Prophesy Not Punditry
@danlb.bsky.social
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Lawyer, writer, software developer, Quaker
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From The Former Place:
about 1 year ago
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What? You expect a sitting US Senator to know what the law she wants to amend already says? How could she get any self-righteous posturing out of that?
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about 24 hours ago
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Molly Knight
1 day ago
These people are becoming massively rich off destroying society with algorithms that isolate and radicalize everyone against each other. Literally everyone is worse off because of it it is only getting worse and they do not care because they all have bunkers.
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David Roberts
2 days ago
Anyway China is absolutely kicking our ass. It has made a clear-eyed strategic decision to pursue a clean economy & is investing accordingly. We're flailing around like drunken dipshits, suppressing our domestic renewables, shoveling subsidies at coal, & killing random Venezuelan fishermen.
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David Roberts
2 days ago
"Official documents and expert conversations reference the growing belief that the fossil fuel economy has run its course, and that it can and should be replaced by a new, better system centred on manufactured goods that generate and run on renewable electricity." Core truth of the 21st century.
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Greg Sargent
3 days ago
Pete Hegseth responded to all this with the smirking, adolescent sadism of a schoolyard bully pulling the legs off of a spider. Now juxtapose this with the horror experienced by a source who saw the imagery of the men being blown apart in the water:
newrepublic.com/article/2037...
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David Corn
4 days ago
You donât get to pick. Thatâs the whole damn point of the rule of law.
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NPR
4 days ago
There's no one way to be absolutely sure about a video's authenticity, but experts say there are some simple clues that can help.
n.pr/3MdlYQQ
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AI video slop is everywhere, take our quiz to try and spot it
There's no one way to be absolutely sure about a video's authenticity, but experts say there are some simple clues that can help.
https://n.pr/3MdlYQQ
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Helen Kennedy
5 days ago
Probably time to loudly repeat that members of the military must not follow illegal orders. The US is not at war with Venezuela and has no right to threaten aircraft in its airspace, let alone shoot anything down.
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This is why those who ordered and executed the second boat strike committed murder.
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5 days ago
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shauna
6 days ago
the oval office now looks like a clearance table at hobby lobby
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Rebecca Solnit
6 days ago
I spent a lot of my life around speculative "what's better than the rule of law" but now we're in actual "what's worse than the rule of law."
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mtsw
6 days ago
The biggest technological revolution of our lifetime is underway and it's not AI:
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đ˝LOLGOPđ˝
7 days ago
Send the National Guard home. Stop bombing civilians. Quit breaking up families in America while giving sweetheart deals to sex traffickers and Apartheid deadenders. Stop ripping us off and selling out our allies just so you and your kids can get richer. For a start.
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Kevin M. Kruse
7 days ago
Straight-up sociopath. Asked about a Guard member whoâs dead because of his bullshit and it takes him 30 seconds to make it all about how great he is.
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Daniel Drezner
8 days ago
This is like demanding that someone jump out of a plane before theyâre given a parachute.
www.politico.com/news/2025/11...
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US demands peace deal before security guarantees for Ukraine
Secretary of State Marco Rubio told European allies that President Donald Trump will negotiate long-term assurances for Ukraineâs safety.
https://www.politico.com/news/2025/11/26/us-demands-peace-deal-before-security-guarantees-for-ukraine-00670210
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Anne Applebaum
8 days ago
The war will end when Russia stops fighting. Therefore, pressure has to be put on Russia, so that they stop believing that they will win. Why is that so hard to understand?
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emptywheel
8 days ago
I really wish journalists would stop using the word "retribution" to describe Trump's efforts to criminalize opposition to him, as it treats his claim that his adversaries did something wrong in the first place.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/25/u...
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Chris Geidner
10 days ago
Note also that Comey's lawyers have argued that DOJ is wrong as to 18 U.S.C. 3288's applicability here. From their reply:
storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
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emptywheel
10 days ago
The Valley of Death: Why $100,000 Is the New Poor
www.yesigiveafig.com/p/part-1-my-...
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Part 1: My Life Is a Lie
How a Broken Benchmark Quietly Broke America
https://www.yesigiveafig.com/p/part-1-my-life-is-a-lie?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=1272022&post_id=179492574&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=false&r=5205r&triedRedirect=true&utm_medium=email
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Clara Jeffery
10 days ago
2/ so many gutting moment but this was among the first, from one of the worldâs leading scientists on vaccines and immunology:
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Dante Atkins
10 days ago
DOGE did not exist to save taxpayers money. It existed to take a wrecking ball to programs that had drifted into the crosshairs of the insane conspiracy right as hiding the secret switch that would turn off liberalism. They found nothing, destroyed entire agencies and gave the data to who knows who.
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Mike Masnick
11 days ago
Some of us have been advocating this going back since chatGPT launched. It also has other benefits: correcting someone else's work is actually a really good way to learn something yourself.
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Molly Knight
11 days ago
Everybody involved will need to go to prison and if democrats in congress donât have the stomach for punishing these people they should just resign now.
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Greg Sargent
11 days ago
One last point. In the Trump Murder Memo (the memo supposedly explaining legal rationale for Trump boat bombings), DOJ's *own lawyers* go out of their way to pre-exonerate lower-level people carrying out those killings. Experts tell me this signals fear *on the inside* that these orders are illegal!
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Greg Sargent
11 days ago
One other point I didn't make here: Allies like Britain believe the US is carrying out illegal bombings. Who are we effing kidding? Of course its reasonable to think Trump is issuing illegal orders! Why is this being treated as such a controversial suggestion?
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Kevin M. Kruse
12 days ago
There are going to be prominent Democrats and mainstream media voices who insist that we have to "turn the page" and "forgive and forget" and they should all be roundly ignored, if not mercilessly mocked.
