*the coolest shit you've ever seen* FIFA Ref: ...offsides

Truest words ever written.

Soccer is my favorite sport and always will be, but Jesus Christ they've got to do something about this VAR issue. Every exciting moment devolves into legalistic nitpicking and standing around. For a match like this to end with Zapruder analysis and trigonometry is simply not fun!!!

Ambivalence is an essential feature of public opinion. Few Americans outright support undemocratic practices but many more are ambivalent. Important new research: doi.org/10.1038/s415...

1/ I'm starting the holiday weekend off with some good vibes. I’m not giving bad news any headspace right now, so let's pause and celebrate some public health wins that have happened recently!

#ELB: “US Postal Service cannot carry out Trump order on mail ballot delivery, judge rules” https://electionlawblog.org/?p=157023

If you credulously do a segment about the vote in California in which you don’t say the president is lying, you’re spreading disinformation to your listeners.

@thejop.bsky.social announces the right to refuse consideration of manuscripts of those who have declined to review 3+ times. Careful who you co author with!

An article about Trump's iconography citing our work in the UAE in the Guardian. A well-researched read! www.theguardian.com/commentisfre... @mcgillpolisci.bsky.social @cpsjournal.bsky.social @sarahbush.bsky.social @laurenrprather.bsky.social

New paper @pnasnexus.org w/ @brendannyhan.bsky.social & @elsavoytas.bsky.social Can we reduce support for violent extremism? And, if so, which messages work best?

What if they just made an entire guy out of red flags?

Go ahead and slam journalists when they deserve it. I certainly do. But also realize that New York Times journalists Declan Walsh and Arlette Bashizi willingly traveled to an Ebola ward in the Democratic Republic of Congo in order to inform the world. Many journalists are heroes. (NYT gift link)

DOGE's impact: a new study looks at “the earliest evidence of the impact of cuts to USAID on the incidence of violent events” which suggests that “the radical cuts […] led to an increase in conflict in the regions that received the most aid from the United States.” www.404media.co/doge-cuts-un...

“The dismantling of USAID, according to models from Boston University epidemiologist Brooke Nichols, “has already caused the deaths of six hundred thousand people, two-thirds of them children,” Gawande wrote.” hsph.harvard.edu/news/usaid-s...

The single most defining thing Elon Musk has ever done is killing untold numbers of people by having DOGE illegally raid and disband USAID. Not rickets, not cars, not even the CSAMbot on X. It’s this, and so many media pundits just choose to unsee it.

SCOTUS decided, to inject itself into an ongoing election & at this point no one can say otherwise. It has historically used the Purcell doctrine to ensure that courts aren't meddling in elections, and yet this court felt comfort in doing so. Everyone needs to understand this.

Climate change impacts are here, but public support for action remains polarized. Which climate messages move people? In a ~13,500-person megastudy, we tested 10 of the most-cited messages. Six increased pro-environmental attitudes in the U.S.—but only by 1–4 percentage points. 🧵

It is the year 2026 AD. Super hackers have gained illicit backdoor access to the AI Claude through the Chipotle support chat.

I was actually quite wrong about this. Trump managed to choose humiliation *AND* escalation.

some people you can recruit, other people you have to simply defeat. politics makes more sense when you accept this

On the other hand, it is a sign that he will keep trying anything, anything, to sabotage elections and with them the last bulwark of American democracy. The only logical conclusion from every one of these incidents of flailing power grabs is: none of it stops until he's removed from power.

🚨🚨🚨🚨 New Podcast Alert 🚨🚨🚨🚨 Please download and share The Election Trust Research Podcast. The Center for Transparent and Trusted Elections at UCSD produced a series of episodes last spring interviewing experts and folks on the front lines of American democracy. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...

💫 'Who supports hostage recovery? Explaining individual variation in American support for bringing hostages home' from @laurenrprather.bsky.social & @laurenrprather.bsky.social is the 10th article from our special issue on kidnapping! 👉 Read, for free, here: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

liberal democracy is based on the idea of equality under the law, meaning the same laws apply to elected officials, president included, as everyone else. His belief that different rules apply to the president may seem trivial, but it's just another piece of evidence of his disdain for democracy.

