As always: if there's any class of people who do not have due process rights, then *nobody* has due process rights, because the government can just claim someone is in that class and there's no process to establish otherwise.

gonna start talking like this to my boss

I watched the Questlove documentary Earth, Wind and Fire: To Be Celestial vs. That's the Weight of the World (HBO Max) and it was just about everything I could ask from a music doc. Enthralling, revelatory, and makes the case (as if the case needed to be made) for EWF's greatness AND weirdness.

US inflation is the highest in the G7.

it’s hard to explain how much shit like this has radicalized people. like i’m a white middle-aged broad who’s always been liberal but i’ve gone full-on “abolish ICE/reform scotus/the next dem candidate must commit to mass prosecutions” and you will not sway me from that position.

New public pre-print with @aarslew.bsky.social and Martin Bisgaard 🧵 We introduce a perspective on democratic erosion that focuses on quiet anticipation among political elites: what do they think happens to those who cross a strongman that challenges democracy? www.researchgate.net/publication/...

“The most preposterous rainbow was coming out of the castle I was supposed to be going home to... It looked like something out of My Little Pony.” - Tom Holland on the rainbow that delayed shooting on Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey.

Boy this was a long road, but glad it's finally out! @dgrand.bsky.social @robbwiller.bsky.social @arechar.bsky.social (along with Michael N. Stagnaro, James N. Druckman, not tagable)

The forensic report is available here: storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us... Incredible stuff

Amazing.

New short paper w @jkalla.bsky.social ! Candidates gain from moderation, but less than many theories expect. Many conclude voters must not care about issues. This is wrong. Small *average* effects mask large effects on specific issues & are consistent with widespread issue-based voting 🧵

This is a welcome and important step to normalize and popularize the use of Registered Reports. Thanks @magdalenaskipper.bsky.social for your leadership, and for the work of the neuroscience and behavioral research editors to test and validate the model at Nature.

Glad to see this WP from our lab out today, a labor of love over last year. Kudos to @davidbroska.bsky.social and @jonnekamphorst.bsky.social for their hard work on it! Please share any comments, suggestions, or criticisms of the research. All are welcome!

Bruce Springsteen has no fucks to give. 👏

New in Nature Climate Change, Prof. @robbwiller.bsky.social and @pascl-stanford.bsky.social examine the most persuasive climate change messaging strategies. bsky.app/profile/robb...

Nina. Newport Jazz Festival, July 4, 1968. David Redfern.

Dear ChatGPT, Am I the Asshole? While Reddit users might say yes, your favorite LLM probably won’t. We present Social Sycophancy: a new way to understand and measure sycophancy as how LLMs overly preserve users' self-image.

New study from @oii.ox.ac.uk researchers finds friendlier chatbots make more mistakes. Lead author @lujain.bsky.social, second author Franziska Sofia Hafner, senior author @rocher.lc. Read more: www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

New ASR paper finds no effect of state right-to-work laws on employment or number of business establishments (1946-2019). Argues that state spillovers, such as tax breaks in non-right-to-work states, explain the non-effect of right-to-work. gated: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

The past decade has had a silver lining: Chuck evolving from Jordanesque business class self-interest to a moral leader on behalf of LGBT people and immigrants

Considerable progress has been made in the field of leadership. However, this is undermined by a commitment to ideas which have been repeatedly debunked that refuse to die--called "Zombie Leadership" This paper outlines 8 core claims of zombie leadership: leadershiphq.com.au/wp-content/u...

BREAKING: Congressman Johnny Olszewski (D-MD) is introducing a constitutional amendment to establish term limits for Supreme Court Justices. The ROBE Act would establish 18-year term limits for justices.

Same energy:

For a year and a half, @carorowland.bsky.social, @lehersingh.bsky.social, Marisa Casillas, Shanley Allen, and I have been meeting to discuss whether innateness is still a useful concept to think about in studying language acquisition. Here's our take: osf.io/preprints/ps...

#climate #environment #publicopinion

After 2031, eulogy may displace strategy. leedrutman.substack.com/p/the-democr...

New math “If you have a $600 drug, and you reduce it to $10, that’s a 600 percent reduction." —RFK Jr

New climate comms paper has my full attention! They revised 10 of the most-cited messaging strategies & then conducted what a massive preregistered study. Quick summary: the right frames are persuasive, but effects are small. There are no magic words. So glad to have this research to build from.

