🍭🌲Congratulations to Julia Lippman, winner of our holiday candy jar contest, a long-standing CPS tradition that honors Barb Opal. James Morrow submitted his annual outlier estimate and Julia won with an exact hit of 108. @profpjones.bsky.social

A new release of the ANES Cumulative Data File is now available for download. Over 200 variables have been updated to include data from the 2024 Time Series. Visit the study page to download data and documentation: electionstudies.org/data-center/...

🚨FELLOWSHIPS AVAILABLE! @umisrcps.bsky.social has seven #ISRNextGeneration awards open to UM graduate students and postdocs advancing research on comparative politics, political opinion & behavior, and more. Explore, share with students, and apply by Feb 9! cps.isr.umich.edu/fellowships/

I used the panel release from the @electionstudies.bsky.social to look at how votes and views have changed across the 2016, 2020, and 2024 election. There isn't a lot of analysis here but there are lots of plots and data. Liberal positions seem to be more consistently held (sort of)

OPINION TODAY featured podcast — Dealing with Selection Bias in Surveys, with Rod Little, @randridge.bsky.social and @bradytwest.bsky.social (@aapor.bsky.social) opiniontoday.substack.com/i/180586526/...

Was on Civic Forum with @rorytruex.bsky.social talking about US democracy. We talked about political inequality & minority rule in the US, with a focus on my research on the states. But then talk about what's new in the more acute democracy crisis of 2025 www.youtube.com/watch?v=tbxC...

How do people form beliefs about complex topics? Happy to report our Bayesian model of the psychology of Bayesian updating is out in @ispp-pops.bsky.social! (w/ Gabriel Li & Krosnick) If you gloss over the Greek, it's a new model for how to assess the impacts of information on summary judgments.

Here's the link! ➡️ cps.isr.umich.edu

🎊 The University of Michigan Center for Political Studies @umisrcps.bsky.social has a new website. Take a look and follow our independent, scientific research on politics and society. @umisr.bsky.social

Thanks to all who have completed our user survey. But if you haven't, don't forget to take it. This feedback will inform our long-term planning. We really would like to hear from you! bit.ly/43vgW8b

👀 Don't miss this thread by 2025 @aaas.org inductee and @rcgd-isr.bsky.social affiliate David Dunning @daviddunning6.bsky.social, and his featured talk -- sharing what we believe to be wisdom. #LookToMichigan #PsychSky @umisr.bsky.social

The Eric Schickler essay in Larry Bartel's symposium on "What Trump Has Taught Us About Political Science" is one of the most insightful pieces I've read in 2025. US institutions turned out to be weak, and we have to rethink conventional wisdom. open access: academic.oup.com/psq/advance-...

@umfordschool.bsky.social and the Trotter Center are hosting CPS affiliates @maraceci.bsky.social and Jowei Chen Thursday for a teach-in panel, "Unpacking Election Policy: How is it Shaping Our Democracy?" Details and registration: myumi.ch/5kbbA

Using a dataset of nearly 65,000 school board meeting transcripts, @mirya.bsky.social and @simko.bsky.social investigate whether local officials use agenda control to stifle conflict; school board members increase use of tabling when debate arises. doi.org/10.1111/lsq....

@umfordschool.bsky.social and the Trotter Center are hosting CPS affiliates @maraceci.bsky.social and Jowei Chen Thursday for a teach-in panel, "Unpacking Election Policy: How is it Shaping Our Democracy?" Details and registration: myumi.ch/5kbbA

#LookToMichigan and the University of Michigan @umisrcps.bsky.social Center for Political Studies for leading work on democracy, civic, and global engagement. Repost & follow our research on *both* Bluesky and LinkedIn! @umisr.bsky.social www.linkedin.com/company/1066...

ICYMI: Michigan helped reignite the research career of cancer survivor Suzanne Perkins @20thofmay.bsky.social, who planned her career around the insight that education plays a key role in recovery for children who have been maltreated. #LifeChangingEducation feature story: myumi.ch/9pWk3

This seems like a great opportunity. No one better to help think big and rigorous than @ccavaille.bsky.social

The American National Election Studies wants to hear from you. Take a short survey that will inform our future planning. bit.ly/43vgW8b

The big Democratic wins of the 2025 elections will shift political dynamics and strategies in the coming year. For key takeaways, read our Q&A with UM political scientist Tyler Simko @simko.bsky.social, elections analyst for CBS. cpsblog.isr.umich.edu?p=3516

👀 Out now in @voxdev.bsky.social! VoxDev senior eds. Cesi Cruz, @hlarreguy.bsky.social and @ernestotiburcio.bsky.social share a lit review on the causes and consequences of polarization. Read & download here: voxdev.org/voxdevlit/po...

#OpenAccess from our latest issue - Gendered views on immigration policy stances? The case of Japan - https://cup.org/4hxDATi "gender bias in voter evaluations may not be as severe as the literature expects..." - Melanie Sayuri Sonntag, @strauszm.bsky.social & @ykshrt.bsky.social#OpenAccess

People find conspiracy content involving anti-establishment sentiment—distrust in institutions like the media or health care—regularly on TikTok and YouTube. CPS's @arielhasell.bsky.social and Sabina Tomkins on communication and democracy via @umichnews.bsky.social: news.umich.edu/conspiracy-c...

People who like to take surveys can share characteristics that skew polls in important ways. Michael A. Bailey @georgetownuni.bsky.social spoke at the @umisrcps.bsky.social workshop yesterday on the problem of "non-ignorable nonresponse" and the potential for panel surveys to address it.