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Imani Gandy Cane đ đž
12 days ago
TIL Torchwood is an anagram of Doctor Who đ¤Śđžââď¸
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Will Stancil
12 days ago
I find it eternally frustrating: Trumpâs behavior is just the product of some very transparent, very disordered inner psychology. But for some reason that psychology is mostly taboo in the realm of political commentary; we have to pretend he has âbeliefsâ and âpolicy goals.â I assure you he does not
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Anne Applebaum
12 days ago
This is not a peace plan. It is a proposal that weakens Ukraine and divides America from Europe, preparing the way for a larger war in the future. In the meantime, it benefits unnamed Russian and American investors, at the expense of everyone else.
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
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Trump Has a Recipe for War and Corruption, Not Peace
Who would benefit from the White Houseâs 28-point proposal for Ukraine?
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/11/trumps-war-peace/685024/?gift=hVZeG3M9DnxL4CekrWGK3x5H8-x30wTOq6lDtv0xjW4&utm_source=copy-link&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=share
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Peter Sagal
13 days ago
One thing I think about a lot is that the reason gay rights had such a monumental victory in the last decades is because once people started coming out, just about everybody found out they knew a gay/lesbian person. It's a lot harder to hate/fear someone you know.
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Robert Reich
13 days ago
The Art of the Deal. [Cartoon by Dennis Goris]
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News Eye
13 days ago
NEW: Itâs takes a moment for this to really sink in. Guardian reporting that key parts of Trumpâs peace plan was drafted IN RUSSIAN first.
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Asha Rangappa
14 days ago
It's important to understand what this ad does and why it is so threatening to the Trump admin. It gets to social identity theory, which posits that we have many identities, and the one which is salient in a given context will dictate how we think/behave in a particular situation. 1/
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Aaron Rupar
14 days ago
Kaitlan Collins to Leavitt as she walks off: "Karoline, you misquoted Democrats in that video. That's actually not what they said."
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Kevin M. Kruse
14 days ago
Trump's rants against Democrats have inspired everything from death threats and pipe bombs to the January 6th assault on the Capitol. This is a time to take him literally and seriously.
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Greg Sargent
14 days ago
Good. Dems not backing down in the slightest in the face of Trump's call for their execution. Keep this up, Dems. Treat Trump like *he's* the violent criminal and the real threat to our Constitution order. Because he is.
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shauna
14 days ago
⌠and who are just reminding people of their constitutional rights and responsibilities
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Quite the statement.
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14 days ago
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Paul Waldman
14 days ago
I'm no economist, but is Nvidia making huge profits really evidence that there isn't an AI bubble, when so much of the insane spending on AI goes right to Nvidia? It's like saying "How can there be a bubble when this tulip farmer is making so much money?"
www.wsj.com/finance/stoc...
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Nvidiaâs Strong Results Show AI Fears Are Premature
The chip maker says demand looks strong through next year, while a selloff has made the $4.5 trillion company look cheap.
https://www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/nvidias-strong-results-show-ai-fears-are-premature-ed2a7f89?mod=hp_lead_pos1
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Oliver Willis
14 days ago
i talk a lot of shit about george washington but i will say the greatest thing he ever did was give up his military commission after the war was won. the military is subservient to the elected leadership and elected leadership answers to us - THE PEOPLE. this is the bedrock of american democracy.
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Merriam-Webster
15 days ago
Autocorrect has become our worst enema.
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There doesnât seem to be much question but that the Comey indictment is invalid, and the real question is whether it is dismissed with prejudice or without prejudice.
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15 days ago
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David Corn
15 days ago
There's "new information"? But only about Democrats who interacted with Epstein? And this only prompted a new investigation after Trump publicly said these people should be investigated? Looks like she is lying, lying, lying.
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The cynics all saw this coming. Which shows that it pays to be cynical.
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15 days ago
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ElieNYC
15 days ago
I know that at this point it's a subplot in the Epstein files drama, but I feel compelled to point out, once again, that Larry Summers HAS NO BUSINESS teaching students at ANY university ever again! My latest cries into the abyss, in
@thenation.com
www.thenation.com/article/soci...
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Why Is Larry Summers Still Employed?
The revelations about the economistâs attempts to pressure a women into a ârelationshipââwith guidance from Jeffrey Epsteinâshould finally disqualify him from teaching students.
https://www.thenation.com/article/society/why-is-larry-summers-still-employed/
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Robert Reich
16 days ago
Medicare for All would save $450B a year. Every dollar spent on food stamps generates $1.50-$1.80 in economic activity. Each dollar going to low-wage workers adds $1.20 to the economy overall. Itâs not about what this country can or canât afford. Itâs about priorities.
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Brendan Nyhan
16 days ago
Nothing to worry about, just a sitting federal judge having been revealed as openly endorsing extrajudicial killings
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Greg Pak
16 days ago
This jackass thinks people want to "negotiate" for health care. We don't want to fucking negotiate a goddamn thing with goddamn corporations - we just want health care! This is all a fucking game to him. He has zero concept of how any normal human being lives. Never vote for any Republican ever.
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Daniel Drezner
17 days ago
"The court is finding that the governmentâs actions in this case â whether purposeful, reckless or negligent â raise genuine issues of misconduct, are inextricably linked to the governmentâs grand jury presentation and deserve to be fully explored by the defense."
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/17/u...
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Judge Says Justice Dept. May Have Committed âMisconductâ in Comey Case
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/17/us/politics/comey-justice-department-misconduct.html?smtyp=cur&smid=bsky-nytimes
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Schooley
18 days ago
Itâs pretty telling that nobody is taking Trumpâs call to release the files at face value other than the press who still believes things he says for some reason.
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