Very interesting read 👇

Excellent start of the @ukandeu.bsky.social conference on the future of the UK-EU relationship in Brussels.

Striking fact about the Makerfield election: left-right divide has barely budged in the last three GEs (7 years). Lab+LD+Green have gained 53-56 per cent of the votes each time; Con+Ref+Restore 43-47. All the action has been voter movements within each tribe. (Table from @peterkellner.bsky.social)

Following yesterday's by-elections in: • Aberdeen South • Arbroath and Broughty Ferry • Makerfield Douglas Lumsden, Lara Bird, and Andy Burnham have been elected as Members of Parliament. Find out more: www.parliament.uk/business/new...

In Manchester today for the 76th Königswinter Conference to discuss British-German relations, the Kensington Treaty and how the two countries facing many similar challenges can work together to tackle them. @debrige.bsky.social

Ich habe mit @europamanuelberlin.bsky.social im @europapodcast.bsky.social über die Wahlen letzte Woche im Vereinigten Königreich gesprochen 👇

With the final results of the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections published, the overall percentage of seats won by pro-independence parties has reached 47%. It is the highest percentage ever since the creation of the Welsh parliament in 1999.

Good morning. What do we know so far about patterns of voting in the local elections in England?

All ready for this years’ Young Königswinter Conference, starting tomorrow at Europäische Akademie Berlin. Looking forward to this autumn edition of our summer conference! @johnkampfner.bsky.social @birgitbujard.bsky.social

Could not agree more. As always a pleasure to co-host with @johnkampfner.bsky.social and a big thanks to Mari Mittelhaus from the @debrige.bsky.social for organising another excellent conference.

Looking forward to it!

It was an honour and a joy to welcome Prof. Julie Smith this week to the University of Cologne’s Dept. of Political Science for two packed days of discussions on EU-UK relations, British-German relations & the changing international order and European integration. @unicologne.bsky.social

61% of Britons say that Brexit has been a failure - who do they hold responsible? Conservatives: 88% Boris Johnson: 84% Nigel Farage: 67% Theresa May: 66% Rishi Sunak: 64% Labour: 39% EU: 37% Civil service: 30% Keir Starmer: 28% yougov.co.uk/politics/art...

Monika Brusenbauch Meislova and I had a look at Boris Johnson‘s and Theresa May‘s political leadership on Brexit. Have a look 👇

NEW: Net migration for year ending June is 672,000 Nearly a record high. Up compared to last June, down a bit compared to December’s estimate. Deeply uncomfortable for a govt whose promise has been to suppress both legal & illegal migration (though prefers to talk of latter).

The British Academy is organising a webinar for applicants in the #humanities and #socialsciences for #EuropeanResearchCouncil Consolidator Grants on 27 November. If you are interested please RSVP by 12.00 on 20 November (more details at the link below) www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/projects/eur...

Highly recommended for anyone wanting to know more about diplomacy and, if I might add, it will be enjoyable and funny, too.

It was an excellent 🇬🇧- 🇩🇪 alumni evening! Thank you for the invitation.

European studies group UACES has arrived 👋

Ich freue mich auch!

Ein Jahr ist Rishi Sunak im Amt als Premierminister. Wir ziehen Bilanz und diskutieren die Frage, wie geht es 2024 weiter in 🇬🇧? shop.freiheit.org#!/Veranstalt...

Working on European integration, international relations and/or EU politicization? Please join us by sending your abstracts. Christian Freudlsperger and I are organizing a joint session at the ECPR conference in Lüneburg in March. More info: ecpr.eu/Events/Event...

🗳️📈Labour leads in the latest Westminster polling, by pollster: 22% YouGov 21% WeThink 20% Deltapoll 19% Techne 16% Savanta 16% Opinium 14% Redfield & Wilton

Labour win both Tamworth AND Mid Bedfordshire by-elections on huge swings. Extraordinary.

Cowley's rule of by-election analysis is that if a party wins a constituency by 5, 50 or 500 votes, the political lesson and significance should essentially be the same as if they lose it by 5, 50 or 500 - yet it won't be.

Looking forward to our discussion with Prof. Brigid Laffan @UniCologne on 17 October about the EU’s response to Brexit. cif.uni-koeln.de/sites/intern...

Yes, EU relations are going to be crucial for UK growth. But also for regulatory policy, immigration, foreign policy, energy, Northern Ireland, most likely skills. Already is. And any UK government will be hobbled that can't admit this. As the current one is.

A Friday afternoon reminder that we're not even a third of the way through implementation of the Windsor Framework PDF version: bit.ly/UshGraphic120

Well it has been a few months since the UK government threatened to breach the Northern Ireland Protocol / Windsor Framework so this extract from Politico's evening newsletter comes as little surprise...

Looking for information on the upcoming Polish elections and what the outcome could mean for the country and for the EU? Here it is 👇

🚨🚨 I wish to give a welcome to some excellent policy experts from think tank UK in a Changing Europe: @anandmenon.bsky.social, @jillongovt.bsky.social @timbale.bsky.social @jdportes.bsky.social @robfordmancs.bsky.social @simonusherwood.bsky.social . Must follow! ukandeu.ac.uk/about-us/

Willkommen @andreaschrist.bsky.social! Schön, dass Du da bist!

New Scottish Parliament poll, Panelbase 2 - 5 Oct (changes vs 12 - 15 Jun): List: Lab ~ 30% (+2) SNP ~ 29% (-1) Con ~ 18% (+1) Grn ~ 12% (nc) LD ~ 8% (nc) Alba ~ 3% (-1) Constituency: SNP ~ 35% (-1) Lab ~ 32% (nc) Con ~ 16% (+3) LD ~ 7% (-2) Grn ~ 7% (nc)

Rutherglen and Hamilton West (UK Parliament) By-Election (vs 2019): Lab: 17845 (58.6%, +24.1) SNP: 8399 (27.6%, -16.6) Con: 1192 (3.9%, -11.1) LD: 895 (2.9%, -2.3) Grn: 601 (2%, new) RUK: 403 (1.3%, new) Family: 319 (1%, new) Others (<1%): 823 (2.7%, new) Labour elected.

Three polls in need of a second glance: see what the latest opinion polls do and don't say in the latest The Week in Polls. Includes a debut for The Lib Dem Lumpiness Test. theweekinpolls.substack.com/p/three-poll...

A weak Sunak will try to present himself as a winner who can rally the party behind him. In reality the Tory party conference will be all about who succeeds him. My column for ARD @tagesschau from Manchester. (german) www.tagesschau.de/ausland/euro...

The upside for Cons is that activating and unifying the base behind an issue like imm helps to put firm floor under their support, perhaps a floor they can build from. The risk is that strong focus on imm risks looking out of touch with diff concerns of voters outside the base

Very happy that Monika Brusenbauch Meislova‘s and my article on the political leadership of Boris Johnson and Theresa May and the domestic politics of #Brexit has been published in British Politics. And you can read it here: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1057/s41293-023-00240-3

Rutherglen and Hamilton West recall petition: 11,896 for recall (14.7%); threshold to clear was 10%. Lowest figure for a successful petition so far - one unsuccessful had 9.4%. First recall in Scotland. A by-election will now be held. Smart money on Labour.

Intgerested in the upcoming by-elections in Uxbridge, Selby and Somerton? Read our analysis for Sky News ➡️ https://news.sky.com/story/by-election-battlegrounds-everything-you-need-to-know-about-next-weeks-votes-in-uxbridge-selby-and-somerton-12919001