trump Adviser Center on Saudi Ambassadorship
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/05/nyregion/eric-adams-saudi-arabia-ambassador.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
7 months ago
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Excellent reference for those, like me, who can always benefit from a refresher on statistical power
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7 months ago
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Max Kagan
Rachel Porter
9 months ago
📢 Thrilled to share our new article introducing CampaignView—a comprehensive open-source dataset of congressional candidate campaign bios and policy platforms (2018–2022). Paper + data here:
campaignview.org
&
doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
🧵1/4
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Wild times for those of us who study corporate sociopolitical activism
8 months ago
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Constitutional questions aside, it isn’t clear to me what the net partisan electoral effect would be? CA and NY would presumably lose representatives (and thus electors), but so would FL and TX?
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9 months ago
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Much of my recent research has been thinking critically about whether it is always reasonable to use public campaign finance records as a good way to understand corporate executives' political ideology. So it is pretty striking to see someone "saying the quiet part out loud!"
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10 months ago
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Max Kagan
Jennifer N. Victor
10 months ago
In the political literature this is known as donating for access. It’s very common. Campaign donations should be interpreted as strategic manifestations of political goals, not expressions of true preference.
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Max Kagan
Zhao Li
10 months ago
Going to
#AOM2025
and working on
#nonmarket
strategy or know someone who is? Join our PDW on Research Frontiers in Nonmarket Strategy — now in its 8th year! 🗓️ Sat, July 26 | 11:00AM–1:30PM 📍 Bella Center, Auditorium 12 📝 Pre-register by ***July 1***:
umdsurvey.umd.edu/jfe/form/SV_...
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Qualtrics Survey | Qualtrics Experience Management
The most powerful, simple and trusted way to gather experience data. Start your journey to experience management and try a free account today.
https://umdsurvey.umd.edu/jfe/form/SV_243o7c6F3CbGyh0
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Max Kagan
APSA
10 months ago
Measuring and Modeling Neighborhoods Measuring and Modeling Neighborhoods By Cory McCartan, New York University, Jacob R. Brown, Boston University and Kosuke Imai, Harvard University Granular geographic data present new opportunities to understand how neighborhoods are formed, and how they…
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Measuring and Modeling Neighborhoods
Measuring and Modeling Neighborhoods By Cory McCartan, New York University, Jacob R. Brown, Boston University and Kosuke Imai, Harvard University Granular geographic data present new opportunities to understand how neighborhoods are formed, and how they influence politics. At the same time, the inherent subjectivity of neighborhoods creates methodological challenges in measuring and modeling them. We develop an open-source survey instrument that allows respondents to draw their neighborhoods on a map.
https://politicalsciencenow.com/measuring-and-modeling-neighborhoods/
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Max Kagan
Stefan Müller
10 months ago
📄
@fgilardi.bsky.social
created this template for writing abstracts several years ago, and I’ve tried to follow Fabrizio‘s suggestions ever since. PDF:
fabriziogilardi.org/resources/pa...
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Max Kagan
G Elliott Morris
10 months ago
Americans who report paying “a lot of attention” to news (everyone on this platform) are (a) in the minority of voters and (b) very, very prone to assuming the other side of the aisle is all extremists. This is counterproductive to broader party efforts at persuasion. I have sources: 🧵
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Not all Trump voters "voted for this"
Trump’s policy agenda is very unpopular, including with many of his supporters. To win the next election, Democrats need to welcome regretful Trump voters back onto their side
https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/many-trump-supporters-did-not-vote
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Max Kagan
G Elliott Morris
10 months ago
Most people consume less than 1 hour of news per day (Pew). The result of this is that they are simply not or are ill/mis-informed, and do not have hard preferences on policy or parties. About 15-20% of voters can correctly identify positions as belonging to the left or right (Kinder and Kalmoe, 17)
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Some of us have been saying this for years.
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11 months ago
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Max Kagan
Eunji Kim
about 1 year ago
After years of doubt, drafts, and disbelief, my first—and likely last—book is finally out. It’s about how entertainment shapes American politics. If you preorder (
a.co/d/ctGUWkZ
), I’d love to send a small token of thanks:
forms.gle/1YrkYX2t2nPC...
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Max Kagan
John Holbein
about 1 year ago
Wow! Three scholars at Columbia, Michigan, & Maryland just introduced a measure of the partisan leanings of employers in the U.S. The data is constructed by linking voter registrations to online worker profiles. VRscores capture the political affiliations of 21.8M workers across 2.6M employers.
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Max Kagan
Joe Noonan
about 1 year ago
He was trying to summarize the recent DiD literature.
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Max Kagan
Sean Westwood
about 1 year ago
I am looking for a post-bac (Dartmouth language for a pre-doc) researcher to join our team studying elections and democracy. If you (or someone you know) have expertise in data science or political science, please apply or share this opportunity!
polarizationresearchlab.org/hiring/
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Hiring
Visit the post for more.
https://polarizationresearchlab.org/hiring/
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1/ Excited to share our new paper on measuring workforce politics with
@reubenhurst.bsky.social
and Justin Frake, where we measure the partisan composition (Democrats and Republicans) for over 3.5 million companies and nearly 28 million workers.
about 1 year ago
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Max Kagan
Alisa Liu
about 1 year ago
We created SuperBPE🚀, a *superword* tokenizer that includes tokens spanning multiple words. When pretraining at 8B scale, SuperBPE models consistently outperform the BPE baseline on 30 downstream tasks (+8% MMLU), while also being 27% more efficient at inference time.🧵
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Things are definitely going great over here, why do you ask?
about 1 year ago
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Max Kagan
Alexander Lee
about 1 year ago
A lot has been written on the causes of polarization, but Avidit Acharya, Theo Serlin and I wanted to ask a different question: How Polarization *Ends* Paper link and 🧵
tinyurl.com/jp2pk4rt
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Max Kagan
Will Jennings📉🗳️
about 1 year ago
Hurray!
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