Climate change impacts are here, but public support for action remains polarized. Which climate messages move people? In a ~13,500-person megastudy, we tested 10 of the most-cited messages. Six increased pro-environmental attitudes in the U.S.—but only by 1–4 percentage points. 🧵

Nothing to worry about, just the Heritage Foundation publishing an article on how the Republican Congress can refuse to seat Democrats www.heritage.org/election-int...

Today an international student said that she saw my "any person/any study/from any country" banner as she walked around campus on her 1st day in Ithaca. She said she felt relieved & welcomed, in an era when US has deserved reputation for being anything but welcoming. The banner stays. 2/2

Can AI voter guides help voters decide while remaining accurate, nonpartisan, and trustworthy? Very grateful to @stanfordimpactlabs.bsky.social for a new grant supporting our next work on this (building on work led by Joe Mernyk & Jonne Kamphorst): bsky.app/profile/robb...

Congratulations to Prof. @robbwiller.bsky.social (@pascl-stanford.bsky.social) who was just named a Fellow of the John Simon Guggenheim Memorial Foundation! @guggfellows.bsky.social sociology.stanford.edu/news/robb-wi...

Americans are more polarized in their trust in scientists than in virtually any other societal institution. — James N. Druckman. (@umisrcps.bsky.social) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260420-top...

Commentaries on SCORE papers from @asanchez-tojar.bsky.social, Jelte Wicherts, and @robbwiller.bsky.social www.nature.com/articles/d41...

Very grateful to receive a Guggenheim Fellowship. I’ve been so lucky to have such incredible students, collaborators, and mentors. Above all, I feel very lucky that I get to work on topics I care so deeply about with collaborators who are also my friends.✊❤️ #guggfellows2026

If you paid even a penny in federal income tax last year, you paid more than: Tesla Southwest Disney Live Nation HP United PayPal CVS Health Palantir Citigroup PG&E 3M That's right. They paid $0 in federal income tax. It's time for big corporations to pay their fair share.

One of the worst things the current era has done is to make progressive people act like two wrongs make a right when a Democrat politician is caught in a scandal. “But Trump gets away with it” is not the flex you think it is.

Come join us! We have two research coordinator positions open with the Stanford IRISS predoctoral program, a program designed to mentor students for graduate study: LEVANTE: careersearch.stanford.edu/jobs/iriss-p... BabyView: careersearch.stanford.edu/jobs/iriss-p... (deadline 5/1)

@nature.com has published three groundbreaking papers on reproducibility, analytical robustness, and replicability across the social sciences. Sincere thanks are due to the many folks who contributed to these projects. It’s painstaking work, and a great service to social science.

A megastudy in @pnasnexus.org by Team Scientists @madalina.bsky.social, @robbwiller.bsky.social, and collaborators tested interventions to increase climate advocacy. doi.org/10.1093/pnas...

This story is terrible but represents another example of the patriarchy on Leftist movements of the 1960s.

Von Budapest bis Washington: Die Wiederherstellung der Demokratie kann gelingen, sofern die siegreiche pro-demokrati. Allianz Mass hält. Kurz vor der Wahl in Ungarn, bietet Polen wichtige Learnings, zeigt die super Studie v @kristianvsf.bsky.social, @robbwiller.bsky.social @m-b-petersen.bsky.social

Excited and nervous for this event tomorrow. Come in person in Berlin, or join online! www.einsteinfoundation.de/en/insights/...

Years ago, via a painting by her great-grandfather, @mollycrabapple.bsky.social got fascinated by the Jewish Bund, a secular, anti-zionist socialist movement. We are all very lucky she did. Her book "Here Where We Live Is Our Country" comes out on 4/7. Preorder here: bookshop.org/p/books/here...

Since last year, the US has publicized a visa policy that targets & threatens people who study & report on online harms. Yesterday @knightcolumbia.org & @protectdemocracy.org filed a lawsuit challenging this censorship policy on behalf of @thecoalition.bsky.social knightcolumbia.org/content/tech...

The sky is not falling; high-quality platforms (Prolific, Verasight, CR Connect) have low rates of apparent bots. osf.io/preprints/ps... But also not zero; vigilance is very much needed!

youtu.be/5AVYDHTOixU hell yeah