"We’re committed to making sure Detroiters’ voices drive the decisions that shape their city." For 10 years, the University of Michigan’s Detroit Metro Area Communities Study DMACS has been driving local research in the public interest. @umfordschool.bsky.social @bridgemi.com myumi.ch/Qw5Ez

Congratulations to CPS research professor @christiandavenport.bsky.social, newly named the Charles Tilly Distinguished University Professor of Political Science! @umfordschool.bsky.social fordschool.umich.edu/news/2025/ch...

A new survey measures the nature, extent, and distribution of American stereotypes about Jewish, Muslim, and Black Americans. A research brief out from Mark Tessler, @acavari.bsky.social and @francy-lunadiaz.bsky.social shares some preliminary findings: cpsblog.isr.umich.edu?p=3492

📢 New publication in Political Behavior With @acavari.bsky.social and @Liot_Shvarts 📢 Polarization and Partisan Bias in Citizens' Evaluations of Public Services t.co/kJSR0VDzCq @polbehavior.bsky.social

🎊 Today is the day! Join us as this afternoon as we celebrate the career of CPS Research Professor James D. Morrow. cps.isr.umich.edu/events/james...

👀 New from @profpjones.bsky.social @deandulay.bsky.social @anilmenon.bsky.social & @yoniabramson.bsky.social, studying the effects of 🇺🇦 President Zelensky’s historical analogies with survey experiments in four countries – US, UK, Germany, and Israel. Do these appeals impact foreign policy attitudes?

So much talk of #politicalviolence in the headlines these days, but what do the ANES 2024 Time Series data say?

#LooktoMichigan for innovation in survey research! A great talk on the future of survey research.

My recent working paper with @robmickey.bsky.social & @dziblatt.bsky.social is about the high rates of shirking in US policing. David Rose exemplified the opposite--running toward the danger. RIP.

The Constitution's most important features-- separation of powers, rule of law, due process-- shape America's democratic functioning. Join some of its foremost experts for a Constitution Day discussion at U-M on Wednesday! @joshpasek.com @robmickey.bsky.social events.umich.edu/event/139043

@shaylafolson chairs a timely political communication panel at #APSA2025 today, on Public Trust in News Media and Expertise. At noon PDT, 3 EDT. #ISRNextGeneration

Connecting with scholars at #APSA2025? Use our starter pack to follow our all-star affiliates of the Center for Political Studies at the University of Michigan. (And comment to be added!) #PoliSky go.bsky.app/TfMekNA

👀 Donald Kinder will present tomorrow's Ithiel de Sola Pool Lecture at the @apsa.bsky.social annual conference in Vancouver. Read more on the triennial award lecture and Don Kinder's contributions to the field: cps.isr.umich.edu/2025/09/11/d...

Research on the postwar South from @meganastewart.bsky.social and @karinkitchens.bsky.social suggests that "contraband camps" - hubs that emerged during the US Civil War as Black Americans sought freedom and protection behind Union lines- help explain variation in social welfare policies. #APSA2025

@dnsltr.bsky.social: "Indonesia and Malaysia are confronting the same big question that confronts countries all over the world these days -- can democracy and diversity coexist?" Slater presents at #APSA2025 today on his latest book project, exploring pluralists' efforts to build winning coalitions.

🔥 @bromero15.bsky.social presents at #APSA2025 on the relationship b/n experiences of victimization and racial group solidarity. Romero finds that Black victims of crime--but not other groups--express lower racial solidarity & are less likely to endorse systemic explanations for racial inequalities.

Why do some immigrants politically invest in their host country while others do not? @robertocarlos.bsky.social, @mfroman.bsky.social and @mamalik.bsky.social show the salience of migration motive, esp. economic motive, in shaping political incorporation. More at #APSA2025!

@meshepruralpolitics.bsky.social's larger project demonstrates how partisan politics are deepening the rural-urban divide in America. Don't miss his talk on women's attitudes toward guns and firearms policy at #APSA2025. @umichsph.bsky.social #PoliSky

🏈 Has the NFL played a role in America's political polarization? Don't miss #ISRNextGeneration scholar Ciera Hammond presenting at #APSA2025. #PoliSky

The medium matters: Audrey Halverson and Brian Weeks's findings on the effects of reading a @washingtonpost.com article vs. viewing the same info on TikTok suggest that while alternative political information formats can capture attention, they may struggle to earn audiences’ trust. #APSA2025

@rebeccawai.bsky.social used the #ISRNextGeneration Tessler Fellowship to investigate cooperation between refugees and host communities in Uganda, through farmer groups. She presents findings and insights on refugee-host cooperation with papers both Friday and Saturday at #APSA2025.

👀 Local governments often take "symbolic" stances on issues where they hold no authority or jurisdiction. @simko.bsky.social and Taran Samarth examine the dynamics and purpose of "symbolic representation" by studying the response of US local governments to the ongoing Israel-Hamas war. #APSA2025

What binds violent spectacle and political legitimacy? A virtual #APSA2025 presentation Saturday with Qian Qian Ng and #ISRNextGeneration scholar Patrick Peralta explores why images of brutality under Duterte's drug war "failed to impress a collective sense of horror among Filipinos."

At #APSA2025, #ISRNextGeneration scholar Hood Ahmed presents a poster with findings from a survey experiment exploring campaigns for social reform in Saudi Arabia. The findings contribute to debates about the effectiveness of elite strategies in reshaping mass attitudes and behaviors.

Misinformation expert and #ISRNextGeneration scholar @francy-lunadiaz.bsky.social presents at #APSA2025-- investigating Trumpism, online communities, and transnational ties.

Garth Taylor #ISRNextGeneration scholar Jane Kitaevich presents her public opinion research at #APSA2025: Her dissertation examines the impact of militarized violence on individual support for democracy, with a focus on Armenia as a case study. #PoliSky