Stay tuned for more!

It's a beautiful wooden horse. We're putting it on the big patio where the Rose Garden used to be.

#OpenAccess from @ejisbisa.bsky.social - Who supports hostage recovery? Explaining individual variation in American support for bringing hostages home - https://cup.org/4sZqdQ1 - Danielle Gilbert & @laurenrprather.bsky.social#OpenAccess #FirstView #ISA2026

Matt Germer on why stable democratic government isn't possible unless election losers learn to concede.

Stephen Miller complaining about the UK finally eliminating heredity nobility from their legislature is a perfect encapsulation of how perverse it is to have these people in charge during the 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence.

This is disgusting, but also a tacit admission of just how horrible and indefensible it is.

My "the Department of D̶e̶f̶e̶n̶s̶e̶War is not at war" t-shirt has people asking a lot of questions already answered by my t-shirt

I drove a van in Obama’s motorcade for a weekend.

New polling out now from @global-affairs.bsky.social / @ipsosus.bsky.social, in the field when US military operations against Iran began, finds no differences pre/post in support for strikes on Iran’s nuclear programs—and widespread fears of sparking a wider regional war. https://bit.ly/4b1tg2N

For years on my old blog I published the names of servicemembers who died in Iraq & Afghanistan. No other outlets were. These are the first 4 Americans to die in the Iran War. Capt. Cody A. Khork, 35 Sgt. 1st Class Noah L. Tietjens, 42 Sgt. 1st Class Nicole M. Amor, 39 Sgt. Declan J. Coady, 20

WHOA: WSJ reporting that DOJ is dropping its appeals of the four law firm executive order rulings as soon as today. www.wsj.com/us-news/law/...

Publishing my normal Sunday polling article early (for obvious reasons): Trump starts a war with Iran that few Americans support. Overall support for Trump in early post-strike polling is below that for Afghanistan and Iraq, including among Republicans. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/polls-trum...

I think it is important as an American to say loudly today that (1) I am vehemently opposed to wars of choice. We should attack others only when attacked. Anything else is abhorrent. This is not a close case.

The Foreign Policy in a Diverse Society (www.fpds-surveys.org) project is starting to release cumulative results from 2.5 years of surveying the American public on foreign economic policy. check out an overview at: goodauthority.org/news/can-for...

boosting

Awfully hard to square the claims that ICE is focused on removing violent criminals that are so dangerous we can't let them be around with the fact that ICE tricks their targets by pretending to need help and waiting for neighborly types to respond by offering to help a stranger for free.

I just did the dumbest thing of my entire career to prove a much more serious point. I tricked ChatGPT and Google, and made them tell other users I’m a competitive hot-dog-eating world champion People are using this trick on a massive scale to make AI tell you lies. I’ll explain how I did it

What can current research tell us about confidence & trust in elections? Join the next "Books & Ballots" webinar on 2/24 at 2pm ET to hear from three leading academics about their ongoing research on this hot topic. More info & registration can be found here: buff.ly/GALSRTz

Voter trust in the midterm elections has dropped off sharply, and across party lines, according to research by the UC San Diego Center for Transparent and Trusted Elections. (@kevrector.bsky.social, Thad Kousser, @laurenrprather.bsky.social) More, via Opinion Today opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260217

“Voter trust in US elections drops amid Trump critiques, redistricting, fear of ICE” electionlawblog.org?p=154358

Yes! Plus this could have positive externalities, ultimately improving intergroup relations! press.princeton.edu/books/paperb...

as i keep saying, the things to do to secure elections are to volunteer to work the polls or to serve as an observer, & to pressure your *state representatives* to take steps to further secure voting locations and ballots. you should also learn about how election administration works in your area.

Has anyone come across anything about using AI generated images in survey experiments? I know we’ve been using altered images to prime different things in experiments for a long time, but any AI-specific discussions being had?

Has anyone come across anything about using AI generated images in survey experiments? I know we’ve been using altered images to prime different things in experiments for a long time, but any AI-specific discussions being had?