Here is a godawful joke in chart form to ruin your Christmas season 🤪🎄

Since DnD is in the news😱 I hosted 6 7 year olds (haha) for their first team DnD adventure where they fought slimes, chased a living birthday cake, and beat the big boss. What I will remember is that they got into a team huddle to make the big decision. Also, my daughter rolled a nat 20. Chaos.

Following yesterday’s story about Australia’s success tackling cervical cancer with the HPV vaccine, here’s the latest research on how vaccines can help prevent dementia, heart disease and some cancers.

We are a rich country. We can afford to do better for the poorest amongst us.

Happy Turducken Day folks. www.youtube.com/watch?v=nIrz...

It's very... Congress. Annoyed by a problem, write a change that doesn't actually fix the problem, and is also easily evaded insofar as it does anything at all.

Perfect girl dad energy.

Risk pooling, what is it?

Got a bunch of response to this one, from a lot of folks doing caregiving themselves. Check out the whole thing @heardtell.bsky.social

Update: September jobs report is coming out on Thursday! www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lap... #NumbersDay

Worth a repost for all that has happened and will happen. ordinary-times.com/2021/05/10/p...

Did it help first-time buyers? Mmmh… Nope. The debate is not quite settled, but much points to the mechanism above - in line with economic theory. It likely created a capital transfer to existing owners. Claes Backman has a paper on this btw claesbackman.github.io/Papers/DkHou...

Calling a timeout to "save time" instead of letting Indy rush their field goal personnel out and kick a hurried field goal says everything about this Atlanta Failcans team. I am sick and tired of this culture of bad coaching decisions.

On the GA PSC results, it may have been a strategic blunder to schedule these elections at the same time as municipal elections in GA. Can't wait to see the data

LLMs are useful in limited, specific contexts. Examples like this show the limitations. Unfortunately, the conversation on LLMs from important figures does not convey the fragility and limits of LLMs

$AVB saying only 5,000 apartment units expected to be delivered in the DC metro in 2026, the fewest seen in a long time.

I was the statistical expert hired by voters who sought a change in how the PSC elects its members. A summary here: patch.com/georgia/acro...

Anyone can type "reg x y". The training is so you can type "reg x y, r".

Absolutely the winner of the dog costumes.

@seeshespeak.bsky.social should retract her post and apologize to the author.

Doing a bunch of community outreach & then never executing the project not only wastes time & money, it undermines public trust. Some of the narrative around "the city never listens" is bad faith criticism when someone's own priorities don't win out, but stuff like this absolutely contributes too

Yesterday my Enfield died out coming home. While I was trying to restart it, 3 very helpful National Guardsmen came over and tried to help me bump start it. Edward, you're a champ.

Appreciate Chapman's note about combining projects too. Would love to see more convo about how we can be more efficient that way, like when we put affordable housing atop that fire station. Could we build market housing above other uses too, and use rents to fund those services?

The extent to which the entire edifice of your life is based on the precarious thread of being basically 100% healthy is hard to understand in your 20s, I think.

As Redfin's chief economist I follow both home prices and household budgets, and inflation in groceries is looking more and more concerning. If you lost your job and are trying to save money buy dining in, grocery inflation will make it harder to balance your budget during this tough economic time.

I am shocked -- shocked! -- to learn that housing prices fell the most in metros where inventory of homes increased by a lot. via @harvard-jchs.bsky.social www.jchs.harvard.edu/blog/home-pr...

My guess is for households who don’t own stocks their net worth is flat-to-down over the past year.

It’s ok to put the phone down.

Political violence is bad. It usually begets more political violence. Celebrating political violence is bad. It usually encourages more political violence, against various targets. Campus shootings are bad. They make everyone on campus less safe. It's bad that what I wrote here is controversial.

Firms differ in their tradeoffs among wages, commute, flexibility, amenities. Our new article looks at research on where new mothers vs new fathers end up and how it matters for workers and employers. https://bit.ly/4mONNvK

Notably this comes before Oct which will include us federal employment cuts.

Look at broader measures of unemployment—including people who want a job but aren't in the labor force & people who are working part-time but want a full-time job—and the labor market is in the worst place since the pandemic

“The U.S. is the only advanced economy that’s had declining female labor force participation in the last 20 years, and a lot of that is because of lack of social safety net and caregiving supports,” said @lipstickecon.bsky.social , chief economist at [IWPR] www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...

This is an amazing resource to see what things really cost across the country

“The AI in the study probably prompted doctors to become over-reliant on its recommendations, ‘leading to clinicians becoming less motivated, less focused, and less responsible when making cognitive decisions without AI assistance,’ the scientists said in the paper.”

Not a huge Derek Thompson fan but he's straightforwardly correct here. Financial institutions own a tiny percentage of US homes and generally rent them out rather than keeping them vacant. Preventing BlackRock from buying housing wouldn't do much to help affordability. www.gao.gov/assets/gao-2...

Ooof. This is a regional dealer-financing lender specializing in subprime loans, which is always the canary in the coal mine for issues.

Did the Minnesota housing reform lower housing costs? - Marginal REVOLUTION

Data revisions are a normal, necessary part of trying to measure a $30 trillion economy in real time. They can also be jarring, especially for people who don't obsessively scrutinize every jobs report. So I dug into the how and why of revisions. A few big takeaways: #EconSky

TOKYO, Aug 6 (Reuters) - Japan's real wages fell in June for the sixth consecutive month as inflation continued to outpace pay growth, government data showed on Wednesday, raising concerns about consumption-led recovery in the world's fourth-largest economy.

Remember: "Revised less often" doesn't necessarily mean "more accurate." If anything, such a series is probably *less* accurate, insofar as it isn't updated to reflect more complete data.

BLS *could* wait to report jobs growth until they hit that 95% response rate months later But then we wouldn't have an any estimate of June jobs until August Tradeoff is btw faster vs more accurate estimates 2/ N

Why do the jobs numbers get revised? our markets and policymakers want data NOW but employer data dribbles in over months 1st estimate is based on the 75% of employers who respond promptly Updates occur as more data rolls in: 95% response rate by final revision 1/N www.bls.gov/opub/btn/vol...

Another month (May) of falling national home prices with prices falling in most of the South and West metros:

New state jobs data came out today, and you can really start to see the negative effects of DOGE cuts on DC Fastest growth: S. Carolina (2.7%), Idaho (+2.6%), New Mexico (2.7%), Utah (2.3%), Hawaii (2.3%) Slowest: DC (-0.9%), VI (-0.8%), Maine (-0.2%), Iowa (-0%), MA (-0%)

Nearly 100% of 2018 steel tariffs were passed on to American consumers. Probably similar here